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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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States (CIS). For a number of reasons, by the beginning<br />

of 1992, it was clear that the CIS option was dead<br />

on delivery. 4 Indeed, by the middle of 1992, the key<br />

question was how to withdraw the nuclear weapons<br />

from CIS countries—how to get them back to Russia.<br />

New countries like Kazakhstan, Ukraine, <strong>and</strong> Belarus<br />

wanted no part of the nuclear force. However, the<br />

process of withdrawing <strong>and</strong> re-stationing these missiles<br />

on <strong>Russian</strong> soil undermined whatever progress<br />

had been made in coordinating the actions of the three<br />

legs. To make matters worse, budgetary allocations<br />

were insufficient just to maintain these systems, let<br />

alone modernize them.<br />

NUKES AND CONVENTIONAL WEAPONS IN<br />

THE 1990s<br />

The 1990s were a difficult time for the SDF. For example,<br />

Moscow’s nuclear arsenal fell to a level 4-4.5<br />

times below its once impressive figure. The reason was<br />

simple: the collapse of the <strong>Russian</strong> economy made it<br />

increasingly difficult for Russia to purchase <strong>and</strong> maintain<br />

its nuclear stockpiles. In 2002, one <strong>Russian</strong> source<br />

claimed that since 1991, “Russia has no resources to<br />

maintain the previous nuclear force of about 10 thous<strong>and</strong><br />

on strategic delivery vehicles <strong>and</strong> about 20 thous<strong>and</strong><br />

of sub-strategic nukes.” 5<br />

The situation confronting Moscow’s conventional<br />

forces was dismal at best. Consequently, Russia’s generals<br />

had to watch American conventional forces roll<br />

unopposed through Iraqi troops during Operation<br />

DESERT STORM in 1991. They realized that Russia’s<br />

chances for keeping up with the West were dimming<br />

quickly. This was obvious in the area of procurement,<br />

which fell by more than 80 percent between 1991 <strong>and</strong><br />

3

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