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The Determination of Minimum Flows for Sulphur Springs, Tampa

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DRAFT<br />

included inflows to the model domain from <strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong>. Like the LAMFE model,<br />

these scenarios were run assuming minimal rainfall and stormwater inflow below the<br />

dam. Associated with these scenarios were water temperatures and salinity<br />

concentrations <strong>of</strong> the inflow source. In order to allow predictions to be made under<br />

varying scenario conditions, the model also allows precipitation and withdrawals from<br />

the system to be modeled. Meteorological data (air temperature and wind speed and<br />

direction) were input to estimate evaporation.<br />

Water surface elevation boundary conditions were also specified at the downstream<br />

limit <strong>of</strong> the model domain. Vertical temperature and constituent concentration pr<strong>of</strong>iles at<br />

the boundaries were input. Surface heat exchange was also estimated based on the<br />

input meteorological data, including air temperature, dew point temperature, wind speed<br />

and direction, and cloud cover. Hydraulic parameters input to the model included a<br />

horizontal dispersion coefficient <strong>for</strong> momentum and a horizontal dispersion coefficient<br />

<strong>for</strong> temperature and constituents. <strong>The</strong>se values were set to be constant over time and<br />

over the entire spatial domain <strong>of</strong> the model. Bottom friction coefficient values were also<br />

input to the model.<br />

5.5.4 Model Construct<br />

<strong>The</strong> grid system utilized in this study was based on that previously developed <strong>for</strong> the<br />

LAMFE model. <strong>The</strong> grid system developed <strong>for</strong> the LAMFE model, as shown in Figure 5-<br />

23, included 32 columns along the river length and 16 vertical layers. Column lengths<br />

(distance along the river) varied, from 300 m in the upstream reaches <strong>of</strong> the river to<br />

greater than 800 m at the mouth. We adopted this grid system, and then refined if<br />

specifically <strong>for</strong> this study to provide greater resolution in the vicinity <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Sulphur</strong><br />

<strong>Springs</strong> outfall. Columns 12 at <strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong> and column and 13 (downstream <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong>) <strong>of</strong> the LAMFE model were divided into 16 columns, each 50 m long<br />

Figure 5-23). <strong>The</strong> remainder <strong>of</strong> the LAMFE grid construct was unchanged.<br />

5.5.5 Model Input Data<br />

<strong>The</strong> thermal model was run under two sets <strong>of</strong> ambient temperature conditions that<br />

corresponded to two different time periods. <strong>The</strong>se temperature conditions were based<br />

on threshold water temperature values suggested by staff <strong>of</strong> the Florida Fish and<br />

Wildlife Conservation Commission that are described in Chapter 4. <strong>The</strong> “coldest period”<br />

was defined as that time when water temperatures in the Lower Hillsborough River were<br />

the lowest observed during the period <strong>of</strong> record <strong>of</strong> monthly observations by the EPCHC<br />

since 1974. <strong>The</strong> “thermal refuge period” was defined as a period when the continuous<br />

recorders in the river and spring were operating (since 1999); water temperatures in the<br />

river near <strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong> were greater than 20° C; and temperatures in the river<br />

upstream and downstream <strong>of</strong> <strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong> were less than 20° C. Using temperature<br />

data from these periods, the effects <strong>of</strong> various flow scenarios were evaluated by<br />

5 - 40

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