03.09.2014 Views

Sunshine Coast Climate Change and Peak Oil Strategy 2010-2020

Sunshine Coast Climate Change and Peak Oil Strategy 2010-2020

Sunshine Coast Climate Change and Peak Oil Strategy 2010-2020

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

Contents<br />

FOREWORD 3<br />

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5<br />

1 CONTEXT 11<br />

1.1 The effects of climate change 12<br />

1.2 The cause of climate change 13<br />

1.3 <strong>Peak</strong> oil <strong>and</strong> energy transition 14<br />

1.4 International <strong>and</strong> Australian Policy 15<br />

1.4.1 Federal Government initiatives 15<br />

1.4.2 Queensl<strong>and</strong> State Initiatives 15<br />

1.4.3 South East Queensl<strong>and</strong> Initiatives 16<br />

1.5 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Policy 17<br />

Context<br />

1.5.1 The role of <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council 17<br />

1.5.2 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Corporate 18<br />

Plan<br />

1.5.3 Policy context for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> 19<br />

<strong>Coast</strong> Council<br />

2 LOCAL PROJECTIONS 21<br />

2.1 Temperature 22<br />

2.2 Rainfall 23<br />

2.3 Sea level rise 23<br />

2.4 Wind 24<br />

2.5 Cyclones <strong>and</strong> severe storms 24<br />

2.6 Hail 25<br />

2.7 Droughts <strong>and</strong> bushfires 25<br />

3 CHALLENGES AND<br />

27<br />

OPPORTUNITIES<br />

3.1 Exposure of the natural<br />

29<br />

environment to climate change<br />

3.1.1 Biodiversity 29<br />

3.1.2 Waterways 29<br />

3.1.3 <strong>Coast</strong> 30<br />

3.1.4 Cultural values 30<br />

3.2 Population growth <strong>and</strong> development 31<br />

3.2.1 Dem<strong>and</strong> for services 31<br />

3.2.2 Implications for Council assets <strong>and</strong> 32<br />

infrastructure<br />

3.3 Health implications 32<br />

3.4 Impacts on the economy <strong>and</strong> 33<br />

marketability<br />

3.5 Lifestyle 34<br />

3.5.1 Community greenhouse gas 34<br />

emissions<br />

3.5.2 Council greenhouse gas emissions 35<br />

3.6 Responding to the challenges 36<br />

3.6.1 Council actions to date 36<br />

3.6.2 New opportunities 37<br />

4 STRATEGIC FRAMEWORK 39<br />

4.1 Goal 40<br />

4.2 Key policy approaches 40<br />

4.3 Objectives 41<br />

4.4 <strong>Strategy</strong> implementation <strong>and</strong> review 42<br />

4.4.1 Reporting 42<br />

4.4.2 Review 42<br />

4.4.3 Funding 42<br />

5 ACTION PLAN 45<br />

GLOSSARY 55<br />

ABBREVIATIONS 61<br />

REFERENCES 62<br />

BACKGROUND STUDIES (CD) 63<br />

For further information<br />

Visit www.sunshinecoast.qld.gov.au<br />

Contact Council's Customer Service Centre<br />

(07) 5475 7272.<br />

© <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Regional Council <strong>2010</strong>.<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

Council acknowledges the assistance of the<br />

University of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. Council also<br />

wishes to thank all interested stakeholders<br />

for their valuable contributions towards the<br />

development of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>.<br />

Disclaimer<br />

Information contained in this document is based<br />

on available information at the time of writing.<br />

All figures <strong>and</strong> diagrams are indicative only <strong>and</strong><br />

should be referred to as such. This is a strategic<br />

document which deals with technical matters in<br />

a summary way only. Whilst the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

Regional Council has exercised reasonable care<br />

in preparing this document it does not warrant<br />

or represent that it is accurate, reliable, current<br />

or complete. The content of this document is not<br />

intended to provide specific guidance for particular<br />

circumstances <strong>and</strong> it should not be relied on as<br />

the basis for any decision to take action or not<br />

take action on any matter which it covers. Users<br />

are advised to exercise their own independent<br />

skill or judgment or seek professional advice,<br />

including legal advice, before relying on the<br />

information contained in this document. Except<br />

for liability which cannot legally be excluded,<br />

Council excludes all liability, injury, loss or damage<br />

(including for negligence) incurred by the use of,<br />

or reliance on, or interpretation of this document.<br />

Liability which cannot legally be excluded is limited<br />

to the maximum extent possible.<br />

Vibrant, green,<br />

2 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Foreword<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is recognised as one of the most desirable places to<br />

live <strong>and</strong> work, thanks to its outst<strong>and</strong>ing beauty, mild, subtropical weather<br />

<strong>and</strong> enviable lifestyle. Today, its beaches <strong>and</strong> hinterl<strong>and</strong> are popular for<br />

recreation, living, holiday making <strong>and</strong> retiring.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> peak oil present major threats to the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>;<br />

its natural environment, communities <strong>and</strong> economic activity. The <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong> Council is committed to mitigating the effects of climate change <strong>and</strong><br />

peak oil <strong>and</strong>, as such, the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />

<strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> ensures that these issues are addressed as a high<br />

priority to help safeguard our future.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change is occurring, affecting our weather patterns. As the changes<br />

continue, the effects are expected to intensify bringing a reduction in annual<br />

rainfall, higher temperatures, rising sea levels, increased storm activity <strong>and</strong><br />

more frequent flooding <strong>and</strong> droughts.<br />

<strong>Peak</strong> oil occurs when extraction of oil around the world has reached its peak<br />

<strong>and</strong> the remaining supplies become increasingly harder <strong>and</strong> more expensive<br />

to recover. There is a growing consensus that peak oil will occur within the<br />

next 10 years. The social <strong>and</strong> economic wellbeing of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

may be adversely impacted if oil prices rise <strong>and</strong> become more volatile as a<br />

result.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> peak oil can be tackled in unison. It is imperative to<br />

act with great speed <strong>and</strong> decisiveness to tackle both the cause <strong>and</strong> effects<br />

of these changes. Cutting greenhouse gas emissions <strong>and</strong> transitioning to<br />

a low carbon economy can tackle the issue of climate change at its core.<br />

Transitioning to a low oil economy can build resilience to peak oil. Adapting to<br />

the prospect of climate change will prepare the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> for the future.<br />

It is also important to diversify the economy of the region <strong>and</strong> attract<br />

businesses <strong>and</strong> activities that can develop low emission <strong>and</strong> renewable<br />

energy capabilities <strong>and</strong> knowledge capital.<br />

Council can’t do this alone. The involvement <strong>and</strong> shared commitment of key<br />

stakeholders, including community <strong>and</strong> government agencies, will be integral<br />

to achieving these goals.<br />

This document provides a framework for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council to<br />

implement a suite of actions over the next 10 years to tackle these critical<br />

issues.<br />

Cr Bob Abbot<br />

Mayor<br />

Cr Keryn Jones<br />

Environment<br />

Portfolio<br />

diverse.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 3


'To build a low carbon, low oil, resilient future<br />

for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.'<br />

4 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Executive<br />

Summary<br />

5


Executive summary<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is one of the most rapidly<br />

growing regions in Australia, abundant in<br />

natural assets <strong>and</strong> boasting a lifestyle that<br />

attracts a growing number of visitors <strong>and</strong><br />

residents alike.<br />

However, as part of South East Queensl<strong>and</strong>, the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> has been identified as a climate<br />

change ‘hotspot’ by the Intergovernmental Panel<br />

on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC) - a United Nations<br />

scientific body that provides authoritative scientific<br />

information from 4,000 of the world’s leading<br />

climate change scientists. <strong>Peak</strong> oil is another<br />

real but lesser known threat with vulnerability<br />

from finite <strong>and</strong> declining oil supplies. Exposure to<br />

climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil threats is heightened<br />

by the region’s coastal location, population<br />

growth, development pressures, dispersed<br />

settlement pattern <strong>and</strong> reliance on climatesensitive<br />

economies.<br />

In response to these threats, <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

Council has prepared a <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong><br />

(the <strong>Strategy</strong>) <strong>and</strong> Action Plan to help provide<br />

environmental, social <strong>and</strong> economic resilience to<br />

these issues. It is backed by Council’s Corporate<br />

Plan 2009-2014 which acknowledges the need to<br />

tackle climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil <strong>and</strong> supports<br />

the Council’s vision for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

The <strong>Strategy</strong> identifies risks, challenges <strong>and</strong><br />

opportunities associated with climate change <strong>and</strong><br />

peak oil for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

Council has the potential to prepare <strong>and</strong> respond<br />

to the challenges <strong>and</strong> opportunities through<br />

its business functions <strong>and</strong> services <strong>and</strong> can<br />

complement the work that is already being<br />

undertaken across the region outside of Council.<br />

In accordance with the ‘precautionary principle’<br />

the <strong>Strategy</strong> takes a risk avoidance <strong>and</strong><br />

management approach to:<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

reduce greenhouse gas emissions<br />

cut oil dependency<br />

help the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> transition to<br />

alternative energy sources<br />

adapt to the prospect of climate change<br />

build business capacity for the Council <strong>and</strong> the<br />

region.<br />

A strategic framework has been developed to<br />

support the implementation of the <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Action Plan to achieve the overall goal:<br />

'To build a low carbon,<br />

low oil,resilient future<br />

for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.'<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> as<br />

Australia’s most sustainable region –<br />

vibrant, green, diverse.<br />

6 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


The framework comprises of four key policy approaches; through Leadership, Mitigation, Adaptation<br />

<strong>and</strong> Energy Transition. It provides a roadmap for the next decade through a set of eight objectives <strong>and</strong><br />

an Action Plan (see Figure 1 below).<br />

Figure 1<br />

Policy themes<br />

<strong>and</strong> objectives<br />

LEADERSHIP<br />

1 Council to provide leadership <strong>and</strong><br />

demonstrate best practice<br />

2 Build capacity for Council <strong>and</strong> community<br />

through partnerships <strong>and</strong> advocacy<br />

MITIGATION<br />

3 Become a carbon<br />

neutral organisation<br />

4 Significantly reduce<br />

community emissions<br />

through engagement,<br />

partnership <strong>and</strong><br />

planning<br />

ADAPTATION<br />

5 Identify <strong>and</strong> plan for<br />

climate change risks<br />

6 Adapt to the impacts<br />

of climate change<br />

ENERGY TRANSITION<br />

7 Reduce oil dependency<br />

through innovative<br />

measures<br />

8 Maximise <strong>and</strong> attract<br />

investment in low emission<br />

<strong>and</strong> renewable technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> economies.<br />

By responding early to the challenges <strong>and</strong><br />

taking a proactive approach to climate change<br />

<strong>and</strong> peak oil, there is the potential to:<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

Mitigate future climate change threats<br />

Minimise risks to the community associated<br />

with climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />

Minimise increased costs to the community<br />

associated with carbon pricing <strong>and</strong> oil price<br />

rises<br />

Enable the community to capitalise on<br />

climate change opportunities <strong>and</strong> generate<br />

economic benefits<br />

Identify <strong>and</strong> create sustainable business<br />

investments for Council <strong>and</strong> the community<br />

Reduce whole-of-life costs by considering<br />

climate change implications in new Council<br />

projects.<br />

The <strong>Strategy</strong> has two supporting documents, the<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Background Study <strong>and</strong> the <strong>Peak</strong><br />

<strong>Oil</strong> Background Study. These documents outline the<br />

research <strong>and</strong> risk analysis that has been undertaken<br />

to inform <strong>and</strong> justify the responses summarised in<br />

this <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong> Action Plan.<br />

The purpose of this <strong>Strategy</strong> is to:<br />

Inform Council planning <strong>and</strong> operational activities<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Planning Scheme<br />

Guide Council <strong>and</strong> community decision-making<br />

Engage community <strong>and</strong> educate stakeholders to<br />

respond to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />

Drive a range of actions to deliver upon the goal.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 7


Key <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Projections<br />

for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

To assist decision-making <strong>and</strong> support a longterm<br />

planning approach, local projections have<br />

been identified for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> to 2100.<br />

This follows the recommendation by the IPCC<br />

to use regionally specific estimates of climate<br />

change. These figures are based on the latest<br />

scientific evidence that the rate <strong>and</strong> magnitude of<br />

climate change is already being observed at the<br />

high end of the range estimated by IPCC (Steffen<br />

2009).<br />

The following changes are projected for the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>, relative to 1990:<br />

Temperature increase<br />

▲ Increase of up to 6.5 o C by 2100<br />

Number of days over 35 o C<br />

▲ By 2100, extra 30 days per annum<br />

<strong>Change</strong>s to rainfall<br />

▼ Reduction in average annual rainfall by<br />

2100<br />

▲ Rainfall events become more intense<br />

Sea level rise<br />

▲ Projected to rise by 1.1 metres by 2100<br />

Tropical cyclones <strong>and</strong> severe storms<br />

▼ Fewer but longer lived cyclones<br />

▲ Increase in number of severe storms.<br />

By 2070, 140 per cent increase predicted by<br />

CSIRO.<br />

Acting today to provide our<br />

lifestyle for the future.<br />

To put these figures into context, according to the<br />

Australian Government Department of <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Energy Efficiency, a temperature rise of<br />

over 5°C could result in a loss of 90-100 per cent of<br />

core habitat for most native species. An increase in<br />

mean sea level is expected to result in an increase<br />

in tidal extremes (i.e. higher spring tides <strong>and</strong> higher<br />

storm surges), increasing coastal erosion <strong>and</strong> threat<br />

to coastal environments.<br />

These projections will be reviewed over time to<br />

incorporate improvements in scientific modelling,<br />

<strong>and</strong> reflect changes to IPCC scenarios <strong>and</strong> any<br />

shifts in greenhouse gas mitigation approaches.<br />

8 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Key Actions<br />

The <strong>Strategy</strong> proposes high level actions that will permeate most Council strategies. The Action<br />

Plan builds on initiatives <strong>and</strong> planning already being undertaken by Council. It identifies actions<br />

that are critical to addressing key challenges for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong> explores opportunities<br />

for Council <strong>and</strong> the community. A summary of the key initiatives proposed in the Action Plan is<br />

provided below.<br />

Develop a corporate carbon neutral plan <strong>and</strong> an energy transition plan to align with the priorities<br />

identified in Council’s Corporate Plan <strong>and</strong> help achieve the following corporate targets.<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council to be carbon neutral by <strong>2020</strong> to correspond with mid-term target<br />

dates set by Federal <strong>and</strong> State Governments <strong>and</strong> Council’s desire to be a leader in this field<br />

To reduce Council’s oil consumption (through its use of crude oil-based fuels) by 5 per<br />

cent per year 1 , commencing in <strong>2010</strong>/2011 after a formal inventory has been undertaken.<br />

Partner with the wider community to develop a community emissions reduction plan <strong>and</strong> target to<br />

help reduce community emissions across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

Adopt a long-term approach for climate change by using a planning horizon of 100 years for<br />

Council’s long-term strategic, infrastructure <strong>and</strong> operational projects.<br />

Undertake further climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil vulnerability <strong>and</strong> risk assessments to identify regional<br />

risks <strong>and</strong> inform future l<strong>and</strong> use planning.<br />

Integrate low emission <strong>and</strong> low risk settlement patterns, l<strong>and</strong> use, urban forms, housing<br />

infrastructure <strong>and</strong> transport strategies into Council’s planning.<br />

Pursue strategies that create business opportunities for Council, grow low impact businesses <strong>and</strong><br />

secure investment in renewable <strong>and</strong> low emission technologies.<br />

Continue to support measures that build the resilience of the natural environment (e.g. enhancing<br />

strategic wildlife corridors to facilitate migration of species etc.) as outlined in the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

Biodiversity <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />

Through economic development initiatives <strong>and</strong> planning scheme <strong>and</strong> procurement provisions,<br />

introduce a renewed focus on localisation to support local businesses <strong>and</strong> encourage local economic<br />

growth.<br />

Explore <strong>and</strong> implement community engagement programs to encourage a low carbon community<br />

(e.g. Living Smart, ecoBiz, TravelSmart) <strong>and</strong> promote sustainability.<br />

Build partnerships to support initiatives that increase the adaptive capacity of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

region. A <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> ‘Think Tank’, would capitalise on the climate change<br />

expertise available in the region <strong>and</strong> provide guidance <strong>and</strong> direction to Council <strong>and</strong> the community.<br />

