The Determination of Minimum Flows for Sulphur Springs, Tampa

The Determination of Minimum Flows for Sulphur Springs, Tampa The Determination of Minimum Flows for Sulphur Springs, Tampa

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DRAFT Similar to the coldest period simulations, the thermal refuge simulations also found little difference in bottom temperatures between any of the springflow scenarios. Again, there were differences in surface water temperatures, with these differences increasing with the amount of springflow removed from the system. Differences in mean temperatures between the baseline and the other scenarios for the entire thermal refuge period ranged from 0.53 o C degrees for scenario A to –1.35 o C degrees for scenario C It is reiterated that during these conditions temperatures were above 20 o C were in bottom waters. 5.5.9 Summary and application of thermal modeling results to a minimum flow for Sulphur Springs The combined results for the coldest period and thermal refuge period scenarios indicate that that flows from Sulphur Springs have an effect on water temperatures in the lower Hillsborough River. This thermal effect is largely manifested in the surface layers above the pycnocline, or the depth at which there is strong vertical gradient in water density. The thermal refuge scenarios indicated that all of the springflow scenarios would provide a suitable thermal refuge when surface water temperatures fluctuated between 17 and 20 o C. The coldest period scenarios, however, indicated that only scenario A would not exceed the 2 o C change suggested by the FRMI. To prevent unacceptable changes to a thermal refuge in the lower river, scenario A (18 cfs flow to the spring run) should be required when water temperatures in the river fall to low values. As described in Section 5.4, scenario A is the recommended minimum flow for routine operation based on salinity criteria. Requiring scenario A to be in effect during very cold periods would be in keeping with the desirability of this flow rate based on other criteria. Water temperature measurements are now collected at a number of sites in the Lower Hillsborough River and one or more of these sites could be continued with real time data availability to track the occurrence of low temperatures in the river. Based on the results of the thermal modeling simulations, it is recommended that if water temperatures in either surface or bottom waters fall below 15 o C, then a minimum flow of 18 cfs be required at Sulphur Springs with no adjustment for low tide stages. Using either surface or bottom as the trigger for the determination of low temperatures would ensure that this minimum flow would be implemented before the entire water column went below 15 o C. Such a low temperature stipulation would likely be in effect for only short periods of time. A plot of daily surface and bottom temperatures for a continuous recorder located in the river about 100 meters upstream from Sulphur Springs was presented in Figure 3- 31. Of the four winter seasons covered by this graphic, water temperatures were below 15 o C in either surface or bottom waters for a total of 11 days. Low reservoir levels and impending water shortages are most acute for the City of Tampa in the late spring 5 - 50

DRAFT toward the end of the dry season. The implementation of an 18 cfs minimum flow during relatively brief periods in the winter should thus have a very minor effect on the use of the spring to augment the City's water supplies during water shortages. Considering these factors, the minimum flows recommended in Section 5.4.1 should be supplemented with a restriction that the minimum flow will be 18 cfs when water temperatures in either surface or bottom waters in the Lower Hillsborough River near the spring outfall are below 15 o C. The compete minimum flow recommendation for Sulphur Springs is: The proposed minimum flow for Sulphur Springs is 18 cfs. This minimum flow may be reduced to 10 cfs during low tide stages in the lower Hillsborough River if it does not result in salinity incursions from the Lower Hillsborough River into the upper spring run. Salinity incursions shall be defined as when salinity values in the upper spring pool are 1 ppt greater than the concurrent salinity value in the spring pool. A minimum flow of 13 cfs can be implemented when water levels in the Hillsborough River reservoir fall below 19 feet NGVD. This minimum flow can be reduced to 10 cfs at low tide stages in the lower river if it does not result in salinity incursions into the upper spring run. A minimum flow of 18 cfs will be maintained if the temperature of either surface or bottom waters in the Lower Hillsborough River near the mouth of the spring are below 15 o C. 5.6 Future data collection in support of the minimum flows The proposed minimum flows will require much more intensive management of flows from the spring than has been done in the past. The continuation of data recorders in the spring pool, the upper spring run, and the lower Hillsborough River will be necessary to determine if the management goals for salinity incursions and a thermal refuge are met. These data will need to be available on a real-time for basis if the City chooses to implement a tide-based 10 cfs minimum flow, or reduce the minimum flow to 13 cfs during water shortages in cold months. It is recommended that benthic invertebrates continue to be sampled periodically to check the effectiveness of the minimum flows for maintaining invertebrate populations in the upper spring run. Also, the proposed minimum flows and relationships of flows from Sulphur Springs to the lower river should be examined as part of the re-evaluation of minimum flows to the Lower Hillsborough River which are scheduled for completion by 2005. 5 - 51

DRAFT<br />

toward the end <strong>of</strong> the dry season. <strong>The</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> an 18 cfs minimum flow during<br />

relatively brief periods in the winter should thus have a very minor effect on the use <strong>of</strong><br />

the spring to augment the City's water supplies during water shortages.<br />

Considering these factors, the minimum flows recommended in Section 5.4.1 should be<br />

supplemented with a restriction that the minimum flow will be 18 cfs when water<br />

temperatures in either surface or bottom waters in the Lower Hillsborough River near<br />

the spring outfall are below 15 o C. <strong>The</strong> compete minimum flow recommendation <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong> is:<br />

<strong>The</strong> proposed minimum flow <strong>for</strong> <strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong> is 18 cfs. This minimum flow<br />

may be reduced to 10 cfs during low tide stages in the lower Hillsborough River<br />

if it does not result in salinity incursions from the Lower Hillsborough River into<br />

the upper spring run. Salinity incursions shall be defined as when salinity values<br />

in the upper spring pool are 1 ppt greater than the concurrent salinity value in<br />

the spring pool. A minimum flow <strong>of</strong> 13 cfs can be implemented when water<br />

levels in the Hillsborough River reservoir fall below 19 feet NGVD. This<br />

minimum flow can be reduced to 10 cfs at low tide stages in the lower river if it<br />

does not result in salinity incursions into the upper spring run. A minimum flow<br />

<strong>of</strong> 18 cfs will be maintained if the temperature <strong>of</strong> either surface or bottom waters<br />

in the Lower Hillsborough River near the mouth <strong>of</strong> the spring are below 15 o C.<br />

5.6 Future data collection in support <strong>of</strong> the minimum flows<br />

<strong>The</strong> proposed minimum flows will require much more intensive management <strong>of</strong> flows<br />

from the spring than has been done in the past. <strong>The</strong> continuation <strong>of</strong> data recorders in<br />

the spring pool, the upper spring run, and the lower Hillsborough River will be necessary<br />

to determine if the management goals <strong>for</strong> salinity incursions and a thermal refuge are<br />

met. <strong>The</strong>se data will need to be available on a real-time <strong>for</strong> basis if the City chooses to<br />

implement a tide-based 10 cfs minimum flow, or reduce the minimum flow to 13 cfs<br />

during water shortages in cold months.<br />

It is recommended that benthic invertebrates continue to be sampled periodically to<br />

check the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> the minimum flows <strong>for</strong> maintaining invertebrate populations in<br />

the upper spring run. Also, the proposed minimum flows and relationships <strong>of</strong> flows from<br />

<strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong> to the lower river should be examined as part <strong>of</strong> the re-evaluation <strong>of</strong><br />

minimum flows to the Lower Hillsborough River which are scheduled <strong>for</strong> completion by<br />

2005.<br />

5 - 51

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