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The Determination of Minimum Flows for Sulphur Springs, Tampa

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DRAFT<br />

<strong>The</strong> 15-minute data from the USGS recorders are also useful <strong>for</strong> examining the salinity<br />

characteristics <strong>of</strong> the lower river. Time series plots <strong>of</strong> surface and bottom salinity values<br />

<strong>for</strong> four recorders in the river are presented in Figure 3-15. Salinity is averaged over the<br />

preceding 29-day period to aid visual interpretation <strong>of</strong> the plots. <strong>The</strong> longest period <strong>of</strong><br />

record is <strong>for</strong> the Rowlett Park recorder, which dates back to 1997. <strong>The</strong> unusually high<br />

values that occurred during the 2000 –2001 drought are apparent from this plot. It is<br />

also notable there is very little vertical stratification at this site, as evidence by the<br />

similarity <strong>of</strong> surface and bottom values. <strong>The</strong> period <strong>of</strong> record at Hanna's Whirl is much<br />

shorter, as it started in the spring <strong>of</strong> 2001 as part <strong>of</strong> the re-evaluation <strong>of</strong> the minimum<br />

flow <strong>for</strong> the Lower Hillsborough River. This station has remained fresh since the<br />

summer <strong>of</strong> 2002, when an extended period <strong>of</strong> flow began at the Hillsborough River dam.<br />

During the dry season <strong>of</strong> 2001-2002, salinity at this site varied between 5 and 12 ppt.<br />

<strong>The</strong> site at Hillsborough River near <strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong> (HILLSULPH) is especially<br />

in<strong>for</strong>mative <strong>for</strong> it is located only about 100 meters upstream from the mouth <strong>of</strong> the<br />

spring run. Both surface and bottom waters can go fresh during the wet season, but<br />

bottom salinity at this site fluctuates above 15 ppt during no-flow conditions. An<br />

important characteristic <strong>of</strong> this site is the large difference between surface and bottom<br />

salinity values in the dry season. This is largely due to the effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong>, as<br />

the low salinity water from the spring run layers over the higher salinity water in the<br />

river. This results in pronounced density stratification, which as will be discussed later,<br />

contributes to frequent hypoxia in this reach <strong>of</strong> the river.<br />

3.9.2.2 Hydrodynamic salt transport model <strong>of</strong> the river<br />

An effective tool <strong>for</strong> examining the effect <strong>of</strong> freshwater inflows on the salinity regime <strong>of</strong><br />

the Lower Hillsborough River is a laterally averaged two-dimensional hydrodynamic<br />

model <strong>of</strong> the Lower River developed by District staff (Chen et al. 2001). This model was<br />

used in the establishment <strong>of</strong> 10 cfs minimum flow (SWFWMD 1999), and its further use<br />

was recommended by the scientific review panel (Montagna et al. 1999). Since the<br />

model's initial use in the late 1990s, the model has been recalibrated using new data<br />

from the expanded array <strong>of</strong> continuous recorders in the river.<br />

Graphs <strong>of</strong> salinity distributions in the river <strong>for</strong> a series <strong>of</strong> different inflows from the dam<br />

and <strong>Sulphur</strong> <strong>Springs</strong> are presented in Figures 3-16 through 3-21. <strong>The</strong> results were<br />

generated by assigning inflow values to initial conditions as measured on January 16,<br />

2002 and running the model <strong>for</strong> 20 days. This no-flow period was chosen because it is<br />

more representative <strong>of</strong> the long-term no-flow conditions in the river than the much saltier<br />

conditions that occurred during the 2000-2001 drought.<br />

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