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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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Russia’s reaction to Asian military challenges comprises<br />

both conventional force reforms <strong>and</strong> nuclear<br />

strategies. Here we restrict ourselves to nuclear issues.<br />

The Pacific Fleet will be the main fleet <strong>and</strong> one<br />

of two nuclear fleets, suggesting that the main mission<br />

of the fleet is to provide a reliable second-strike<br />

deterrent. The mission of the non-nuclear vessels of<br />

the fleet is to protect the “boomers” (nuclear armed<br />

submarines) <strong>and</strong> prevent hostile forces from coming<br />

within range. In other words, Russia is following a<br />

deterrence strategy here just as they are in Europe.<br />

Meanwhile, Russia’s long-term rearmament program<br />

apparently envisions the renewal of the submarine<br />

fleet as nuclear propelled multirole submarines, in an<br />

effort to save money. Three missions for them will be<br />

anti-submarine warfare, anti-aircraft carrier missions<br />

(mainly against U.S. carrier battle groups), <strong>and</strong> attacking<br />

surface ships <strong>and</strong> transports. They will be armed<br />

with precision conventional weapons in an effort to be<br />

a strategic non-nuclear deterrence force. 166<br />

The drive to the Arctic also presupposes the use of<br />

both Pacific <strong>and</strong> Northern Fleets, in particular the latter<br />

which is also a nuclear armed fleet, as a swing fleet<br />

that can challenge enemies from the North Pacific,<br />

presumably from bases there. Just as that fleet has a<br />

bastion or bastions in the Kola Peninsula, so too does<br />

the Pacific Fleet have its major bases which the Northern<br />

Fleet or elements thereof may be tasked to help<br />

defend. Alternatively, the Northern Fleet <strong>and</strong> <strong>Russian</strong><br />

air forces based in the high north will be used to sweep<br />

the North Pacific of enemy air <strong>and</strong> naval assets. Nonetheless<br />

<strong>and</strong> even though the Far East is very much a<br />

naval theater, Moscow’s main investments through<br />

2010 will evidently go not so much to the Navy as to<br />

nuclear weapons (to redress Russia’s conventional<br />

343

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