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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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a U.S.-NATO attack. In his May 2006 address, Putin<br />

himself reaffirmed the ambitious force planning goal<br />

that Russia’s Armed Forces must be “able to simultaneously<br />

fight in global, regional <strong>and</strong>—if necessary—<br />

also in several local conflicts.” 59 Only a large conventional<br />

military backstopped by strategic <strong>and</strong> tactical<br />

nuclear weapons can meet such dem<strong>and</strong>ing criteria.<br />

TNW ARMS CONTROL<br />

Many Western arms control advocates favor elimifavor<br />

eliminating<br />

TNW because their small size, scattered location,<br />

relative mobility, <strong>and</strong> weaker security <strong>and</strong> safety<br />

features (the older <strong>Russian</strong> systems are thought to lack<br />

advanced electronic locks) render them more at risk<br />

for terrorist seizure than the nuclear warheads that are<br />

deployed on strategic nuclear delivery vehicles, which<br />

are generally some of the most well-guarded military<br />

assets in the <strong>Russian</strong> <strong>and</strong> American defense communities.<br />

60 These arms control specialists also fear that Russia<br />

<strong>and</strong> the United States are more likely to employ a<br />

TNW than a strategic nuclear warhead. In addition to<br />

their generally lower yield, their battlefield missions<br />

encourage comm<strong>and</strong>ers to see them as weapons for<br />

warfighting rather than deterrence. 61 In turn, this status<br />

might place them under the tactical control of field<br />

comm<strong>and</strong>ers in certain conditions. A RAND Corporation<br />

(RAND) study concluded that some <strong>Russian</strong><br />

operational comm<strong>and</strong>ers can launch ground-based<br />

TNW without further central government approval<br />

after Russia’s civilian national security leaders have<br />

authorized their deployment to front-line troops. 62<br />

Pending their elimination, analysts concerned about<br />

TNWs seek to bring non-strategic weapons under a<br />

more formal <strong>and</strong> transparent arms control regime<br />

390

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