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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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the 2000s, the Air Force became the leading asset to<br />

support the new mission, that of de-escalation. 59<br />

<strong>Nuclear</strong>-capable aircraft (heavy bombers Tu-160<br />

<strong>and</strong> Tu-95MS as well as medium Tu-22M3) have remained<br />

at the back burner of modernization efforts:<br />

existing heavy bombers are expected to last until at<br />

least the end of this decade, so there is no rush, in contrast<br />

to the ICBM <strong>and</strong> SLBM forces, which must be replaced<br />

as a matter of urgency. Instead, Russia has concentrated<br />

on upgrading the electronics <strong>and</strong> avionics of<br />

these aircraft; some heavy bombers designed to carry<br />

ALCMs are being converted to carry gravity bombs.<br />

Modernization of nuclear weapons has been very<br />

limited. Russia is working on a new-generation (reportedly<br />

supersonic) ALCM, Kh-101, <strong>and</strong> its conventional<br />

version, Kh-102. Work on that program has<br />

been exceedingly slow—it began in the 1990s <strong>and</strong> the<br />

last mention of it is in 2000. After that, mentions of<br />

that program ceased until recently, when it surfaced<br />

only once <strong>and</strong> almost by accident. Obviously, the program<br />

is highly classified, but work continues, which<br />

is hardly surprising because at the moment the only<br />

long-range nuclear asset is a hopelessly outdated Kh-<br />

55. There is also a plan to give high precision capability<br />

to gravity bombs using the emerging Global Navigation<br />

Satellite System (GLONASS).<br />

Eventually aircraft have to be replaced, of course.<br />

Among the existing types, the Tu-22Ms will probably<br />

be phased out completely. Some suggest that Su-34<br />

could take up its roles, but it is unclear whether a decision<br />

has been made yet, which probably indicates<br />

that <strong>Russian</strong> military does not foresee many nuclear<br />

missions at Su-34 ranges.<br />

Long-range plans of the Air Force are built around<br />

a br<strong>and</strong> new bomber, which will reportedly fall some-<br />

228

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