Sunshine Coast Climate Change and Peak Oil Strategy 2010-2020
Sunshine Coast Climate Change and Peak Oil Strategy 2010-2020
Sunshine Coast Climate Change and Peak Oil Strategy 2010-2020
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Contents<br />
FOREWORD 3<br />
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5<br />
1 CONTEXT 11<br />
1.1 The effects of climate change 12<br />
1.2 The cause of climate change 13<br />
1.3 <strong>Peak</strong> oil <strong>and</strong> energy transition 14<br />
1.4 International <strong>and</strong> Australian Policy 15<br />
1.4.1 Federal Government initiatives 15<br />
1.4.2 Queensl<strong>and</strong> State Initiatives 15<br />
1.4.3 South East Queensl<strong>and</strong> Initiatives 16<br />
1.5 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Policy 17<br />
Context<br />
1.5.1 The role of <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council 17<br />
1.5.2 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Corporate 18<br />
Plan<br />
1.5.3 Policy context for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> 19<br />
<strong>Coast</strong> Council<br />
2 LOCAL PROJECTIONS 21<br />
2.1 Temperature 22<br />
2.2 Rainfall 23<br />
2.3 Sea level rise 23<br />
2.4 Wind 24<br />
2.5 Cyclones <strong>and</strong> severe storms 24<br />
2.6 Hail 25<br />
2.7 Droughts <strong>and</strong> bushfires 25<br />
3 CHALLENGES AND<br />
27<br />
OPPORTUNITIES<br />
3.1 Exposure of the natural<br />
29<br />
environment to climate change<br />
3.1.1 Biodiversity 29<br />
3.1.2 Waterways 29<br />
3.1.3 <strong>Coast</strong> 30<br />
3.1.4 Cultural values 30<br />
3.2 Population growth <strong>and</strong> development 31<br />
3.2.1 Dem<strong>and</strong> for services 31<br />
3.2.2 Implications for Council assets <strong>and</strong> 32<br />
infrastructure<br />
3.3 Health implications 32<br />
3.4 Impacts on the economy <strong>and</strong> 33<br />
marketability<br />
3.5 Lifestyle 34<br />
3.5.1 Community greenhouse gas 34<br />
emissions<br />
3.5.2 Council greenhouse gas emissions 35<br />
3.6 Responding to the challenges 36<br />
3.6.1 Council actions to date 36<br />
3.6.2 New opportunities 37<br />
4 STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK 39<br />
4.1 Goal 40<br />
4.2 Key policy approaches 40<br />
4.3 Objectives 41<br />
4.4 <strong>Strategy</strong> implementation <strong>and</strong> review 42<br />
4.4.1 Reporting 42<br />
4.4.2 Review 42<br />
4.4.3 Funding 42<br />
5 ACTION PLAN 45<br />
GLOSSARY 55<br />
ABBREVIATIONS 61<br />
REFERENCES 62<br />
BACKGROUND STUDIES (CD) 63<br />
For further information<br />
Visit www.sunshinecoast.qld.gov.au<br />
Contact Council's Customer Service Centre<br />
(07) 5475 7272.<br />
© <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Regional Council <strong>2010</strong>.<br />
Acknowledgements<br />
Council acknowledges the assistance of the<br />
University of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. Council also<br />
wishes to thank all interested stakeholders<br />
for their valuable contributions towards the<br />
development of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong><br />
<strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>.<br />
Disclaimer<br />
Information contained in this document is based<br />
on available information at the time of writing.<br />
All figures <strong>and</strong> diagrams are indicative only <strong>and</strong><br />
should be referred to as such. This is a strategic<br />
document which deals with technical matters in<br />
a summary way only. Whilst the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
Regional Council has exercised reasonable care<br />
in preparing this document it does not warrant<br />
or represent that it is accurate, reliable, current<br />
or complete. The content of this document is not<br />
intended to provide specific guidance for particular<br />
circumstances <strong>and</strong> it should not be relied on as<br />
the basis for any decision to take action or not<br />
take action on any matter which it covers. Users<br />
are advised to exercise their own independent<br />
skill or judgment or seek professional advice,<br />
including legal advice, before relying on the<br />
information contained in this document. Except<br />
for liability which cannot legally be excluded,<br />
Council excludes all liability, injury, loss or damage<br />
(including for negligence) incurred by the use of,<br />
or reliance on, or interpretation of this document.<br />
Liability which cannot legally be excluded is limited<br />
to the maximum extent possible.<br />
Vibrant, green,<br />
2 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
Foreword<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is recognised as one of the most desirable places to<br />
live <strong>and</strong> work, thanks to its outst<strong>and</strong>ing beauty, mild, subtropical weather<br />
<strong>and</strong> enviable lifestyle. Today, its beaches <strong>and</strong> hinterl<strong>and</strong> are popular for<br />
recreation, living, holiday making <strong>and</strong> retiring.<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> peak oil present major threats to the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>;<br />
its natural environment, communities <strong>and</strong> economic activity. The <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong> Council is committed to mitigating the effects of climate change <strong>and</strong><br />
peak oil <strong>and</strong>, as such, the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />
<strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> ensures that these issues are addressed as a high<br />
priority to help safeguard our future.<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change is occurring, affecting our weather patterns. As the changes<br />
continue, the effects are expected to intensify bringing a reduction in annual<br />
rainfall, higher temperatures, rising sea levels, increased storm activity <strong>and</strong><br />
more frequent flooding <strong>and</strong> droughts.<br />
<strong>Peak</strong> oil occurs when extraction of oil around the world has reached its peak<br />
<strong>and</strong> the remaining supplies become increasingly harder <strong>and</strong> more expensive<br />
to recover. There is a growing consensus that peak oil will occur within the<br />
next 10 years. The social <strong>and</strong> economic wellbeing of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
may be adversely impacted if oil prices rise <strong>and</strong> become more volatile as a<br />
result.<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> peak oil can be tackled in unison. It is imperative to<br />
act with great speed <strong>and</strong> decisiveness to tackle both the cause <strong>and</strong> effects<br />
of these changes. Cutting greenhouse gas emissions <strong>and</strong> transitioning to<br />
a low carbon economy can tackle the issue of climate change at its core.<br />
Transitioning to a low oil economy can build resilience to peak oil. Adapting to<br />
the prospect of climate change will prepare the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> for the future.<br />
It is also important to diversify the economy of the region <strong>and</strong> attract<br />
businesses <strong>and</strong> activities that can develop low emission <strong>and</strong> renewable<br />
energy capabilities <strong>and</strong> knowledge capital.<br />
Council can’t do this alone. The involvement <strong>and</strong> shared commitment of key<br />
stakeholders, including community <strong>and</strong> government agencies, will be integral<br />
to achieving these goals.<br />
This document provides a framework for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council to<br />
implement a suite of actions over the next 10 years to tackle these critical<br />
issues.<br />
Cr Bob Abbot<br />
Mayor<br />
Cr Keryn Jones<br />
Environment<br />
Portfolio<br />
diverse.<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 3
'To build a low carbon, low oil, resilient future<br />
for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.'<br />
4 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
Executive<br />
Summary<br />
5
Executive summary<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is one of the most rapidly<br />
growing regions in Australia, abundant in<br />
natural assets <strong>and</strong> boasting a lifestyle that<br />
attracts a growing number of visitors <strong>and</strong><br />
residents alike.<br />
However, as part of South East Queensl<strong>and</strong>, the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> has been identified as a climate<br />
change ‘hotspot’ by the Intergovernmental Panel<br />
on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC) - a United Nations<br />
scientific body that provides authoritative scientific<br />
information from 4,000 of the world’s leading<br />
climate change scientists. <strong>Peak</strong> oil is another<br />
real but lesser known threat with vulnerability<br />
from finite <strong>and</strong> declining oil supplies. Exposure to<br />
climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil threats is heightened<br />
by the region’s coastal location, population<br />
growth, development pressures, dispersed<br />
settlement pattern <strong>and</strong> reliance on climatesensitive<br />
economies.<br />
In response to these threats, <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
Council has prepared a <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong><br />
<strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong><br />
(the <strong>Strategy</strong>) <strong>and</strong> Action Plan to help provide<br />
environmental, social <strong>and</strong> economic resilience to<br />
these issues. It is backed by Council’s Corporate<br />
Plan 2009-2014 which acknowledges the need to<br />
tackle climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil <strong>and</strong> supports<br />
the Council’s vision for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
The <strong>Strategy</strong> identifies risks, challenges <strong>and</strong><br />
opportunities associated with climate change <strong>and</strong><br />
peak oil for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
Council has the potential to prepare <strong>and</strong> respond<br />
to the challenges <strong>and</strong> opportunities through<br />
its business functions <strong>and</strong> services <strong>and</strong> can<br />
complement the work that is already being<br />
undertaken across the region outside of Council.<br />
In accordance with the ‘precautionary principle’<br />
the <strong>Strategy</strong> takes a risk avoidance <strong>and</strong><br />
management approach to:<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
reduce greenhouse gas emissions<br />
cut oil dependency<br />
help the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> transition to<br />
alternative energy sources<br />
adapt to the prospect of climate change<br />
build business capacity for the Council <strong>and</strong> the<br />
region.<br />
A strategic framework has been developed to<br />
support the implementation of the <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
Action Plan to achieve the overall goal:<br />
'To build a low carbon,<br />
low oil,resilient future<br />
for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.'<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> as<br />
Australia’s most sustainable region –<br />
vibrant, green, diverse.<br />
6 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
The framework comprises of four key policy approaches; through Leadership, Mitigation, Adaptation<br />
<strong>and</strong> Energy Transition. It provides a roadmap for the next decade through a set of eight objectives <strong>and</strong><br />
an Action Plan (see Figure 1 below).<br />
Figure 1<br />
Policy themes<br />
<strong>and</strong> objectives<br />
LEADERSHIP<br />
1 Council to provide leadership <strong>and</strong><br />
demonstrate best practice<br />
2 Build capacity for Council <strong>and</strong> community<br />
through partnerships <strong>and</strong> advocacy<br />
MITIGATION<br />
3 Become a carbon<br />
neutral organisation<br />
4 Significantly reduce<br />
community emissions<br />
through engagement,<br />
partnership <strong>and</strong><br />
planning<br />
ADAPTATION<br />
5 Identify <strong>and</strong> plan for<br />
climate change risks<br />
6 Adapt to the impacts<br />
of climate change<br />
ENERGY TRANSITION<br />
7 Reduce oil dependency<br />
through innovative<br />
measures<br />
8 Maximise <strong>and</strong> attract<br />
investment in low emission<br />
<strong>and</strong> renewable technologies<br />
<strong>and</strong> economies.<br />
By responding early to the challenges <strong>and</strong><br />
taking a proactive approach to climate change<br />
<strong>and</strong> peak oil, there is the potential to:<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
Mitigate future climate change threats<br />
Minimise risks to the community associated<br />
with climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />
Minimise increased costs to the community<br />
associated with carbon pricing <strong>and</strong> oil price<br />
rises<br />
Enable the community to capitalise on<br />
climate change opportunities <strong>and</strong> generate<br />
economic benefits<br />
Identify <strong>and</strong> create sustainable business<br />
investments for Council <strong>and</strong> the community<br />
Reduce whole-of-life costs by considering<br />
climate change implications in new Council<br />
projects.<br />
The <strong>Strategy</strong> has two supporting documents, the<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Background Study <strong>and</strong> the <strong>Peak</strong><br />
<strong>Oil</strong> Background Study. These documents outline the<br />
research <strong>and</strong> risk analysis that has been undertaken<br />
to inform <strong>and</strong> justify the responses summarised in<br />
this <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong> Action Plan.<br />
The purpose of this <strong>Strategy</strong> is to:<br />
Inform Council planning <strong>and</strong> operational activities<br />
<strong>and</strong> the Planning Scheme<br />
Guide Council <strong>and</strong> community decision-making<br />
Engage community <strong>and</strong> educate stakeholders to<br />
respond to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />
Drive a range of actions to deliver upon the goal.<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 7
Key <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Projections<br />
for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
To assist decision-making <strong>and</strong> support a longterm<br />
planning approach, local projections have<br />
been identified for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> to 2100.<br />
This follows the recommendation by the IPCC<br />
to use regionally specific estimates of climate<br />
change. These figures are based on the latest<br />
scientific evidence that the rate <strong>and</strong> magnitude of<br />
climate change is already being observed at the<br />
high end of the range estimated by IPCC (Steffen<br />
2009).<br />
The following changes are projected for the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>, relative to 1990:<br />
Temperature increase<br />
▲ Increase of up to 6.5 o C by 2100<br />
Number of days over 35 o C<br />
▲ By 2100, extra 30 days per annum<br />
<strong>Change</strong>s to rainfall<br />
▼ Reduction in average annual rainfall by<br />
2100<br />
▲ Rainfall events become more intense<br />
Sea level rise<br />
▲ Projected to rise by 1.1 metres by 2100<br />
Tropical cyclones <strong>and</strong> severe storms<br />
▼ Fewer but longer lived cyclones<br />
▲ Increase in number of severe storms.<br />
By 2070, 140 per cent increase predicted by<br />
CSIRO.<br />
Acting today to provide our<br />
lifestyle for the future.<br />
To put these figures into context, according to the<br />
Australian Government Department of <strong>Climate</strong><br />
<strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Energy Efficiency, a temperature rise of<br />
over 5°C could result in a loss of 90-100 per cent of<br />
core habitat for most native species. An increase in<br />
mean sea level is expected to result in an increase<br />
in tidal extremes (i.e. higher spring tides <strong>and</strong> higher<br />
storm surges), increasing coastal erosion <strong>and</strong> threat<br />
to coastal environments.<br />
These projections will be reviewed over time to<br />
incorporate improvements in scientific modelling,<br />
<strong>and</strong> reflect changes to IPCC scenarios <strong>and</strong> any<br />
shifts in greenhouse gas mitigation approaches.<br />
8 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
Key Actions<br />
The <strong>Strategy</strong> proposes high level actions that will permeate most Council strategies. The Action<br />
Plan builds on initiatives <strong>and</strong> planning already being undertaken by Council. It identifies actions<br />
that are critical to addressing key challenges for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong> explores opportunities<br />
for Council <strong>and</strong> the community. A summary of the key initiatives proposed in the Action Plan is<br />
provided below.<br />
Develop a corporate carbon neutral plan <strong>and</strong> an energy transition plan to align with the priorities<br />
identified in Council’s Corporate Plan <strong>and</strong> help achieve the following corporate targets.<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council to be carbon neutral by <strong>2020</strong> to correspond with mid-term target<br />
dates set by Federal <strong>and</strong> State Governments <strong>and</strong> Council’s desire to be a leader in this field<br />
To reduce Council’s oil consumption (through its use of crude oil-based fuels) by 5 per<br />
cent per year 1 , commencing in <strong>2010</strong>/2011 after a formal inventory has been undertaken.<br />
Partner with the wider community to develop a community emissions reduction plan <strong>and</strong> target to<br />
help reduce community emissions across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
Adopt a long-term approach for climate change by using a planning horizon of 100 years for<br />
Council’s long-term strategic, infrastructure <strong>and</strong> operational projects.<br />
Undertake further climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil vulnerability <strong>and</strong> risk assessments to identify regional<br />
risks <strong>and</strong> inform future l<strong>and</strong> use planning.<br />
Integrate low emission <strong>and</strong> low risk settlement patterns, l<strong>and</strong> use, urban forms, housing<br />
