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Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future

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1970s had long-term effects on later Soviet <strong>and</strong> current<br />

<strong>Russian</strong> thinking. They suggested to the Kremlin that:<br />

• Arms control is an extremely valuable means<br />

of equalizing capabilities of nuclear adversaries<br />

if one of them lags in levels of armaments <strong>and</strong><br />

technological prowess.<br />

• Success in negotiations is possible as the result<br />

of subtle <strong>and</strong> deceptive moves, as in the game<br />

of chess.<br />

• The linkage between strategic offensive <strong>and</strong> defensive<br />

systems is quintessential in preventing<br />

unilateral advantages <strong>and</strong> creating balance in<br />

strategic relations.<br />

Soviet nuclear strategy <strong>and</strong> doctrine were evolving<br />

together with the changing balance of strategic forces<br />

<strong>and</strong> progress in arms control negotiations:<br />

Since the second half of the 1960s, the leadership of the<br />

Armed Forces <strong>and</strong> the state experienced a transformation<br />

of views on the possible nature of the world war.<br />

The Soviet military doctrine began to take into account<br />

the possible initial stage of a military conflict with the<br />

sole use of conventional weapons. There began to<br />

emerge doubts about the possibility of gaining victory<br />

after a massive exchange of nuclear strikes. Since this<br />

time, the Soviet leadership began to seek the conclusion<br />

of treaties with the U.S. on banning or limiting<br />

strategic nuclear weapons. . . . Beginning in the early-<br />

1970s, the main concept of developing Soviet strategic<br />

weapons was the concept that could be described as<br />

“strategic sufficiency.” It defined the quantitative <strong>and</strong><br />

qualitative composition of carriers, their distribution<br />

among the Strategic Missile Troops, the Navy <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Air Force, with due account of potential use under different<br />

conditions. They established scientifically the<br />

optimal ratio of the number of carriers <strong>and</strong> warheads<br />

105

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