Develop education, training <strong>and</strong> communication programs essential to building awareness of climate<br />

change <strong>and</strong> peak oil risks <strong>and</strong> opportunities.<br />

Provide appropriate advice regarding climate change, particularly in relation to settlement patterns,<br />

development assessment <strong>and</strong> provision of infrastructure.<br />

Interim changes to the <strong>Strategy</strong> may be necessary to accommodate latest scientific research <strong>and</strong><br />

developments in climate change <strong>and</strong>/or peak oil.<br />

1<br />

The 5 per cent level aligns with the average rate of decline in global oil fields (according to the International Energy<br />

Agency 2008).<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 9


“Action today to protect tomorrow.”<br />

10 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


SECTION 1<br />

Context<br />

11


1 Context<br />

1.1 The effects of climate change<br />

“<strong>Climate</strong> change refers to a change in the<br />

state of the climate that can be identified…<br />

that persists for… decades or longer.”<br />

(IPCC 2007).<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> peak oil are global issues<br />

that pose a very real threat to the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong>. It is generally accepted that climate<br />

change is a result of the rise in average global<br />

temperatures due to increasing levels of<br />

greenhouse gases in the atmosphere known as<br />

the ‘enhanced greenhouse effect’.<br />

The resulting rise in temperatures <strong>and</strong> flowon<br />

effects are predicted to result in changed<br />

rainfall patterns, rising sea levels, increased<br />

frequency <strong>and</strong> duration of droughts <strong>and</strong> more<br />

severe <strong>and</strong> frequent weather events such as<br />

floods, l<strong>and</strong>slides, storm damage, heatwaves<br />

<strong>and</strong> bushfires. These changes have the potential<br />

to adversely affect biodiversity, human health,<br />

l<strong>and</strong>scape, economy, agriculture, infrastructure<br />

<strong>and</strong> water supply.<br />

Scientific research indicates that, even with a<br />

rapid reduction in global emissions, some degree<br />

of climate change is inevitable. To project climate<br />

change for the 21st century, global climate<br />

models have been designed to simulate the<br />

global climate under a range of greenhouse gas<br />

emission scenarios.<br />

The Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

(IPCC), which has based its assessments on<br />

global climate modelling, has identified South<br />

East Queensl<strong>and</strong> (SEQ) as a ‘hotspot’ that is<br />

increasingly vulnerable to climate change.<br />

The latest scientific evidence indicates that<br />

current global greenhouse gas emissions are<br />

exceeding the emissions trajectory that is used<br />

to forecast the IPCC’s worst case scenario for<br />

climate change. This implies that climate change<br />

risks to vulnerable areas are likely to exceed the<br />

worst expectations.<br />

The IPCC Fourth Assessment recommends the<br />

use of regionally specific estimates of climate<br />

change to inform climate change strategy<br />

<strong>and</strong> policy. The Commonwealth Scientific <strong>and</strong><br />

Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) has<br />

undertaken projections at national, state <strong>and</strong><br />

regional levels.<br />

To provide a local context, projections for the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> have been undertaken by<br />

Council through the University of the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong>. A combination of projections from the local<br />

approach, CSIRO <strong>and</strong> other levels of government<br />

have been used in this <strong>Strategy</strong>, depending on<br />

the availability of information. Table 1 below<br />

provides a very high level observation of likely<br />

climate change for Queensl<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Table 1<br />

Potential climate change for Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change element<br />

Specific areas/<br />

locations vulnerable?<br />

Nature of event’s impact<br />

Sudden, extreme<br />

Gradual, long term<br />

Cyclones <strong>and</strong> storm surge Yes <br />

Storms (<strong>and</strong> flooding) Yes <br />

Increasing temps No <br />

Heat waves No <br />

Decreasing rainfall No <br />

Sea level rise Yes <br />

Source: LGAQ Adapting to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> – A Queensl<strong>and</strong> Local Government Guide<br />

12 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


1.2 The cause of climate change<br />

“<strong>Climate</strong> change may be due to natural internal processes or external forcing, or to<br />

persistent anthropogenic changes in the composition of the atmosphere or in l<strong>and</strong> use.”<br />

(IPCC 2007).<br />

There is generally international agreement that human activity, which includes the use of fossil fuels,<br />

deforestation <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> degradation, is the main cause of the rise in greenhouse gas emissions. It is<br />

further acknowledged that urgent action is needed to cut emissions to a level that will avoid irreversible<br />

climate change.<br />

Since the pre-industrial age (commencing in 1750) carbon dioxide concentrations have increased by<br />

more than one third, from 280 parts per million to 380 parts per million. This rapid, large release of<br />

greenhouse gases has resulted in significant changes in the earth’s atmosphere <strong>and</strong>, consequently, in<br />

the global climate.<br />

Carbon dioxide (CO 2<br />

) concentration levels in the atmosphere now exceed any CO 2<br />

levels previously<br />

recorded, raising concerns about future levels of climate variability. Evidence to support this is provided<br />

in Section 2 of the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Background Study.<br />

“... ongoing coastal development <strong>and</strong> population<br />

growth in areas such as Cairns <strong>and</strong> South East<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong>… are projected to exacerbate risks<br />

from sea level rise <strong>and</strong> increases in the severity <strong>and</strong><br />

frequency of storms <strong>and</strong> coastal flooding by 2050.”<br />

(IPCC 2007).<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 13


1.3 <strong>Peak</strong> oil <strong>and</strong> energy transition<br />

“Current global trends in energy supply <strong>and</strong><br />

consumption are patently unsustainable.<br />

What is needed is nothing short of an<br />

energy revolution… Securing energy<br />

supplies <strong>and</strong> speeding up the transition<br />

to a low-carbon energy system both<br />

call for radical action by governments<br />

– at national <strong>and</strong> local levels.”<br />

(International Energy Agency 2008).<br />

The challenge is to reduce oil <strong>and</strong> energy<br />

consumption <strong>and</strong> transition to alternative energy<br />

sources, such as renewable energy, to ensure<br />

local resilience to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />

A transition by the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region to a<br />

less oil <strong>and</strong> carbon intensive economy will also<br />

protect against future oil price spikes <strong>and</strong> any<br />

energy price rise as a result of potential carbon<br />

pricing.<br />

<strong>Peak</strong> oil is another real but lesser known threat<br />

to the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region. <strong>Peak</strong> oil is when<br />

extraction of conventional crude oil from global oil<br />

fields reaches its maximum rate, signalling when<br />

low cost oil supplies will begin to decline. The<br />

majority of projections for the peak of global oil<br />

production range between 2008 <strong>and</strong> 2030.<br />

The Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government supports a more<br />

imminent view that peak oil will occur in<br />

the next 10 years in the report Queensl<strong>and</strong>’s<br />

Vulnerability to Rising <strong>Oil</strong> Prices 2007.<br />

Further details to support this are provided in<br />

Section 5 of the <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> Background Study.<br />

In some parts of the world, oil has already<br />

peaked, yet world dem<strong>and</strong> continues to grow<br />

especially in China <strong>and</strong> India. <strong>Oil</strong> production in<br />

Australia peaked in 2000 <strong>and</strong> Australia is now a<br />

net importer of oil from world oil markets.<br />

<strong>Oil</strong> is a vital fossil fuel in the current economy <strong>and</strong><br />

is used for a wide variety of purposes. From its<br />

most common use as fuel for motor vehicles <strong>and</strong><br />

the aviation industry, to heating homes, growing<br />

food, producing asphalt for road surfaces,<br />

providing chemical bases for medicines <strong>and</strong><br />

pharmaceutical products, <strong>and</strong> producing plastic<br />

products.<br />

A decline in global oil production threatens to<br />

increase fuel prices. It could also potentially<br />

increase the reliance on coal <strong>and</strong> other fossil<br />

fuels, as oil substitutes, which would increase<br />

carbon dioxide emissions <strong>and</strong>, in turn, accelerate<br />

climate change.<br />

Changing our transport options –<br />

to reduce regional vulnerability<br />

to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />

14 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


1.4 International <strong>and</strong> Australian Policy<br />

The Rio de Janeiro Conference on Sustainable Development in 1992 saw the issue of climate change<br />

discussed within an international forum <strong>and</strong> resulted in several key initiatives including the Kyoto<br />

Protocol, which was ratified by the Australian Government in 2007. The conference also provided the<br />

impetus for industrialised nations to set legally binding goals to minimise greenhouse gas emissions.<br />

Other international initiatives include:<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

Improving the scientific underst<strong>and</strong>ing of climate change, for example, through IPCC studies <strong>and</strong><br />

reports<br />

Development of international initiatives which, through a range of methods including funding <strong>and</strong><br />

binding agreements, promote responses to climate change.<br />

1.4.1 Federal Government initiatives<br />

The Federal Government has developed a range of climate change policy responses. It has committed<br />

to reducing Australia’s greenhouse gas emissions, shifting to a low carbon economy <strong>and</strong> adapting to<br />

climate change through the following targets:<br />

To cut Australia’s emissions by 60 per cent below 2000 levels by the year 2050.<br />

To generate 20 per cent of Australia’s electricity from renewable energy sources by <strong>2020</strong><br />

intended to encourage investment in renewable energy generation.<br />

The Federal Government currently proposes a national emissions trading scheme to incorporate a cap<br />

on carbon pollution <strong>and</strong> put a price on carbon emissions from companies to help achieve this target. A<br />

greenhouse gas emission reporting system under the National Greenhouse <strong>and</strong> Energy Reporting Act<br />

2007 is intended to support the trading scheme.<br />

The National <strong>Strategy</strong> on Energy Efficiency which was developed by the Council of Australian<br />

Governments (COAG) will help to accelerate energy efficiency efforts <strong>and</strong> help households <strong>and</strong><br />

businesses prepare for the introduction of any carbon pricing mechanism.<br />

1.4.2 Queensl<strong>and</strong> State Initiatives<br />

The Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government’s Towards Q2: Tomorrow’s Queensl<strong>and</strong> incorporates targets aimed at<br />

protecting local communities from climate change impacts. These targets include:<br />

Cutting Queensl<strong>and</strong>’s carbon footprint by one third by <strong>2020</strong>, with a focus on reducing electricity<br />

<strong>and</strong> motor vehicle use.<br />

Protecting 50 per cent more l<strong>and</strong> for nature conservation <strong>and</strong> public recreation, which will<br />

protect regional biodiversity <strong>and</strong> create more natural carbon sinks to offset emissions.<br />

A detailed climate change strategy has been developed by the Queensl<strong>and</strong> government – <strong>Climate</strong>Q:<br />

toward a greener Queensl<strong>and</strong>. This presents investments <strong>and</strong> policies that respond to climate change.<br />

Under the <strong>Coast</strong>al Act, the Queensl<strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al Plan addresses planning in <strong>and</strong> near coastal<br />

locations <strong>and</strong> encourages the development of coastal management strategies <strong>and</strong> shoreline erosion<br />

management plans.<br />

The Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government is also preparing an <strong>Oil</strong> Vulnerability Mitigation <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong> Action Plan<br />

to help mitigate the impacts of peak oil.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 15


1.4.3 South East Queensl<strong>and</strong> Initiatives<br />

At a regional level, the SEQ Regional Plan 2009-<br />

2031 outlines key regional policies to address<br />

population growth <strong>and</strong> management in SEQ.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change <strong>and</strong> oil supply vulnerability are<br />

recognised as key policy issues that need to be<br />

integrated into planning <strong>and</strong> social <strong>and</strong> economic<br />

development at the regional <strong>and</strong> local level.<br />

The SEQ Regional Plan recommends the<br />

adoption of urban development forms that:<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

Reduce the need to travel<br />

Increase provision of active <strong>and</strong> public<br />

transport<br />

Improve energy efficiency<br />

Increase local provision of renewable energy<br />

<strong>and</strong> low emission technology in urban <strong>and</strong> rural<br />

areas<br />

Are more resilient <strong>and</strong> less vulnerable to<br />

natural hazards.<br />

The SEQ Regional Plan is to be supported by the<br />

SEQ Regional Plan <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Program.<br />

A number of regionally driven research projects<br />

are also underway to help drive climate change<br />

strategy <strong>and</strong> actions into the future, including<br />

the SEQ <strong>Climate</strong> Adaptation Research Initiative<br />

(CARI) which will assess the region’s vulnerability<br />

<strong>and</strong> propose practical, cost-effective strategies for<br />

adapting to climate change.<br />

Other international, national, state <strong>and</strong> local<br />

initiatives aimed at reducing greenhouse gas<br />

emissions <strong>and</strong> adapting to the impacts of<br />

climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil are listed in the<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Background Study <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />

Background Study (Section 7 <strong>and</strong> 5 respectively).<br />

16 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


1.5 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Policy Context<br />

This <strong>Strategy</strong> is intended to align with Federal, State <strong>and</strong> Regional initiatives where relevant, while<br />

providing local policy provisions to assist with change <strong>and</strong> innovation at the local level.<br />

1.5.1 The role of <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council recognises it has<br />

significant influence over activities responsible<br />

for driving human induced local greenhouse gas<br />

emissions. These activities include: settlement<br />

patterns; transport behaviour; energy generation<br />

<strong>and</strong> usage; waste management; vegetation<br />

management; <strong>and</strong> proximity of population centres<br />

to economic activity. It also has influence over<br />

the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>’s capacity to adapt to climate<br />

change through its planning scheme mechanisms<br />

<strong>and</strong> local management plans within the areas of:<br />

long term infrastructure <strong>and</strong> services planning;<br />

total water cycle management; building style <strong>and</strong><br />

urban form; l<strong>and</strong> use, open space <strong>and</strong> transport<br />

planning; agriculture <strong>and</strong> natural l<strong>and</strong>scape<br />

conservation.<br />

While Council is required to comply with<br />

government policy, it has an advocacy role<br />

<strong>and</strong> can assist by supporting policy changes<br />

relating to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil across all<br />

government levels. By continuing to strengthen<br />

partnerships with government agencies <strong>and</strong><br />

research institutions it can share knowledge <strong>and</strong><br />

ensure effective implementation of the <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />

Council can also play a lead role in influencing<br />

community behavioural change, however,<br />

success depends on the support <strong>and</strong> involvement<br />

of community stakeholders. Council can inform<br />

<strong>and</strong> engage, develop <strong>and</strong> build on existing<br />

partnerships with the business <strong>and</strong> wider<br />

community. It can also tap into local knowledge<br />

<strong>and</strong> leverage off existing community initiatives<br />

geared to tackle the impacts of climate change<br />

<strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> was the location for the first<br />

community driven initiative in Australia under the<br />

International Transition Towns movement - delivering<br />

Australia’s first energy descent action plan.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 17


1.5.2 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Corporate Plan<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council has adopted a Corporate Plan 2009-2014 that identifies Council<br />

priorities for the next five years <strong>and</strong> beyond. It guides Council’s decision-making, budget,<br />

operations <strong>and</strong> resource allocations to achieve the vision to be Australia’s most sustainable<br />

region - vibrant, green, diverse.<br />

The Corporate Plan identifies the following eight themes:<br />

Robust economy<br />

Ecological sustainability<br />

Innovation <strong>and</strong> creativity<br />

Health <strong>and</strong> well being<br />

Social cohesion<br />

Accessibility <strong>and</strong> connectedness<br />

Managing growth<br />

Great governance.<br />

Figure 2<br />

Ecological Sustainability Policy<br />

Framework<br />

Innovation <strong>and</strong> creativity<br />

Managing growth<br />

Robust<br />

economy<br />

Health <strong>and</strong><br />

well being<br />

Social<br />

cohesion<br />

Accessibility<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

connectedness<br />

Ecological<br />

sustainability<br />

Great<br />

governance<br />

Productivity People People People Planet<br />

Biodiversity<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

Waterways<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />

Foreshores<br />

Management<br />

Flooding <strong>and</strong><br />

Stormwater<br />

Management<br />

Waste<br />

Water <strong>and</strong><br />

Sewerage<br />

Carbon<br />

Neutral<br />

Plan<br />

Energy<br />

Transition<br />

Plan<br />

Community<br />

Emissions<br />

Reduction<br />

Plan<br />

18 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


1.5.3 Policy context<br />

Based on the priorities outlined in the Corporate<br />

Plan, the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong><br />

is a fundamental policy direction under Council’s<br />

Ecological Sustainability Framework (Figure 2).<br />

Integration of the <strong>Strategy</strong> will be required across<br />

all aspects of council planning <strong>and</strong> decision<br />

making as well as other key strategic documents<br />

such as those identified in Table 2.<br />

The Corporate Plan sets the direction for the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council to become a carbon<br />

neutral organisation.<br />

This <strong>Strategy</strong> sets a target date to reach<br />

carbon neutrality by <strong>2020</strong> to correspond with<br />

the Federal <strong>and</strong> State <strong>2020</strong> mid-term target<br />

dates for emissions reduction <strong>and</strong> Council’s<br />

desire to be a leader in this field.<br />

The Corporate Plan also identifies the need for<br />

energy transition initiatives.<br />

This <strong>Strategy</strong> sets a target to reduce its<br />

dependence on oil derived products by 5 per<br />

cent each year (e.g. crude oil based fuels used<br />

in fleet vehicles), commencing in <strong>2010</strong>/2021,<br />

following a formal inventory of Council’s oil<br />

consumption. 2<br />

Three supporting documents will be developed,<br />

as an output of the <strong>Strategy</strong>, to help achieve<br />

targets <strong>and</strong> further refine <strong>and</strong> direct other key<br />

responses included within the Action Plan:<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

