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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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<strong>Nuclear</strong> Posture <strong>and</strong> Redrafting.<br />

Despite the reset in U.S.-<strong>Russian</strong> relations that<br />

largely took place in the fall of 2009 around the ongoing<br />

START talks, senior <strong>Russian</strong> security officials<br />

not only implied that consideration was being given<br />

to lowering the nuclear threshold, but also to the extension<br />

of nuclear deterrence to involve local conflicts.<br />

Although he was not intending to promote an image<br />

of continued conventional military weakness, Secretary<br />

of the Security Council <strong>and</strong> former Director of the<br />

FSB, Nikolai Patrushev, revealed details of changes to<br />

the draft military doctrine in relation to the country’s<br />

nuclear posture. In an interview with journalists in<br />

Novosibirsk on October 8, 2009, Patrushev signaled<br />

that the doctrine was being “fine-tuned,” <strong>and</strong> may include<br />

the right to use a “preventative nuclear strike.” 60<br />

He also stated that Moscow’s greatest priority was to<br />

“keep its nuclear state status” <strong>and</strong> that “conditions of<br />

the deployment of nuclear weapons” were corrected<br />

to allow their use “not only in global but also regional<br />

<strong>and</strong> even local conflicts.” He also said: “The conditions<br />

for the use of nuclear weapons to repel aggression<br />

with the use of conventional weaponry in largescale,<br />

but also in regional <strong>and</strong> even in a local war have<br />

been corrected. Moreover, in situations critical for national<br />

security, the inflicting of a preventive nuclear<br />

strike upon an aggressor is not excluded.” However,<br />

his meaning was clear, since during his interview he<br />

left little scope for doubt, using the word preventivnyy<br />

(preventive) several times <strong>and</strong> only once using the<br />

term uprezhdayuschiy (preemptive). 61 It is also important<br />

to note that General Baluyevsky provided tacit<br />

support for these comments, confirming on October<br />

64

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