Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...
Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ... Alafia River Minimum Flows and Levels - Southwest Florida Water ...
Table 2-11. Results of Kendall's tau analysis on residuals (from various parameters regressed against flow) versus time. Yellow shading indicates a statistically significant decreasing trend; blue shading indicates a statistically significant increasing trend. MYAKKA RIVER NEAR SARASOTA Parameter Residual Residual Median n p Value intercept slope Conductance -10.0000 248 0.00000 -424.30800 0.01456 Dissolved Oxygen 0.0350 120 0.50922 1.46821 -0.00005 pH -0.0083 215 0.00416 0.63905 -0.00002 NOx -0.0069 129 0.06248 0.04895 0.00000 Phosphorus -0.0171 127 0.00000 -0.73127 0.00003 Calcium -1.0090 193 0.00000 -36.99860 0.00127 Chloride -0.3290 198 0.00001 -9.87780 0.00034 Fluoride 0.0045 197 0.00027 0.17920 -0.00001 Hardness -2.9100 146 0.00000 -187.61700 0.00734 Magnesium -0.4650 193 0.00000 -19.95630 0.00069 Potassium -0.2810 193 0.00000 -8.17683 0.00028 Silica 0.0850 192 0.77540 -0.23801 0.00001 Sodium 0.0070 192 0.00000 -7.44218 0.00026 Sulfate -3.7800 191 0.00000 -135.29300 0.00463 2-81
Chapter 3 Ecological Resources of Concern and Key Habitat Indicators "There is no universally accepted method or combination of methods that is appropriate for establishing instream flow regimes on all rivers or streams. Rather, the combination or adaptation of methods should be determined on a case-by-case basis; . . . In a sense, there are few bad methods – only improper applications of methods. In fact, most . . . assessment tools . . . can afford adequate instream flow protection for all of a river's needs when they are used in conjunction with other techniques in ways that provide reasonable answers to specific questions asked for individual rivers and river segments. Therefore, whether a particular method 'works' is not based on its acceptance by all parties but whether it is based on sound science, basic ecological principles, and documented logic that address a specific need" (Instream Flow Council 2002). 3.1 Goal – Preventing Significant Harm The goal of an MFL determination is to protect the resource from significant harm due to withdrawals and was broadly defined in the enacting legislation as "the limit at which further withdrawals would be significantly harmful to the water resources or ecology of the area." The District has identified loss of flows associated with fish passage and maximization of stream bottom habitat with the least amount of flow as significantly harmful to river ecosystems. Also, based upon consideration of a recommendation of the peer review panel for the upper Peace River MFLs (Gore et al. 2002), we propose that significant harm in many cases can be defined as quantifiable reductions in habitat. In their peer review report on the upper Peace River, Gore et al. (2002) stated, "[i]n general, instream flow analysts consider a loss of more than 15% habitat, as compared to undisturbed or current conditions, to be a significant impact on that population or assemblage." This recommendation was made in consideration of employing the Physical Habitat Simulation Model (PHABSIM) for analyzing flow, water depth and substrate preferences that define aquatic species habitats. With some exceptions (e.g., loss of fish passage or wetted perimeter inflection point), there are few "bright lines" which can be relied upon to judge when "significant harm" occurs. Rather loss of habitat in many cases occurs incrementally as flows decline, often without a clear inflection point or threshold. Based on Gore et al. (2002) comments regarding significant impacts of habitat loss, we recommend use of a 15% change in habitat availability as a measure of significant harm for the purpose of MFLs development. Although we recommend 3-1
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Chapter 3 Ecological Resources of Concern <strong>and</strong> Key<br />
Habitat Indicators<br />
"There is no universally accepted method or combination of methods that<br />
is appropriate for establishing instream flow regimes on all rivers or<br />
streams. Rather, the combination or adaptation of methods should be<br />
determined on a case-by-case basis; . . . In a sense, there are few bad<br />
methods – only improper applications of methods. In fact, most . . .<br />
assessment tools . . . can afford adequate instream flow protection for all<br />
of a river's needs when they are used in conjunction with other<br />
techniques in ways that provide reasonable answers to specific questions<br />
asked for individual rivers <strong>and</strong> river segments. Therefore, whether a<br />
particular method 'works' is not based on its acceptance by all parties but<br />
whether it is based on sound science, basic ecological principles, <strong>and</strong><br />
documented logic that address a specific need" (Instream Flow Council<br />
2002).<br />
3.1 Goal – Preventing Significant Harm<br />
The goal of an MFL determination is to protect the resource from significant harm<br />
due to withdrawals <strong>and</strong> was broadly defined in the enacting legislation as "the<br />
limit at which further withdrawals would be significantly harmful to the water<br />
resources or ecology of the area." The District has identified loss of flows<br />
associated with fish passage <strong>and</strong> maximization of stream bottom habitat with the<br />
least amount of flow as significantly harmful to river ecosystems. Also, based<br />
upon consideration of a recommendation of the peer review panel for the upper<br />
Peace <strong>River</strong> MFLs (Gore et al. 2002), we propose that significant harm in many<br />
cases can be defined as quantifiable reductions in habitat.<br />
In their peer review report on the upper Peace <strong>River</strong>, Gore et al. (2002) stated,<br />
"[i]n general, instream flow analysts consider a loss of more than 15% habitat, as<br />
compared to undisturbed or current conditions, to be a significant impact on that<br />
population or assemblage." This recommendation was made in consideration of<br />
employing the Physical Habitat Simulation Model (PHABSIM) for analyzing flow,<br />
water depth <strong>and</strong> substrate preferences that define aquatic species habitats.<br />
With some exceptions (e.g., loss of fish passage or wetted perimeter inflection<br />
point), there are few "bright lines" which can be relied upon to judge when<br />
"significant harm" occurs. Rather loss of habitat in many cases occurs<br />
incrementally as flows decline, often without a clear inflection point or threshold.<br />
Based on Gore et al. (2002) comments regarding significant impacts of habitat<br />
loss, we recommend use of a 15% change in habitat availability as a measure of<br />
significant harm for the purpose of MFLs development. Although we recommend<br />
3-1