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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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to host U.S. BMD facilities, Russia would “have to take<br />

appropriate action.” He explained that:<br />

I cannot rule out that should the country’s militarypolitical<br />

leadership make such a decision, some of our<br />

ICBMs could be targeted at missile defense sites in<br />

Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Czech Republic, <strong>and</strong> subsequently at<br />

other such facilities. 39<br />

Similarly, Deputy Chief of the General Staff Colonel<br />

General Anatoli Nogovitsyn warned that the Polish<br />

decision “cannot go unpunished.” 40 He added that<br />

it was now “100 percent” certain Pol<strong>and</strong> would be a<br />

priority target of the <strong>Russian</strong> military in a future war<br />

with NATO. 41<br />

In his first state of the nation address before both<br />

houses of the <strong>Russian</strong> parliament, President Dmitry<br />

Medvedev said that Russia would, “if necessary,”<br />

deploy short-range Isk<strong>and</strong>er missile systems in Kaliningrad<br />

“to neutralize if necessary the anti-ballistic<br />

missile system in Europe.” 42 Kaliningrad, a Baltic Sea<br />

port which lies between NATO members Lithuania<br />

<strong>and</strong> Pol<strong>and</strong>, hosts a major <strong>Russian</strong> military base. Medvedev<br />

also stated that <strong>Russian</strong> electronic equipment<br />

would jam the U.S. systems <strong>and</strong> that he had cancelled<br />

plans to dismantle three <strong>Russian</strong> missile regiments deployed<br />

in western Russia. The Isk<strong>and</strong>er-M surface-tosurface<br />

missile has a declared range of slightly under<br />

500 km (300 miles), which allows it to escape the prohibition<br />

in the INF Treaty. If deployed in the Kaliningrad<br />

region, the missile could allow Russia to target all<br />

of Pol<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> also territory in eastern Germany <strong>and</strong><br />

the Czech Republic. 43 Each missile can carry several<br />

warheads. The Isk<strong>and</strong>er has been tested with a conventional<br />

payload but could carry a nuclear warhead,<br />

though the <strong>Russian</strong> Government has not indicated<br />

382

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