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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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fenses once this treaty is ratified. 86 Therefore, Russia<br />

still seeks a veto on U.S. force decisions. When seen<br />

in the context of <strong>Russian</strong> politics <strong>and</strong> overall defense<br />

policy, this is a most instructive episode.<br />

Third, since Moscow rigorously adheres to this<br />

mutual hostage concept, it cannot trust the United<br />

States, <strong>and</strong> any U.S. unilateral advance in defenses<br />

must be compensated by greater <strong>Russian</strong> offensive<br />

capabilities. The following citations demonstrate this<br />

deep-rooted belief in the mutual hostage relationship,<br />

deterrence of the enemy, <strong>and</strong> the action-reaction process<br />

regarding armaments among the <strong>Russian</strong> political<br />

<strong>and</strong> military leadership. First, Lavrov told an interviewer<br />

in February 2007 that:<br />

Our main criterion is ensuring the <strong>Russian</strong> Federation’s<br />

security <strong>and</strong> maintaining strategic stability as<br />

much as possible. We have started such consultations<br />

[on strategic nuclear weapons] already. I am convinced<br />

that we need a substantive discussion on how those<br />

lethal weapons could be curbed on the basis of mutual<br />

trust <strong>and</strong> balance of forces <strong>and</strong> interests. We will insist<br />

particularly on this approach. We do not need just the<br />

talk that we are no longer enemies <strong>and</strong> therefore we<br />

should not have restrictions for each other. This is not<br />

the right approach. It is fraught with an arms race, in<br />

fact, because, it is very unlikely that either of us will be<br />

ready to lag behind a lot. 87<br />

Here Lavrov signaled Russia’s unwillingness to<br />

leave a mutually adversarial relationship with America<br />

<strong>and</strong> its presupposition of mutual hostility as reflected<br />

in both sides’ nuclear deployments. Similarly,<br />

Alexei Arbatov ridiculed the Bush Administration’s<br />

view, stated by Ambassador Linton Brooks, that because<br />

the two sides are no longer adversaries, detailed<br />

arms control talks are no longer necessary, as either<br />

naiveté or outright hypocrisy. 88<br />

319

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