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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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it was fairly often reported in the media in the 1990s,<br />

but then all information about it disappeared from<br />

open sources until 2009, when it was mentioned only<br />

once <strong>and</strong> apparently inadvertently. The Air Force has<br />

also begun conversion of some Tu-160 heavy bombers<br />

from cruise missiles to conventional gravity bombs.<br />

In the 1990s, Russia also developed a new tactical<br />

missile, Isk<strong>and</strong>er; its production began in the mid-<br />

2000s. Initially Isk<strong>and</strong>er-E was reported to have the<br />

range of 280 km, 75 but subsequently its range was reportedly<br />

increased to more than 400 km—about the<br />

same as the SS-23 Oka, which was eliminated under<br />

the 1987 INF Treaty. Later, a cruise missile was also<br />

developed for the Isk<strong>and</strong>er launcher. The decision,<br />

announced in 2008, to deploy five brigades (probably<br />

60 launchers with two missiles each) of Isk<strong>and</strong>ers in<br />

Kaliningrad oblast—officially in response to an American<br />

plan to deploy missile defense assets in Pol<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> the Czech Republic 76 —perhaps signaled a move<br />

in the shifting emphasis from nuclear to conventional<br />

capability vis-à-vis NATO. Moscow had to cancel<br />

these plans in 2009 after revision of the U.S. missile<br />

defense program, but this probably shows only that<br />

the pretext was wrong—a change of U.S. plans was<br />

apparently not expected. If deployment of Isk<strong>and</strong>ers<br />

was indeed part of a move toward greater reliance on<br />

conventional assets, the idea will be revived in a new<br />

context.<br />

An important element of the emerging conventional<br />

capability is multipurpose (attack) submarines.<br />

Russia is building new types of nuclear powered submarines<br />

(SSNs) <strong>and</strong> diesel-powered submarines—<br />

Project 885 Yasen (the first SSN, Severodvinsk, should<br />

be commissioned this or next year), Project 677 Lada<br />

(construction of the first submarine was completed in<br />

242

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