infrastructure <strong>and</strong> transport strategies into Council’s planning.<br />
Pursue strategies that create business opportunities for Council, grow low impact businesses <strong>and</strong><br />
secure investment in renewable <strong>and</strong> low emission technologies.<br />
Continue to support measures that build the resilience of the natural environment (e.g. enhancing<br />
strategic wildlife corridors to facilitate migration of species etc.) as outlined in the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
Biodiversity <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />
Through economic development initiatives <strong>and</strong> planning scheme <strong>and</strong> procurement provisions,<br />
introduce a renewed focus on localisation to support local businesses <strong>and</strong> encourage local economic<br />
growth.<br />
Explore <strong>and</strong> implement community engagement programs to encourage a low carbon community<br />
(e.g. Living Smart, ecoBiz, TravelSmart) <strong>and</strong> promote sustainability.<br />
Build partnerships to support initiatives that increase the adaptive capacity of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
region. A <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> ‘Think Tank’, would capitalise on the climate change<br />
expertise available in the region <strong>and</strong> provide guidance <strong>and</strong> direction to Council <strong>and</strong> the community.<br />
Develop education, training <strong>and</strong> communication programs essential to building awareness of climate<br />
change <strong>and</strong> peak oil risks <strong>and</strong> opportunities.<br />
Provide appropriate advice regarding climate change, particularly in relation to settlement patterns,<br />
development assessment <strong>and</strong> provision of infrastructure.<br />
Interim changes to the <strong>Strategy</strong> may be necessary to accommodate latest scientific research <strong>and</strong><br />
developments in climate change <strong>and</strong>/or peak oil.<br />
1<br />
The 5 per cent level aligns with the average rate of decline in global oil fields (according to the International Energy<br />
Agency 2008).<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 9
“Action today to protect tomorrow.”<br />
10 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
SECTION 1<br />
Context<br />
11
1 Context<br />
1.1 The effects of climate change<br />
“<strong>Climate</strong> change refers to a change in the<br />
state of the climate that can be identified…<br />
that persists for… decades or longer.”<br />
(IPCC 2007).<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> peak oil are global issues<br />
that pose a very real threat to the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong>. It is generally accepted that climate<br />
change is a result of the rise in average global<br />
temperatures due to increasing levels of<br />
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere known as<br />
the ‘enhanced greenhouse effect’.<br />
The resulting rise in temperatures <strong>and</strong> flowon<br />
effects are predicted to result in changed<br />
rainfall patterns, rising sea levels, increased<br />
frequency <strong>and</strong> duration of droughts <strong>and</strong> more<br />
severe <strong>and</strong> frequent weather events such as<br />
floods, l<strong>and</strong>slides, storm damage, heatwaves<br />
<strong>and</strong> bushfires. These changes have the potential<br />
to adversely affect biodiversity, human health,<br />
l<strong>and</strong>scape, economy, agriculture, infrastructure<br />
<strong>and</strong> water supply.<br />
Scientific research indicates that, even with a<br />
rapid reduction in global emissions, some degree<br />
of climate change is inevitable. To project climate<br />
change for the 21st century, global climate<br />
models have been designed to simulate the<br />
global climate under a range of greenhouse gas<br />
emission scenarios.<br />
The Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />
(IPCC), which has based its assessments on<br />
global climate modelling, has identified South<br />
East Queensl<strong>and</strong> (SEQ) as a ‘hotspot’ that is<br />
increasingly vulnerable to climate change.<br />
The latest scientific evidence indicates that<br />
current global greenhouse gas emissions are<br />
exceeding the emissions trajectory that is used<br />
to forecast the IPCC’s worst case scenario for<br />
climate change. This implies that climate change<br />
risks to vulnerable areas are likely to exceed the<br />
worst expectations.<br />
The IPCC Fourth Assessment recommends the<br />
use of regionally specific estimates of climate<br />
change to inform climate change strategy<br />
<strong>and</strong> policy. The Commonwealth Scientific <strong>and</strong><br />
Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) has<br />
undertaken projections at national, state <strong>and</strong><br />
regional levels.<br />
To provide a local context, projections for the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> have been undertaken by<br />
Council through the University of the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong>. A combination of projections from the local<br />
approach, CSIRO <strong>and</strong> other levels of government<br />
have been used in this <strong>Strategy</strong>, depending on<br />
the availability of information. Table 1 below<br />
provides a very high level observation of likely<br />
climate change for Queensl<strong>and</strong>.<br />
Table 1<br />
Potential climate change for Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change element<br />
Specific areas/<br />
locations vulnerable?<br />
Nature of event’s impact<br />
Sudden, extreme<br />
Gradual, long term<br />
Cyclones <strong>and</strong> storm surge Yes <br />
Storms (<strong>and</strong> flooding) Yes <br />
Increasing temps No <br />
Heat waves No <br />
Decreasing rainfall No <br />
Sea level rise Yes <br />
Source: LGAQ Adapting to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> – A Queensl<strong>and</strong> Local Government Guide<br />
12 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
1.2 The cause of climate change<br />
“<strong>Climate</strong> change may be due to natural internal processes or external forcing, or to<br />
persistent anthropogenic changes in the composition of the atmosphere or in l<strong>and</strong> use.”<br />
(IPCC 2007).<br />
There is generally international agreement that human activity, which includes the use of fossil fuels,<br />
deforestation <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation, is the main cause of the rise in greenhouse gas emissions. It is<br />
further acknowledged that urgent action is needed to cut emissions to a level that will avoid irreversible<br />
climate change.<br />
Since the pre-industrial age (commencing in 1750) carbon dioxide concentrations have increased by<br />
more than one third, from 280 parts per million to 380 parts per million. This rapid, large release of<br />
greenhouse gases has resulted in significant changes in the earth’s atmosphere <strong>and</strong>, consequently, in<br />
the global climate.<br />
Carbon dioxide (CO 2<br />
) concentration levels in the atmosphere now exceed any CO 2<br />
levels previously<br />
recorded, raising concerns about future levels of climate variability. Evidence to support this is provided<br />
in Section 2 of the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Background Study.<br />
“... ongoing coastal development <strong>and</strong> population<br />
growth in areas such as Cairns <strong>and</strong> South East<br />
Queensl<strong>and</strong>… are projected to exacerbate risks<br />
from sea level rise <strong>and</strong> increases in the severity <strong>and</strong><br />
frequency of storms <strong>and</strong> coastal flooding by 2050.”<br />
(IPCC 2007).<br />
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1.3 <strong>Peak</strong> oil <strong>and</strong> energy transition<br />
“Current global trends in energy supply <strong>and</strong><br />
consumption are patently unsustainable.<br />
What is needed is nothing short of an<br />
energy revolution… Securing energy<br />
supplies <strong>and</strong> speeding up the transition<br />
to a low-carbon energy system both<br />
call for radical action by governments<br />
– at national <strong>and</strong> local levels.”<br />
(International Energy Agency 2008).<br />
The challenge is to reduce oil <strong>and</strong> energy<br />
consumption <strong>and</strong> transition to alternative energy<br />
sources, such as renewable energy, to ensure<br />
local resilience to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />
A transition by the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region to a<br />
less oil <strong>and</strong> carbon intensive economy will also<br />
protect against future oil price spikes <strong>and</strong> any<br />
energy price rise as a result of potential carbon<br />
pricing.<br />
<strong>Peak</strong> oil is another real but lesser known threat<br />
to the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region. <strong>Peak</strong> oil is when<br />
extraction of conventional crude oil from global oil<br />
fields reaches its maximum rate, signalling when<br />
low cost oil supplies will begin to decline. The<br />
majority of projections for the peak of global oil<br />
production range between 2008 <strong>and</strong> 2030.<br />
The Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government supports a more<br />
imminent view that peak oil will occur in<br />
the next 10 years in the report Queensl<strong>and</strong>’s<br />
Vulnerability to Rising <strong>Oil</strong> Prices 2007.<br />
Further details to support this are provided in<br />
Section 5 of the <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> Background Study.<br />
In some parts of the world, oil has already<br />
peaked, yet world dem<strong>and</strong> continues to grow<br />
especially in China <strong>and</strong> India. <strong>Oil</strong> production in<br />
Australia peaked in 2000 <strong>and</strong> Australia is now a<br />
net importer of oil from world oil markets.<br />
<strong>Oil</strong> is a vital fossil fuel in the current economy <strong>and</strong><br />
is used for a wide variety of purposes. From its<br />
most common use as fuel for motor vehicles <strong>and</strong><br />
the aviation industry, to heating homes, growing<br />
food, producing asphalt for road surfaces,<br />
providing chemical bases for medicines <strong>and</strong><br />
pharmaceutical products, <strong>and</strong> producing plastic<br />
products.<br />
A decline in global oil production threatens to<br />
increase fuel prices. It could also potentially<br />
increase the reliance on coal <strong>and</strong> other fossil<br />
fuels, as oil substitutes, which would increase<br />
carbon dioxide emissions <strong>and</strong>, in turn, accelerate<br />
climate change.<br />
Changing our transport options –<br />
to reduce regional vulnerability<br />
to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />
14 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
1.4 International <strong>and</strong> Australian Policy<br />
The Rio de Janeiro Conference on Sustainable Development in 1992 saw the issue of climate change<br />
discussed within an international forum <strong>and</strong> resulted in several key initiatives including the Kyoto<br />
Protocol, which was ratified by the Australian Government in 2007. The conference also provided the<br />
impetus for industrialised nations to set legally binding goals to minimise greenhouse gas emissions.<br />
Other international initiatives include:<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
Improving the scientific underst<strong>and</strong>ing of climate change, for example, through IPCC studies <strong>and</strong><br />
reports<br />
Development of international initiatives which, through a range of methods including funding <strong>and</strong><br />
binding agreements, promote responses to climate change.<br />
1.4.1 Federal Government initiatives<br />
The Federal Government has developed a range of climate change policy responses. It has committed<br />
to reducing Australia’s greenhouse gas emissions, shifting to a low carbon economy <strong>and</strong> adapting to<br />
climate change through the following targets:<br />
To cut Australia’s emissions by 60 per cent below 2000 levels by the year 2050.<br />
To generate 20 per cent of Australia’s electricity from renewable energy sources by <strong>2020</strong><br />
intended to encourage investment in renewable energy generation.<br />
The Federal Government currently proposes a national emissions trading scheme to incorporate a cap<br />
on carbon pollution <strong>and</strong> put a price on carbon emissions from companies to help achieve this target. A<br />
greenhouse gas emission reporting system under the National Greenhouse <strong>and</strong> Energy Reporting Act<br />
2007 is intended to support the trading scheme.<br />
The National <strong>Strategy</strong> on Energy Efficiency which was developed by the Council of Australian<br />
Governments (COAG) will help to accelerate energy efficiency efforts <strong>and</strong> help households <strong>and</strong><br />
businesses prepare for the introduction of any carbon pricing mechanism.<br />
1.4.2 Queensl<strong>and</strong> State Initiatives<br />
The Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government’s Towards Q2: Tomorrow’s Queensl<strong>and</strong> incorporates targets aimed at<br />
protecting local communities from climate change impacts. These targets include:<br />
Cutting Queensl<strong>and</strong>’s carbon footprint by one third by <strong>2020</strong>, with a focus on reducing electricity<br />
<strong>and</strong> motor vehicle use.<br />
Protecting 50 per cent more l<strong>and</strong> for nature conservation <strong>and</strong> public recreation, which will<br />
protect regional biodiversity <strong>and</strong> create more natural carbon sinks to offset emissions.<br />
A detailed climate change strategy has been developed by the Queensl<strong>and</strong> government – <strong>Climate</strong>Q:<br />
toward a greener Queensl<strong>and</strong>. This presents investments <strong>and</strong> policies that respond to climate change.<br />
Under the <strong>Coast</strong>al Act, the Queensl<strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al Plan addresses planning in <strong>and</strong> near coastal<br />
locations <strong>and</strong> encourages the development of coastal management strategies <strong>and</strong> shoreline erosion<br />
management plans.<br />
The Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government is also preparing an <strong>Oil</strong> Vulnerability Mitigation <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong> Action Plan<br />
to help mitigate the impacts of peak oil.<br />
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1.4.3 South East Queensl<strong>and</strong> Initiatives<br />
At a regional level, the SEQ Regional Plan 2009-<br />
2031 outlines key regional policies to address<br />
population growth <strong>and</strong> management in SEQ.<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> oil supply vulnerability are<br />
recognised as key policy issues that need to be<br />
integrated into planning <strong>and</strong> social <strong>and</strong> economic<br />
development at the regional <strong>and</strong> local level.<br />
The SEQ Regional Plan recommends the<br />
adoption of urban development forms that:<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
Reduce the need to travel<br />
Increase provision of active <strong>and</strong> public<br />
transport<br />
Improve energy efficiency<br />
Increase local provision of renewable energy<br />
<strong>and</strong> low emission technology in urban <strong>and</strong> rural<br />
areas<br />
Are more resilient <strong>and</strong> less vulnerable to<br />
natural hazards.<br />
The SEQ Regional Plan is to be supported by the<br />
SEQ Regional Plan <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Program.<br />
A number of regionally driven research projects<br />
are also underway to help drive climate change<br />
strategy <strong>and</strong> actions into the future, including<br />
the SEQ <strong>Climate</strong> Adaptation Research Initiative<br />
(CARI) which will assess the region’s vulnerability<br />
<strong>and</strong> propose practical, cost-effective strategies for<br />
adapting to climate change.<br />
Other international, national, state <strong>and</strong> local<br />
initiatives aimed at reducing greenhouse gas<br />
emissions <strong>and</strong> adapting to the impacts of<br />
climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil are listed in the<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Background Study <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />
Background Study (Section 7 <strong>and</strong> 5 respectively).<br />
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1.5 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Policy Context<br />
This <strong>Strategy</strong> is intended to align with Federal, State <strong>and</strong> Regional initiatives where relevant, while<br />
providing local policy provisions to assist with change <strong>and</strong> innovation at the local level.<br />
1.5.1 The role of <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council recognises it has<br />
significant influence over activities responsible<br />
for driving human induced local greenhouse gas<br />
emissions. These activities include: settlement<br />
patterns; transport behaviour; energy generation<br />
<strong>and</strong> usage; waste management; vegetation<br />
management; <strong>and</strong> proximity of population centres<br />
to economic activity. It also has influence over<br />
the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>’s capacity to adapt to climate<br />
change through its planning scheme mechanisms<br />
<strong>and</strong> local management plans within the areas of:<br />
long term infrastructure <strong>and</strong> services planning;<br />
total water cycle management; building style <strong>and</strong><br />
urban form; l<strong>and</strong> use, open space <strong>and</strong> transport<br />
planning; agriculture <strong>and</strong> natural l<strong>and</strong>scape<br />
conservation.<br />
While Council is required to comply with<br />
government policy, it has an advocacy role<br />
<strong>and</strong> can assist by supporting policy changes<br />
relating to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil across all<br />
government levels. By continuing to strengthen<br />
partnerships with government agencies <strong>and</strong><br />
research institutions it can share knowledge <strong>and</strong><br />