Carbon Neutral Plan (for the organisation)<br />

Energy Transition Plan (for Council <strong>and</strong> the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> community)<br />

Community Emissions Reduction Plan.<br />

2<br />

This target aligns with the average rate of decline in global oil fields according to the International Energy Agency 2008.<br />

Table 2<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council: Key strategic documents<br />

Activities<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

<strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Energy Transition<br />

Corporate Plan <br />

Community Plan <br />

Planning Scheme/Structure Plans <br />

Sustainable Transport <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Rural Futures <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Waterways <strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al Foreshores Management <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Social Planning Framework <br />

Cultural <strong>Strategy</strong><br />

<br />

Community Engagement <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Open Space <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Long Term Financial Plan <br />

Safe Plan Safety Management System<br />

<br />

Disaster Management Plan <br />

Biodiversity <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Flooding <strong>and</strong> Stormwater Management <strong>Strategy</strong><br />

<br />

Affordable Living <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Economic Development <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Waste Minimisation <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

Health <strong>and</strong> Wellbeing <strong>Strategy</strong> <br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 19


“Global issues, local change.”<br />

20 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


SECTION 2<br />

Local<br />

projections<br />

21


2 <strong>Climate</strong> change<br />

projections for the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

The <strong>Strategy</strong> acknowledges that there are<br />

varying degrees of certainty <strong>and</strong> uncertainty<br />

associated with the science due to the<br />

complex nature of climate change. To help<br />

address this issue, local climate change<br />

projections have been modelled to enhance<br />

the underst<strong>and</strong>ing of local climate change<br />

implications <strong>and</strong> to assist in Council decisionmaking.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council has undertaken a<br />

local assessment through the University of the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>, utilising a climate simulation<br />

tool, SimCLIM. Local climate variables have been<br />

adjusted to reflect the patterns associated with<br />

a global climate model, using the worst case<br />

IPCC climate change scenario <strong>and</strong> high climate<br />

sensitivity. These local variables acknowledge<br />

that global greenhouse gas emissions now<br />

exceed the high end of the scenarios utilised by<br />

the IPCC.<br />

2.1 Temperature<br />

Fewer cold days <strong>and</strong> more hot days are expected<br />

as a result of climate change, with associated<br />

shifts in annual <strong>and</strong> seasonal means <strong>and</strong><br />

extremes. It is predicted that by 2100, there will be<br />

an extra 30 days experiencing temperatures over<br />

35 o C <strong>and</strong> warming across the region, with annual<br />

mean temperatures expected to increase by:<br />

▲ up to 1 o C by <strong>2020</strong><br />

▲ up to 2 o C by 2050<br />

▲ up to 4 o C by 2075<br />

▲ up to 6.5 o C by 2100.<br />

To put these figures into context, the Australian<br />

Government Department of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Energy Efficiency suggests a temperature rise of<br />

over 5 o C could result in a loss of 90-100 per cent of<br />

remnant bushl<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Long term local climate change projections<br />

to 2100 were determined, relative to 1990,<br />

acknowledging there is a degree of uncertainty<br />

with long-term projections. Where data was not<br />

available, projections from CSIRO <strong>and</strong> other<br />

levels of government have been utilised. Further<br />

details <strong>and</strong> analysis are provided in the <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong> Background Study (Section 4).<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> projections will be<br />

reviewed <strong>and</strong> modified to incorporate improved<br />

scientific modelling as science becomes more<br />

sophisticated <strong>and</strong> reflect changes to IPCC<br />

scenarios <strong>and</strong> shifts in greenhouse gas mitigation<br />

approaches.<br />

22 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


2.2 Rainfall<br />

Average annual rainfall volumes are projected<br />

to decline across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. Modelling<br />

indicates seasonal shifts, with rainfall increasing<br />

in winter but decreasing in other seasons.<br />

In addition, more intense rainfall events are<br />

expected, increasing the potential for flooding<br />

(further complicated by sea level rise).<br />

2.3 Sea level rise<br />

Sea levels are expected to rise. The Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong>al Plan has identified sea level projections<br />

for Queensl<strong>and</strong> based on the IPCC Fourth<br />

Assessment. In 2009, the Australian Government<br />

Department of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Energy<br />

Efficiency report <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Risks to<br />

Australia’s <strong>Coast</strong> – A First Pass National<br />

Assessment for Australia identified national<br />

projections based on the ‘high end’ scenario<br />

in the IPCC Fourth Assessment <strong>and</strong> included<br />

new evidence on icesheet dynamics. That<br />

report indicates that the use of a ‘high end’<br />

IPCC scenario for decision making is justified.<br />

As it represents the latest information in climate<br />

science relative to sea level rise at the time of<br />

publication, the projections in the First Pass<br />

National Assessment have been adopted.<br />

These figures are adopted until a higher sea level<br />

projection is announced by the IPCC, in which case<br />

they will be superceded.<br />

▲ 0.2 metres by 2030<br />

▲ 0.7 metres by 2070<br />

▲ 1.1 metres by 2100.<br />

An increase in mean sea level is expected to<br />

result in an associated increase in tidal extremes<br />

(i.e. higher spring tides <strong>and</strong> higher storm surges).<br />

Justification for the sea level rise is provided in<br />

Section 4.3 of the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Background<br />

Study.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 23


2.4 Wind<br />

CSIRO has evaluated climate change influences on average wind speeds for eastern Australia.<br />

According to their results, wind speeds are projected to increase with dominant synoptic systems<br />

expected to intensify <strong>and</strong> generate stronger winds. Impacts are likely to increase (Hennessey et. al.<br />

2006).<br />

Risk<br />

Changing Climatic Factor<br />

Impact<br />

Wind<br />

25 per cent increase of peak wind speed above 40-50 knots<br />

650 per cent increase in building damages.<br />

2.5 Cyclones <strong>and</strong> severe storms<br />

CSIRO modelling projections indicate that there will be fewer but longer lived cyclones tracking further<br />

south. The same modelling by CSIRO predicts a 60 per cent increase in the number of severe storms<br />

by 2030, with a 140 per cent increase in the number of severe storms by 2070. Data associated with<br />

storm surge <strong>and</strong> wave action on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> requires further evaluation.<br />

24 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


2.6 Hail<br />

CSIRO has projected that there will be a change<br />

in large hail risk for SEQ indicating an increased<br />

risk of large hail storms for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

2.7 Droughts <strong>and</strong> bushfires<br />

As a result of increasing temperature <strong>and</strong><br />

declining rainfall it is expected that droughts<br />

will become more frequent <strong>and</strong> last longer than<br />

droughts currently experienced, with an increased<br />

risk of bushfire.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 25


“Tomorrow's climate, today's challenge, local opportunities.”<br />

26 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


SECTION 3<br />

Challenges<br />

<strong>and</strong><br />

opportunities<br />

27


3 Challenges <strong>and</strong><br />

Opportunities for<br />

the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region has a subtropical<br />

climate. It has tropical rainforests, beaches,<br />

a rural hinterl<strong>and</strong> with a backdrop of ranges,<br />

peaks <strong>and</strong> valleys which offer tourist<br />

opportunities, support rural industries <strong>and</strong><br />

provide lifestyle advantages.<br />

The regional <strong>and</strong> coastal location of the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong>, together with population growth pressures,<br />

demographic distribution of its population, <strong>and</strong> an<br />

increased dem<strong>and</strong> for services contribute to the<br />

region’s vulnerability to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />

These challenges need to be acknowledged<br />

(see Figure 3) <strong>and</strong> addressed in order to reduce<br />

vulnerability to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />

Figure 3<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change<br />

challenges<br />

Natural environment<br />

e.g. existing threats –<br />

multiplied by climate change.<br />

Lifestyle<br />

e.g. increasing non-renewable<br />

energy consumption, increasing<br />

waste, unsustainable transport<br />

behaviour, need for<br />

food security.<br />

Challenges<br />

Population growth<br />

<strong>and</strong> development<br />

e.g. dem<strong>and</strong> for services <strong>and</strong><br />

infrastructure, increased risks.<br />

Economy/<br />

marketability<br />

e.g. reliance on climate<br />

sensitive economies, need to<br />

transition the economy.<br />

Health<br />

e.g. reduced water quality <strong>and</strong><br />

availability, heat stress, disease,<br />

injury from extreme weather.<br />

28 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


3.1 Exposure of the natural<br />

environment to climate change<br />

3.1.1 Biodiversity<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is one of the most biodiverse<br />

regions in Australia <strong>and</strong> home to native species<br />

found nowhere else in the world. It incorporates<br />

the Noosa Biosphere Reserve in the north,<br />

the iconic National Heritage listed Glasshouse<br />

Mountains in the south <strong>and</strong> several national parks<br />

in between.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change is a significant long-term<br />

threat to biodiversity on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

Research to date indicates that the hotter, drier<br />

conditions expected for this area are likely to<br />

change life-cycle patterns, magnify declines to<br />

biodiversity through loss of plant <strong>and</strong> animal<br />

species, accelerate habitat loss but increase<br />

weed <strong>and</strong> pest infestations. These impacts will be<br />

exacerbated by the saltwater intrusion associated<br />

with sea level rise <strong>and</strong> increased risk of bushfire.<br />

Native vegetation is already under pressure from<br />

development.<br />

Protecting habitat, rehabilitating areas, enhancing<br />

wildlife corridors <strong>and</strong> reducing pest species are<br />

some ways to help wildlife adapt to changing<br />

conditions <strong>and</strong> also provide the potential to<br />

sequester carbon. Actions to build resilience of the<br />

biodiversity on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> are a major<br />

focus of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Biodiversity <strong>Strategy</strong><br />

<strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>.<br />

3.1.2 Waterways<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region includes thous<strong>and</strong>s<br />

of kilometres of waterways with five major river<br />

systems:<br />

Noosa River with its unique estuarine lakes<br />

<strong>and</strong> headwaters in the Cooloolah National Park<br />

Maroochy River with its numerous major<br />

tributaries <strong>and</strong> extensive river estuary<br />

Mooloolah River with its intact headwaters,<br />

safe harbour, fishing fleet <strong>and</strong> canal<br />

developments<br />

Pumicestone Passage at the southern<br />

boundary, a Ramsar wetl<strong>and</strong> of international<br />

importance <strong>and</strong> haven for migratory shorebirds<br />

<strong>and</strong> dugongs<br />

Headwaters of the Mary River <strong>and</strong> home to the<br />

endangered Mary River Cod, Mary River Turtle<br />

<strong>and</strong> Australian Lungfish which are endemic to<br />

this catchment.<br />

With increased storm <strong>and</strong> flood events, higher<br />

sea levels <strong>and</strong> storm surges predicted, low<br />

lying freshwater systems may be vulnerable<br />

to saltwater intrusion <strong>and</strong> inundation. During<br />

wet periods, freshwater reaches are likely to<br />

be exposed to increased bank erosion <strong>and</strong><br />

increased runoff of pollutants. Research to<br />

date indicates that the hotter, drier conditions<br />

expected for this area are likely to reduce<br />

environmental flows, reduce water quality <strong>and</strong><br />

affect aquatic life <strong>and</strong> river recreational activities.<br />

Rehabilitating the river banks not only protects<br />

the water courses from bank erosion but acts<br />

as a filter to clean water systems <strong>and</strong> acts as a<br />

carbon sink to sequester carbon dioxide from<br />

the atmosphere. These water systems <strong>and</strong> their<br />

catchments also contribute to the water supply<br />

networks that service the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

greater SEQ region. They will become even more<br />

important if the effects of prolonged drought are<br />

experienced due to climate change.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 29


3.1.3 <strong>Coast</strong><br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> has more than 100<br />

kilometres of coastline, with clean s<strong>and</strong>y beaches<br />

interspersed by rocky outcrops or headl<strong>and</strong>s.<br />

The coastline is subject to a range of natural<br />

processes associated with events such as<br />

storms, cyclones, east coast lows, spring tides<br />

<strong>and</strong> storm surges with s<strong>and</strong>y beaches <strong>and</strong> dunes<br />

vulnerable to shifts in sediment <strong>and</strong> erosion <strong>and</strong><br />

low lying areas vulnerable to flooding.<strong>Coast</strong>al<br />

areas are also affected by flooding from extreme<br />

rainfall events.<br />

In the future, risks from these events are<br />

anticipated to increase. A rise in sea level,<br />

increased storm activity <strong>and</strong> changed rainfall <strong>and</strong><br />

temperature patterns associated with climate<br />

change are likely to exacerbate flooding, coastal<br />

inundation <strong>and</strong> shoreline erosion. Acidification of<br />

the oceans as a result of rising carbon dioxide<br />

levels is also likely to threaten marine biodiversity,<br />

corals <strong>and</strong> fish stocks <strong>and</strong> undermine the values<br />

of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> coastal environments.<br />

Further work needs to be undertaken to<br />

determine the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>’s coastal<br />

vulnerabilities. The development of a coastal<br />

management plan <strong>and</strong> shoreline erosion<br />

management plans will help to determine the<br />

priority actions required for high risk coastal<br />

areas, such as hard infrastructure solutions,<br />

beach nourishment, whether the area is naturally<br />

inundated etc. It is intended that risks to both<br />

coast <strong>and</strong> waterways will be addressed through<br />

a <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Waterways <strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />

