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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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differences between the military doctrine in 2000 <strong>and</strong><br />

that being worked out:<br />

There was no military doctrine in Soviet times, but<br />

there was a powerful army. The organizational work<br />

of the top was aimed at increasing the professional capabilities<br />

of the armed forces. Now in the post-Soviet<br />

period the Chief of the General Staff is motivated by<br />

the assessments of the Americans on the highest state<br />

of the <strong>Russian</strong> armed forces. Apparently he does not<br />

realize that this is said to a great extent in order to increase<br />

the Pentagon’s budget. And meanwhile the organizational<br />

work of the highest military circle degenerates<br />

into primitive paperwork, as if the paper itself<br />

will solve the problems of the armed forces. 58<br />

The die was largely cast then during 2007-08 <strong>and</strong><br />

there were intermittent rumors that the new doctrine<br />

would be signed in the latter part of each year. The<br />

question arises, why was it delayed? Some analysts<br />

suggested that evaluating BMD, or the presidential<br />

transition from Putin to Medvedev, or indeed waiting<br />

to assess the outcome of the U.S. presidential election<br />

may have played some part in shelving the doctrine.<br />

However, the necessity for the new doctrine emerged<br />

more sharply after the Russia-Georgia war in August<br />

2008 <strong>and</strong> the launching of Serdyukov’s new look reforms<br />

in October 2008. For instance, the inclusion in<br />

the doctrine of the affirmation of the right to deploy<br />

troops abroad “to defend the interests of the <strong>Russian</strong><br />

Federation <strong>and</strong> its citizens, <strong>and</strong> to protect international<br />

peace <strong>and</strong> security,” directly follows Medvedev’s<br />

December 2008 (Section III.26) change to the law on<br />

defense permitting this type of intervention. 59<br />

63

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