ensure effective implementation of the <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />
Council can also play a lead role in influencing<br />
community behavioural change, however,<br />
success depends on the support <strong>and</strong> involvement<br />
of community stakeholders. Council can inform<br />
<strong>and</strong> engage, develop <strong>and</strong> build on existing<br />
partnerships with the business <strong>and</strong> wider<br />
community. It can also tap into local knowledge<br />
<strong>and</strong> leverage off existing community initiatives<br />
geared to tackle the impacts of climate change<br />
<strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> was the location for the first<br />
community driven initiative in Australia under the<br />
International Transition Towns movement - delivering<br />
Australia’s first energy descent action plan.<br />
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1.5.2 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Corporate Plan<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council has adopted a Corporate Plan 2009-2014 that identifies Council<br />
priorities for the next five years <strong>and</strong> beyond. It guides Council’s decision-making, budget,<br />
operations <strong>and</strong> resource allocations to achieve the vision to be Australia’s most sustainable<br />
region - vibrant, green, diverse.<br />
The Corporate Plan identifies the following eight themes:<br />
Robust economy<br />
Ecological sustainability<br />
Innovation <strong>and</strong> creativity<br />
Health <strong>and</strong> well being<br />
Social cohesion<br />
Accessibility <strong>and</strong> connectedness<br />
Managing growth<br />
Great governance.<br />
Figure 2<br />
Ecological Sustainability Policy<br />
Framework<br />
Innovation <strong>and</strong> creativity<br />
Managing growth<br />
Robust<br />
economy<br />
Health <strong>and</strong><br />
well being<br />
Social<br />
cohesion<br />
Accessibility<br />
<strong>and</strong><br />
connectedness<br />
Ecological<br />
sustainability<br />
Great<br />
governance<br />
Productivity People People People Planet<br />
Biodiversity<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />
Waterways<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />
Foreshores<br />
Management<br />
Flooding <strong>and</strong><br />
Stormwater<br />
Management<br />
Waste<br />
Water <strong>and</strong><br />
Sewerage<br />
Carbon<br />
Neutral<br />
Plan<br />
Energy<br />
Transition<br />
Plan<br />
Community<br />
Emissions<br />
Reduction<br />
Plan<br />
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1.5.3 Policy context<br />
Based on the priorities outlined in the Corporate<br />
Plan, the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong><br />
is a fundamental policy direction under Council’s<br />
Ecological Sustainability Framework (Figure 2).<br />
Integration of the <strong>Strategy</strong> will be required across<br />
all aspects of council planning <strong>and</strong> decision<br />
making as well as other key strategic documents<br />
such as those identified in Table 2.<br />
The Corporate Plan sets the direction for the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council to become a carbon<br />
neutral organisation.<br />
This <strong>Strategy</strong> sets a target date to reach<br />
carbon neutrality by <strong>2020</strong> to correspond with<br />
the Federal <strong>and</strong> State <strong>2020</strong> mid-term target<br />
dates for emissions reduction <strong>and</strong> Council’s<br />
desire to be a leader in this field.<br />
The Corporate Plan also identifies the need for<br />
energy transition initiatives.<br />
This <strong>Strategy</strong> sets a target to reduce its<br />
dependence on oil derived products by 5 per<br />
cent each year (e.g. crude oil based fuels used<br />
in fleet vehicles), commencing in <strong>2010</strong>/2021,<br />
following a formal inventory of Council’s oil<br />
consumption. 2<br />
Three supporting documents will be developed,<br />
as an output of the <strong>Strategy</strong>, to help achieve<br />
targets <strong>and</strong> further refine <strong>and</strong> direct other key<br />
responses included within the Action Plan:<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
Carbon Neutral Plan (for the organisation)<br />
Energy Transition Plan (for Council <strong>and</strong> the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> community)<br />
Community Emissions Reduction Plan.<br />
2<br />
This target aligns with the average rate of decline in global oil fields according to the International Energy Agency 2008.<br />
Table 2<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council: Key strategic documents<br />
Activities<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />
<strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
Energy Transition<br />
Corporate Plan <br />
Community Plan <br />
Planning Scheme/Structure Plans <br />
Sustainable Transport <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Rural Futures <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Waterways <strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al Foreshores Management <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Social Planning Framework <br />
Cultural <strong>Strategy</strong><br />
<br />
Community Engagement <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Open Space <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Long Term Financial Plan <br />
Safe Plan Safety Management System<br />
<br />
Disaster Management Plan <br />
Biodiversity <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Flooding <strong>and</strong> Stormwater Management <strong>Strategy</strong><br />
<br />
Affordable Living <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Economic Development <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Waste Minimisation <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
Health <strong>and</strong> Wellbeing <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />
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“Global issues, local change.”<br />
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SECTION 2<br />
Local<br />
projections<br />
21
2 <strong>Climate</strong> change<br />
projections for the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
The <strong>Strategy</strong> acknowledges that there are<br />
varying degrees of certainty <strong>and</strong> uncertainty<br />
associated with the science due to the<br />
complex nature of climate change. To help<br />
address this issue, local climate change<br />
projections have been modelled to enhance<br />
the underst<strong>and</strong>ing of local climate change<br />
implications <strong>and</strong> to assist in Council decisionmaking.<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council has undertaken a<br />
local assessment through the University of the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>, utilising a climate simulation<br />
tool, SimCLIM. Local climate variables have been<br />
adjusted to reflect the patterns associated with<br />
a global climate model, using the worst case<br />
IPCC climate change scenario <strong>and</strong> high climate<br />
sensitivity. These local variables acknowledge<br />
that global greenhouse gas emissions now<br />
exceed the high end of the scenarios utilised by<br />
the IPCC.<br />
2.1 Temperature<br />
Fewer cold days <strong>and</strong> more hot days are expected<br />
as a result of climate change, with associated<br />
shifts in annual <strong>and</strong> seasonal means <strong>and</strong><br />
extremes. It is predicted that by 2100, there will be<br />
an extra 30 days experiencing temperatures over<br />
35 o C <strong>and</strong> warming across the region, with annual<br />
mean temperatures expected to increase by:<br />
▲ up to 1 o C by <strong>2020</strong><br />
▲ up to 2 o C by 2050<br />
▲ up to 4 o C by 2075<br />
▲ up to 6.5 o C by 2100.<br />
To put these figures into context, the Australian<br />
Government Department of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
Energy Efficiency suggests a temperature rise of<br />
over 5 o C could result in a loss of 90-100 per cent of<br />
remnant bushl<strong>and</strong>.<br />
Long term local climate change projections<br />
to 2100 were determined, relative to 1990,<br />
acknowledging there is a degree of uncertainty<br />
with long-term projections. Where data was not<br />
available, projections from CSIRO <strong>and</strong> other<br />
levels of government have been utilised. Further<br />
details <strong>and</strong> analysis are provided in the <strong>Climate</strong><br />
<strong>Change</strong> Background Study (Section 4).<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> projections will be<br />
reviewed <strong>and</strong> modified to incorporate improved<br />
scientific modelling as science becomes more<br />
sophisticated <strong>and</strong> reflect changes to IPCC<br />
scenarios <strong>and</strong> shifts in greenhouse gas mitigation<br />
approaches.<br />
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2.2 Rainfall<br />
Average annual rainfall volumes are projected<br />
to decline across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. Modelling<br />
indicates seasonal shifts, with rainfall increasing<br />
in winter but decreasing in other seasons.<br />
In addition, more intense rainfall events are<br />
expected, increasing the potential for flooding<br />
(further complicated by sea level rise).<br />
2.3 Sea level rise<br />
Sea levels are expected to rise. The Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong>al Plan has identified sea level projections<br />
for Queensl<strong>and</strong> based on the IPCC Fourth<br />
Assessment. In 2009, the Australian Government<br />
Department of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Energy<br />
Efficiency report <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Risks to<br />
Australia’s <strong>Coast</strong> – A First Pass National<br />
Assessment for Australia identified national<br />
projections based on the ‘high end’ scenario<br />
in the IPCC Fourth Assessment <strong>and</strong> included<br />
new evidence on icesheet dynamics. That<br />
report indicates that the use of a ‘high end’<br />
IPCC scenario for decision making is justified.<br />
As it represents the latest information in climate<br />
science relative to sea level rise at the time of<br />
publication, the projections in the First Pass<br />
National Assessment have been adopted.<br />
These figures are adopted until a higher sea level<br />
projection is announced by the IPCC, in which case<br />
they will be superceded.<br />
▲ 0.2 metres by 2030<br />
▲ 0.7 metres by 2070<br />
▲ 1.1 metres by 2100.<br />
An increase in mean sea level is expected to<br />
result in an associated increase in tidal extremes<br />
(i.e. higher spring tides <strong>and</strong> higher storm surges).<br />
Justification for the sea level rise is provided in<br />
Section 4.3 of the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Background<br />
Study.<br />
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2.4 Wind<br />
CSIRO has evaluated climate change influences on average wind speeds for eastern Australia.<br />
According to their results, wind speeds are projected to increase with dominant synoptic systems<br />
expected to intensify <strong>and</strong> generate stronger winds. Impacts are likely to increase (Hennessey et. al.<br />
2006).<br />
Risk<br />
Changing Climatic Factor<br />
Impact<br />
Wind<br />
25 per cent increase of peak wind speed above 40-50 knots<br />
650 per cent increase in building damages.<br />
2.5 Cyclones <strong>and</strong> severe storms<br />
CSIRO modelling projections indicate that there will be fewer but longer lived cyclones tracking further<br />
south. The same modelling by CSIRO predicts a 60 per cent increase in the number of severe storms<br />
by 2030, with a 140 per cent increase in the number of severe storms by 2070. Data associated with<br />
storm surge <strong>and</strong> wave action on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> requires further evaluation.<br />
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2.6 Hail<br />
CSIRO has projected that there will be a change<br />
in large hail risk for SEQ indicating an increased<br />
risk of large hail storms for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
2.7 Droughts <strong>and</strong> bushfires<br />
As a result of increasing temperature <strong>and</strong><br />
declining rainfall it is expected that droughts<br />
will become more frequent <strong>and</strong> last longer than<br />
droughts currently experienced, with an increased<br />
risk of bushfire.<br />
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“Tomorrow's climate, today's challenge, local opportunities.”<br />
26 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
SECTION 3<br />
Challenges<br />
<strong>and</strong><br />
opportunities<br />
27
3 Challenges <strong>and</strong><br />
Opportunities for<br />
the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region has a subtropical<br />
climate. It has tropical rainforests, beaches,<br />
a rural hinterl<strong>and</strong> with a backdrop of ranges,<br />
peaks <strong>and</strong> valleys which offer tourist<br />
opportunities, support rural industries <strong>and</strong><br />
provide lifestyle advantages.<br />
The regional <strong>and</strong> coastal location of the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong>, together with population growth pressures,<br />
demographic distribution of its population, <strong>and</strong> an<br />
increased dem<strong>and</strong> for services contribute to the<br />
region’s vulnerability to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />
These challenges need to be acknowledged<br />
(see Figure 3) <strong>and</strong> addressed in order to reduce<br />
vulnerability to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />
Figure 3<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change<br />
challenges<br />
Natural environment<br />
e.g. existing threats –<br />
multiplied by climate change.<br />
Lifestyle<br />
e.g. increasing non-renewable<br />
energy consumption, increasing<br />
waste, unsustainable transport<br />
behaviour, need for<br />
food security.<br />
Challenges<br />
Population growth<br />
<strong>and</strong> development<br />
e.g. dem<strong>and</strong> for services <strong>and</strong><br />
infrastructure, increased risks.<br />
Economy/<br />
marketability<br />
e.g. reliance on climate<br />
sensitive economies, need to<br />
transition the economy.<br />
Health<br />
e.g. reduced water quality <strong>and</strong><br />
availability, heat stress, disease,<br />
injury from extreme weather.<br />
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3.1 Exposure of the natural<br />
environment to climate change<br />
3.1.1 Biodiversity<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is one of the most biodiverse<br />
regions in Australia <strong>and</strong> home to native species<br />
found nowhere else in the world. It incorporates<br />
the Noosa Biosphere Reserve in the north,<br />
the iconic National Heritage listed Glasshouse<br />
Mountains in the south <strong>and</strong> several national parks<br />
in between.<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change is a significant long-term<br />
threat to biodiversity on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
Research to date indicates that the hotter, drier<br />
conditions expected for this area are likely to<br />
change life-cycle patterns, magnify declines to<br />
biodiversity through loss of plant <strong>and</strong> animal<br />
species, accelerate habitat loss but increase<br />
weed <strong>and</strong> pest infestations. These impacts will be<br />
exacerbated by the saltwater intrusion associated<br />
with sea level rise <strong>and</strong> increased risk of bushfire.<br />
Native vegetation is already under pressure from<br />
development.<br />
Protecting habitat, rehabilitating areas, enhancing<br />
wildlife corridors <strong>and</strong> reducing pest species are<br />
some ways to help wildlife adapt to changing<br />
conditions <strong>and</strong> also provide the potential to<br />
sequester carbon. Actions to build resilience of the<br />
biodiversity on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> are a major<br />
focus of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Biodiversity <strong>Strategy</strong><br />
<strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>.<br />
3.1.2 Waterways<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region includes thous<strong>and</strong>s<br />
of kilometres of waterways with five major river<br />
systems:<br />
Noosa River with its unique estuarine lakes<br />
<strong>and</strong> headwaters in the Cooloolah National Park<br />
Maroochy River with its numerous major<br />
tributaries <strong>and</strong> extensive river estuary<br />
Mooloolah River with its intact headwaters,<br />
safe harbour, fishing fleet <strong>and</strong> canal<br />
developments<br />
Pumicestone Passage at the southern<br />
boundary, a Ramsar wetl<strong>and</strong> of international<br />
importance <strong>and</strong> haven for migratory shorebirds<br />
<strong>and</strong> dugongs<br />
Headwaters of the Mary River <strong>and</strong> home to the<br />
endangered Mary River Cod, Mary River Turtle<br />
<strong>and</strong> Australian Lungfish which are endemic to<br />
this catchment.<br />
With increased storm <strong>and</strong> flood events, higher<br />
sea levels <strong>and</strong> storm surges predicted, low<br />
lying freshwater systems may be vulnerable<br />
to saltwater intrusion <strong>and</strong> inundation. During<br />
wet periods, freshwater reaches are likely to<br />
be exposed to increased bank erosion <strong>and</strong><br />
increased runoff of pollutants. Research to<br />
date indicates that the hotter, drier conditions<br />
expected for this area are likely to reduce<br />
environmental flows, reduce water quality <strong>and</strong><br />
affect aquatic life <strong>and</strong> river recreational activities.<br />
Rehabilitating the river banks not only protects<br />
the water courses from bank erosion but acts<br />
as a filter to clean water systems <strong>and</strong> acts as a<br />
carbon sink to sequester carbon dioxide from<br />
the atmosphere. These water systems <strong>and</strong> their<br />
catchments also contribute to the water supply<br />
networks that service the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
greater SEQ region. They will become even more<br />
important if the effects of prolonged drought are<br />
experienced due to climate change.<br />
