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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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that the conventional transformation had resulted in<br />

achieving the capability to deploy brigades within “1<br />

hour,” it seems that a tenuous consensus was reached<br />

amounting to recognition that the reforms had not<br />

damaged readiness levels (which were very low prior<br />

to launching Serdyukov’s reform). 73 An additional<br />

area of widespread disagreement related to ab<strong>and</strong>oning<br />

Russia’s traditional self-reliance on its defense<br />

industry for its procurement needs. The admission in<br />

September 2009 that talks were underway between<br />

Moscow <strong>and</strong> Paris on the possible procurement of the<br />

Mistral class amphibious assault ship brought the controversy<br />

over seeking foreign armaments <strong>and</strong> equipment<br />

to the fore <strong>and</strong> this internal tussle most likely<br />

carried over into the issue of finalizing the military<br />

doctrine. 74 The reformers also knew the draft paid<br />

scant regard to the new look <strong>and</strong> had to brace themselves<br />

to press ahead with the reform despite the impending<br />

publication of a doctrine that seems at odds<br />

with the agenda.<br />

While nuclear preemption <strong>and</strong> lowering the threshold<br />

was clearly on the agenda, an event in early December<br />

2009 in Moscow may well have proven to be<br />

an opportunity to move a voice of reason center stage.<br />

On December 8, 2009, an assembly of the Academy<br />

of Military Sciences held in Moscow examined urgent<br />

problems in the development of military science <strong>and</strong><br />

improving the country’s defense. In the presence of<br />

many of the military top brass, the keynote speech was<br />

given by the President of the Academy, Army-General<br />

(Retired) Makhmut Gareev. His wide-ranging speech<br />

covered the situation in Afghanistan, the expansion of<br />

NATO, the South Caucasus, Central Asia, transnational<br />

threats, <strong>and</strong> changes in the strategic environment.<br />

Gareev said that insufficient attention was given to<br />

67

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