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LSI 2010 Real Estate Joint Ventures conference materials.pdf

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Tracy B. Edgers of Wells Fargo Bank Speaker 3: 6<br />

U.S. CRE debt maturities<br />

900,000<br />

800,000<br />

700,000<br />

Fixed Rate CMBS<br />

Floating Rate CMBS<br />

Commercial Banks & Savings Inst.<br />

Insurance Companies<br />

GSEs & FED-Related Mtg. Pools<br />

Other<br />

600,000<br />

$ (Billion)<br />

500,000<br />

400,000<br />

300,000<br />

200,000<br />

100,000<br />

-<br />

2009 <strong>2010</strong> 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />

Maturity Year<br />

Sources: Federal Reserve and Intex Solutions, Inc.<br />

10<br />

Near-term CMBS maturities<br />

70.0<br />

60.0<br />

0.13<br />

50.0<br />

$ (in Billions)<br />

40.0<br />

30.0<br />

20.0<br />

18.34<br />

14.96<br />

33.76<br />

0.12<br />

43.51<br />

58.05<br />

0<br />

41.9<br />

10.0<br />

13.57<br />

0.0<br />

2009 <strong>2010</strong> 2011 2012 2013<br />

Year<br />

Fixed-Rate CMBS<br />

Floating-Rate CMBS<br />

Existing CMBS maturities show $32 billion in refinance debt-capital needs<br />

with an additional $49 billion scheduled to mature in <strong>2010</strong>.<br />

Approximately 30% of CMBS loans that were slated to mature in 2009 have<br />

failed to be refinanced.<br />

Property types have exhibited mixed performance as retail properties<br />

experience the most stress at only a 52% refinance rate. Multifamily loans,<br />

meanwhile, have experienced a nearly 90% refinance rate.<br />

Sources: Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Citi Investm ent Research and Analysis, Intex Solutions, Inc., Trepp, LLC.<br />

.<br />

11<br />

Law Seminars International | <strong>Real</strong> <strong>Estate</strong> <strong>Joint</strong> <strong>Ventures</strong> and Funds | 02/08/10 in Seattle, WA

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