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3.1.3 <strong>Coast</strong><br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> has more than 100<br />
kilometres of coastline, with clean s<strong>and</strong>y beaches<br />
interspersed by rocky outcrops or headl<strong>and</strong>s.<br />
The coastline is subject to a range of natural<br />
processes associated with events such as<br />
storms, cyclones, east coast lows, spring tides<br />
<strong>and</strong> storm surges with s<strong>and</strong>y beaches <strong>and</strong> dunes<br />
vulnerable to shifts in sediment <strong>and</strong> erosion <strong>and</strong><br />
low lying areas vulnerable to flooding.<strong>Coast</strong>al<br />
areas are also affected by flooding from extreme<br />
rainfall events.<br />
In the future, risks from these events are<br />
anticipated to increase. A rise in sea level,<br />
increased storm activity <strong>and</strong> changed rainfall <strong>and</strong><br />
temperature patterns associated with climate<br />
change are likely to exacerbate flooding, coastal<br />
inundation <strong>and</strong> shoreline erosion. Acidification of<br />
the oceans as a result of rising carbon dioxide<br />
levels is also likely to threaten marine biodiversity,<br />
corals <strong>and</strong> fish stocks <strong>and</strong> undermine the values<br />
of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> coastal environments.<br />
Further work needs to be undertaken to<br />
determine the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>’s coastal<br />
vulnerabilities. The development of a coastal<br />
management plan <strong>and</strong> shoreline erosion<br />
management plans will help to determine the<br />
priority actions required for high risk coastal<br />
areas, such as hard infrastructure solutions,<br />
beach nourishment, whether the area is naturally<br />
inundated etc. It is intended that risks to both<br />
coast <strong>and</strong> waterways will be addressed through<br />
a <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Waterways <strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />
Foreshores Management <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />
3.1.4 Cultural values<br />
Indigenous Australians have a long <strong>and</strong> ongoing<br />
association with the natural environment. It<br />
is entwined with cultural, social <strong>and</strong> spiritual<br />
traditions. There are many sites <strong>and</strong> places of<br />
cultural significance across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
which may require protecting with changes in<br />
climatic conditions.<br />
Mudjimba Isl<strong>and</strong> (Creation Story):<br />
Ninderry stole a beautiful woman from Coolum.<br />
When Coolum rescued his bride to be, Ninderry<br />
threw a boomerang <strong>and</strong> succeeded in knocking<br />
off Coolum’s head, which rolled into the sea <strong>and</strong><br />
is represented today by Mudjimba Isl<strong>and</strong>.<br />
(Source: <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Libraries).<br />
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3.2 Population growth <strong>and</strong><br />
development<br />
The past two decades have seen substantial<br />
population increases on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
At the 2006 census, the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> had a<br />
population of approximately 295,000 residents.<br />
With further urban expansion of coastal<br />
settlements, storms <strong>and</strong> floods have the potential<br />
to affect more people, industries <strong>and</strong> coastal<br />
infrastructure. Predicted increases in severe<br />
storms combined with higher sea levels is likely to<br />
exacerbate this risk.<br />
The impacts of climate change <strong>and</strong> declining oil<br />
supplies need to be factored in strategic l<strong>and</strong> use<br />
<strong>and</strong> transport planning decisions <strong>and</strong> disaster<br />
management plans. Appropriate transport routes,<br />
services <strong>and</strong> infrastructure should be available in<br />
the event of an emergency to protect existing <strong>and</strong><br />
planned settlements.<br />
Vulnerability assessments <strong>and</strong> hazard mapping<br />
will help to identify areas on the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong> at risk from natural hazards <strong>and</strong> inform<br />
the planning scheme <strong>and</strong> strategic l<strong>and</strong> use,<br />
infrastructure <strong>and</strong> transport planning.<br />
<strong>Oil</strong> vulnerability studies will help identify<br />
communities that are most vulnerable to rising oil<br />
<strong>and</strong> fuel prices which include communities with<br />
a higher dependency on cars <strong>and</strong> less financial<br />
capacity to pay high fuel prices.<br />
3.2.1 Dem<strong>and</strong> for services<br />
Past population growth has resulted in increased<br />
pressure to provide services <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />
including houses, schools, roads, public transport,<br />
hospitals, libraries, jobs <strong>and</strong> leisure facilities.<br />
An increase in water <strong>and</strong> energy dem<strong>and</strong> is<br />
anticipated to put more pressure on local supplies<br />
<strong>and</strong> generate increased emissions.<br />
Scientists indicate that lower annual rainfall<br />
volumes predicted as a result of climate change is<br />
anticipated to increase the risk of water shortage<br />
particularly during drought conditions. The<br />
impacts of water shortage will be a consideration<br />
for the State Government <strong>and</strong> water entities.<br />
Integrated water management concepts such as<br />
rainwater harvesting <strong>and</strong> the reuse of grey water,<br />
in buildings <strong>and</strong> across communities, can help to<br />
reduce water consumption <strong>and</strong> water dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />
Dem<strong>and</strong> for power on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is<br />
rising at well above the national trend. Electricity<br />
dem<strong>and</strong> has increased by up to 70 per cent<br />
in the past decade. Local electricity supplier,<br />
Energex, is predicting a 40 per cent increase in<br />
the region’s power usage over the next six years<br />
based largely on the Department of Infrastructure<br />
<strong>and</strong> Planning population growth projections for<br />
the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong> the increasing popularity<br />
of high-energy consumer goods, such as air<br />
conditioners <strong>and</strong> larger televisions.<br />
The increased number of days over 35 o C,<br />
predicted as a result of climate change, is<br />
anticipated to affect peak energy dem<strong>and</strong><br />
through an increased dem<strong>and</strong> for cooling,<br />
<strong>and</strong> may result in more frequent blackouts<br />
(Maunsell 2008). Partnerships between Council,<br />
energy companies <strong>and</strong> the community aimed at<br />
influencing behavioural change to reduce energy<br />
dem<strong>and</strong> through initiatives such as Earth Hour<br />
are intended to reduce this risk. Exploring the<br />
feasibility of generating localised, renewable<br />
energy may identify an alternative to costly,<br />
high-impact power generation <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />
provision on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
As peak oil impacts <strong>and</strong> cost of transport fuels<br />
increase, the dem<strong>and</strong> for housing in centres with<br />
access to services, facilities <strong>and</strong> employment<br />
is likely to grow. Access to alternative methods<br />
of transport to private vehicle travel will also be<br />
needed, as will the need to plan for renewable<br />
energy recharge infrastructure as dem<strong>and</strong> for<br />
private vehicle use continues.<br />
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3.2.2 Implications for Council assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />
The impacts of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil have potential to affect<br />
Council assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure.This can occur directly through<br />
physical exposure to climate change elements causing damage to<br />
infrastructure, or indirectly through costs associated with increased<br />
maintenance, oil <strong>and</strong> energy price rises, or increased insurance<br />
costs.<br />
Reduced levels of service delivery are potential outcomes of more<br />
volatile climate conditions. Alternative robust materials, construction<br />
type <strong>and</strong> location must be factored into the whole-of-life costs for<br />
long term infrastructure projects. In some instances, relocation of<br />
existing infrastructure may be an appropriate risk management<br />
strategy.<br />
Many risks to Council assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure have been identified<br />
through a <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Infrastructure Adaptation Project. Extreme<br />
<strong>and</strong> high risks are identified in Figure 4. These actions will require<br />
prioritisation by relevant areas of Council, particularly at the time of<br />
major upgrading <strong>and</strong> subject to funding requirements.<br />
3.3 Health implications<br />
<strong>Change</strong>s in the size of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> population have been<br />
accompanied by shifts in age distribution, with increasingly large<br />
populations of children under five <strong>and</strong> adults over 65 living in the<br />
region (Department of Infrastructure <strong>and</strong> Planning 2008).<br />
Older <strong>and</strong> younger populations are vulnerable when disasters occur.<br />
An increase in severe storms, heat waves, bushfires <strong>and</strong> droughts<br />
<strong>and</strong> longer lived cyclones present increased health risks (e.g. heat<br />
stroke, mosquito borne disease, respiratory illnesses, injury) for<br />
these vulnerable groups. Increased temperatures could have indirect<br />
health risks for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> such as a southern spread<br />
of iruk<strong>and</strong>ji stingers <strong>and</strong> a potential increase in food poisoning<br />
outbreaks. Specific risk minimisation <strong>and</strong> risk management<br />
strategies can reduce health implications associated with climate<br />
change, such as providing community safety programs to ensure<br />
the wellbeing of residents <strong>and</strong> visitors, <strong>and</strong> considering health risks<br />
resulting from mosquito borne disease when planning settlements.<br />
There may also be an increased dem<strong>and</strong> for access to local medical<br />
facilities.<br />
Figure 4<br />
Extreme <strong>and</strong> high risks to<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council<br />
assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure.<br />
Extreme Risks<br />
Increased erosion of<br />
beaches with detrimental<br />
impacts on tourism <strong>and</strong><br />
economy.<br />
High Risks<br />
Flooding <strong>and</strong> erosion of<br />
unsealed roads.<br />
Loss of l<strong>and</strong>fill capacity<br />
after cyclones.<br />
Extreme weather impacts<br />
on parks <strong>and</strong> open spaces.<br />
Increased intensity of heat<br />
from heat sinks.<br />
Increased energy costs for<br />
cooling.<br />
Increased bushfire risk to<br />
buildings.<br />
Increased erosion of<br />
building footings.<br />
Increased water ingress<br />
into buildings.<br />
Reduced effectiveness of<br />
sea walls <strong>and</strong> groynes.<br />
Decreased structural<br />
stability of bridges.<br />
<strong>Change</strong>s in water quality<br />
performance of major lakes<br />
<strong>and</strong> wetl<strong>and</strong>s.<br />
Increased erosion of<br />
natural waterways.<br />
Increased tail waters<br />
causing upstream flooding.<br />
Salt water intrusion into<br />
drainage systems not<br />
designed for salt water.<br />
Inadequate storm water<br />
drainage capacity.<br />
Strong winds increase tree<br />
falls across roads causing<br />
harm to people.<br />
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3.4 Impacts on the economy <strong>and</strong><br />
marketability<br />
Tourism is one of the three major industry sectors<br />
on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>, attracting approximately<br />
three million visitors each year. The other major<br />
sectors are retail <strong>and</strong> construction, which along<br />
with manufacturing, food processing, agriculture,<br />
property <strong>and</strong> business, health <strong>and</strong> community<br />
<strong>and</strong> finance <strong>and</strong> insurance services are the core<br />
economic drivers for the region.<br />
There are also a growing number of<br />
environmental industries (businesses that<br />
manufacture products <strong>and</strong> services that mitigate<br />
the effect of the human footprint <strong>and</strong> assist in<br />
adapting to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil, such<br />
as water harvesting, environmentally sustainable<br />
building design <strong>and</strong> supplies <strong>and</strong> renewable<br />
technologies) across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
Tourism <strong>and</strong> related industries (e.g. retail <strong>and</strong><br />
hospitality) are particularly exposed to direct<br />
<strong>and</strong> indirect impacts of major natural disasters<br />
(Gurran, Hamin <strong>and</strong> Norman 2008). <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />
amenity <strong>and</strong> lifestyle attractions including<br />
beaches are key to the region’s popularity, but<br />
are immediately affected by climate change <strong>and</strong><br />
associated extreme weather events. The tourism<br />
industry is also vulnerable to rising fuel prices<br />
due to its reliance on road <strong>and</strong> air transport.<br />
Passenger rail to <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> beach<br />
destinations would provide for weekend tourism<br />
from Brisbane by public transport.<br />
Agriculture is another vital industry sector<br />
sensitive to seasonal weather variations<br />
associated with climate change. While climate<br />
change may offer new agricultural opportunities<br />
<strong>and</strong> increase some yields, increased<br />
temperatures <strong>and</strong> drought are predicted to put<br />
overwhelming heat stress on the industry, its<br />
equipment <strong>and</strong> stock (<strong>Climate</strong>Risk 2009).<br />
Agriculture is also dependent on oil as a fuel<br />
used for production <strong>and</strong> food distribution <strong>and</strong> as a<br />
component in fertilisers. A rise in oil prices is likely<br />
to have an impact on the price of food that is<br />
produced outside the region <strong>and</strong> distributed over<br />
long distances <strong>and</strong> has the potential to favour<br />
smaller, local producers who are not impacted<br />
significantly by increased fuel prices. A renewed<br />
focus on local production for local consumption<br />
<strong>and</strong> protection of productive agricultural l<strong>and</strong> for<br />
this purpose through planning measures can help<br />
build resilience to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />
implications. This may also assist the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong> to become a food provider for Brisbane in<br />
the future.<br />
The regional locality of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
makes the transport industry an important<br />
economic activity. The road transport sector is<br />
almost completely dependent on oil <strong>and</strong> it is<br />
highly vulnerable to the potential impacts of oil<br />
price rises with flow-on implications for other<br />
sectors of the economy including food production<br />
<strong>and</strong> distribution, <strong>and</strong> tourism.<br />
Most industry sectors on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> are<br />
highly dependent on oil as a fuel source (e.g.<br />
tourism, construction, manufacturing, agriculture/<br />
forestry/fishing). Several risk assessments have<br />
been undertaken to identify the socio-economic<br />
impacts of declining oil supplies on the region.<br />
Details are provided in Section 5.2 of the <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />
Background Study.<br />
Any moves to create a more diverse economy<br />
utilising low carbon, low oil, energy efficiency <strong>and</strong><br />
renewable energy will help build the community’s<br />
long-term resilience.<br />
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3.5 Lifestyle<br />
Easy access to low cost energy <strong>and</strong> reticulated<br />
water, the availability of ‘throw away’ or energy<br />
intensive products, a widespread habit of<br />
over-consumption, an increase in waste <strong>and</strong><br />
unsustainable transport behaviour are increasing<br />
greenhouse gas emissions exponentially. There<br />
is also a perception by some that climate change<br />
will be solved by technology, which has led to a<br />
resistance to change behaviour.<br />
Australia’s per capita<br />
greenhouse gas emissions<br />
are the highest of any<br />
developed country.<br />
(Garnaut 2008).<br />
Queensl<strong>and</strong>’s emissions are reported to be<br />
the highest in Australia with each household<br />
generating approximately 14 tonnes of<br />
greenhouse gas emissions according to<br />
the State Government strategy Towards<br />
Q2: Tomorrows Queensl<strong>and</strong>. Most of the<br />
household emissions occur through car<br />
<strong>and</strong> power use with dem<strong>and</strong> for energy<br />
continually increasing.<br />
3.5.1 Community greenhouse gas<br />
emissions<br />
Greenhouse gas emissions are expected to<br />
increase on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> due to the<br />
growing population, lifestyle choices <strong>and</strong> pressure<br />
from peak oil, with the potential for increased<br />
burning of coal <strong>and</strong> other fossil fuels as oil<br />
substitutes.<br />
To ensure future financial security <strong>and</strong> wellbeing,<br />
measures need to focus on rapidly decreasing<br />
greenhouse gas emissions as part of an effort to<br />
combat climate change.<br />
The housing footprint on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> with<br />
the current trend for detached housing containing<br />
large floor plans <strong>and</strong> with little consideration<br />
given to design, materials, orientation <strong>and</strong> energy<br />
