Dave Turner - BP - Subsea UK
Dave Turner - BP - Subsea UK
Dave Turner - BP - Subsea UK
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Reaching Further and Going Deeper:<br />
Challenges on the <strong>Subsea</strong> Business<br />
<strong>Dave</strong> <strong>Turner</strong>; Vice President<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Production Operations, Global Operations <strong>BP</strong><br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> <strong>UK</strong> Aberdeen, Scotland, <strong>UK</strong>, Exhibition and Conference Centre February 8th, 2012
The future of energy – a look into demand<br />
Global Oil Consumption/Day:<br />
Currently approx. 82 mil bbls/day<br />
Source: CIA World Factbook (ISSN 1553-8133)
The future of energy – a look into demand<br />
Global Oil Consumption/Day:<br />
Projected +40% 2030<br />
Source: <strong>BP</strong>'S 2nd edition of Energy Outlook 2030<br />
3
The role of fossil fuels<br />
Source: <strong>BP</strong> Energy Outlook 2030<br />
4
The future of energy – a look into supply<br />
Deepwater production 2010<br />
Top 15 countries, kboepd<br />
Deepwater production 2020<br />
Top 15 + new countries, kboepd<br />
Oil Gas Oil Gas<br />
US 1,279<br />
468<br />
2,325<br />
323<br />
Brazil 1,481<br />
134<br />
2,618<br />
166<br />
Angola 1,140<br />
14<br />
1,436<br />
86<br />
Nigeria 779<br />
102<br />
1,103<br />
55<br />
Norway<br />
359<br />
23<br />
368<br />
Egypt<br />
351<br />
29<br />
350<br />
India<br />
340<br />
134<br />
453<br />
• Deepwater oil production<br />
today is dominated by<br />
Brazil, US, Angola and<br />
Nigeria<br />
Equatorial Guinea 166<br />
Malaysia<br />
103<br />
Congo<br />
Philippines<br />
27<br />
14<br />
0<br />
57<br />
117<br />
259<br />
78<br />
38<br />
93<br />
147<br />
9<br />
59<br />
• Deepwater gas production<br />
today is dominated by US,<br />
Norway, Egypt and India<br />
• Deepwater production<br />
growth is rapid, at 6% per<br />
year over the next decade<br />
• Of which, ultra deep water<br />
(>1500 m) is expected to<br />
grow at 12%<br />
Cote d’Ivoire<br />
Australia<br />
United Kingdom<br />
Indonesia<br />
Israel<br />
China<br />
Source: Rystad Energy; McKinsey analysis<br />
5<br />
3<br />
6<br />
5<br />
26<br />
3<br />
121<br />
480<br />
168<br />
84<br />
99<br />
338<br />
35<br />
328<br />
1<br />
139<br />
>1500m 450-1500m<br />
5
30++years<br />
The journey into deepwater<br />
~15 years<br />
Shelf to Deepwater<br />
1975 1987 1999/2000 2000 2008 2010<br />
6
30++years<br />
Shelf to Deepwater<br />
~15 years<br />
1975 1987 1999/2000 2000 2008 2010<br />
7
Technology Advancement In The Water<br />
• From Diver to ROV to AUV<br />
• DIVER: man & hands in the water, with a practical limitation of ~185 meters<br />
• ROV: technology on a power umbilical with limitations of up to ~2,750 meters<br />
• AUV: Autonomous Underwater Vehicle – no umbilical & capabilities to ~1,800<br />
meters
SURVEY Survey CAPABILITY<br />
Capability<br />
Visually we have advanced from this to this capability at 1,500<br />
meters of water depth from JUST 2001 to 2009
SURVEY Survey CAPABILITY<br />
Capability<br />
Visually we have advanced from this to this capability at 1,500<br />
meters of water depth from JUST 2001 to 2009
Deepwater Horizon<br />
An accident which in the process……<br />
• Pushed the limits for complex simops multi ROV operations<br />
• Operated multiple major vessels in close proximity–for extended periods<br />
• Constructed complex novel seabed systems<br />
• Connected them to DP vessels in short timetables<br />
• Conducted extensive monitoring campaigns<br />
• Demonstrated skills of the subsea industry<br />
11
<strong>Subsea</strong> Containment Scheme:<br />
Final State
<strong>Subsea</strong> Containment Scheme:<br />
Final State
<strong>BP</strong> is committed to making deepwater safe<br />
• Highly reliable designs with qualification<br />
• Identification and closure of any technology gaps<br />
• Real-time monitoring and inspection techniques<br />
14
<strong>BP</strong> is committed to making deepwater safe<br />
• Consolidated and further strengthened the foundation of our business<br />
• Created a stronger, more focused and even safer organization<br />
• Established guidelines<br />
• Built a stand-alone Safety and Operational Risk organization<br />
• Resumed drilling in the Gulf of Mexico –under our new voluntary drilling standards<br />
• Drill more than 12 exploration wells by 2013 - investing $1Bn in Exploration Drilling<br />
15
<strong>BP</strong> is committed to making deepwater safe<br />
Accident prevention is our top priority.<br />
We remain committed to the deepwater.<br />
This work never stops…<br />
and reinforcing safety will remain our enduring 1st priority.<br />
16
<strong>Subsea</strong> Challenges & Expectations<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater
Monitoring for Defects<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater<br />
AT COMPONENT<br />
LEVEL<br />
FIELD WIDE<br />
18
Condition Monitoring & Integrity Management<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater<br />
Anomaly based Condition<br />
Monitoring for Insulation Loss<br />
Predictive failure as opposed to<br />
Reactive Mode<br />
19
Standards Processes & Practices<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater<br />
20
People and Organisation<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater<br />
21
Learning and Continuous Improvement<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater<br />
22
Tools and Technology<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater<br />
INTEGRATED REAL TIME<br />
DATA DECISION MAKING<br />
IN 3-D<br />
•HIPPS<br />
•BOOSTING<br />
23
Human Capability and Capacity<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater<br />
24
Human Capability and Capacity<br />
<strong>Subsea</strong> Operating<br />
Infrastructure<br />
Major Projects<br />
In Deepwater<br />
OPERATING MANAGEMENT<br />
SYSTEM<br />
25
Summary<br />
Deepwater and the <strong>Subsea</strong> Business have a significant role to play…<br />
26
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