Foreshores Management <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />

3.1.4 Cultural values<br />

Indigenous Australians have a long <strong>and</strong> ongoing<br />

association with the natural environment. It<br />

is entwined with cultural, social <strong>and</strong> spiritual<br />

traditions. There are many sites <strong>and</strong> places of<br />

cultural significance across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

which may require protecting with changes in<br />

climatic conditions.<br />

Mudjimba Isl<strong>and</strong> (Creation Story):<br />

Ninderry stole a beautiful woman from Coolum.<br />

When Coolum rescued his bride to be, Ninderry<br />

threw a boomerang <strong>and</strong> succeeded in knocking<br />

off Coolum’s head, which rolled into the sea <strong>and</strong><br />

is represented today by Mudjimba Isl<strong>and</strong>.<br />

(Source: <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Libraries).<br />

30 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


3.2 Population growth <strong>and</strong><br />

development<br />

The past two decades have seen substantial<br />

population increases on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

At the 2006 census, the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> had a<br />

population of approximately 295,000 residents.<br />

With further urban expansion of coastal<br />

settlements, storms <strong>and</strong> floods have the potential<br />

to affect more people, industries <strong>and</strong> coastal<br />

infrastructure. Predicted increases in severe<br />

storms combined with higher sea levels is likely to<br />

exacerbate this risk.<br />

The impacts of climate change <strong>and</strong> declining oil<br />

supplies need to be factored in strategic l<strong>and</strong> use<br />

<strong>and</strong> transport planning decisions <strong>and</strong> disaster<br />

management plans. Appropriate transport routes,<br />

services <strong>and</strong> infrastructure should be available in<br />

the event of an emergency to protect existing <strong>and</strong><br />

planned settlements.<br />

Vulnerability assessments <strong>and</strong> hazard mapping<br />

will help to identify areas on the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong> at risk from natural hazards <strong>and</strong> inform<br />

the planning scheme <strong>and</strong> strategic l<strong>and</strong> use,<br />

infrastructure <strong>and</strong> transport planning.<br />

<strong>Oil</strong> vulnerability studies will help identify<br />

communities that are most vulnerable to rising oil<br />

<strong>and</strong> fuel prices which include communities with<br />

a higher dependency on cars <strong>and</strong> less financial<br />

capacity to pay high fuel prices.<br />

3.2.1 Dem<strong>and</strong> for services<br />

Past population growth has resulted in increased<br />

pressure to provide services <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />

including houses, schools, roads, public transport,<br />

hospitals, libraries, jobs <strong>and</strong> leisure facilities.<br />

An increase in water <strong>and</strong> energy dem<strong>and</strong> is<br />

anticipated to put more pressure on local supplies<br />

<strong>and</strong> generate increased emissions.<br />

Scientists indicate that lower annual rainfall<br />

volumes predicted as a result of climate change is<br />

anticipated to increase the risk of water shortage<br />

particularly during drought conditions. The<br />

impacts of water shortage will be a consideration<br />

for the State Government <strong>and</strong> water entities.<br />

Integrated water management concepts such as<br />

rainwater harvesting <strong>and</strong> the reuse of grey water,<br />

in buildings <strong>and</strong> across communities, can help to<br />

reduce water consumption <strong>and</strong> water dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Dem<strong>and</strong> for power on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is<br />

rising at well above the national trend. Electricity<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> has increased by up to 70 per cent<br />

in the past decade. Local electricity supplier,<br />

Energex, is predicting a 40 per cent increase in<br />

the region’s power usage over the next six years<br />

based largely on the Department of Infrastructure<br />

<strong>and</strong> Planning population growth projections for<br />

the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong> the increasing popularity<br />

of high-energy consumer goods, such as air<br />

conditioners <strong>and</strong> larger televisions.<br />

The increased number of days over 35 o C,<br />

predicted as a result of climate change, is<br />

anticipated to affect peak energy dem<strong>and</strong><br />

through an increased dem<strong>and</strong> for cooling,<br />

<strong>and</strong> may result in more frequent blackouts<br />

(Maunsell 2008). Partnerships between Council,<br />

energy companies <strong>and</strong> the community aimed at<br />

influencing behavioural change to reduce energy<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> through initiatives such as Earth Hour<br />

are intended to reduce this risk. Exploring the<br />

feasibility of generating localised, renewable<br />

energy may identify an alternative to costly,<br />

high-impact power generation <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />

provision on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

As peak oil impacts <strong>and</strong> cost of transport fuels<br />

increase, the dem<strong>and</strong> for housing in centres with<br />

access to services, facilities <strong>and</strong> employment<br />

is likely to grow. Access to alternative methods<br />

of transport to private vehicle travel will also be<br />

needed, as will the need to plan for renewable<br />

energy recharge infrastructure as dem<strong>and</strong> for<br />

private vehicle use continues.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 31


3.2.2 Implications for Council assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />

The impacts of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil have potential to affect<br />

Council assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure.This can occur directly through<br />

physical exposure to climate change elements causing damage to<br />

infrastructure, or indirectly through costs associated with increased<br />

maintenance, oil <strong>and</strong> energy price rises, or increased insurance<br />

costs.<br />

Reduced levels of service delivery are potential outcomes of more<br />

volatile climate conditions. Alternative robust materials, construction<br />

type <strong>and</strong> location must be factored into the whole-of-life costs for<br />

long term infrastructure projects. In some instances, relocation of<br />

existing infrastructure may be an appropriate risk management<br />

strategy.<br />

Many risks to Council assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure have been identified<br />

through a <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Infrastructure Adaptation Project. Extreme<br />

<strong>and</strong> high risks are identified in Figure 4. These actions will require<br />

prioritisation by relevant areas of Council, particularly at the time of<br />

major upgrading <strong>and</strong> subject to funding requirements.<br />

3.3 Health implications<br />

<strong>Change</strong>s in the size of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> population have been<br />

accompanied by shifts in age distribution, with increasingly large<br />

populations of children under five <strong>and</strong> adults over 65 living in the<br />

region (Department of Infrastructure <strong>and</strong> Planning 2008).<br />

Older <strong>and</strong> younger populations are vulnerable when disasters occur.<br />

An increase in severe storms, heat waves, bushfires <strong>and</strong> droughts<br />

<strong>and</strong> longer lived cyclones present increased health risks (e.g. heat<br />

stroke, mosquito borne disease, respiratory illnesses, injury) for<br />

these vulnerable groups. Increased temperatures could have indirect<br />

health risks for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> such as a southern spread<br />

of iruk<strong>and</strong>ji stingers <strong>and</strong> a potential increase in food poisoning<br />

outbreaks. Specific risk minimisation <strong>and</strong> risk management<br />

strategies can reduce health implications associated with climate<br />

change, such as providing community safety programs to ensure<br />

the wellbeing of residents <strong>and</strong> visitors, <strong>and</strong> considering health risks<br />

resulting from mosquito borne disease when planning settlements.<br />

There may also be an increased dem<strong>and</strong> for access to local medical<br />

facilities.<br />

Figure 4<br />

Extreme <strong>and</strong> high risks to<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council<br />

assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure.<br />

Extreme Risks<br />

Increased erosion of<br />

beaches with detrimental<br />

impacts on tourism <strong>and</strong><br />

economy.<br />

High Risks<br />

Flooding <strong>and</strong> erosion of<br />

unsealed roads.<br />

Loss of l<strong>and</strong>fill capacity<br />

after cyclones.<br />

Extreme weather impacts<br />

on parks <strong>and</strong> open spaces.<br />

Increased intensity of heat<br />

from heat sinks.<br />

Increased energy costs for<br />

cooling.<br />

Increased bushfire risk to<br />

buildings.<br />

Increased erosion of<br />

building footings.<br />

Increased water ingress<br />

into buildings.<br />

Reduced effectiveness of<br />

sea walls <strong>and</strong> groynes.<br />

Decreased structural<br />

stability of bridges.<br />

<strong>Change</strong>s in water quality<br />

performance of major lakes<br />

<strong>and</strong> wetl<strong>and</strong>s.<br />

Increased erosion of<br />

natural waterways.<br />

Increased tail waters<br />

causing upstream flooding.<br />

Salt water intrusion into<br />

drainage systems not<br />

designed for salt water.<br />

Inadequate storm water<br />

drainage capacity.<br />

Strong winds increase tree<br />

falls across roads causing<br />

harm to people.<br />

32 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


3.4 Impacts on the economy <strong>and</strong><br />

marketability<br />

Tourism is one of the three major industry sectors<br />

on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>, attracting approximately<br />

three million visitors each year. The other major<br />

sectors are retail <strong>and</strong> construction, which along<br />

with manufacturing, food processing, agriculture,<br />

property <strong>and</strong> business, health <strong>and</strong> community<br />

<strong>and</strong> finance <strong>and</strong> insurance services are the core<br />

economic drivers for the region.<br />

There are also a growing number of<br />

environmental industries (businesses that<br />

manufacture products <strong>and</strong> services that mitigate<br />

the effect of the human footprint <strong>and</strong> assist in<br />

adapting to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil, such<br />

as water harvesting, environmentally sustainable<br />

building design <strong>and</strong> supplies <strong>and</strong> renewable<br />

technologies) across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

Tourism <strong>and</strong> related industries (e.g. retail <strong>and</strong><br />

hospitality) are particularly exposed to direct<br />

<strong>and</strong> indirect impacts of major natural disasters<br />

(Gurran, Hamin <strong>and</strong> Norman 2008). <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />

amenity <strong>and</strong> lifestyle attractions including<br />

beaches are key to the region’s popularity, but<br />

are immediately affected by climate change <strong>and</strong><br />

associated extreme weather events. The tourism<br />

industry is also vulnerable to rising fuel prices<br />

due to its reliance on road <strong>and</strong> air transport.<br />

Passenger rail to <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> beach<br />

destinations would provide for weekend tourism<br />

from Brisbane by public transport.<br />

Agriculture is another vital industry sector<br />

sensitive to seasonal weather variations<br />

associated with climate change. While climate<br />

change may offer new agricultural opportunities<br />

<strong>and</strong> increase some yields, increased<br />

temperatures <strong>and</strong> drought are predicted to put<br />

overwhelming heat stress on the industry, its<br />

equipment <strong>and</strong> stock (<strong>Climate</strong>Risk 2009).<br />

Agriculture is also dependent on oil as a fuel<br />

used for production <strong>and</strong> food distribution <strong>and</strong> as a<br />

component in fertilisers. A rise in oil prices is likely<br />

to have an impact on the price of food that is<br />

produced outside the region <strong>and</strong> distributed over<br />

long distances <strong>and</strong> has the potential to favour<br />

smaller, local producers who are not impacted<br />

significantly by increased fuel prices. A renewed<br />

focus on local production for local consumption<br />

<strong>and</strong> protection of productive agricultural l<strong>and</strong> for<br />

this purpose through planning measures can help<br />

build resilience to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />

implications. This may also assist the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong> to become a food provider for Brisbane in<br />

the future.<br />

The regional locality of the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

makes the transport industry an important<br />

economic activity. The road transport sector is<br />

almost completely dependent on oil <strong>and</strong> it is<br />

highly vulnerable to the potential impacts of oil<br />

price rises with flow-on implications for other<br />

sectors of the economy including food production<br />

<strong>and</strong> distribution, <strong>and</strong> tourism.<br />

Most industry sectors on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> are<br />

highly dependent on oil as a fuel source (e.g.<br />

tourism, construction, manufacturing, agriculture/<br />

forestry/fishing). Several risk assessments have<br />

been undertaken to identify the socio-economic<br />

impacts of declining oil supplies on the region.<br />

Details are provided in Section 5.2 of the <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />

Background Study.<br />

Any moves to create a more diverse economy<br />

utilising low carbon, low oil, energy efficiency <strong>and</strong><br />

renewable energy will help build the community’s<br />

long-term resilience.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 33


3.5 Lifestyle<br />

Easy access to low cost energy <strong>and</strong> reticulated<br />

water, the availability of ‘throw away’ or energy<br />

intensive products, a widespread habit of<br />

over-consumption, an increase in waste <strong>and</strong><br />

unsustainable transport behaviour are increasing<br />

greenhouse gas emissions exponentially. There<br />

is also a perception by some that climate change<br />

will be solved by technology, which has led to a<br />

resistance to change behaviour.<br />

Australia’s per capita<br />

greenhouse gas emissions<br />

are the highest of any<br />

developed country.<br />

(Garnaut 2008).<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong>’s emissions are reported to be<br />

the highest in Australia with each household<br />

generating approximately 14 tonnes of<br />

greenhouse gas emissions according to<br />

the State Government strategy Towards<br />

Q2: Tomorrows Queensl<strong>and</strong>. Most of the<br />

household emissions occur through car<br />

<strong>and</strong> power use with dem<strong>and</strong> for energy<br />

continually increasing.<br />

3.5.1 Community greenhouse gas<br />

emissions<br />

Greenhouse gas emissions are expected to<br />

increase on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> due to the<br />

growing population, lifestyle choices <strong>and</strong> pressure<br />

from peak oil, with the potential for increased<br />

burning of coal <strong>and</strong> other fossil fuels as oil<br />

substitutes.<br />

To ensure future financial security <strong>and</strong> wellbeing,<br />

measures need to focus on rapidly decreasing<br />

greenhouse gas emissions as part of an effort to<br />

combat climate change.<br />

The housing footprint on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> with<br />

the current trend for detached housing containing<br />

large floor plans <strong>and</strong> with little consideration<br />

given to design, materials, orientation <strong>and</strong> energy<br />

consumption is a significant issue <strong>and</strong> will be<br />

addressed in the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Affordable<br />

Living <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />

Planning policy can require energy efficiencies<br />

in the built environment, encourage settlement<br />

patterns that reduce vehicle travel, promote<br />

walking, cycling <strong>and</strong> public transport use <strong>and</strong><br />

support alternative energy sources.<br />

Communities can decrease emissions by<br />

changing behaviour, reducing energy use,<br />

considering energy efficiency when purchasing<br />

<strong>and</strong> making decisions (e.g. building <strong>and</strong> designing<br />

a new home, shopping, reducing car use) <strong>and</strong> by<br />

generating renewable energy.<br />

To ensure a coordinated <strong>and</strong> strategic<br />

approach to reducing greenhouse gas<br />

emissions, it is proposed that Council work<br />

with community to develop a <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong> community emission reduction<br />

plan with a target <strong>and</strong> trajectory.<br />

In 2007 there were a total of 8 million visitors<br />

to the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region generating<br />

approximately 2.33 million tonnes of greenhouse<br />

gas emissions 3 . Significant emission reductions<br />

could be made through the introduction of<br />

water, waste <strong>and</strong> energy efficiencies within the<br />

hospitality <strong>and</strong> tourism industries <strong>and</strong> businesses<br />

across the region. Visitors could purchase carbon<br />

offsets when booking flights to sequester the<br />

carbon associated with the flight. They could also<br />

be encouraged to utilise public transport services<br />

through better promotion <strong>and</strong> delivery of services<br />

to tourist ‘hot spots’ when visiting the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong> in making green accommodation<br />

choices which are designed for climate, efficient<br />

water use etc.<br />

3 Figures based on the carbon footprint calculations provided by Australian Tourism <strong>and</strong> expressed in units of carbon<br />

dioxide equivalent (CO 2<br />

e).<br />

34 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


3.5.2 Council greenhouse gas<br />

emissions<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council is the fourth largest<br />

Council in Australia. An inventory of Council<br />

greenhouse gas emissions was undertaken<br />

across all sectors of Council in 2007. The results<br />

demonstrate that waste in l<strong>and</strong>fills accounts for a<br />

significant proportion of Council’s emissions (see<br />

Figure 5).<br />

It is anticipated that the waste sector will be<br />

included in any proposed national carbon trading<br />

scheme <strong>and</strong> could incur permit liabilities for the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council. It is, therefore, necessary<br />

to focus on reducing emissions from l<strong>and</strong>fill waste<br />

in a combined effort to tackle climate change<br />

<strong>and</strong> reduce direct financial liabilities associated<br />

with carbon pricing. Council currently has a<br />

strong emphasis on resource recovery <strong>and</strong> reuse<br />

across the region which needs to be reinforced<br />

<strong>and</strong> supported by mechanisms to encourage<br />

recycling, composting <strong>and</strong> minimising green waste.<br />

Investigations are underway into generating energy<br />

from waste emissions in accordance with the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Waste Minimisation <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />

Emission reductions can be made within the fleet<br />

sector by reducing the use of fossil fuels <strong>and</strong><br />

switching to alternative lower emission fuels such<br />

as biofuels.<br />

Other emission reductions can be gained through a<br />

mix of energy efficiencies, renewable technologies,<br />

improved building st<strong>and</strong>ards, staff <strong>and</strong> community<br />

behavioural change, green power purchase <strong>and</strong><br />

through establishing or purchasing carbon offsets.<br />

Significant effort <strong>and</strong> resources will be required<br />

to ensure Council’s transition to a carbon neutral<br />

organisation.<br />

Figure 5<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council's<br />

Total Greenhouse Gas Emissions<br />

by Business Sector – 2007.<br />

Public lighting 4% 11,493 tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Sports <strong>and</strong> recreation 4% 10,083 tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Water 3% 9,266 tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Wastewater<br />

14%<br />

38,071<br />

tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Waste<br />

66%<br />

176,866<br />

tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Fleet 3% 8,967 tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Facilities 3% 7,754 tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Commercial building 2% 6,397 tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Industrial 1% 2,669 tonnes CO 2 e<br />