consumption is a significant issue <strong>and</strong> will be<br />
addressed in the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Affordable<br />
Living <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />
Planning policy can require energy efficiencies<br />
in the built environment, encourage settlement<br />
patterns that reduce vehicle travel, promote<br />
walking, cycling <strong>and</strong> public transport use <strong>and</strong><br />
support alternative energy sources.<br />
Communities can decrease emissions by<br />
changing behaviour, reducing energy use,<br />
considering energy efficiency when purchasing<br />
<strong>and</strong> making decisions (e.g. building <strong>and</strong> designing<br />
a new home, shopping, reducing car use) <strong>and</strong> by<br />
generating renewable energy.<br />
To ensure a coordinated <strong>and</strong> strategic<br />
approach to reducing greenhouse gas<br />
emissions, it is proposed that Council work<br />
with community to develop a <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong> community emission reduction<br />
plan with a target <strong>and</strong> trajectory.<br />
In 2007 there were a total of 8 million visitors<br />
to the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region generating<br />
approximately 2.33 million tonnes of greenhouse<br />
gas emissions 3 . Significant emission reductions<br />
could be made through the introduction of<br />
water, waste <strong>and</strong> energy efficiencies within the<br />
hospitality <strong>and</strong> tourism industries <strong>and</strong> businesses<br />
across the region. Visitors could purchase carbon<br />
offsets when booking flights to sequester the<br />
carbon associated with the flight. They could also<br />
be encouraged to utilise public transport services<br />
through better promotion <strong>and</strong> delivery of services<br />
to tourist ‘hot spots’ when visiting the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong> in making green accommodation<br />
choices which are designed for climate, efficient<br />
water use etc.<br />
3 Figures based on the carbon footprint calculations provided by Australian Tourism <strong>and</strong> expressed in units of carbon<br />
dioxide equivalent (CO 2<br />
e).<br />
34 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
3.5.2 Council greenhouse gas<br />
emissions<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council is the fourth largest<br />
Council in Australia. An inventory of Council<br />
greenhouse gas emissions was undertaken<br />
across all sectors of Council in 2007. The results<br />
demonstrate that waste in l<strong>and</strong>fills accounts for a<br />
significant proportion of Council’s emissions (see<br />
Figure 5).<br />
It is anticipated that the waste sector will be<br />
included in any proposed national carbon trading<br />
scheme <strong>and</strong> could incur permit liabilities for the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council. It is, therefore, necessary<br />
to focus on reducing emissions from l<strong>and</strong>fill waste<br />
in a combined effort to tackle climate change<br />
<strong>and</strong> reduce direct financial liabilities associated<br />
with carbon pricing. Council currently has a<br />
strong emphasis on resource recovery <strong>and</strong> reuse<br />
across the region which needs to be reinforced<br />
<strong>and</strong> supported by mechanisms to encourage<br />
recycling, composting <strong>and</strong> minimising green waste.<br />
Investigations are underway into generating energy<br />
from waste emissions in accordance with the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Waste Minimisation <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />
Emission reductions can be made within the fleet<br />
sector by reducing the use of fossil fuels <strong>and</strong><br />
switching to alternative lower emission fuels such<br />
as biofuels.<br />
Other emission reductions can be gained through a<br />
mix of energy efficiencies, renewable technologies,<br />
improved building st<strong>and</strong>ards, staff <strong>and</strong> community<br />
behavioural change, green power purchase <strong>and</strong><br />
through establishing or purchasing carbon offsets.<br />
Significant effort <strong>and</strong> resources will be required<br />
to ensure Council’s transition to a carbon neutral<br />
organisation.<br />
Figure 5<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council's<br />
Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions<br />
by Business Sector – 2007.<br />
Public lighting 4% 11,493 tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Sports <strong>and</strong> recreation 4% 10,083 tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Water 3% 9,266 tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Wastewater<br />
14%<br />
38,071<br />
tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Waste<br />
66%<br />
176,866<br />
tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Fleet 3% 8,967 tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Facilities 3% 7,754 tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Commercial building 2% 6,397 tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Industrial 1% 2,669 tonnes CO 2 e<br />
Lake Doonella.<br />
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3.6 Responding to the challenges<br />
"The earlier effective action is taken the<br />
less costly it will be.”<br />
(Stern 2006.)<br />
Responding early to the challenges <strong>and</strong> taking a<br />
proactive approach to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak<br />
oil can mitigate future issues <strong>and</strong> costs <strong>and</strong> can<br />
also provide economic, social <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />
opportunities for the region.<br />
Adopting a long term planning approach using<br />
a 100-year planning horizon (consistent with<br />
the planning horizon used by the IPCC), with<br />
a staged approach for short term projects, can<br />
ensure that future climate conditions are factored<br />
into Council’s strategic, infrastructure <strong>and</strong><br />
operational projects to help reduce risks <strong>and</strong> longterm<br />
costs.<br />
Many of the actions that respond to the key<br />
challenges are outlined in the Action Plan. Those<br />
actions which fall outside the responsibility of<br />
the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council are likely to require<br />
policy responses from other levels of government,<br />
as well as non-government organisations.<br />
In some cases further analysis <strong>and</strong> risk or<br />
vulnerability assessment <strong>and</strong> hazard mapping<br />
will be required to better underst<strong>and</strong> the nature of<br />
these challenges.<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council has developed a range<br />
of programs to help reduce community <strong>and</strong><br />
business greenhouse gas emissions including:<br />
The Living Smart program which supports<br />
householders to reduce their ecological<br />
footprint in key areas of energy, waste, water<br />
<strong>and</strong> transport through behavioural change.<br />
The Travel Smart program aims to reduce<br />
the reliance on cars by using other forms of<br />
environmentally friendly transport such as<br />
bikes, walking <strong>and</strong> public transport.<br />
Supporting EcoBiz – a government program<br />
which helps businesses to identify <strong>and</strong> initiate<br />
efficiencies in waste, water <strong>and</strong> energy for<br />
financial <strong>and</strong> environmental benefits.<br />
3.6.1 Council actions to date<br />
The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council, through its<br />
participation in the International Council for<br />
Local Environmental Initiatives (ICLEI) Local<br />
Governments for Sustainability Cities for <strong>Climate</strong><br />
Protection (CCP) program since the late 1990’s<br />
has already undertaken a number of projects<br />
to reduce emissions <strong>and</strong> lower oil consumption<br />
which include:<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
Installing solar technologies (sliver cell, solar<br />
bollards, solar streetlights)<br />
Implementing gas flaring at Buderim l<strong>and</strong>fill<br />
Energy efficient lighting retrofits<br />
Installing heat pumps in swimming pools<br />
Developing renewable energy projects<br />
Reducing the fleet vehicle size<br />
Introducing video conferencing<br />
Undertaking a corporate Carbon Accounting<br />
Project to identify future emission abatement<br />
opportunities.<br />
Council is also working with government<br />
agencies, the community <strong>and</strong> local businesses<br />
to prepare for the impacts of climate change <strong>and</strong><br />
peak oil.<br />
A taskforce has been established by Council to<br />
address energy transition, to review opportunities<br />
<strong>and</strong> guide the development of an Energy<br />
Transition Plan.<br />
Council <strong>and</strong> community programs are already<br />
underway to protect the natural habitat <strong>and</strong><br />
waterways <strong>and</strong> provide sustainability outcomes.<br />
L<strong>and</strong> use, infrastructure <strong>and</strong> transport planning<br />
are already considering elements of climate<br />
change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />
More resources <strong>and</strong> effort are required to build on<br />
these initiatives <strong>and</strong> ensure the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
makes a successful transition to a low carbon,<br />
low oil economy that capitalises on emerging<br />
opportunities for Council <strong>and</strong> the community.<br />
36 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
3.6.2 New opportunities<br />
New opportunities will arise in the changing environment <strong>and</strong> are incorporated into the <strong>Strategy</strong> for<br />
further consideration <strong>and</strong> implementation.<br />
Business opportunities for Council. Partnerships with business, government <strong>and</strong> research<br />
<strong>and</strong> development organisations can be established to capitalise on new opportunities in areas<br />
such as renewable energy generation, carbon sequestration <strong>and</strong> supply chain improvements.<br />
Creating future economic opportunities for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
is an attractive location for renewable energy investment <strong>and</strong> offers a potential hub for the<br />
development of innovative, low energy technologies. Diversifying the economy by supporting<br />
current <strong>and</strong> attracting new high value/low impact businesses will encourage a reduction in<br />
emissions <strong>and</strong> help to build local resilience. The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region also offers a competitive<br />
advantage in food production.<br />
Capitalising on the benefit of climate change. Climatic changes have potential to offer some<br />
advantages including longer growing seasons (providing adequate water supplies are available).<br />
Warmer winter temperatures also have the potential to attract more tourists during winter<br />
months.<br />
Capitalising on the climate change expertise in the region. The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> has locally<br />
<strong>and</strong> internationally recognised climate change authorities. Specialist skills <strong>and</strong> knowledge can be<br />
garnered by facilitating a <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> ‘Think Tank’ to provide guidance <strong>and</strong><br />
direction to the Council <strong>and</strong> the local community.<br />
Value-adding. Preparing for climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil impacts may provide opportunities<br />
for value-adding to existing capital projects. For example, implementing integrated water<br />
management within new developments.<br />
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“(Areas) responding early to climate change are most likely<br />
to better withst<strong>and</strong> their impacts <strong>and</strong> maintain a platform for<br />
health <strong>and</strong> prosperity.” (IPCC 2007.)<br />
38 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
SECTION 4<br />
Strategic<br />
framework<br />
39
4 Strategic framework<br />
A strategic framework has been developed to address the challenges <strong>and</strong> opportunities associated<br />
with climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong> provide a proactive approach to reducing<br />
greenhouse gas emissions, cutting oil dependency <strong>and</strong> building community resilience <strong>and</strong> business<br />
capacity.<br />
4.1 Goal<br />
'To build a low carbon, low oil, resilient future for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.'<br />
4.2 Key policy approaches<br />
The strategic framework is based on four key<br />
policy approaches:<br />
Leadership<br />
Provide leadership <strong>and</strong> build capacity of<br />
local government, industry, business <strong>and</strong><br />
the community to manage climate change<br />
<strong>and</strong> peak oil risks, while capitalising on new<br />
opportunities.<br />
Mitigation<br />
Identify <strong>and</strong> facilitate ways to minimise<br />
Council, community, business <strong>and</strong> industry<br />
greenhouse gas emissions across the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> to address the cause of<br />
climate change.<br />
Adaptation<br />
Assess the risks associated with the effects<br />
of climate change <strong>and</strong> implement actions to<br />
help the region prepare for <strong>and</strong> adapt to the<br />
impacts of climate change.<br />
Energy Transition<br />
Address the issue of declining oil supplies<br />
<strong>and</strong> transition to alternative energy sources<br />
to reduce reliance on oil <strong>and</strong> coal-based fuels<br />
across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
40 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
4.3 Objectives<br />
To guide the development <strong>and</strong> implementation of the <strong>Strategy</strong>, a set of objectives have been developed<br />
under each of the key policy approaches. The eight objectives form the basis for establishing necessary<br />
targets, program development <strong>and</strong> action planning.<br />
Figure 1<br />
Policy themes<br />
<strong>and</strong> objectives<br />
LEADERSHIP<br />
1 Council to provide leadership <strong>and</strong><br />
demonstrate best practice<br />
2 Build capacity for Council <strong>and</strong> community<br />
through partnerships <strong>and</strong> advocacy<br />
MITIGATION<br />
3 Become a carbon<br />
neutral organisation<br />
4 Significantly reduce<br />
community emissions<br />
through engagement,<br />
partnership <strong>and</strong><br />
planning<br />
ADAPTATION<br />
5 Identify <strong>and</strong> plan for<br />
climate change risks<br />
6 Adapt to the impacts<br />
of climate change<br />
ENERGY TRANSITION<br />
7 Reduce oil dependency<br />
through innovative<br />
measures<br />
8 Maximise <strong>and</strong> attract<br />
investment in low emission<br />
<strong>and</strong> renewable technologies<br />
<strong>and</strong> economies.<br />
As the model shows, there are likely to be overlaps <strong>and</strong> synergies between policy approaches. The<br />
policy approaches have been developed to align with Federal <strong>and</strong> State Government policy directions<br />
that deal with emissions mitigation, climate change adaptation or peak oil but rarely all three together.<br />
The Action Plan builds upon the initiatives, partnerships <strong>and</strong> planning already being undertaken by<br />
Council <strong>and</strong> provides a strategic roadmap to address these eight objectives.<br />
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4.4 <strong>Strategy</strong> implementation <strong>and</strong> review<br />
A key to the achievement of any goal is<br />
measurement <strong>and</strong> accountability. Council will<br />
regularly report on progress towards the goal.<br />
The reports will also be a key tool for identifying<br />
<strong>and</strong> prioritising budget recommendations.<br />
4.4.1 Reporting<br />
Progress on the actions <strong>and</strong> indicators will be<br />
reported to key decision makers every three<br />
years. There will also be quarterly reporting<br />
obligations on the delivery of the <strong>Strategy</strong> through<br />
Council’s Operational Plan <strong>and</strong> annual reporting<br />
of key performance indicators that relate to the<br />
corporate targets.<br />
Corporate Key Performance Indicators<br />
Percentage change in corporate<br />
greenhouse gas emissions<br />
►►<br />
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Percentage change in l<strong>and</strong>fill greenhouse<br />
gas emissions<br />
Percentage change in corporate<br />
greenhouse gas emissions generated<br />
from non-renewable electricity<br />
consumption<br />
Percentage change in corporate<br />
renewable electricity consumption.<br />
<strong>Change</strong> in corporate use of crude oil-based<br />
fuels.<br />
Sustainability indicators included in the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong> Community Plan will identify how the<br />
region is progressing towards achieving the goal<br />
‘to build a low carbon, low oil, resilient future for<br />
the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>’.<br />
4.4.2 Review<br />
There is likely to be a need to update the<br />
information or actions identified within the<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong>/or its supporting background studies<br />
over time. The basis for these changes could<br />
stem from a number of sources, for example:<br />
►►<br />
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the implementation of appropriate targets <strong>and</strong><br />
milestones <strong>and</strong> the level of progress towards<br />
these targets <strong>and</strong> milestones<br />
changes to legislation or supporting<br />
frameworks <strong>and</strong> policies<br />
revisions to the data, scientific evidence or<br />
projections on which the <strong>Strategy</strong> is founded<br />
the potential to utilise future carbon reduction<br />
opportunities.<br />
The <strong>Strategy</strong> will be reviewed every three<br />
years to respond to emerging issues. A more<br />
formal review <strong>and</strong> update of the <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />
its supporting strategies will be undertaken after<br />
five years to reflect developments in science,<br />
technology <strong>and</strong> government policy direction.<br />
4.4.3 Funding<br />
