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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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Later that year, Putin told leading defense sector managers<br />

that: “The reliability of our ‘nuclear shield’ <strong>and</strong><br />

the state of our nuclear weapons complex are a crucial<br />

component of Russia’s world power status.” 54<br />

In addition to the traditional function of deterring<br />

a nuclear strike against the <strong>Russian</strong> Federation as well<br />

as securing Russia’s elite global security status, many<br />

<strong>Russian</strong>s see their nuclear forces as a way to negate<br />

NATO’s advantage in conventional forces. The decisive<br />

Western victories in Iraq, Kosovo, <strong>and</strong> Afghanistan<br />

were due to the precision conventional strike capabilities<br />

the United States <strong>and</strong> certain other NATO<br />

militaries had acquired in recent decades. Although<br />

<strong>Russian</strong> analysts recognized that these new conventional<br />

capabilities further decreased NATO’s need to<br />

employ nuclear weapons in an operational role, they<br />

drew the lesson that Russia needed, if anything, to increase<br />

its reliance on having a strong nuclear arsenal<br />

to balance the conventional weaknesses of the post-<br />

Soviet <strong>Russian</strong> Army. Moreover, they observed that<br />

upgrading Russia’s conventional forces to American<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards, even if technically possible (a dubious assumption<br />

given the frailties of Russia’s military-industrial<br />

complex) would entail considerably greater<br />

expenditures than maintaining even a large nuclear<br />

force.<br />

In April 2006, General Baluyevsky told a press conference:<br />

Strategic parity in a sense of an equal number of missiles,<br />

aircraft, <strong>and</strong> ships—this meaning is going <strong>and</strong><br />

has already gone into non-existence. We are not going<br />

to tighten our belts or take off our last pair of trousers<br />

to achieve parity in the number of aircraft <strong>and</strong> missiles<br />

with the United States or all of NATO. . . . [Russia]<br />

has <strong>and</strong> will have nuclear deterrent forces sufficient<br />

388

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