Lake Doonella.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 35


3.6 Responding to the challenges<br />

"The earlier effective action is taken the<br />

less costly it will be.”<br />

(Stern 2006.)<br />

Responding early to the challenges <strong>and</strong> taking a<br />

proactive approach to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak<br />

oil can mitigate future issues <strong>and</strong> costs <strong>and</strong> can<br />

also provide economic, social <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

opportunities for the region.<br />

Adopting a long term planning approach using<br />

a 100-year planning horizon (consistent with<br />

the planning horizon used by the IPCC), with<br />

a staged approach for short term projects, can<br />

ensure that future climate conditions are factored<br />

into Council’s strategic, infrastructure <strong>and</strong><br />

operational projects to help reduce risks <strong>and</strong> longterm<br />

costs.<br />

Many of the actions that respond to the key<br />

challenges are outlined in the Action Plan. Those<br />

actions which fall outside the responsibility of<br />

the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council are likely to require<br />

policy responses from other levels of government,<br />

as well as non-government organisations.<br />

In some cases further analysis <strong>and</strong> risk or<br />

vulnerability assessment <strong>and</strong> hazard mapping<br />

will be required to better underst<strong>and</strong> the nature of<br />

these challenges.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council has developed a range<br />

of programs to help reduce community <strong>and</strong><br />

business greenhouse gas emissions including:<br />

The Living Smart program which supports<br />

householders to reduce their ecological<br />

footprint in key areas of energy, waste, water<br />

<strong>and</strong> transport through behavioural change.<br />

The Travel Smart program aims to reduce<br />

the reliance on cars by using other forms of<br />

environmentally friendly transport such as<br />

bikes, walking <strong>and</strong> public transport.<br />

Supporting EcoBiz – a government program<br />

which helps businesses to identify <strong>and</strong> initiate<br />

efficiencies in waste, water <strong>and</strong> energy for<br />

financial <strong>and</strong> environmental benefits.<br />

3.6.1 Council actions to date<br />

The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council, through its<br />

participation in the International Council for<br />

Local Environmental Initiatives (ICLEI) Local<br />

Governments for Sustainability Cities for <strong>Climate</strong><br />

Protection (CCP) program since the late 1990’s<br />

has already undertaken a number of projects<br />

to reduce emissions <strong>and</strong> lower oil consumption<br />

which include:<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

Installing solar technologies (sliver cell, solar<br />

bollards, solar streetlights)<br />

Implementing gas flaring at Buderim l<strong>and</strong>fill<br />

Energy efficient lighting retrofits<br />

Installing heat pumps in swimming pools<br />

Developing renewable energy projects<br />

Reducing the fleet vehicle size<br />

Introducing video conferencing<br />

Undertaking a corporate Carbon Accounting<br />

Project to identify future emission abatement<br />

opportunities.<br />

Council is also working with government<br />

agencies, the community <strong>and</strong> local businesses<br />

to prepare for the impacts of climate change <strong>and</strong><br />

peak oil.<br />

A taskforce has been established by Council to<br />

address energy transition, to review opportunities<br />

<strong>and</strong> guide the development of an Energy<br />

Transition Plan.<br />

Council <strong>and</strong> community programs are already<br />

underway to protect the natural habitat <strong>and</strong><br />

waterways <strong>and</strong> provide sustainability outcomes.<br />

L<strong>and</strong> use, infrastructure <strong>and</strong> transport planning<br />

are already considering elements of climate<br />

change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />

More resources <strong>and</strong> effort are required to build on<br />

these initiatives <strong>and</strong> ensure the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

makes a successful transition to a low carbon,<br />

low oil economy that capitalises on emerging<br />

opportunities for Council <strong>and</strong> the community.<br />

36 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


3.6.2 New opportunities<br />

New opportunities will arise in the changing environment <strong>and</strong> are incorporated into the <strong>Strategy</strong> for<br />

further consideration <strong>and</strong> implementation.<br />

Business opportunities for Council. Partnerships with business, government <strong>and</strong> research<br />

<strong>and</strong> development organisations can be established to capitalise on new opportunities in areas<br />

such as renewable energy generation, carbon sequestration <strong>and</strong> supply chain improvements.<br />

Creating future economic opportunities for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

is an attractive location for renewable energy investment <strong>and</strong> offers a potential hub for the<br />

development of innovative, low energy technologies. Diversifying the economy by supporting<br />

current <strong>and</strong> attracting new high value/low impact businesses will encourage a reduction in<br />

emissions <strong>and</strong> help to build local resilience. The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> region also offers a competitive<br />

advantage in food production.<br />

Capitalising on the benefit of climate change. Climatic changes have potential to offer some<br />

advantages including longer growing seasons (providing adequate water supplies are available).<br />

Warmer winter temperatures also have the potential to attract more tourists during winter<br />

months.<br />

Capitalising on the climate change expertise in the region. The <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> has locally<br />

<strong>and</strong> internationally recognised climate change authorities. Specialist skills <strong>and</strong> knowledge can be<br />

garnered by facilitating a <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> ‘Think Tank’ to provide guidance <strong>and</strong><br />

direction to the Council <strong>and</strong> the local community.<br />

Value-adding. Preparing for climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil impacts may provide opportunities<br />

for value-adding to existing capital projects. For example, implementing integrated water<br />

management within new developments.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 37


“(Areas) responding early to climate change are most likely<br />

to better withst<strong>and</strong> their impacts <strong>and</strong> maintain a platform for<br />

health <strong>and</strong> prosperity.” (IPCC 2007.)<br />

38 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


SECTION 4<br />

Strategic<br />

framework<br />

39


4 Strategic framework<br />

A strategic framework has been developed to address the challenges <strong>and</strong> opportunities associated<br />

with climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>and</strong> provide a proactive approach to reducing<br />

greenhouse gas emissions, cutting oil dependency <strong>and</strong> building community resilience <strong>and</strong> business<br />

capacity.<br />

4.1 Goal<br />

'To build a low carbon, low oil, resilient future for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.'<br />

4.2 Key policy approaches<br />

The strategic framework is based on four key<br />

policy approaches:<br />

Leadership<br />

Provide leadership <strong>and</strong> build capacity of<br />

local government, industry, business <strong>and</strong><br />

the community to manage climate change<br />

<strong>and</strong> peak oil risks, while capitalising on new<br />

opportunities.<br />

Mitigation<br />

Identify <strong>and</strong> facilitate ways to minimise<br />

Council, community, business <strong>and</strong> industry<br />

greenhouse gas emissions across the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> to address the cause of<br />

climate change.<br />

Adaptation<br />

Assess the risks associated with the effects<br />

of climate change <strong>and</strong> implement actions to<br />

help the region prepare for <strong>and</strong> adapt to the<br />

impacts of climate change.<br />

Energy Transition<br />

Address the issue of declining oil supplies<br />

<strong>and</strong> transition to alternative energy sources<br />

to reduce reliance on oil <strong>and</strong> coal-based fuels<br />

across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

40 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


4.3 Objectives<br />

To guide the development <strong>and</strong> implementation of the <strong>Strategy</strong>, a set of objectives have been developed<br />

under each of the key policy approaches. The eight objectives form the basis for establishing necessary<br />

targets, program development <strong>and</strong> action planning.<br />

Figure 1<br />

Policy themes<br />

<strong>and</strong> objectives<br />

LEADERSHIP<br />

1 Council to provide leadership <strong>and</strong><br />

demonstrate best practice<br />

2 Build capacity for Council <strong>and</strong> community<br />

through partnerships <strong>and</strong> advocacy<br />

MITIGATION<br />

3 Become a carbon<br />

neutral organisation<br />

4 Significantly reduce<br />

community emissions<br />

through engagement,<br />

partnership <strong>and</strong><br />

planning<br />

ADAPTATION<br />

5 Identify <strong>and</strong> plan for<br />

climate change risks<br />

6 Adapt to the impacts<br />

of climate change<br />

ENERGY TRANSITION<br />

7 Reduce oil dependency<br />

through innovative<br />

measures<br />

8 Maximise <strong>and</strong> attract<br />

investment in low emission<br />

<strong>and</strong> renewable technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> economies.<br />

As the model shows, there are likely to be overlaps <strong>and</strong> synergies between policy approaches. The<br />

policy approaches have been developed to align with Federal <strong>and</strong> State Government policy directions<br />

that deal with emissions mitigation, climate change adaptation or peak oil but rarely all three together.<br />

The Action Plan builds upon the initiatives, partnerships <strong>and</strong> planning already being undertaken by<br />

Council <strong>and</strong> provides a strategic roadmap to address these eight objectives.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 41


4.4 <strong>Strategy</strong> implementation <strong>and</strong> review<br />

A key to the achievement of any goal is<br />

measurement <strong>and</strong> accountability. Council will<br />

regularly report on progress towards the goal.<br />

The reports will also be a key tool for identifying<br />

<strong>and</strong> prioritising budget recommendations.<br />

4.4.1 Reporting<br />

Progress on the actions <strong>and</strong> indicators will be<br />

reported to key decision makers every three<br />

years. There will also be quarterly reporting<br />

obligations on the delivery of the <strong>Strategy</strong> through<br />

Council’s Operational Plan <strong>and</strong> annual reporting<br />

of key performance indicators that relate to the<br />

corporate targets.<br />

Corporate Key Performance Indicators<br />

Percentage change in corporate<br />

greenhouse gas emissions<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

Percentage change in l<strong>and</strong>fill greenhouse<br />

gas emissions<br />

Percentage change in corporate<br />

greenhouse gas emissions generated<br />

from non-renewable electricity<br />

consumption<br />

Percentage change in corporate<br />

renewable electricity consumption.<br />

<strong>Change</strong> in corporate use of crude oil-based<br />

fuels.<br />

Sustainability indicators included in the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong> Community Plan will identify how the<br />

region is progressing towards achieving the goal<br />

‘to build a low carbon, low oil, resilient future for<br />

the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>’.<br />

4.4.2 Review<br />

There is likely to be a need to update the<br />

information or actions identified within the<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong>/or its supporting background studies<br />

over time. The basis for these changes could<br />

stem from a number of sources, for example:<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

the implementation of appropriate targets <strong>and</strong><br />

milestones <strong>and</strong> the level of progress towards<br />

these targets <strong>and</strong> milestones<br />

changes to legislation or supporting<br />

frameworks <strong>and</strong> policies<br />

revisions to the data, scientific evidence or<br />

projections on which the <strong>Strategy</strong> is founded<br />

the potential to utilise future carbon reduction<br />

opportunities.<br />

The <strong>Strategy</strong> will be reviewed every three<br />

years to respond to emerging issues. A more<br />

formal review <strong>and</strong> update of the <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

its supporting strategies will be undertaken after<br />

five years to reflect developments in science,<br />

technology <strong>and</strong> government policy direction.<br />

4.4.3 Funding<br />

There are costs associated with tackling climate<br />

change <strong>and</strong> energy transition.<br />

Many of the actions identified in the Action Plan<br />

will be undertaken using existing resources <strong>and</strong><br />

budget allocations. In other cases, actions will<br />

be subject to Council's annual budget process or<br />

may be funded through the Environment Levy.<br />

The cost of action indicates up-front costs only<br />

<strong>and</strong> does not factor in return on investment. In<br />

several cases the implementation of efficiencies<br />

will produce significant long term financial<br />

savings.<br />

To achieve its goals, Council will endeavour to<br />

secure financial support from the public <strong>and</strong><br />

private sector <strong>and</strong> explore the feasibility of<br />

collaborative projects with government, industry,<br />

community <strong>and</strong> research partners.<br />

42 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


A <strong>Strategy</strong> for the Future<br />

To meet the needs of future generations <strong>and</strong><br />

respond to the threats that climate change <strong>and</strong><br />

peak oil present, it is necessary to take action now.<br />

The following Action Plan identifies strategies <strong>and</strong><br />

actions needed to ensure that the goal<br />

‘to build a low carbon, low oil, resilient<br />

future for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>'<br />

is achieved.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 43


“<strong>Climate</strong> change poses clear, catastrophic threats.<br />

We may not agree on the extent, but we certainly<br />

can't afford the risk of inaction.”<br />

(Rupert Murdoch)<br />

Source: http://www.greenlivingpedia.org/<strong>Climate</strong>_change_quotes.<br />

44 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


SECTION 5<br />

Action plan<br />

45


5 Action Plan<br />

The actions are intended to assist the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council in tackling the impacts of climate change<br />

<strong>and</strong> peak oil across the Council <strong>and</strong> <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> community through the eight strategic objectives.<br />

This Action Plan sets out the timeframe for the actions:<br />

2011 = Immediate actions to be undertaken within the first year (by June 2011)<br />

2013 = Short term actions to be undertaken within 3 years (by June 2013)<br />

2016 = Medium term actions to be undertaken within 6 years (by June 2016)<br />

<strong>2020</strong> = Long-term actions to be undertaken after 6 years <strong>and</strong> before June <strong>2020</strong><br />

* = Continual action (in addition to the identified completion date).<br />

The cost structure is as follows:<br />

Low = Low cost is $0 - $100,000<br />

Medium = Medium cost is $100,000 - $1,000,000<br />

High = High cost is greater than $1,000,000.<br />

46 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Objective 1: Council to provide leadership <strong>and</strong> demonstrate best practice<br />

Leadership<br />

Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />

Adopt a 100 year planning horizon<br />

Purpose: Consistent with the planning horizon used by the IPCC, ensure that planning <strong>and</strong> decision making considers the<br />

potential implications of climate change over the life of long-term assets.<br />

1.1 Endorse 100 year planning horizon 2011 Low Planning<br />

1.2 Incorporate projections up to 2100 into planning <strong>and</strong> decision making 2011* Low<br />

Scheme<br />

Mainstream climate change <strong>and</strong> energy transition into decision making<br />

Purpose: Due to the social, environmental <strong>and</strong> economic implications of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil, it is essential that<br />

these issues are recognised <strong>and</strong> integrated into policies, processes <strong>and</strong> decision making so that climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />

implications become core business for all council staff.<br />

1.3 Progressively integrate climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil implications into Council’s<br />

strategies, policies <strong>and</strong> plans<br />

1.4 Support sustainable procurement policies <strong>and</strong> identify preferred partners <strong>and</strong> providers 2016* Low<br />

1.5 Develop budgetary framework for climate change <strong>and</strong> energy transition actions <strong>and</strong> 2011* Low<br />

incorporate into budget planning<br />

1.6 Integrate climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil considerations into Council reports 2011* Low<br />

Adopt robust reporting, monitoring <strong>and</strong> measuring<br />

2013* Low All Council<br />

plans <strong>and</strong><br />

strategies<br />

Purpose: Development of appropriate monitoring <strong>and</strong> reporting mechanisms will help to demonstrate Council’s commitment to<br />

addressing climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />

1.7 Develop monitoring <strong>and</strong> reporting mechanisms to address Council’s compliance with a<br />

carbon trading scheme (or similar) <strong>and</strong> corporate <strong>and</strong> community emissions reporting<br />

1.8 Provide regular progress reports on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> actions to<br />

decision makers<br />

2013 Medium Financial<br />

Management<br />

2013* Low<br />

Plan<br />

Demonstrate ‘duty of care’<br />

Purpose: By ensuring that the community is adequately informed of local climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil implications, Council can<br />

facilitate a more effective community response to these issues.<br />

1.9 Inform community of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil impacts <strong>and</strong> risks 2011* Low Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

1.10 Provide appropriate advice to Council customers regarding climate change risks <strong>and</strong> 2013* Low<br />

Asset<br />

vulnerability posed to property or assets (new <strong>and</strong> existing) particularly in relation to<br />

Management<br />

property searches, flood certificates <strong>and</strong> similar requests for information<br />

Plans<br />

1.11 Hold discussions with insurance companies in order to determine changes in<br />

2013* Low<br />

insurance coverage due to climate change <strong>and</strong>, where relevant, generate appropriate<br />

awareness <strong>and</strong> responses<br />

1.12 Respond to shifts in insurance coverage for Council owned assets 2016* Low<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 47


Objective 2: Build capacity for Council <strong>and</strong> community through partnership <strong>and</strong> advocacy<br />

Leadership<br />

Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />

Build knowledge capital in the Council<br />

Purpose: These actions support the mainstreaming of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil actions into decision making <strong>and</strong> provide<br />

Council staff with the knowledge, skills <strong>and</strong> capacity to develop <strong>and</strong> implement responses to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil.<br />

2.1 Research world’s best practice strategies to address climate change <strong>and</strong> energy<br />

transition<br />

2.2 Develop staff learning opportunities through education <strong>and</strong> training so staff are well<br />

positioned to identify <strong>and</strong> respond to climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil risks<br />

2.3 Establish network of individuals within Council to focus on climate change implications<br />

across disciplines (e.g. Carbon Working Group)<br />

Engage <strong>and</strong> empower the community<br />

2011* Low Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

2013 Low<br />

(Carbon<br />

Neutral Plan)<br />

2011 Low<br />

Purpose: Business <strong>and</strong> community resilience to the impacts of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil can be achieved by:<br />

identifying the current level of resilience in the community, raising community awareness <strong>and</strong> implementing locally relevant<br />

responses through community engagement.<br />

2.4 Develop <strong>and</strong> implement information, training <strong>and</strong> communication programs to<br />

build the capacity of community, industry <strong>and</strong> business. In conjunction with key<br />

stakeholders:<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

Partner with the education sector including universities <strong>and</strong> Tafes <strong>and</strong> through<br />

programs such as Queensl<strong>and</strong> Environmental Sustainable Schools Initiative<br />