There are costs associated with tackling climate<br />
change <strong>and</strong> energy transition.<br />
Many of the actions identified in the Action Plan<br />
will be undertaken using existing resources <strong>and</strong><br />
budget allocations. In other cases, actions will<br />
be subject to Council's annual budget process or<br />
may be funded through the Environment Levy.<br />
The cost of action indicates up-front costs only<br />
<strong>and</strong> does not factor in return on investment. In<br />
several cases the implementation of efficiencies<br />
will produce significant long term financial<br />
savings.<br />
To achieve its goals, Council will endeavour to<br />
secure financial support from the public <strong>and</strong><br />
private sector <strong>and</strong> explore the feasibility of<br />
collaborative projects with government, industry,<br />
community <strong>and</strong> research partners.<br />
42 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
A <strong>Strategy</strong> for the Future<br />
To meet the needs of future generations <strong>and</strong><br />
respond to the threats that climate change <strong>and</strong><br />
peak oil present, it is necessary to take action now.<br />
The following Action Plan identifies strategies <strong>and</strong><br />
actions needed to ensure that the goal<br />
‘to build a low carbon, low oil, resilient<br />
future for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>'<br />
is achieved.<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 43
“<strong>Climate</strong> change poses clear, catastrophic threats.<br />
We may not agree on the extent, but we certainly<br />
can't afford the risk of inaction.”<br />
(Rupert Murdoch)<br />
Source: http://www.greenlivingpedia.org/<strong>Climate</strong>_change_quotes.<br />
44 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
SECTION 5<br />
Action plan<br />
45
5 Action Plan<br />
The actions are intended to assist the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council in tackling the impacts of climate change<br />
<strong>and</strong> peak oil across the Council <strong>and</strong> <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> community through the eight strategic objectives.<br />
This Action Plan sets out the timeframe for the actions:<br />
2011 = Immediate actions to be undertaken within the first year (by June 2011)<br />
2013 = Short term actions to be undertaken within 3 years (by June 2013)<br />
2016 = Medium term actions to be undertaken within 6 years (by June 2016)<br />
<strong>2020</strong> = Long-term actions to be undertaken after 6 years <strong>and</strong> before June <strong>2020</strong><br />
* = Continual action (in addition to the identified completion date).<br />
The cost structure is as follows:<br />
Low = Low cost is $0 - $100,000<br />
Medium = Medium cost is $100,000 - $1,000,000<br />
High = High cost is greater than $1,000,000.<br />
46 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
Objective 1: Council to provide leadership <strong>and</strong> demonstrate best practice<br />
Leadership<br />
Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />
Adopt a 100 year planning horizon<br />
Purpose: Consistent with the planning horizon used by the IPCC, ensure that planning <strong>and</strong> decision making considers the<br />
potential implications of climate change over the life of long-term assets.<br />
1.1 Endorse 100 year planning horizon 2011 Low Planning<br />
1.2 Incorporate projections up to 2100 into planning <strong>and</strong> decision making 2011* Low<br />
Scheme<br />
Mainstream climate change <strong>and</strong> energy transition into decision making<br />
Purpose: Due to the social, environmental <strong>and</strong> economic implications of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil, it is essential that<br />
these issues are recognised <strong>and</strong> integrated into policies, processes <strong>and</strong> decision making so that climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />
implications become core business for all council staff.<br />
1.3 Progressively integrate climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil implications into Council’s<br />
strategies, policies <strong>and</strong> plans<br />
1.4 Support sustainable procurement policies <strong>and</strong> identify preferred partners <strong>and</strong> providers 2016* Low<br />
1.5 Develop budgetary framework for climate change <strong>and</strong> energy transition actions <strong>and</strong> 2011* Low<br />
incorporate into budget planning<br />
1.6 Integrate climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil considerations into Council reports 2011* Low<br />
Adopt robust reporting, monitoring <strong>and</strong> measuring<br />
2013* Low All Council<br />
plans <strong>and</strong><br />
strategies<br />
Purpose: Development of appropriate monitoring <strong>and</strong> reporting mechanisms will help to demonstrate Council’s commitment to<br />
addressing climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />
1.7 Develop monitoring <strong>and</strong> reporting mechanisms to address Council’s compliance with a<br />
carbon trading scheme (or similar) <strong>and</strong> corporate <strong>and</strong> community emissions reporting<br />
1.8 Provide regular progress reports on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> actions to<br />
decision makers<br />
2013 Medium Financial<br />
Management<br />
2013* Low<br />
Plan<br />
Demonstrate ‘duty of care’<br />
Purpose: By ensuring that the community is adequately informed of local climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil implications, Council can<br />
facilitate a more effective community response to these issues.<br />
1.9 Inform community of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil impacts <strong>and</strong> risks 2011* Low Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
1.10 Provide appropriate advice to Council customers regarding climate change risks <strong>and</strong> 2013* Low<br />
Asset<br />
vulnerability posed to property or assets (new <strong>and</strong> existing) particularly in relation to<br />
Management<br />
property searches, flood certificates <strong>and</strong> similar requests for information<br />
Plans<br />
1.11 Hold discussions with insurance companies in order to determine changes in<br />
2013* Low<br />
insurance coverage due to climate change <strong>and</strong>, where relevant, generate appropriate<br />
awareness <strong>and</strong> responses<br />
1.12 Respond to shifts in insurance coverage for Council owned assets 2016* Low<br />
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Objective 2: Build capacity for Council <strong>and</strong> community through partnership <strong>and</strong> advocacy<br />
Leadership<br />
Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />
Build knowledge capital in the Council<br />
Purpose: These actions support the mainstreaming of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil actions into decision making <strong>and</strong> provide<br />
Council staff with the knowledge, skills <strong>and</strong> capacity to develop <strong>and</strong> implement responses to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />
2.1 Research world’s best practice strategies to address climate change <strong>and</strong> energy<br />
transition<br />
2.2 Develop staff learning opportunities through education <strong>and</strong> training so staff are well<br />
positioned to identify <strong>and</strong> respond to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil risks<br />
2.3 Establish network of individuals within Council to focus on climate change implications<br />
across disciplines (e.g. Carbon Working Group)<br />
Engage <strong>and</strong> empower the community<br />
2011* Low Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
2013 Low<br />
(Carbon<br />
Neutral Plan)<br />
2011 Low<br />
Purpose: Business <strong>and</strong> community resilience to the impacts of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil can be achieved by:<br />
identifying the current level of resilience in the community, raising community awareness <strong>and</strong> implementing locally relevant<br />
responses through community engagement.<br />
2.4 Develop <strong>and</strong> implement information, training <strong>and</strong> communication programs to<br />
build the capacity of community, industry <strong>and</strong> business. In conjunction with key<br />
stakeholders:<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
Partner with the education sector including universities <strong>and</strong> Tafes <strong>and</strong> through<br />
programs such as Queensl<strong>and</strong> Environmental Sustainable Schools Initiative<br />
(QESSI)<br />
Provide a local government context on climate change information for public<br />
education <strong>and</strong> awareness via a range of media (website, publications, events etc.)<br />
2013* Medium Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
2013* Low<br />
2013* Low<br />
►►<br />
Inform, consult <strong>and</strong> involve community groups <strong>and</strong> individuals 2013* Low<br />
Lead through partnership <strong>and</strong> advocacy<br />
Purpose: Council recognises that there are community stakeholders who are already responding or would like to respond to<br />
the issues of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil in order to progress locally relevant actions. Council seeks to engage with these<br />
stakeholders.<br />
Alignment of local outcomes with state <strong>and</strong> national initiatives <strong>and</strong> adopting an advocacy role to develop <strong>and</strong> implement<br />
appropriate responses to climate change will be required.<br />
2.5 Identify key stakeholders for climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil 2011 Low Corporate<br />
2.6<br />
Plan<br />
Co-ordinate partnership arrangements with key stakeholders for collaborative work 2011* Low<br />
Planning<br />
between Council <strong>and</strong> community<br />
Scheme<br />
2.7 Continue information dissemination <strong>and</strong> peer support with SEQ local governments 2011* Low<br />
<strong>and</strong> other lead agencies<br />
2.8 Engage with neighbouring Councils on regional projects where appropriate 2011* Low<br />
2.9 Identify <strong>and</strong> pursue external funding opportunities for research <strong>and</strong> collaborative<br />
projects<br />
2.10 Partner with State <strong>and</strong> Federal government campaigns where applicable <strong>and</strong>/or<br />
provide complementary programs (Refer to action 4.4)<br />
2.11 Link with SEQ research initiatives to identify <strong>and</strong> develop adaptive capacity of the<br />
community<br />
2.12 Facilitate advisory groups such as <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> ‘Think Tank’ to provide guidance<br />
<strong>and</strong> direction to the council <strong>and</strong> the community<br />
2.13 Work with the development industry to ensure that the industry responds to climate<br />
change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />
2011* Low<br />
2013* Medium<br />
2011* Low<br />
2011* Low<br />
2011* Low<br />
48 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
Objective 3: Council to become a carbon neutral organisation<br />
Mitigation<br />
Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />
Become a carbon neutral organisation by <strong>2020</strong><br />
Purpose: Carbon neutrality refers to achieving zero net emissions through reductions in energy consumption, increasing<br />
energy efficiency, increasing the use of renewable energy <strong>and</strong>, for those emissions remaining, purchasing green power <strong>and</strong><br />
developing carbon offsets i.e. planting trees or buying carbon credits.<br />
Note: Based on cost benefit analysis, the carbon neutral plan will provide the blue print for Council to achieve carbon neutrality by <strong>2020</strong>.<br />
3.1 Complete corporate carbon accounting project <strong>and</strong> develop a carbon neutral plan 2011 Low Corporate<br />
3.2 Endorse target of carbon neutral by <strong>2020</strong> 2011 Low<br />
Plan (Carbon<br />
Neutral Plan)<br />
Reduce emissions from l<strong>and</strong>fill<br />
Purpose: Over 60 per cent of Council’s greenhouse gas emissions are generated at the l<strong>and</strong>fill sites it operates. Council can<br />
reduce the volume of emissions by reducing the quantity of organic waste buried at l<strong>and</strong>fills <strong>and</strong> implementing technologies to<br />
collect <strong>and</strong> manage the l<strong>and</strong>fill gases i.e. to generate electricity or reduce their potency through flaring.<br />
3.3 Determine viability of options <strong>and</strong> costs for various emission reduction technologies<br />
taking account of any carbon trading scheme liabilities<br />
3.4 Install methane gas collection systems <strong>and</strong> implement organic waste minimisation<br />
programs in accordance with the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Waste Minimisation <strong>Strategy</strong><br />
3.5 Investigate waste to energy options (Refer to action 8.2) 2013 Low<br />
Reduce emissions from Council <strong>and</strong> contractor fleet vehicles<br />
2011<br />
2016<br />
Low<br />
High<br />
Waste<br />
Minimisation<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
(Carbon<br />
Neutral Plan)<br />
Purpose: Reducing Council’s fleet <strong>and</strong> changing vehicle selection <strong>and</strong> usage can reduce greenhouse gas emissions <strong>and</strong> limit<br />
the implications of peak oil to Council.<br />
3.6 Continue to employ fleet reduction, energy efficiencies with fleet purchases, use low<br />
emission fuels <strong>and</strong> introduce staff behavioural programs to reduce fuel consumption<br />
Reduce non-renewable electricity consumption<br />
2013* Low (Carbon<br />
Neutral Plan)<br />
Purpose: Carbon emissions that are generated through Council’s electricity usage will need to be minimsed through a range of<br />
initiatives.<br />
3.7 Continue to implement energy efficiency measures with Council’s equipment <strong>and</strong><br />
across facilities <strong>and</strong> buildings<br />
3.8 Continue to participate in the regional energy efficient street lighting trial 2011 Low<br />
2013* High Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
(Energy<br />
Transition<br />
Plan)<br />
(Carbon<br />
Neutral Plan)<br />
2013* Medium<br />
3.9 Implement renewable energy programs across Council 2013* Medium<br />
3.10 Promote staff behaviour change (through programs such as ‘power down’ campaigns) 2013* Low<br />
3.11 Incorporate emission reduction goals, including energy <strong>and</strong> water use, into Council<br />
capital <strong>and</strong> operational work activities<br />
In line with carbon hierarchy, offset emissions through carbon bio-sequestration<br />
Purpose: Council will not be able to eliminate 100 per cent of its greenhouse gas emissions. The balance of the emissions may<br />
be offset through carbon offsets such as carbon sinks i.e. planting trees to remove carbon from the atmosphere.<br />
3.12 Actively examine carbon sequestration <strong>and</strong> other carbon trading opportunities for<br />
Council <strong>and</strong> the community (Refer to action 8.10)<br />
3.13 Partner with SEQ local governments for local <strong>and</strong> regional carbon sinks 2011* Low<br />
2013* Low Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
(Carbon<br />
Neutral Plan)<br />
Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 49
Objective 4:<br />
Significantly reduce community emissions through engagement, partnership <strong>and</strong> planning<br />
Mitigation<br />
Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />
Underst<strong>and</strong> community greenhouse gas emissions<br />
Purpose: In order to achieve significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions from the community <strong>and</strong> business sector as<br />
the region develops over time, it will be necessary to develop targeted programs in conjunction with the community.<br />
4.1 Undertake community greenhouse gas emissions inventory 2013* Low Corporate<br />
4.2 Develop a forecast for future emissions 2013 Low<br />
Plan<br />
4.3 Develop community emissions reduction plan with target <strong>and</strong> trajectory in partnership<br />
with community<br />
2013 Low<br />
Promote a ‘low carbon’ community <strong>and</strong> business environment<br />
Purpose: Council intends to provide information regarding mitigation opportunities which will promote the change to a ‘low<br />
carbon’ community <strong>and</strong> business environment.<br />
4.4 Partner with State <strong>and</strong> Federal government campaigns where applicable <strong>and</strong>/or<br />
provide complementary programs (Refer to action 2.10)<br />
4.5 Continue to promote <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong> upon existing Council run community <strong>and</strong> business<br />
engagement programs such as Living Smart, EcoBiz, TravelSmart programs (This<br />
action links to action 8.9)<br />
2011*<br />
2011*<br />
Medium<br />
Medium<br />
Community<br />
Engagement<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
4.6 Support community sustainability programs such as Green <strong>Sunshine</strong> 2011* Medium<br />
4.7 Investigate new initiatives for the reduction of community emissions (in line with 2013* Medium<br />
community emission reduction plan)<br />
4.8 Develop <strong>and</strong> implement a communication campaign <strong>and</strong> inform community, industry 2013* Medium<br />
<strong>and</strong> business regarding energy <strong>and</strong> emission reduction opportunities, carbon footprint,<br />
carbon trading <strong>and</strong> current initiatives (This action links to action 8.9)<br />
4.9 In partnership with energy companies, implement energy dem<strong>and</strong> reduction strategies 2013 Low<br />
Reduce emissions through transport <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> use planning<br />
Purpose: Greenhouse gas emissions for the region are likely to rise as a result of a growing population <strong>and</strong> associated growth<br />
in transport usage <strong>and</strong> urban development. Improving Council’s approach to l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> transport planning can help to<br />
minimise future greenhouse gas emissions from these activities.<br />
4.10 Develop a Sustainable Transport <strong>Strategy</strong> that pursues improved public transport <strong>and</strong><br />
increased active transport (walking <strong>and</strong> cycling) with increased emphasis on a shift to<br />
more sustainable or no emissions travel (This action links to actions 7.15-7.19)<br />
