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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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emaining props of Russia’s great power status, <strong>and</strong><br />

create a situation in which American <strong>and</strong> NATO conventional<br />

military superiority would be unchecked by<br />

<strong>Russian</strong> nuclear weapons. 88 Influential <strong>Russian</strong>s have<br />

also expressed unease at transitioning to a nuclear-free<br />

world. In April 2009, Sergey Rogov, the director of the<br />

USA <strong>and</strong> Canada Institute of the <strong>Russian</strong> Academy<br />

of Sciences, published a commentary in the <strong>Russian</strong><br />

newspaper Kommersant explicitly warning that, the<br />

lower the level of Russia <strong>and</strong> American nuclear forces,<br />

the more significant the conventional imbalance of<br />

forces will become. 89 Like Putin, President Medvedev<br />

has described Russia’s possession of nuclear weapons<br />

as the main bulwark guaranteeing the country’s ability<br />

to pursue an independent foreign policy in an international<br />

system heavily dominated by the United<br />

States. 90<br />

On April 20, 2009, Medvedev directly addressed<br />

Obama’s April 5 Prague speech in which Obama<br />

called for the eventual elimination of nuclear weapons.<br />

Medvedev said that a number of “conditions”<br />

must be achieved for universal nuclear disarmament.<br />

These prerequisites include: banning the deployment<br />

of nuclear weapons in outer space; ensuring that nuclear<br />

weapons removed from operational deployment<br />

were destroyed rather than simply stockpiled; <strong>and</strong>,<br />

preventing a compensating buildup in conventional<br />

arms following a reduction in nuclear forces. Medvedev<br />

further warned that the unilateral deployment<br />

of missile defense systems also “complicates nuclear<br />

disarmament.” 91 The <strong>Russian</strong> people also favor their<br />

country’s retention of a robust nuclear force. For example,<br />

a recent poll by the Russia Public Opinion<br />

Research Center (VTsIOM) found that, unlike in the<br />

years immediately following the end of the Cold War,<br />

402

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