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the world of private banking

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68<br />

THE WORLD OF PRIVAtE BANKING<br />

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Figure 4.5<br />

Bankers’ balances with Bank <strong>of</strong> England head <strong>of</strong>fice, percentage<br />

swing around estimated reserve floors<br />

first quarter 1867 (following <strong>the</strong> 1866 crisis) and at £9m. from first quarter 1874<br />

(following <strong>the</strong> international events <strong>of</strong> 1873). <br />

Lagging an inferred floor change to <strong>the</strong> first quarter <strong>of</strong> a post-crisis year allows<br />

<strong>the</strong> full (proportional) extent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> increase in reserves in <strong>the</strong> wake <strong>of</strong> panic or<br />

severe disruption to be displayed. Figure 4.5 portrays <strong>the</strong> proportional net swings<br />

around <strong>the</strong> presumed sequence <strong>of</strong> rising reserve floors. For any quarterly average<br />

figure <strong>of</strong> net bankers’ balances, <strong>the</strong> proportional net swing has been calculated in<br />

<strong>the</strong> following, two-stage manner: total balances minus <strong>the</strong> ‘guess estimate’ <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

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The 1878 crisis produced only a short-term shock, with bankers’ balances declining<br />

<strong>the</strong>reafter. However, as <strong>the</strong> banks’ public liabilities also fell during <strong>the</strong> aftermath <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

City <strong>of</strong> Glasgow Bank crash, <strong>the</strong>ir cash ratios rose. See M. Collins, ‘The Banking Crisis <strong>of</strong><br />

1878’, in Economic History Review, 2nd ser., vol. 42, 1989, p. 521.

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