4.11 Support <strong>and</strong> strengthen settlement patterns that continue to incorporate compact<br />
urban forms with emphasis on mixed use <strong>and</strong> transit orientated development principles<br />
4.12 Investigate options to incorporate emission reduction into planning processes 2011* Low<br />
4.13 Mitigate the impacts of climate change through street tree plantings in open spaces 2013* Low<br />
Reduce emissions through building/housing choice<br />
2011 Low Sustainable<br />
Transport<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
2013 Low<br />
Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
Structure<br />
Plans<br />
Open Space<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Purpose: Continued building construction has the potential to increase greenhouse gas emissions in the region. A range of<br />
actions to improve the design <strong>and</strong> orientation of these structures <strong>and</strong> improve the uptake of renewable energy generation <strong>and</strong><br />
other energy efficiency measures can reduce these emissions. Note: State <strong>and</strong> Federal Building Code provisions deal with a number<br />
of these elements which precludes Council from developing further st<strong>and</strong>ards.<br />
4.14 Collaborate with Federal <strong>and</strong> State government, private sector <strong>and</strong> community to<br />
increase housing choice <strong>and</strong> encourage a more affordable housing form that achieves<br />
greater resource efficiency<br />
4.15 Develop <strong>and</strong> implement ecologically sustainable building principles to promote<br />
buildings that are designed to reduce emissions<br />
4.16 Investigate opportunities to incorporate low emission building requirements in the new<br />
planning scheme<br />
4.17 Continue to advocate State <strong>and</strong> Federal government for carbon zero building<br />
st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />
2013 Low Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
Affordable<br />
2011 Low<br />
Living <strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Planning<br />
2011 Low<br />
Scheme<br />
2011* Low<br />
4.18 Promote renewable energy use/generation in developments (new <strong>and</strong> existing) 2013 Low<br />
50 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
Objective 5: Identify <strong>and</strong> plan for climate change risks<br />
Adaptation<br />
Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />
Identify regional risks <strong>and</strong> vulnerabilities from climate change<br />
Purpose: Gradual long-term changes in climate (i.e. temperatures <strong>and</strong> sea level) <strong>and</strong> changes to climatic extremes (i.e. storms<br />
<strong>and</strong> floods) can be expected on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. Evaluating the implications of these changes can identify environmental,<br />
social <strong>and</strong> economic vulnerabilities to the region <strong>and</strong> inform planning, policy <strong>and</strong> decision making.<br />
5.1 Undertake initial vulnerability <strong>and</strong> hazard mapping to identify major risk areas due to<br />
climate change on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
5.2 Incorporate climate change into all hydrological mapping <strong>and</strong> forecasting 2011 Low<br />
2011 Medium Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
5.3 Complete climate change risk assessments 2016 Medium<br />
Reduce climate change risk through effective l<strong>and</strong> use planning<br />
Purpose: It is intended that outputs from the vulnerability <strong>and</strong> hazard mapping will inform l<strong>and</strong> use planning of the potential<br />
implications of climate change. Where required, planning responses will be developed to avoid or minimize risks.<br />
Note: Council planning responses will be influenced by State Government policies.<br />
5.4 Adjust l<strong>and</strong> use planning approaches to: Planning<br />
►►<br />
Avoid new urban development in major climate change risk areas 2013 Low<br />
Scheme<br />
Open Space<br />
►►<br />
Develop <strong>and</strong> implement planning tools to identify the suitable types of development 2016 Medium <strong>Strategy</strong><br />
based on climate change risk areas<br />
►►<br />
Investigate measures to reduce risk to property <strong>and</strong> assets in major risk areas 2016 Low<br />
►►<br />
►►<br />
Develop planning approaches to manage potential conflicts in relation to competing<br />
l<strong>and</strong> use dem<strong>and</strong>s for energy production (e.g. biofuels), food production, open<br />
space, nature conservation, carbon sequestration <strong>and</strong> urban development<br />
Include measures to ensure public open spaces remain ‘fit for purpose’ under<br />
changed climatic conditions<br />
2013 Low<br />
2013 Low<br />
Incorporate climate change into disaster planning <strong>and</strong> health<br />
Purpose: The potential occurrence of more extreme climatic events over time (e.g. temperatures, storms <strong>and</strong> cyclones) will<br />
need to be recognised <strong>and</strong> proactively addressed through appropriate disaster <strong>and</strong> health planning.<br />
5.5 Long-term disaster response planning to consider climate change risks with particular<br />
attention to vulnerable communities including visitors<br />
5.6 Provide community safety programs that factor in climate change. 2016 Low<br />
5.7 Consider health risks resulting from mosquito borne disease when planning<br />
settlements<br />
5.8 Develop action plans to deal with emergent health risks associated with climate<br />
change i.e. iruk<strong>and</strong>gi stingers, food poisoning organisms<br />
Incorporate climate change into coastal management<br />
<strong>2020</strong><br />
2013<br />
Low<br />
Low<br />
Disaster<br />
Management<br />
Plan<br />
Health <strong>and</strong><br />
Wellbeing<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
2016 Low<br />
Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
Purpose: <strong>Climate</strong> change impacts on coastal processes <strong>and</strong> subsequent changes to coastal erosion <strong>and</strong> coastal inundation will<br />
need to be addressed as part of Council’s approach to coastal management.<br />
5.9 Develop a coastal management strategy with shoreline erosion management plans<br />
where appropriate<br />
5.10 Consider the impacts on public access <strong>and</strong> recreation nodes <strong>and</strong> prepare<br />
management plans <strong>and</strong> alternative solutions for the future<br />
2013<br />
2016<br />
Medium<br />
Low<br />
<strong>Coast</strong>al<br />
Management<br />
Plan<br />
Open Space<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 51
Objective 6: Adapt to the impacts of climate change<br />
Adaptation<br />
Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />
Strengthen resilience of the natural l<strong>and</strong>scape<br />
Purpose: As the climatic conditions start to change, vegetation species <strong>and</strong> ecosystems may decline or be lost. Action is<br />
required to reduce the vulnerability of flora <strong>and</strong> fauna <strong>and</strong> minimise the adverse effects that the loss of vegetation may have on<br />
the waterways.<br />
6.1 Using planning approaches, protect, enhance <strong>and</strong> connect strategic wildlife corridors<br />
<strong>and</strong> riparian corridors (to allow for species shift) <strong>and</strong> reduce pest species<br />
6.2 Protect biodiversity loss from development <strong>and</strong> ensure adequate compensation for<br />
loss that does occur<br />
6.3 Protect opportunities for carbon sinks (This action links to actions 3.12, 3.13 <strong>and</strong> 8.10) 2013* Low<br />
6.4 Protect green open spaces in <strong>and</strong> near communities to provide natural carbon sinks<br />
with consideration for food species (edible l<strong>and</strong>scapes)<br />
6.5 Adjust biodiversity plantings to include a mix of local native species tolerant to potential<br />
future climate characteristics where appropriate<br />
2011* High Biodiversity<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
2011* Low<br />
Waterways<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />
Foreshores<br />
Management<br />
2013*<br />
2013<br />
Low<br />
Low<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
Open Space<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
6.6 Strengthen partnerships to protect <strong>and</strong> enhance biodiversity <strong>and</strong> waterways 2011* Medium<br />
Reduce dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> adopt water saving measures<br />
Purpose: It is expected that droughts will become more frequent. Reducing water consumption <strong>and</strong> water dem<strong>and</strong> by<br />
implementing integrated water management systems will be crucial as water availability declines.<br />
6.7 Develop <strong>and</strong> implement Integrated Water Management Plans across Council buildings<br />
<strong>and</strong> facilities that consider climate change <strong>and</strong> incorporate water harvesting practices<br />
6.8 Engage with water entities to investigate opportunities for water conservation/<br />
efficiencies <strong>and</strong> emission reduction<br />
6.9 Encourage water harvesting, water reuse <strong>and</strong> other water reduction strategies in<br />
planning scheme provisions<br />
Reduce risk to council assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />
2016<br />
2013*<br />
2013<br />
High<br />
Low<br />
Low<br />
Flooding <strong>and</strong><br />
Stormwater<br />
Management<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
Purpose: A risk assessment has been undertaken which identifies some of the climate change risks to <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council<br />
infrastructure <strong>and</strong> assets. Actions to reduce the risks are required.<br />
6.10 Set priorities <strong>and</strong> implement actions identified in the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Infrastructure<br />
Adaptation project developed for <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council infrastructure <strong>and</strong> assets<br />
Promote opportunities<br />
2016 High Asset<br />
Management<br />
Plans<br />
Purpose: While there is much focus on the negative aspects of climate change, there are also opportunities to be identified,<br />
evaluated <strong>and</strong>, if feasible, developed <strong>and</strong> implemented.<br />
6.11 Promote the potential economic benefits that may be derived through adaptation to<br />
accommodate wintering tourists <strong>and</strong> better growing opportunities<br />
2013 Low Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
52 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
Objective 7: Reduce oil dependency through innovative measures<br />
Energy Transition<br />
Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />
Identify regional risks <strong>and</strong> vulnerabilities from peak oil<br />
Purpose: Due in part to its regional location, its economy <strong>and</strong> dispersed population, peak oil is likely to significantly affect the<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> with a need to identify the sectors that will be most seriously affected in this region.<br />
7.1 Complete further vulnerability assessments due to peak oil impacts on the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />
<strong>Coast</strong><br />
Plan for Energy Transition<br />
2011 Low (Energy<br />
Transition<br />
Plan)<br />
Purpose: Council intends to tap into existing community <strong>and</strong> other programs <strong>and</strong> develop further plans, as required, to prepare<br />
for the energy transition to a low carbon <strong>and</strong> low oil future.<br />
7.2 Develop an Energy Transition Plan for the region 2011 Low Corporate<br />
7.3 Support community programs such as Transition Towns 2011* Low<br />
Plan<br />
Reduce Council’s ‘oil footprint’<br />
Purpose: Council will need to reduce it’s exposure to future rising <strong>and</strong> volatile oil prices associated with peak oil.<br />
7.4 Collect baseline data on oil consumption across Council operations 2011 Low Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
7.5 Implement oil reduction strategies with a target of 5 per cent reduction per year 2013* Low<br />
(commencing <strong>2010</strong>/2011 after inventory) in the use of crude oil based fuels<br />
(Energy<br />
Transition<br />
7.6 Progress Information Technology initiatives including ‘Power down’ campaign, work 2011* Low Plan)<br />
from home capability <strong>and</strong> video/web conferencing<br />
Support re-localisation approach across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
Purpose: Local economies, local food production, local energy <strong>and</strong> water production on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> can provide<br />
resilience to peak oil <strong>and</strong> climate change.<br />
7.7 Support town revitalisation initiatives 2011* Low Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
7.8 Renewed emphasis on local area planning with particular regard to local centres 2011* Low<br />
(villages)<br />
Structure<br />
Plans<br />
7.9 Promote smaller <strong>and</strong> more decentralised sources of water <strong>and</strong> energy 2013* Low Economic<br />
7.10 Facilitate a buy local campaign 2013 Low Development<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Encourage local food production<br />
Purpose: Facilitating the re-emergence of a robust food production sector on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> can help to provide food<br />
security in light of peak oil <strong>and</strong> climate change.<br />
7.11 Protect agricultural l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> encourage local food production for local consumption to<br />
reduce food miles with particular emphasis on rural productive l<strong>and</strong> close to centres<br />
7.12 Council to support community <strong>and</strong> schools in developing community gardens 2013 Low<br />
7.13 Actively promote farmers’ markets 2013 Low<br />
7.14 Work in co-operation with industry to develop <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> regional food br<strong>and</strong> 2013* Low<br />
2013* Low Rural Futures<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
Economic<br />
Development<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Support alternative modes of transport<br />
Purpose: Transport accounts for approximately 27 per cent of the region’s greenhouse gas emissions. These emissions can<br />
be minimised by avoiding vehicle use; changing the types of fuel used; <strong>and</strong> switching to more sustainable transport options.<br />
7.15 Promote active travel modes including walking <strong>and</strong> cycling for short trips 2011* Low Sustainable<br />
7.16 Provide <strong>and</strong> advocate for intra-regional public transport travel 2011* Low<br />
Transport<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
7.17 Provide <strong>and</strong> advocate for inter-regional transport connectivity with Brisbane <strong>and</strong> other 2011* Low Planning<br />
regional centres<br />
Scheme<br />
7.18 Actively pursue opportunities that will financially support provision of public transport 2016 Medium<br />
7.19 Plan for renewable energy recharge requirements of electric powered vehicles (buses,<br />
bikes, scooters, cars)<br />
2016 Low<br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 53
Energy Transition<br />
Objective 8: Maximise <strong>and</strong> attract investment in low emission <strong>and</strong> renewable technologies <strong>and</strong><br />
economies<br />
Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />
Investigate alternative energy generation opportunities<br />
Purpose: Council intends to identify which alternative energy generation <strong>and</strong> conservation opportunities are practical <strong>and</strong> most<br />
realistic for Council to facilitate <strong>and</strong> promote.<br />
8.1 Undertake <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> energy production assessment to identify projects which<br />
provide long-term, viable <strong>and</strong> cost effective options for renewable energy<br />
8.2 Investigate waste to energy options (Refer to action 3.5) 2011 Low<br />
8.3 Investigate viability of <strong>and</strong> pursue alternative energy projects 2013 Low<br />
Promote Renewable Energy<br />
2011 Low Waste<br />
Minimisation<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
(Energy<br />
Transition<br />
Plan)<br />
Purpose: Ensuring that l<strong>and</strong> use decision making does not impede on renewable energy development on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />
8.4 Renewable energy generator development to be facilitated in rural areas 2013 Low Planning<br />
8.5 Identify sites suitable for renewable energy facilities 2013 Low<br />
Scheme<br />
Attract <strong>and</strong> grow low impact businesses on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
Purpose: Businesses make a significant contribution to greenhouse gas emissions on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />
emissions can be reduced by facilitating the emergence of a low carbon economy business sector <strong>and</strong> encouraging reductions<br />
in energy in existing businesses.<br />
8.6 In partnership with business <strong>and</strong> State Government, develop initiatives that support<br />
current emerging environmental industries <strong>and</strong> attract low carbon businesses <strong>and</strong><br />
providers of energy <strong>and</strong> water efficient solutions to the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>:<br />
►►<br />
Investigate the feasibility of a ‘Low Carbon Energy Technology Hub’ <strong>and</strong> associated<br />
businesses<br />
8.7 Promote new economic activity centres (commercial, retail, industry) to be within or 2016 Low<br />
close to town centres, with emphasis on co-location <strong>and</strong> co-generation<br />
8.8 Develop a business attraction strategy built around the sustainability of Council 2011* Low<br />
8.9 In partnership with business, assist businesses to reduce their costs associated with<br />
a carbon trading scheme <strong>and</strong> encourage reductions of energy <strong>and</strong> water use (This<br />
action links to actions 4.5 <strong>and</strong> 4.8)<br />
Investigate sustainable investment opportunities<br />
2013* Medium Economic<br />
Development<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
2016 Low<br />
Planning<br />
Scheme<br />
2011* Low<br />
Purpose: These actions will investigate lucrative carbon reduction strategies <strong>and</strong> potential business partnerships for Council.<br />