(QESSI)<br />

Provide a local government context on climate change information for public<br />

education <strong>and</strong> awareness via a range of media (website, publications, events etc.)<br />

2013* Medium Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

2013* Low<br />

2013* Low<br />

►►<br />

Inform, consult <strong>and</strong> involve community groups <strong>and</strong> individuals 2013* Low<br />

Lead through partnership <strong>and</strong> advocacy<br />

Purpose: Council recognises that there are community stakeholders who are already responding or would like to respond to<br />

the issues of climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil in order to progress locally relevant actions. Council seeks to engage with these<br />

stakeholders.<br />

Alignment of local outcomes with state <strong>and</strong> national initiatives <strong>and</strong> adopting an advocacy role to develop <strong>and</strong> implement<br />

appropriate responses to climate change will be required.<br />

2.5 Identify key stakeholders for climate change <strong>and</strong> peak oil 2011 Low Corporate<br />

2.6<br />

Plan<br />

Co-ordinate partnership arrangements with key stakeholders for collaborative work 2011* Low<br />

Planning<br />

between Council <strong>and</strong> community<br />

Scheme<br />

2.7 Continue information dissemination <strong>and</strong> peer support with SEQ local governments 2011* Low<br />

<strong>and</strong> other lead agencies<br />

2.8 Engage with neighbouring Councils on regional projects where appropriate 2011* Low<br />

2.9 Identify <strong>and</strong> pursue external funding opportunities for research <strong>and</strong> collaborative<br />

projects<br />

2.10 Partner with State <strong>and</strong> Federal government campaigns where applicable <strong>and</strong>/or<br />

provide complementary programs (Refer to action 4.4)<br />

2.11 Link with SEQ research initiatives to identify <strong>and</strong> develop adaptive capacity of the<br />

community<br />

2.12 Facilitate advisory groups such as <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> ‘Think Tank’ to provide guidance<br />

<strong>and</strong> direction to the council <strong>and</strong> the community<br />

2.13 Work with the development industry to ensure that the industry responds to climate<br />

change <strong>and</strong> peak oil<br />

2011* Low<br />

2013* Medium<br />

2011* Low<br />

2011* Low<br />

2011* Low<br />

48 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Objective 3: Council to become a carbon neutral organisation<br />

Mitigation<br />

Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />

Become a carbon neutral organisation by <strong>2020</strong><br />

Purpose: Carbon neutrality refers to achieving zero net emissions through reductions in energy consumption, increasing<br />

energy efficiency, increasing the use of renewable energy <strong>and</strong>, for those emissions remaining, purchasing green power <strong>and</strong><br />

developing carbon offsets i.e. planting trees or buying carbon credits.<br />

Note: Based on cost benefit analysis, the carbon neutral plan will provide the blue print for Council to achieve carbon neutrality by <strong>2020</strong>.<br />

3.1 Complete corporate carbon accounting project <strong>and</strong> develop a carbon neutral plan 2011 Low Corporate<br />

3.2 Endorse target of carbon neutral by <strong>2020</strong> 2011 Low<br />

Plan (Carbon<br />

Neutral Plan)<br />

Reduce emissions from l<strong>and</strong>fill<br />

Purpose: Over 60 per cent of Council’s greenhouse gas emissions are generated at the l<strong>and</strong>fill sites it operates. Council can<br />

reduce the volume of emissions by reducing the quantity of organic waste buried at l<strong>and</strong>fills <strong>and</strong> implementing technologies to<br />

collect <strong>and</strong> manage the l<strong>and</strong>fill gases i.e. to generate electricity or reduce their potency through flaring.<br />

3.3 Determine viability of options <strong>and</strong> costs for various emission reduction technologies<br />

taking account of any carbon trading scheme liabilities<br />

3.4 Install methane gas collection systems <strong>and</strong> implement organic waste minimisation<br />

programs in accordance with the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council Waste Minimisation <strong>Strategy</strong><br />

3.5 Investigate waste to energy options (Refer to action 8.2) 2013 Low<br />

Reduce emissions from Council <strong>and</strong> contractor fleet vehicles<br />

2011<br />

2016<br />

Low<br />

High<br />

Waste<br />

Minimisation<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

(Carbon<br />

Neutral Plan)<br />

Purpose: Reducing Council’s fleet <strong>and</strong> changing vehicle selection <strong>and</strong> usage can reduce greenhouse gas emissions <strong>and</strong> limit<br />

the implications of peak oil to Council.<br />

3.6 Continue to employ fleet reduction, energy efficiencies with fleet purchases, use low<br />

emission fuels <strong>and</strong> introduce staff behavioural programs to reduce fuel consumption<br />

Reduce non-renewable electricity consumption<br />

2013* Low (Carbon<br />

Neutral Plan)<br />

Purpose: Carbon emissions that are generated through Council’s electricity usage will need to be minimsed through a range of<br />

initiatives.<br />

3.7 Continue to implement energy efficiency measures with Council’s equipment <strong>and</strong><br />

across facilities <strong>and</strong> buildings<br />

3.8 Continue to participate in the regional energy efficient street lighting trial 2011 Low<br />

2013* High Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

(Energy<br />

Transition<br />

Plan)<br />

(Carbon<br />

Neutral Plan)<br />

2013* Medium<br />

3.9 Implement renewable energy programs across Council 2013* Medium<br />

3.10 Promote staff behaviour change (through programs such as ‘power down’ campaigns) 2013* Low<br />

3.11 Incorporate emission reduction goals, including energy <strong>and</strong> water use, into Council<br />

capital <strong>and</strong> operational work activities<br />

In line with carbon hierarchy, offset emissions through carbon bio-sequestration<br />

Purpose: Council will not be able to eliminate 100 per cent of its greenhouse gas emissions. The balance of the emissions may<br />

be offset through carbon offsets such as carbon sinks i.e. planting trees to remove carbon from the atmosphere.<br />

3.12 Actively examine carbon sequestration <strong>and</strong> other carbon trading opportunities for<br />

Council <strong>and</strong> the community (Refer to action 8.10)<br />

3.13 Partner with SEQ local governments for local <strong>and</strong> regional carbon sinks 2011* Low<br />

2013* Low Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

(Carbon<br />

Neutral Plan)<br />

Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 49


Objective 4:<br />

Significantly reduce community emissions through engagement, partnership <strong>and</strong> planning<br />

Mitigation<br />

Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />

Underst<strong>and</strong> community greenhouse gas emissions<br />

Purpose: In order to achieve significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions from the community <strong>and</strong> business sector as<br />

the region develops over time, it will be necessary to develop targeted programs in conjunction with the community.<br />

4.1 Undertake community greenhouse gas emissions inventory 2013* Low Corporate<br />

4.2 Develop a forecast for future emissions 2013 Low<br />

Plan<br />

4.3 Develop community emissions reduction plan with target <strong>and</strong> trajectory in partnership<br />

with community<br />

2013 Low<br />

Promote a ‘low carbon’ community <strong>and</strong> business environment<br />

Purpose: Council intends to provide information regarding mitigation opportunities which will promote the change to a ‘low<br />

carbon’ community <strong>and</strong> business environment.<br />

4.4 Partner with State <strong>and</strong> Federal government campaigns where applicable <strong>and</strong>/or<br />

provide complementary programs (Refer to action 2.10)<br />

4.5 Continue to promote <strong>and</strong> exp<strong>and</strong> upon existing Council run community <strong>and</strong> business<br />

engagement programs such as Living Smart, EcoBiz, TravelSmart programs (This<br />

action links to action 8.9)<br />

2011*<br />

2011*<br />

Medium<br />

Medium<br />

Community<br />

Engagement<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

4.6 Support community sustainability programs such as Green <strong>Sunshine</strong> 2011* Medium<br />

4.7 Investigate new initiatives for the reduction of community emissions (in line with 2013* Medium<br />

community emission reduction plan)<br />

4.8 Develop <strong>and</strong> implement a communication campaign <strong>and</strong> inform community, industry 2013* Medium<br />

<strong>and</strong> business regarding energy <strong>and</strong> emission reduction opportunities, carbon footprint,<br />

carbon trading <strong>and</strong> current initiatives (This action links to action 8.9)<br />

4.9 In partnership with energy companies, implement energy dem<strong>and</strong> reduction strategies 2013 Low<br />

Reduce emissions through transport <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> use planning<br />

Purpose: Greenhouse gas emissions for the region are likely to rise as a result of a growing population <strong>and</strong> associated growth<br />

in transport usage <strong>and</strong> urban development. Improving Council’s approach to l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> transport planning can help to<br />

minimise future greenhouse gas emissions from these activities.<br />

4.10 Develop a Sustainable Transport <strong>Strategy</strong> that pursues improved public transport <strong>and</strong><br />

increased active transport (walking <strong>and</strong> cycling) with increased emphasis on a shift to<br />

more sustainable or no emissions travel (This action links to actions 7.15-7.19)<br />

4.11 Support <strong>and</strong> strengthen settlement patterns that continue to incorporate compact<br />

urban forms with emphasis on mixed use <strong>and</strong> transit orientated development principles<br />

4.12 Investigate options to incorporate emission reduction into planning processes 2011* Low<br />

4.13 Mitigate the impacts of climate change through street tree plantings in open spaces 2013* Low<br />

Reduce emissions through building/housing choice<br />

2011 Low Sustainable<br />

Transport<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

2013 Low<br />

Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

Structure<br />

Plans<br />

Open Space<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Purpose: Continued building construction has the potential to increase greenhouse gas emissions in the region. A range of<br />

actions to improve the design <strong>and</strong> orientation of these structures <strong>and</strong> improve the uptake of renewable energy generation <strong>and</strong><br />

other energy efficiency measures can reduce these emissions. Note: State <strong>and</strong> Federal Building Code provisions deal with a number<br />

of these elements which precludes Council from developing further st<strong>and</strong>ards.<br />

4.14 Collaborate with Federal <strong>and</strong> State government, private sector <strong>and</strong> community to<br />

increase housing choice <strong>and</strong> encourage a more affordable housing form that achieves<br />

greater resource efficiency<br />

4.15 Develop <strong>and</strong> implement ecologically sustainable building principles to promote<br />

buildings that are designed to reduce emissions<br />

4.16 Investigate opportunities to incorporate low emission building requirements in the new<br />

planning scheme<br />

4.17 Continue to advocate State <strong>and</strong> Federal government for carbon zero building<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />

2013 Low Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

Affordable<br />

2011 Low<br />

Living <strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Planning<br />

2011 Low<br />

Scheme<br />

2011* Low<br />

4.18 Promote renewable energy use/generation in developments (new <strong>and</strong> existing) 2013 Low<br />

50 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Objective 5: Identify <strong>and</strong> plan for climate change risks<br />

Adaptation<br />

Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />

Identify regional risks <strong>and</strong> vulnerabilities from climate change<br />

Purpose: Gradual long-term changes in climate (i.e. temperatures <strong>and</strong> sea level) <strong>and</strong> changes to climatic extremes (i.e. storms<br />

<strong>and</strong> floods) can be expected on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. Evaluating the implications of these changes can identify environmental,<br />

social <strong>and</strong> economic vulnerabilities to the region <strong>and</strong> inform planning, policy <strong>and</strong> decision making.<br />

5.1 Undertake initial vulnerability <strong>and</strong> hazard mapping to identify major risk areas due to<br />

climate change on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

5.2 Incorporate climate change into all hydrological mapping <strong>and</strong> forecasting 2011 Low<br />

2011 Medium Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

5.3 Complete climate change risk assessments 2016 Medium<br />

Reduce climate change risk through effective l<strong>and</strong> use planning<br />

Purpose: It is intended that outputs from the vulnerability <strong>and</strong> hazard mapping will inform l<strong>and</strong> use planning of the potential<br />

implications of climate change. Where required, planning responses will be developed to avoid or minimize risks.<br />

Note: Council planning responses will be influenced by State Government policies.<br />

5.4 Adjust l<strong>and</strong> use planning approaches to: Planning<br />

►►<br />

Avoid new urban development in major climate change risk areas 2013 Low<br />

Scheme<br />

Open Space<br />

►►<br />

Develop <strong>and</strong> implement planning tools to identify the suitable types of development 2016 Medium <strong>Strategy</strong><br />

based on climate change risk areas<br />

►►<br />

Investigate measures to reduce risk to property <strong>and</strong> assets in major risk areas 2016 Low<br />

►►<br />

►►<br />

Develop planning approaches to manage potential conflicts in relation to competing<br />

l<strong>and</strong> use dem<strong>and</strong>s for energy production (e.g. biofuels), food production, open<br />

space, nature conservation, carbon sequestration <strong>and</strong> urban development<br />

Include measures to ensure public open spaces remain ‘fit for purpose’ under<br />

changed climatic conditions<br />

2013 Low<br />

2013 Low<br />

Incorporate climate change into disaster planning <strong>and</strong> health<br />

Purpose: The potential occurrence of more extreme climatic events over time (e.g. temperatures, storms <strong>and</strong> cyclones) will<br />

need to be recognised <strong>and</strong> proactively addressed through appropriate disaster <strong>and</strong> health planning.<br />

5.5 Long-term disaster response planning to consider climate change risks with particular<br />

attention to vulnerable communities including visitors<br />

5.6 Provide community safety programs that factor in climate change. 2016 Low<br />

5.7 Consider health risks resulting from mosquito borne disease when planning<br />

settlements<br />

5.8 Develop action plans to deal with emergent health risks associated with climate<br />

change i.e. iruk<strong>and</strong>gi stingers, food poisoning organisms<br />

Incorporate climate change into coastal management<br />

<strong>2020</strong><br />

2013<br />

Low<br />

Low<br />

Disaster<br />

Management<br />

Plan<br />

Health <strong>and</strong><br />

Wellbeing<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

2016 Low<br />

Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

Purpose: <strong>Climate</strong> change impacts on coastal processes <strong>and</strong> subsequent changes to coastal erosion <strong>and</strong> coastal inundation will<br />

need to be addressed as part of Council’s approach to coastal management.<br />

5.9 Develop a coastal management strategy with shoreline erosion management plans<br />

where appropriate<br />

5.10 Consider the impacts on public access <strong>and</strong> recreation nodes <strong>and</strong> prepare<br />

management plans <strong>and</strong> alternative solutions for the future<br />

2013<br />

2016<br />

Medium<br />

Low<br />

<strong>Coast</strong>al<br />

Management<br />

Plan<br />

Open Space<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 51


Objective 6: Adapt to the impacts of climate change<br />

Adaptation<br />

Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />

Strengthen resilience of the natural l<strong>and</strong>scape<br />

Purpose: As the climatic conditions start to change, vegetation species <strong>and</strong> ecosystems may decline or be lost. Action is<br />

required to reduce the vulnerability of flora <strong>and</strong> fauna <strong>and</strong> minimise the adverse effects that the loss of vegetation may have on<br />

the waterways.<br />

6.1 Using planning approaches, protect, enhance <strong>and</strong> connect strategic wildlife corridors<br />

<strong>and</strong> riparian corridors (to allow for species shift) <strong>and</strong> reduce pest species<br />

6.2 Protect biodiversity loss from development <strong>and</strong> ensure adequate compensation for<br />

loss that does occur<br />

6.3 Protect opportunities for carbon sinks (This action links to actions 3.12, 3.13 <strong>and</strong> 8.10) 2013* Low<br />

6.4 Protect green open spaces in <strong>and</strong> near communities to provide natural carbon sinks<br />

with consideration for food species (edible l<strong>and</strong>scapes)<br />

6.5 Adjust biodiversity plantings to include a mix of local native species tolerant to potential<br />

future climate characteristics where appropriate<br />

2011* High Biodiversity<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

2011* Low<br />

Waterways<br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />

Foreshores<br />

Management<br />

2013*<br />

2013<br />

Low<br />

Low<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

Open Space<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

6.6 Strengthen partnerships to protect <strong>and</strong> enhance biodiversity <strong>and</strong> waterways 2011* Medium<br />

Reduce dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> adopt water saving measures<br />

Purpose: It is expected that droughts will become more frequent. Reducing water consumption <strong>and</strong> water dem<strong>and</strong> by<br />

implementing integrated water management systems will be crucial as water availability declines.<br />

