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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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identifying the intentions <strong>and</strong> forecasting the practical<br />

actions of numerous international <strong>and</strong> transnational<br />

forces, particularly the western think tanks producing<br />

closed work for government. “This is why many important<br />

processes end up outside our field of view,”<br />

he asserted. However, he noted forms of opposition,<br />

economic, information-based, <strong>and</strong> psychological, having<br />

a substantial impact on the nature of warfare <strong>and</strong><br />

the development <strong>and</strong> training of armed forces. Stressing<br />

that nuclear weapons remain the most important<br />

<strong>and</strong> reliable means to ensure the security of the <strong>Russian</strong><br />

state, he said that with the nature of new threats<br />

nuclear weapons could not be regarded in absolute<br />

terms. Gareev noted:<br />

Having a mindset that Russia’s security is guaranteed<br />

as long as there are nuclear weapons do not conform<br />

fully to the new realities. We know the Soviet Union<br />

had nuclear weapons, but nuclear weapons remain<br />

<strong>and</strong> there is no union state. 75<br />

Moreover, he emphasized that such weapons cannot<br />

be general-purpose, stressing their use is futile<br />

in local situations such as Chechnya or to neutralize<br />

economic <strong>and</strong> information threats or all types of<br />

subversive activity. Drawing on the experience of the<br />

Great Patriotic War, Gareev said it was time to assess<br />

the merits of the decisive importance not only of the<br />

initial period of war, but above all the first strategic<br />

strike. Reminding his audience of the difficulties the<br />

Red Army faced in the first few months following the<br />

German invasion in 1941, then referring to more recent<br />

conflicts in the Persian Gulf <strong>and</strong> Yugoslavia (1991 <strong>and</strong><br />

1999 respectively), he said in modern conditions it is<br />

impossible to withst<strong>and</strong> a massive first strike. “Therefore,<br />

as in the fight against terrorism, more aggressive<br />

68

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