t and F distribution notes

t and F distribution notes t and F distribution notes

01.08.2014 Views

Ch. 4 χ 2 , t, and F • Summary of Theoretical Background • Examples (involving one sample): 1. Confidence interval for µ using the t distribution 2. A test for µ using the F distribution 1

Ch. 4 χ 2 , t, <strong>and</strong> F<br />

• Summary of Theoretical Background<br />

• Examples (involving one sample):<br />

1. Confidence interval for µ using the t <strong>distribution</strong><br />

2. A test for µ using the F <strong>distribution</strong><br />

1


Summary of Theoretical Background<br />

• X 1 , X 2 , . . . , X n is a r<strong>and</strong>om sample from a normal population with<br />

mean or expected value µ <strong>and</strong> variance σ 2 .<br />

• S 2 is the sample variance <strong>and</strong> ¯X is the sample mean.<br />

• (n − 1)S 2 /σ 2 is a χ 2 (n−1)<br />

r<strong>and</strong>om variable.<br />

• If Z is st<strong>and</strong>ard normal <strong>and</strong> X is χ 2 , <strong>and</strong> Z <strong>and</strong> X are independent,<br />

(ν)<br />

then T = √ Z is a t r<strong>and</strong>om variable on ν degrees of freedom.<br />

X/ν<br />

• If X 1 ∼ χ 2 ν 1<br />

<strong>and</strong> X 2 ∼ χ 2 ν 2<br />

, <strong>and</strong> X 1 <strong>and</strong> X 2 are independent, then<br />

F = X 1/ν 1<br />

X 2 /ν 2<br />

has an F <strong>distribution</strong> on ν 1 <strong>and</strong> ν 2 degrees of freedom.<br />

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A t R<strong>and</strong>om Variable<br />

• If X 1 , X 2 , . . . , X n are independent normal measurements with mean<br />

µ <strong>and</strong> variance σ 2 , then<br />

is st<strong>and</strong>ard normal.<br />

Z = ¯X − µ<br />

σ/ √ n<br />

• We estimate σ with S:<br />

is not st<strong>and</strong>ard normal.<br />

T = ¯X − µ<br />

S/ √ n<br />

• T has a t <strong>distribution</strong> on n − 1 degrees of freedom.<br />

• The number of degrees of freedom = denominator of S 2 .<br />

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• The density of the t <strong>distribution</strong> is bell-shaped like the normal, but it is<br />

flatter <strong>and</strong> more spread out.<br />

• As the number of degrees of freedom increases, a t r<strong>and</strong>om variable<br />

becomes more <strong>and</strong> more like a st<strong>and</strong>ard normal r<strong>and</strong>om variable:<br />

t n−1 → z as n increases


Percentiles of the t <strong>distribution</strong><br />

• Given in a table at the back of the textbook.<br />

• Or use qt(1-a, df)<br />

• Example. Find the value of t .025,7 .<br />

Look at the 7th row <strong>and</strong> 5th column: t .025,7 = 2.365. or<br />

qt(.975, 7); [1] 2.364624<br />

• Example. Find the value of t .025,∞ .<br />

Look at the bottom row <strong>and</strong> 3rd column: t .025,∞ = z .025 = 1.96.<br />

4


Example: Confidence interval for µ<br />

• Find a 95% confidence interval for the expected value of<br />

concentration measurements taken from a chemical process. Sample<br />

measurements are<br />

204 190 202 207<br />

204 202 201 195<br />

• If X de<strong>notes</strong> a concentration measurement, then ¯x = 201.,<br />

s = 5.50, <strong>and</strong> n = 8 so a 95% confidence interval for µ = E[X] is<br />

¯x ± t .025,7<br />

s<br />

√<br />

8<br />

= 201 ± 2.365(5.5)/ √ 8<br />

= 201 ± 4.60<br />

5


The F <strong>distribution</strong><br />

• Recall that Z 2 is χ 2 (1) <strong>and</strong> (n − 1)S2 /σ 2 is χ 2 (n−1) , <strong>and</strong> S2 <strong>and</strong> ¯X<br />

are independent, if the underlying sample is r<strong>and</strong>om <strong>and</strong> normal with<br />

mean µ <strong>and</strong> variance σ 2 .<br />

• Therefore,<br />

( ¯X − µ) 2<br />

S 2 /n<br />

has an F <strong>distribution</strong> on 1 <strong>and</strong> n − 1 degrees of freedom.<br />

• Percentiles of the F <strong>distribution</strong> can be read from the F tables at the<br />

back of the book or use qf(1-a, n1, n2)<br />

• e.g. f .95,1,7 = 5.59 or qf(.95, 1, 7); [1] 5.591448<br />

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Example: Testing µ (using the F <strong>distribution</strong>)<br />

• Is the expected value of the concentration measurements different<br />

from 207?<br />

• We test this by contradiction:<br />

Suppose µ = 207. Then<br />

f =<br />

(¯x − µ)2<br />

s 2 /n<br />

=<br />

(201 − 207)2<br />

5.5 2 /8<br />

= 9.52<br />

Conclusion: This value exceeds 5.59, so the probability of observing<br />

an f value this large, under our assumption (called the Null<br />

Hypothesis) is less than .05. We have evidence that the true<br />

expected concentration differs from 207.<br />

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