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Opportunities for Cooperation between Estonia and ... - Valitsus

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longer supports the viability of such investments. As a result, many Finnish<br />

companies have wound up, or are winding up, their business operations in<br />

<strong>Estonia</strong>.<br />

Although the situation in <strong>Estonia</strong> has changed in many sectors <strong>and</strong> income<br />

levels have risen, it is still too early to talk about any actual levelling-out of<br />

labour costs. During 1995–2006, the Finnish economy grew at an average<br />

annual rate of 3.8% <strong>and</strong> the <strong>Estonia</strong>n at 6.6%. If the same trend continues,<br />

wages will increase by 50% in Finl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> 100% in <strong>Estonia</strong> by 2015. It would<br />

mean that the ratio of average incomes will stretch to 64%. Even though<br />

these average figures are speculative, they suggest that the differences are<br />

not levelling out any time soon.<br />

As in the past, the differences in labour costs <strong>and</strong> wages <strong>between</strong> <strong>Estonia</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Finl<strong>and</strong> will boost economic growth <strong>and</strong> convergence in both countries. The<br />

two economies cannot be said to be integrated until incomes <strong>and</strong> the cost of<br />

labour are equalized.<br />

Recommendations:<br />

• An <strong>Estonia</strong>n-Finnish working group should be established to prepare a<br />

joint strategy <strong>for</strong> solving labour problems <strong>and</strong> issues related to the ageing<br />

of the population. Both governments <strong>and</strong> the labour market organizations<br />

should be represented in the working group.<br />

• An <strong>Estonia</strong>n-Finnish labour market survey should be carried out to<br />

determine the need <strong>for</strong> additional labour <strong>and</strong> evaluate the potential <strong>for</strong><br />

importing qualified labour from third countries.<br />

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