6.7 Develop <strong>and</strong> implement Integrated Water Management Plans across Council buildings<br />

<strong>and</strong> facilities that consider climate change <strong>and</strong> incorporate water harvesting practices<br />

6.8 Engage with water entities to investigate opportunities for water conservation/<br />

efficiencies <strong>and</strong> emission reduction<br />

6.9 Encourage water harvesting, water reuse <strong>and</strong> other water reduction strategies in<br />

planning scheme provisions<br />

Reduce risk to council assets <strong>and</strong> infrastructure<br />

2016<br />

2013*<br />

2013<br />

High<br />

Low<br />

Low<br />

Flooding <strong>and</strong><br />

Stormwater<br />

Management<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

Purpose: A risk assessment has been undertaken which identifies some of the climate change risks to <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council<br />

infrastructure <strong>and</strong> assets. Actions to reduce the risks are required.<br />

6.10 Set priorities <strong>and</strong> implement actions identified in the <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Infrastructure<br />

Adaptation project developed for <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council infrastructure <strong>and</strong> assets<br />

Promote opportunities<br />

2016 High Asset<br />

Management<br />

Plans<br />

Purpose: While there is much focus on the negative aspects of climate change, there are also opportunities to be identified,<br />

evaluated <strong>and</strong>, if feasible, developed <strong>and</strong> implemented.<br />

6.11 Promote the potential economic benefits that may be derived through adaptation to<br />

accommodate wintering tourists <strong>and</strong> better growing opportunities<br />

2013 Low Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

52 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Objective 7: Reduce oil dependency through innovative measures<br />

Energy Transition<br />

Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />

Identify regional risks <strong>and</strong> vulnerabilities from peak oil<br />

Purpose: Due in part to its regional location, its economy <strong>and</strong> dispersed population, peak oil is likely to significantly affect the<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> with a need to identify the sectors that will be most seriously affected in this region.<br />

7.1 Complete further vulnerability assessments due to peak oil impacts on the <strong>Sunshine</strong><br />

<strong>Coast</strong><br />

Plan for Energy Transition<br />

2011 Low (Energy<br />

Transition<br />

Plan)<br />

Purpose: Council intends to tap into existing community <strong>and</strong> other programs <strong>and</strong> develop further plans, as required, to prepare<br />

for the energy transition to a low carbon <strong>and</strong> low oil future.<br />

7.2 Develop an Energy Transition Plan for the region 2011 Low Corporate<br />

7.3 Support community programs such as Transition Towns 2011* Low<br />

Plan<br />

Reduce Council’s ‘oil footprint’<br />

Purpose: Council will need to reduce it’s exposure to future rising <strong>and</strong> volatile oil prices associated with peak oil.<br />

7.4 Collect baseline data on oil consumption across Council operations 2011 Low Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

7.5 Implement oil reduction strategies with a target of 5 per cent reduction per year 2013* Low<br />

(commencing <strong>2010</strong>/2011 after inventory) in the use of crude oil based fuels<br />

(Energy<br />

Transition<br />

7.6 Progress Information Technology initiatives including ‘Power down’ campaign, work 2011* Low Plan)<br />

from home capability <strong>and</strong> video/web conferencing<br />

Support re-localisation approach across the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

Purpose: Local economies, local food production, local energy <strong>and</strong> water production on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> can provide<br />

resilience to peak oil <strong>and</strong> climate change.<br />

7.7 Support town revitalisation initiatives 2011* Low Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

7.8 Renewed emphasis on local area planning with particular regard to local centres 2011* Low<br />

(villages)<br />

Structure<br />

Plans<br />

7.9 Promote smaller <strong>and</strong> more decentralised sources of water <strong>and</strong> energy 2013* Low Economic<br />

7.10 Facilitate a buy local campaign 2013 Low Development<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Encourage local food production<br />

Purpose: Facilitating the re-emergence of a robust food production sector on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> can help to provide food<br />

security in light of peak oil <strong>and</strong> climate change.<br />

7.11 Protect agricultural l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> encourage local food production for local consumption to<br />

reduce food miles with particular emphasis on rural productive l<strong>and</strong> close to centres<br />

7.12 Council to support community <strong>and</strong> schools in developing community gardens 2013 Low<br />

7.13 Actively promote farmers’ markets 2013 Low<br />

7.14 Work in co-operation with industry to develop <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> regional food br<strong>and</strong> 2013* Low<br />

2013* Low Rural Futures<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

Economic<br />

Development<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Support alternative modes of transport<br />

Purpose: Transport accounts for approximately 27 per cent of the region’s greenhouse gas emissions. These emissions can<br />

be minimised by avoiding vehicle use; changing the types of fuel used; <strong>and</strong> switching to more sustainable transport options.<br />

7.15 Promote active travel modes including walking <strong>and</strong> cycling for short trips 2011* Low Sustainable<br />

7.16 Provide <strong>and</strong> advocate for intra-regional public transport travel 2011* Low<br />

Transport<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

7.17 Provide <strong>and</strong> advocate for inter-regional transport connectivity with Brisbane <strong>and</strong> other 2011* Low Planning<br />

regional centres<br />

Scheme<br />

7.18 Actively pursue opportunities that will financially support provision of public transport 2016 Medium<br />

7.19 Plan for renewable energy recharge requirements of electric powered vehicles (buses,<br />

bikes, scooters, cars)<br />

2016 Low<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 53


Energy Transition<br />

Objective 8: Maximise <strong>and</strong> attract investment in low emission <strong>and</strong> renewable technologies <strong>and</strong><br />

economies<br />

Themes <strong>and</strong> Actions Complete Cost Related strategy<br />

Investigate alternative energy generation opportunities<br />

Purpose: Council intends to identify which alternative energy generation <strong>and</strong> conservation opportunities are practical <strong>and</strong> most<br />

realistic for Council to facilitate <strong>and</strong> promote.<br />

8.1 Undertake <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> energy production assessment to identify projects which<br />

provide long-term, viable <strong>and</strong> cost effective options for renewable energy<br />

8.2 Investigate waste to energy options (Refer to action 3.5) 2011 Low<br />

8.3 Investigate viability of <strong>and</strong> pursue alternative energy projects 2013 Low<br />

Promote Renewable Energy<br />

2011 Low Waste<br />

Minimisation<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

(Energy<br />

Transition<br />

Plan)<br />

Purpose: Ensuring that l<strong>and</strong> use decision making does not impede on renewable energy development on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>.<br />

8.4 Renewable energy generator development to be facilitated in rural areas 2013 Low Planning<br />

8.5 Identify sites suitable for renewable energy facilities 2013 Low<br />

Scheme<br />

Attract <strong>and</strong> grow low impact businesses on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

Purpose: Businesses make a significant contribution to greenhouse gas emissions on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

emissions can be reduced by facilitating the emergence of a low carbon economy business sector <strong>and</strong> encouraging reductions<br />

in energy in existing businesses.<br />

8.6 In partnership with business <strong>and</strong> State Government, develop initiatives that support<br />

current emerging environmental industries <strong>and</strong> attract low carbon businesses <strong>and</strong><br />

providers of energy <strong>and</strong> water efficient solutions to the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>:<br />

►►<br />

Investigate the feasibility of a ‘Low Carbon Energy Technology Hub’ <strong>and</strong> associated<br />

businesses<br />

8.7 Promote new economic activity centres (commercial, retail, industry) to be within or 2016 Low<br />

close to town centres, with emphasis on co-location <strong>and</strong> co-generation<br />

8.8 Develop a business attraction strategy built around the sustainability of Council 2011* Low<br />

8.9 In partnership with business, assist businesses to reduce their costs associated with<br />

a carbon trading scheme <strong>and</strong> encourage reductions of energy <strong>and</strong> water use (This<br />

action links to actions 4.5 <strong>and</strong> 4.8)<br />

Investigate sustainable investment opportunities<br />

2013* Medium Economic<br />

Development<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

2016 Low<br />

Planning<br />

Scheme<br />

2011* Low<br />

Purpose: These actions will investigate lucrative carbon reduction strategies <strong>and</strong> potential business partnerships for Council.<br />

8.10 Actively examine carbon sequestration <strong>and</strong> other carbon trading opportunities for<br />

Council <strong>and</strong> the community (Refer to action 3.12)<br />

8.11 Develop partnerships with business <strong>and</strong> research <strong>and</strong> development in order to create<br />

business opportunities for Council<br />

Diversify local economies<br />

2013 Low Corporate<br />

Plan<br />

2013 Medium<br />

Economic<br />

Development<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Biodiversity<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

Purpose: Providing broadb<strong>and</strong> connection can facilitate opportunities for a wide range of home based businesses <strong>and</strong> the<br />

ability to work remotely rather than travel distances to work.<br />

8.12 Work in partnership with business, State <strong>and</strong> Federal Government to provide<br />

widespread broadb<strong>and</strong> connection to improve business opportunities<br />

2011* Low Economic<br />

Development<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong><br />

54 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Glossary, abbreviations,<br />

references <strong>and</strong><br />

background studies<br />

55


Glossary<br />

Adaptation<br />

Adaptive Capacity<br />

Alternative Energy<br />

Biodiversity<br />

Carbon Dioxide<br />

Carbon Dioxide<br />

Equivalent<br />

Carbon Footprint<br />

Carbon Neutral<br />

Carbon Pollution<br />

Reduction Scheme<br />

Adjustments in human or natural systems, including changes in<br />

behaviour, institutional structure or policy, which are responsible to actual<br />

or expected climate changes <strong>and</strong> have long-term implications<br />

Describes the ability of built, natural, <strong>and</strong> human systems to<br />

accommodate changes in climate (including climate variability <strong>and</strong><br />

climate extremes) with minimal potential damage or cost.<br />

Energy derived from nontraditional sources (e.g., solar, hydroelectric,<br />

wind, compressed natural gas).<br />

Biodiversity commonly refers to a variety of species <strong>and</strong> ecosystems on<br />

earth <strong>and</strong> the ecological processes of which they are a part.<br />

This is a naturally occurring gas <strong>and</strong> is expressed as CO 2<br />

. It is also a byproduct<br />

of burning fossil fuels <strong>and</strong> biomass, as well as l<strong>and</strong> use changes<br />

<strong>and</strong> other industrial processes <strong>and</strong> is the principal human-induced<br />

greenhouse gas that affects the earth’s atmosphere.<br />

Greenhouse gases have differing radiative properties. Emissions are<br />

expressed in terms of their global warming potential or specifically<br />

as CO 2<br />

equivalents (CO 2<br />

e). For example, methane is 21 times more<br />

potent than CO 2<br />

as a greenhouse gas, <strong>and</strong> so one tonne of methane is<br />

expressed as 21 tonnes of CO 2<br />

e emitted.<br />

A carbon footprint is an inventory of all greenhouse gas emissions.<br />

A voluntary mechanism where an activity, event, household, business<br />

or organisation is responsible for achieving zero carbon emissions by<br />

balancing a measured amount of carbon equivalent (CO 2<br />

e) released<br />

with an equivalent amount sequestered or offset. Best practice for<br />

organisations <strong>and</strong> individuals seeking carbon neutral status entails<br />

reducing <strong>and</strong>/or avoiding carbon emissions first so that only unavoidable<br />

emissions are offset.<br />

The main way the Federal Government proposes to achieve Australia’s<br />

greenhouse gas emissions reduction target under the Kyoto Protocol is<br />

via a Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme. This scheme has two distinct<br />

elements: the cap on carbon emissions <strong>and</strong> the ability to trade carbon<br />

permits. In general the Federal Government will set a cap on the total<br />

amount of carbon pollution allowed in the economy with permits issued<br />

up to that annual cap. Industries that emit more than 25,000 tonnes of<br />

greenhouse gases on specified thresholds annually will be required to<br />

obtain a pollution permit for every tonne of greenhouse gas that they emit<br />

– providing a strong incentive for emitters to reduce pollution.<br />

56 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


<strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

<strong>Climate</strong> Hazards<br />

Conventional <strong>Oil</strong><br />

‘Duty of care’<br />

Ecosystems<br />

Energy Transition<br />

Global Warming<br />

Global Circulation Model<br />

The average <strong>and</strong> variations of weather in a region over long periods<br />

of time. The classical period is 30 years, as defined by the World<br />

Meteorological Organization (WMO). These quantities are most often<br />

surface variables such as temperature, rainfall, <strong>and</strong> wind. <strong>Climate</strong> in a<br />

wider sense is the state, including a statistical description, of the climate<br />

system.<br />

This is a descriptive term which encompasses both natural <strong>and</strong> human<br />

induced changes to the climate.<br />

These are significant natural hazards influenced by weather <strong>and</strong> climate<br />

such as cyclones, storms <strong>and</strong> floods. Many natural hazards are climate<br />

hazards, with key exceptions being earthquakes <strong>and</strong> tsunamis.<br />

A term which refers to crude (or unrefined) oil that is extracted from<br />

underground or under the sea floor. Conventional oil currently makes up<br />

approximately 85 per cent of all liquid fuel production, the other 15 per<br />

cent being unconventional oil.<br />

‘Duty of care' is a st<strong>and</strong>ard of reasonable care provided while performing<br />

any acts that could foreseeably harm others.<br />

Natural units consisting of all plants, animals, humans <strong>and</strong> microorganisms<br />

(biotic) in an area functioning together with all of the non-living<br />

physical factors (abiotic) of the environment.<br />

Energy transition is the period of time when the mix of energy sources<br />

used to power a country’s economy changes. The next energy transition<br />

for the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> is preferably towards renewable energy that<br />

powers a localised <strong>and</strong> low carbon economy.<br />

This is the hypothesis that the earth's temperature is being increased,<br />

in part, because of greenhouse gas emissions associated with human<br />

activities, such as burning fossil fuels, biomass burning, cement<br />

manufacture, cow <strong>and</strong> sheep rearing, deforestation <strong>and</strong> other l<strong>and</strong>-use<br />

changes. Global warming <strong>and</strong> climate change are not interchangeable.<br />

Global warming refers to the increase of the Earth's average surface<br />

temperature, due to a build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere,<br />

while climate change is a broader term that refers to long-term changes<br />

in climate, including average temperature <strong>and</strong> precipitation.<br />

Global circulation models (GCMs) are complex computer programs that<br />

consider a range of factors to mathematically simulate global climate.<br />

They are based on mathematical equations derived from our knowledge<br />

of the physics that govern the earth –atmosphere system. Global<br />

circulation models may also be referred to as Global <strong>Climate</strong> models.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 57


Greenhouse Gases<br />

Gross Regional Product/<br />

Gross State Product/<br />

Gross Domestic Product<br />

Impacts<br />

(of climate change)<br />

International Transition<br />

Towns Movement<br />

IPCC<br />

Kyoto Protocol<br />

Liquids<br />

Locational Vulnerability<br />

Low Carbon<br />

Low <strong>Oil</strong><br />

Methane (CH 4<br />

)<br />

Mitigation<br />

The term greenhouse gases refer to a number of gases that contribute<br />

to the greenhouse effect. While carbon dioxide is the most commonly<br />

known greenhouse gas, other greenhouse gases include methane (CH 4<br />

),<br />

Nitrous Oxide (N 2<br />

0), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), sulphur hexafluoride<br />

(SF 6<br />

) <strong>and</strong> hydrofluourocarbons (HFCs). <strong>Change</strong>s in the concentration<br />

of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have been attributed to the<br />

key influence driving climate change via a process called the enhanced<br />

greenhouse effect.<br />

Terms which refer to the market value of all final goods <strong>and</strong> services<br />

produced within a Region, State or Nation in a given period of time.<br />

The effects of climate change on natural, productive <strong>and</strong> human<br />

systems.<br />

International grassroots initiative that encourages the formation of<br />

local transition towns that, through community engagement, can build<br />

community resilience in response to the challenges of peak oil <strong>and</strong><br />

climate change.<br />

The Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC) is a United<br />

Nations scientific body that provides authoritative scientific information<br />

from approximately 4,000 of the world’s leading climate scientists<br />

principally in the atmospheric sciences, but also comprising social,<br />

economic <strong>and</strong> other environmental components potentially impacted by<br />

climate change.<br />

The Kyoto Protocol is a set of rules under the United Nations Framework<br />

Convention on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>. The Convention was a major step<br />

forward in tackling the problem of global warming. Australia became a full<br />

member of the Kyoto Protocol in March 2008.<br />

Refers to ‘liquid fuels’, a commonly used term which refers to both<br />

‘conventional’ oil as well as ‘unconventional’ oil.<br />

An assessment that determines which residential locations will be the<br />

most vulnerable to rising fuel prices <strong>and</strong> increasing transportation costs.<br />

