Public Financial Management for PRSP - Deutsches Institut für ...
Public Financial Management for PRSP - Deutsches Institut für ...
Public Financial Management for PRSP - Deutsches Institut für ...
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Box 10: The <strong>for</strong>mal and in<strong>for</strong>mal institutions affecting budget <strong>for</strong>mulation<br />
Formal institution In<strong>for</strong>mal institution Outcomes<br />
MTEF Stage 1<br />
A resource committee <strong>for</strong>med of the<br />
divisions of the MoF, NSO, RBM, and<br />
MEPD does macro economic modelling<br />
to <strong>for</strong>ecast economic growth and estimate<br />
resources available. The process has<br />
problems: the modelling is done after<br />
budget process has moved to advanced<br />
stages. GDP growth rate is often overestimated.<br />
MRA tends to under-report its<br />
collections or capacity to collect.<br />
MTEF Stage 2<br />
MoF conducts hearings where ministries<br />
and departments present their goals,<br />
objectives and activities and indicate<br />
priorities based on the M<strong>PRSP</strong> and costings.<br />
Donors influence the modeling. Executive would<br />
like to overestimate growth to give a good impression,<br />
enable planning <strong>for</strong> a bigger budget and create<br />
positive expectations among economic agents.<br />
Stakeholders act as if estimates are robust.<br />
An in<strong>for</strong>mal process that ignores the MTEF begins<br />
as line ministries inflate resource bids to MoF to<br />
receive a minimum requirement as it is known that<br />
MoF cuts budget even if appropriate budgets are<br />
submitted.<br />
Due to limited resources, the reallocation is done by<br />
some members of the cabinet, CCE a meets seldomly.<br />
Technocrats know that even if they present<br />
accurate technical proposals, the president and<br />
cabinet may change it.<br />
A budget that is set to overexpend,<br />
and necessitates borrowing.<br />
A budget that reflects political<br />
interests rather than a pro-poor<br />
focus. Some departments get too<br />
big allocations given their contribution<br />
to poverty reduction.