8.10 Actively examine carbon sequestration <strong>and</strong> other carbon trading opportunities for<br />
Council <strong>and</strong> the community (Refer to action 3.12)<br />
8.11 Develop partnerships with business <strong>and</strong> research <strong>and</strong> development in order to create<br />
business opportunities for Council<br />
Diversify local economies<br />
2013 Low Corporate<br />
Plan<br />
2013 Medium<br />
Economic<br />
Development<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Biodiversity<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
Purpose: Providing broadb<strong>and</strong> connection can facilitate opportunities for a wide range of home based businesses <strong>and</strong> the<br />
ability to work remotely rather than travel distances to work.<br />
8.12 Work in partnership with business, State <strong>and</strong> Federal Government to provide<br />
widespread broadb<strong>and</strong> connection to improve business opportunities<br />
2011* Low Economic<br />
Development<br />
<strong>Strategy</strong><br />
54 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
Glossary, abbreviations,<br />
references <strong>and</strong><br />
background studies<br />
55
Glossary<br />
Adaptation<br />
Adaptive Capacity<br />
Alternative Energy<br />
Biodiversity<br />
Carbon Dioxide<br />
Carbon Dioxide<br />
Equivalent<br />
Carbon Footprint<br />
Carbon Neutral<br />
Carbon Pollution<br />
Reduction Scheme<br />
Adjustments in human or natural systems, including changes in<br />
behaviour, institutional structure or policy, which are responsible to actual<br />
or expected climate changes <strong>and</strong> have long-term implications<br />
Describes the ability of built, natural, <strong>and</strong> human systems to<br />
accommodate changes in climate (including climate variability <strong>and</strong><br />
climate extremes) with minimal potential damage or cost.<br />
Energy derived from nontraditional sources (e.g., solar, hydroelectric,<br />
wind, compressed natural gas).<br />
Biodiversity commonly refers to a variety of species <strong>and</strong> ecosystems on<br />
earth <strong>and</strong> the ecological processes of which they are a part.<br />
This is a naturally occurring gas <strong>and</strong> is expressed as CO 2<br />
. It is also a byproduct<br />
of burning fossil fuels <strong>and</strong> biomass, as well as l<strong>and</strong> use changes<br />
<strong>and</strong> other industrial processes <strong>and</strong> is the principal human-induced<br />
greenhouse gas that affects the earth’s atmosphere.<br />
Greenhouse gases have differing radiative properties. Emissions are<br />
expressed in terms of their global warming potential or specifically<br />
as CO 2<br />
equivalents (CO 2<br />
e). For example, methane is 21 times more<br />
potent than CO 2<br />
as a greenhouse gas, <strong>and</strong> so one tonne of methane is<br />
expressed as 21 tonnes of CO 2<br />
e emitted.<br />
A carbon footprint is an inventory of all greenhouse gas emissions.<br />
A voluntary mechanism where an activity, event, household, business<br />
or organisation is responsible for achieving zero carbon emissions by<br />
balancing a measured amount of carbon equivalent (CO 2<br />
e) released<br />
with an equivalent amount sequestered or offset. Best practice for<br />
organisations <strong>and</strong> individuals seeking carbon neutral status entails<br />
reducing <strong>and</strong>/or avoiding carbon emissions first so that only unavoidable<br />
emissions are offset.<br />
The main way the Federal Government proposes to achieve Australia’s<br />
greenhouse gas emissions reduction target under the Kyoto Protocol is<br />
via a Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme. This scheme has two distinct<br />
elements: the cap on carbon emissions <strong>and</strong> the ability to trade carbon<br />
permits. In general the Federal Government will set a cap on the total<br />
amount of carbon pollution allowed in the economy with permits issued<br />
up to that annual cap. Industries that emit more than 25,000 tonnes of<br />
greenhouse gases on specified thresholds annually will be required to<br />
obtain a pollution permit for every tonne of greenhouse gas that they emit<br />
– providing a strong incentive for emitters to reduce pollution.<br />
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<strong>Climate</strong><br />
<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />
<strong>Climate</strong> Hazards<br />
Conventional <strong>Oil</strong><br />
‘Duty of care’<br />
Ecosystems<br />
Energy Transition<br />
Global Warming<br />
Global Circulation Model<br />
The average <strong>and</strong> variations of weather in a region over long periods<br />
of time. The classical period is 30 years, as defined by the World<br />
Meteorological Organization (WMO). These quantities are most often<br />
surface variables such as temperature, rainfall, <strong>and</strong> wind. <strong>Climate</strong> in a<br />
wider sense is the state, including a statistical description, of the climate<br />
system.<br />
This is a descriptive term which encompasses both natural <strong>and</strong> human<br />
induced changes to the climate.<br />
These are significant natural hazards influenced by weather <strong>and</strong> climate<br />
such as cyclones, storms <strong>and</strong> floods. Many natural hazards are climate<br />
hazards, with key exceptions being earthquakes <strong>and</strong> tsunamis.<br />
A term which refers to crude (or unrefined) oil that is extracted from<br />
underground or under the sea floor. Conventional oil currently makes up<br />
approximately 85 per cent of all liquid fuel production, the other 15 per<br />
cent being unconventional oil.<br />
‘Duty of care' is a st<strong>and</strong>ard of reasonable care provided while performing<br />
any acts that could foreseeably harm others.<br />
Natural units consisting of all plants, animals, humans <strong>and</strong> microorganisms<br />
(biotic) in an area functioning together with all of the non-living<br />
physical factors (abiotic) of the environment.<br />
Energy transition is the period of time when the mix of energy sources<br />
used to power a country’s economy changes. The next energy transition<br />
for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is preferably towards renewable energy that<br />
powers a localised <strong>and</strong> low carbon economy.<br />
This is the hypothesis that the earth's temperature is being increased,<br />
in part, because of greenhouse gas emissions associated with human<br />
activities, such as burning fossil fuels, biomass burning, cement<br />
manufacture, cow <strong>and</strong> sheep rearing, deforestation <strong>and</strong> other l<strong>and</strong>-use<br />
changes. Global warming <strong>and</strong> climate change are not interchangeable.<br />
Global warming refers to the increase of the Earth's average surface<br />
temperature, due to a build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere,<br />
while climate change is a broader term that refers to long-term changes<br />
in climate, including average temperature <strong>and</strong> precipitation.<br />
Global circulation models (GCMs) are complex computer programs that<br />
consider a range of factors to mathematically simulate global climate.<br />
They are based on mathematical equations derived from our knowledge<br />
of the physics that govern the earth –atmosphere system. Global<br />
circulation models may also be referred to as Global <strong>Climate</strong> models.<br />
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Greenhouse Gases<br />
Gross Regional Product/<br />
Gross State Product/<br />
Gross Domestic Product<br />
Impacts<br />
(of climate change)<br />
International Transition<br />
Towns Movement<br />
IPCC<br />
Kyoto Protocol<br />
Liquids<br />
Locational Vulnerability<br />
Low Carbon<br />
Low <strong>Oil</strong><br />
Methane (CH 4<br />
)<br />
Mitigation<br />
The term greenhouse gases refer to a number of gases that contribute<br />
to the greenhouse effect. While carbon dioxide is the most commonly<br />
known greenhouse gas, other greenhouse gases include methane (CH 4<br />
),<br />
Nitrous Oxide (N 2<br />
0), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), sulphur hexafluoride<br />
(SF 6<br />
) <strong>and</strong> hydrofluourocarbons (HFCs). <strong>Change</strong>s in the concentration<br />
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have been attributed to the<br />
key influence driving climate change via a process called the enhanced<br />
greenhouse effect.<br />
Terms which refer to the market value of all final goods <strong>and</strong> services<br />
produced within a Region, State or Nation in a given period of time.<br />
The effects of climate change on natural, productive <strong>and</strong> human<br />
systems.<br />
International grassroots initiative that encourages the formation of<br />
local transition towns that, through community engagement, can build<br />
community resilience in response to the challenges of peak oil <strong>and</strong><br />
climate change.<br />
The Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC) is a United<br />
Nations scientific body that provides authoritative scientific information<br />
from approximately 4,000 of the world’s leading climate scientists<br />
principally in the atmospheric sciences, but also comprising social,<br />
economic <strong>and</strong> other environmental components potentially impacted by<br />
climate change.<br />
The Kyoto Protocol is a set of rules under the United Nations Framework<br />
Convention on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>. The Convention was a major step<br />
forward in tackling the problem of global warming. Australia became a full<br />
member of the Kyoto Protocol in March 2008.<br />
Refers to ‘liquid fuels’, a commonly used term which refers to both<br />
‘conventional’ oil as well as ‘unconventional’ oil.<br />
An assessment that determines which residential locations will be the<br />
most vulnerable to rising fuel prices <strong>and</strong> increasing transportation costs.<br />
A low carbon economy or low fossil fuel economy is a concept that refers<br />
to an economy which has a minimal output of greenhouse gases.<br />
A low oil economy refers to an economy which has a minimal use of oil.<br />
This is one of the six greenhouse gases to be mitigated under the Kyoto<br />
Protocol. It has a relatively short atmospheric lifetime of 10 ± 2 years.<br />
Primary sources of CH 4<br />
are l<strong>and</strong>fills, coal mines, paddy fields, natural<br />
gas systems, <strong>and</strong> livestock (e.g. cows <strong>and</strong> sheep). It has a global<br />
warming potential of 21 (100 year time horizon).<br />
Activities that are undertaken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.<br />
58 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>
National Greenhouse <strong>and</strong><br />
Energy Reporting System<br />
Nitrous Oxide (N 2<br />
0)<br />
No Regrets<br />
OECD<br />
<strong>Oil</strong> Supply ‘Crunch’<br />
<strong>Oil</strong> Vulnerability<br />
(assessment or analysis)<br />
Offsets<br />
<strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />
Precautionary Principle<br />
Regional Energy<br />
Production Opportunities<br />
Renewable Energy<br />
Resilience<br />
A nationally consistent framework for greenhouse gases <strong>and</strong> energy<br />
reporting within the National Greenhouse <strong>and</strong> Energy Reporting Act<br />
2007. This provides the foundation for a potential Carbon Pollution<br />
Reduction Scheme.<br />
One of the six greenhouse gases to be curbed under the Kyoto Protocol,<br />
N 2<br />
0 is generated by burning fossil fuels <strong>and</strong> the manufacture of fertilizer.<br />
It has a global warming potential 310 times that of CO 2<br />
(100 year time<br />
horizon).<br />
A term used to describe actions that result in greenhouse gas limitations<br />
<strong>and</strong> abatement, <strong>and</strong> that also make good environmental <strong>and</strong> economic<br />
sense in their own right.<br />
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation <strong>and</strong> Development (OECD)<br />
is part of the system of Western international institutions developed<br />
after World War II <strong>and</strong> is the main forum for monitoring <strong>and</strong> evaluating<br />
economic trends <strong>and</strong> developments in its 30 member countries. Australia<br />
joined the OECD in 1971.<br />
Refers to the increasing upward pressure on global oil prices as a result<br />
of increasing dem<strong>and</strong> for oil globally not being matched by increasing oil<br />
supplies globally.<br />
Is the examination of the susceptibility of an economy, industry sector<br />
or household to harm from peak oil. Vulnerability is a function of an<br />
economy, industry sector or household’s sensitivity to rising oil prices <strong>and</strong><br />
its capacity to adapt.<br />
Reductions or removals of greenhouse gas emissions that are used to<br />
counterbalance emissions elsewhere in the economy.<br />
The term peak oil is when the rate of global oil production reaches a<br />
peak i.e. it is the point at which the extraction of conventional crude oil<br />
from all oil fields in the world is at its maximum rate <strong>and</strong> signals when the<br />
rate of oil being produced will begin to decline.<br />
A term used to describe an approach where the lack of full scientific<br />
certainty is not used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures<br />
where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage.<br />
An assessment of the potential for energy production options that would<br />
be economically viable on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. This would include the<br />
production of both alternative liquid fuels <strong>and</strong> electricity.<br />
Renewable energy is energy generated from natural resources such<br />
as sunlight, wind, rain, tides, geothermal heat, which are renewable<br />
(naturally replenished).<br />
This is the ability to absorb disturbances, to be changed <strong>and</strong> then<br />
to reorganise <strong>and</strong> still have the same identify (retain the same basic<br />
structure <strong>and</strong> ways of functioning). It includes the ability to learn from the<br />
disturbance.<br />
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Risk<br />
Scenario<br />
Sector<br />
Sensitivity<br />
SimCLIM<br />
SRES Scenarios<br />
Systems<br />
Weather<br />
Unconventional <strong>Oil</strong><br />
Vulnerability<br />
The probability that a situation will produce harm under specific<br />
conditions. Risk is generally defined as a combination of the likelihood of<br />
an occurrence <strong>and</strong> the consequence of that occurrence.<br />
A term used to describe a plausible description of how the future<br />
may develop, based on a coherent <strong>and</strong> internally consistent set of<br />
assumptions about key relationships <strong>and</strong> driving forces (e.g. rate of<br />
technology change)<br />
A general term used to describe any resource, ecological system,<br />
species, management area, activity, or other area of interest that may be<br />
affected by climate change.<br />
The degree to which a built, natural, or human system is directly or<br />
indirectly affected by changes in climate conditions (e.g. temperature <strong>and</strong><br />
rainfall) or specific climate change impacts (e.g. sea level rise, increased<br />
water temperature).<br />
A climate change model where outputs <strong>and</strong> projections are generated<br />
by adjusting local climate variables in accordance with the patterns<br />
associated with a selected global circulation model <strong>and</strong> climate change<br />
scenario. The Hadley GCM was used for the projections in this <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />
These are emission scenarios developed by Nakićenović <strong>and</strong> Swart<br />
(2000) <strong>and</strong> used, among others, as a basis for some of the climate<br />
projections shown in Chapter 10 of the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4)<br />
produced by the IPCC (IPCC 2000).<br />
This refer to the built, natural, <strong>and</strong> human networks that provide<br />
important services or activities within a community or region. Built<br />
systems can refer to networks of facilities, buildings, <strong>and</strong> transportation<br />
infrastructure such as roads <strong>and</strong> bridges. Natural systems can refer to<br />
ecological networks of fish, wildlife, <strong>and</strong> natural resources like water.<br />
Human systems can refer to networks of public health clinics, courts, <strong>and</strong><br />
government.<br />
The weather is a set of all extant phenomena in a given atmosphere<br />
at a given time. It also includes interactions with the hydrosphere. The<br />
term usually refers to the activity of these phenomena over short periods<br />
(hours or days), as opposed to the term climate, which refers to the<br />
average atmospheric conditions over longer periods of time.<br />
Refers to oil shales; oil s<strong>and</strong>s-based synthetic crudes <strong>and</strong> derivative<br />
products; coal-based liquid supplies; biomass-based liquid supplies; <strong>and</strong><br />
liquids arising from chemical processing of natural gas.<br />
This is the susceptibility of a system to harm from climate change or<br />
peak oil. Vulnerability is a function of a system’s sensitivity <strong>and</strong> the<br />
capacity of that system to adapt.<br />
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Abbreviations<br />
CCP<br />
CO 2<br />
CO 2<br />
e<br />
COAG<br />
CPRS<br />
CSIRO<br />
GCM<br />
GWP<br />
ICLEI<br />
IEA<br />
IPCC<br />
IUCN<br />
LGAQ<br />
OECD<br />
ppm<br />
SEQ<br />
Cities for <strong>Climate</strong> Protection program<br />
Carbon dioxide<br />
Emissions equivalent to carbon dioxide<br />
Council of Australian Governments<br />
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme<br />
Australian Commonwealth Scientific <strong>and</strong> Industrial Research Organisation<br />
Global Circulation Model<br />
Global Warming Potential<br />
International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives<br />
International Energy Agency<br />
Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />
International Union for Conservation of Nature<br />
Local Government Association of Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />
Organisation for Economic Co-operation <strong>and</strong> Development<br />
Parts per million<br />
South East Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 61
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<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 63
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