A low carbon economy or low fossil fuel economy is a concept that refers<br />

to an economy which has a minimal output of greenhouse gases.<br />

A low oil economy refers to an economy which has a minimal use of oil.<br />

This is one of the six greenhouse gases to be mitigated under the Kyoto<br />

Protocol. It has a relatively short atmospheric lifetime of 10 ± 2 years.<br />

Primary sources of CH 4<br />

are l<strong>and</strong>fills, coal mines, paddy fields, natural<br />

gas systems, <strong>and</strong> livestock (e.g. cows <strong>and</strong> sheep). It has a global<br />

warming potential of 21 (100 year time horizon).<br />

Activities that are undertaken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.<br />

58 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


National Greenhouse <strong>and</strong><br />

Energy Reporting System<br />

Nitrous Oxide (N 2<br />

0)<br />

No Regrets<br />

OECD<br />

<strong>Oil</strong> Supply ‘Crunch’<br />

<strong>Oil</strong> Vulnerability<br />

(assessment or analysis)<br />

Offsets<br />

<strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong><br />

Precautionary Principle<br />

Regional Energy<br />

Production Opportunities<br />

Renewable Energy<br />

Resilience<br />

A nationally consistent framework for greenhouse gases <strong>and</strong> energy<br />

reporting within the National Greenhouse <strong>and</strong> Energy Reporting Act<br />

2007. This provides the foundation for a potential Carbon Pollution<br />

Reduction Scheme.<br />

One of the six greenhouse gases to be curbed under the Kyoto Protocol,<br />

N 2<br />

0 is generated by burning fossil fuels <strong>and</strong> the manufacture of fertilizer.<br />

It has a global warming potential 310 times that of CO 2<br />

(100 year time<br />

horizon).<br />

A term used to describe actions that result in greenhouse gas limitations<br />

<strong>and</strong> abatement, <strong>and</strong> that also make good environmental <strong>and</strong> economic<br />

sense in their own right.<br />

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation <strong>and</strong> Development (OECD)<br />

is part of the system of Western international institutions developed<br />

after World War II <strong>and</strong> is the main forum for monitoring <strong>and</strong> evaluating<br />

economic trends <strong>and</strong> developments in its 30 member countries. Australia<br />

joined the OECD in 1971.<br />

Refers to the increasing upward pressure on global oil prices as a result<br />

of increasing dem<strong>and</strong> for oil globally not being matched by increasing oil<br />

supplies globally.<br />

Is the examination of the susceptibility of an economy, industry sector<br />

or household to harm from peak oil. Vulnerability is a function of an<br />

economy, industry sector or household’s sensitivity to rising oil prices <strong>and</strong><br />

its capacity to adapt.<br />

Reductions or removals of greenhouse gas emissions that are used to<br />

counterbalance emissions elsewhere in the economy.<br />

The term peak oil is when the rate of global oil production reaches a<br />

peak i.e. it is the point at which the extraction of conventional crude oil<br />

from all oil fields in the world is at its maximum rate <strong>and</strong> signals when the<br />

rate of oil being produced will begin to decline.<br />

A term used to describe an approach where the lack of full scientific<br />

certainty is not used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures<br />

where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage.<br />

An assessment of the potential for energy production options that would<br />

be economically viable on the <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>. This would include the<br />

production of both alternative liquid fuels <strong>and</strong> electricity.<br />

Renewable energy is energy generated from natural resources such<br />

as sunlight, wind, rain, tides, geothermal heat, which are renewable<br />

(naturally replenished).<br />

This is the ability to absorb disturbances, to be changed <strong>and</strong> then<br />

to reorganise <strong>and</strong> still have the same identify (retain the same basic<br />

structure <strong>and</strong> ways of functioning). It includes the ability to learn from the<br />

disturbance.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 59


Risk<br />

Scenario<br />

Sector<br />

Sensitivity<br />

SimCLIM<br />

SRES Scenarios<br />

Systems<br />

Weather<br />

Unconventional <strong>Oil</strong><br />

Vulnerability<br />

The probability that a situation will produce harm under specific<br />

conditions. Risk is generally defined as a combination of the likelihood of<br />

an occurrence <strong>and</strong> the consequence of that occurrence.<br />

A term used to describe a plausible description of how the future<br />

may develop, based on a coherent <strong>and</strong> internally consistent set of<br />

assumptions about key relationships <strong>and</strong> driving forces (e.g. rate of<br />

technology change)<br />

A general term used to describe any resource, ecological system,<br />

species, management area, activity, or other area of interest that may be<br />

affected by climate change.<br />

The degree to which a built, natural, or human system is directly or<br />

indirectly affected by changes in climate conditions (e.g. temperature <strong>and</strong><br />

rainfall) or specific climate change impacts (e.g. sea level rise, increased<br />

water temperature).<br />

A climate change model where outputs <strong>and</strong> projections are generated<br />

by adjusting local climate variables in accordance with the patterns<br />

associated with a selected global circulation model <strong>and</strong> climate change<br />

scenario. The Hadley GCM was used for the projections in this <strong>Strategy</strong>.<br />

These are emission scenarios developed by Nakićenović <strong>and</strong> Swart<br />

(2000) <strong>and</strong> used, among others, as a basis for some of the climate<br />

projections shown in Chapter 10 of the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4)<br />

produced by the IPCC (IPCC 2000).<br />

This refer to the built, natural, <strong>and</strong> human networks that provide<br />

important services or activities within a community or region. Built<br />

systems can refer to networks of facilities, buildings, <strong>and</strong> transportation<br />

infrastructure such as roads <strong>and</strong> bridges. Natural systems can refer to<br />

ecological networks of fish, wildlife, <strong>and</strong> natural resources like water.<br />

Human systems can refer to networks of public health clinics, courts, <strong>and</strong><br />

government.<br />

The weather is a set of all extant phenomena in a given atmosphere<br />

at a given time. It also includes interactions with the hydrosphere. The<br />

term usually refers to the activity of these phenomena over short periods<br />

(hours or days), as opposed to the term climate, which refers to the<br />

average atmospheric conditions over longer periods of time.<br />

Refers to oil shales; oil s<strong>and</strong>s-based synthetic crudes <strong>and</strong> derivative<br />

products; coal-based liquid supplies; biomass-based liquid supplies; <strong>and</strong><br />

liquids arising from chemical processing of natural gas.<br />

This is the susceptibility of a system to harm from climate change or<br />

peak oil. Vulnerability is a function of a system’s sensitivity <strong>and</strong> the<br />

capacity of that system to adapt.<br />

60 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Abbreviations<br />

CCP<br />

CO 2<br />

CO 2<br />

e<br />

COAG<br />

CPRS<br />

CSIRO<br />

GCM<br />

GWP<br />

ICLEI<br />

IEA<br />

IPCC<br />

IUCN<br />

LGAQ<br />

OECD<br />

ppm<br />

SEQ<br />

Cities for <strong>Climate</strong> Protection program<br />

Carbon dioxide<br />

Emissions equivalent to carbon dioxide<br />

Council of Australian Governments<br />

Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme<br />

Australian Commonwealth Scientific <strong>and</strong> Industrial Research Organisation<br />

Global Circulation Model<br />

Global Warming Potential<br />

International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives<br />

International Energy Agency<br />

Intergovernmental Panel on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

International Union for Conservation of Nature<br />

Local Government Association of Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />

Organisation for Economic Co-operation <strong>and</strong> Development<br />

Parts per million<br />

South East Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 61


References<br />

Abbs D. (CSIRO) (2009) SEQ,<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Severe<br />

Weather, Centre for Australian<br />

Weather <strong>and</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> Research<br />

Presentation, A partnership<br />

between CSIRO <strong>and</strong> the Bureau<br />

of Meteorology.<br />

Antarctic <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>and</strong> Ecosystems<br />

Cooperative Research Centre<br />

(Ace CRC) (2008) Position<br />

Analysis: <strong>Climate</strong> change, sealevel<br />

rise <strong>and</strong> extreme events:<br />

impacts <strong>and</strong> adaptation issues.<br />

Australian Government (2008)<br />

Department of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>,<br />

Carbon Pollution Reduction<br />

Scheme: Australia's low pollution<br />

future White Paper 15 December<br />

2008.<br />

Australian Government (2009)<br />

Department of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>,<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> – Potential<br />

Impacts <strong>and</strong> Costs Fact Sheet.<br />

Australian Government (2009),<br />

Department of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>,<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Risks to<br />

Australia’s <strong>Coast</strong>, A First Pass<br />

National Assessment.<br />

Brisbane City Council (2007)<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> Energy<br />

Taskforce Final Report: A Call for<br />

Action.<br />

<strong>Climate</strong>Risk Pty Ltd (2009)<br />

Scoping <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Risk for<br />

MBRC, Moreton Bay Regional<br />

Council <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Risk<br />

Assessment.<br />

CLIMsystems Ltd. (2007)<br />

SimCLIM Essentials.<br />

Church J.A., White N.J., Aarup<br />

T., Wilson W.S., Woodworth P.L.,<br />

Domingues C.M., Hunter J.R. <strong>and</strong><br />

Lambeck (2008) Underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

global sea levels: past, present<br />

<strong>and</strong> future Sustainability Science<br />

Volume 3, Number 1 April, 2008 .<br />

Commonwealth of Australia<br />

(2008) The Garnaut <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong> Review Final Report 30<br />

September 2008.<br />

CSIRO (2007) <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> in<br />

Australia – Technical Report 2007.<br />

CSIRO (2007) <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

in Australia: Observed <strong>Change</strong>s<br />

<strong>and</strong> Projections. CSIRO <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Australian Bureau of Meteorology<br />

for the Australian <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

Science Programme.<br />

CSIRO (2007) Infrastructure <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Risk Assessment<br />

for Victoria Prepared for the<br />

Victorian Government by CSIRO,<br />

Maunsell Australia Pty Ltd <strong>and</strong><br />

Phillips Fox.<br />

Department for Communities<br />

<strong>and</strong> Local Government, United<br />

Kingdom (2007) Planning Policy<br />

Statement: Planning <strong>and</strong> <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong>, December 2007.<br />

Dunlop I. (2007) <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> – an integrated policy<br />

response for Australia, March 2007.<br />

European Commission (2007)<br />

Denmark Energy Mix Fact Sheet<br />

January 2007<br />

Garnaut, Ross (2008) The Garnaut<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Review, chapter<br />

7 Australia’s Emissions in a Global<br />

Context.<br />

Garrett, Hon Peter (2008), MP<br />

Minister for the Environment,<br />

Heritage <strong>and</strong> the Arts, Keynote<br />

Address to the Green Capital<br />

Event, Hilton Hotel, Sydney 20<br />

November 2008.<br />

Gold <strong>Coast</strong> City Council (2009)<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> 2009-<br />

2014.<br />

Gurran N., Hamin E. <strong>and</strong> Norman<br />

B. (2008) Planning for climate<br />

change: Leading Practice<br />

Principles <strong>and</strong> Models for Sea<br />

<strong>Change</strong> Communities in <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />

Australia Prepared for the National<br />

Sea <strong>Change</strong> Taskforce July 2008.<br />

Hunter J. (2008) Ways of<br />

Estimating <strong>Change</strong>s in Sea Level<br />

Extremes Under Conditions of<br />

Rising Sea Level Antarctic <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> Ecosystems Cooperative<br />

Research Centre IPWEA National<br />

Conference on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

Response, Coffs Harbour, 3-5<br />

August 2008.<br />

Hunter, J.R. (2009), Estimating Sea<br />

Level Extremes Under Conditions<br />

of Uncertain Sea Level Rise.<br />

International Energy Agency<br />

(2008) World Energy Outlook<br />

2008.<br />

Intergovernmental Panel<br />

on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC)<br />

(2007a) <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> 2007:<br />

The Physical Science Basis –<br />

Summary for Policy Makers.<br />

Intergovernmental Panel on<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Working Group<br />

One. 2007.<br />

Intergovernmental Panel<br />

for <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (IPCC)<br />

(2007) <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> 2007:<br />

The Physical Science Basis.<br />

Contribution of Working Group 1<br />

to the Fourth Assessment Report<br />

of the Intergovernmental Panel<br />

on <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (eds. S.<br />

Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z.<br />

Chen, M.C. Marquis, K. Averyt,<br />

M. Tignor <strong>and</strong> H.L. Miller).<br />

Intergovernmental Panel on<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>, Cambridge <strong>and</strong><br />

New York.<br />

Lerch, D (2007), Post Carbon<br />

Cities: Planning for Energy <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Climate</strong> Uncertainty, Post Carbon<br />

Institute, CA, USA.<br />

Local Government Association<br />

of Queensl<strong>and</strong> (LGAQ) (2007)<br />

Adapting to <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>: A<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Local Government<br />

Guide. June 2007.<br />

Maunsell Australia Pty Ltd (2008)<br />

Garnaut <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Review:<br />

Impact of climate change on<br />

infrastructure in Australia <strong>and</strong><br />

CGE model inputs Maunsell<br />

Australia Pty Ltd, in association<br />

with CSIRO Sustainable<br />

Ecosystems.<br />

Maunsell Australia Pty Ltd (2008)<br />

Towards a City of Melbourne<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> Adaptation<br />

<strong>Strategy</strong> – A Risk Assessment <strong>and</strong><br />

Action Plan Discussion Paper,<br />

City of Melbourne, July 2008.<br />

Office of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> UK<br />

(2006) Stern Review on the<br />

Economics of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>.<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government (2007)<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong>’s Vulnerability to<br />

Rising <strong>Oil</strong> Prices, Taskforce<br />

Report.<br />

62 <strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong>


Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government<br />

Department of Environment <strong>and</strong><br />

Resource Management (DERM)<br />

(2009) <strong>Climate</strong> Q: toward a<br />

greener Queensl<strong>and</strong>.<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government<br />

Department of Environment <strong>and</strong><br />

Resource Management (DERM)<br />

(2009) Draft Queensl<strong>and</strong> <strong>Coast</strong>al<br />

Plan, Draft State Planning Policy,<br />

August 2009.<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government<br />

Department of Infrastructure <strong>and</strong><br />

Planning (DIP) (2008) South<br />

East Queensl<strong>and</strong> Regional Plan<br />

2009–2031.<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government,<br />

Department of Infrastructure <strong>and</strong><br />

Planning (DIP) (2008) South East<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

Management Plan Draft for Public<br />

Consultation July 2009.<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government<br />

Department of the Premier<br />

<strong>and</strong> Cabinet (2008), Towards<br />

Q2: Tomorrows Queensl<strong>and</strong>,<br />

September 2008.<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government Office of<br />

Clean Energy (2009), Queensl<strong>and</strong><br />

Renewable Energy Plan June<br />

2009.<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government Office<br />

of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> (2007),<br />

<strong>Climate</strong>Smart Adaptation Plan<br />

2007-2012 An Action Plan for<br />

Managing the Impacts of <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong>.<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong> Government<br />

McNamara Report (2007)<br />

Queensl<strong>and</strong>’s Vulnerability to<br />

Rising <strong>Oil</strong> Prices - <strong>Oil</strong> Vulnerability<br />

Taskforce Report 2005.<br />

our plac<br />

ace<br />

our<br />

future<br />

ur<br />

Snover, A.K., Whitely Binder<br />

L., Lopez J., Willmott E., Kay<br />

J., Howell D. <strong>and</strong> Simmonds J.<br />

(2007) Preparing for <strong>Climate</strong><br />

<strong>Change</strong>: A Guidebook for Local,<br />

Regional <strong>and</strong> State Governments.<br />

In association with <strong>and</strong> published<br />

by ICLEI – Local Governments for<br />

Sustainability, Oakl<strong>and</strong>, CA.<br />

Steffen W (2009) Faster <strong>Change</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> More Serious Risks Australian<br />

Government Department of<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong>.<br />

Stern N (2006) Review on the<br />

Economics of <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

2006.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> Council (SCRC)<br />

(2009) Corporate Plan 2009-2014.<br />

Tasmania Government (2006)<br />

Draft <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> for<br />

Tasmania, Department of Primary<br />

Industries <strong>and</strong> Water, Tasmania.<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong><br />

<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong><br />

Background studies<br />

<strong>Sunshine</strong> <strong>Coast</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Peak</strong> <strong>Oil</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> <strong>2010</strong>-<strong>2020</strong> 63


Back Cover

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!