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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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cruiser Petr Velikii to observe a mock naval battle <strong>and</strong><br />

amphibious l<strong>and</strong>ing, naval officers there informed the<br />

media that the tactical problem of the exercise was the<br />

destruction of “an American squadron” <strong>and</strong> that the<br />

probable enemy was unchanged. Commenting on the<br />

meteorological conditions at the time of this naval exercise,<br />

which involved heavy mist <strong>and</strong> low visibility,<br />

the author described Vostok-2010 as “covered in fog,”<br />

a categorization which would fit the confused military<br />

<strong>and</strong> political signals being sent. 65 Finally, the air <strong>and</strong><br />

ground exercises near Chita <strong>and</strong> Khabarovsk make<br />

no sense except as responses to some force threatening<br />

the territorial integrity of Eastern Siberia <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Far East. The only forces with the military potential to<br />

carryout air <strong>and</strong> ground attacks that deep into <strong>Russian</strong><br />

territory are the PLA in support of the so-called<br />

separatists identified in the scenario. Reflecting on<br />

the vignettes that made up Vostok-2010, Alesk<strong>and</strong>r’<br />

Khramchikhin concluded that the hypothetical opponent<br />

in these ground <strong>and</strong> air operations was, indeed,<br />

Russia’s probable opponent, the PLA. And he stated<br />

in his assessment of the exercise that: “The probable<br />

opponent will defeat us in a serious conflict.” 66<br />

The one branch of the <strong>Russian</strong> military not involved<br />

in direct combat operations during Vostok-2010 was<br />

the Strategic Rocket Forces, which carried out no operational<br />

launches. Their only role was the defense of<br />

their bases from attacks by terrorists. However, according<br />

to press reports, the exercise did end with a<br />

tactical nuclear strike. As Khramchikhin noted, such<br />

a strike was hardly in keeping with a fight against<br />

separatists <strong>and</strong> b<strong>and</strong>its. 67 This seems to suggest that<br />

conventional forces could not h<strong>and</strong>le such a challenge<br />

to the territorial integrity of the <strong>Russian</strong> state in so<br />

vulnerable a region as the Far East. However, the sce-<br />

489

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