i Report Issue No. 3 2005 - Philippine Center for Investigative ...
i Report Issue No. 3 2005 - Philippine Center for Investigative ...
i Report Issue No. 3 2005 - Philippine Center for Investigative ...
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HAPPY DAYS ARE HERE AGAIN? In 1998,<br />
Gloria Arroyo, shown here with running<br />
mate Jose de Venecia (left), ran <strong>for</strong> vice<br />
president with the endorsement of the<br />
incumbent, Fidel V. Ramos, who rescued<br />
the embattled Gloria when she faced the<br />
worst crisis of her presidency in July.<br />
SOS<br />
System under Stress<br />
SHEILA S. CORONEL<br />
Gloriagate has<br />
put all our<br />
institutions<br />
under scrutiny,<br />
perhaps<br />
more scrutiny<br />
than they can<br />
w i t h s t a n d .<br />
C e r t a i n l y<br />
more scrutiny than they had<br />
been subjected to in the past.<br />
Since the scandal over jueteng<br />
broke out in May and the “Hello<br />
Garci” tapes were made public<br />
in June, the spotlight has been<br />
on the presidency. Accusations<br />
of bribery and election fraud<br />
have soiled the integrity of the<br />
president and of the office she<br />
holds. While Gloria Macapagal<br />
Arroyo has put up a valiant ef<strong>for</strong>t<br />
to fend off these accusations<br />
and has tenaciously hung on<br />
to power despite the odds, her<br />
credibility has been damaged<br />
severely, putting her continued<br />
stay in office in great doubt.<br />
For now, her biggest ally<br />
is not really, as some assume,<br />
<strong>for</strong>mer president Fidel Ramos. It<br />
is public cynicism. Ramos should<br />
of course get the credit (or the<br />
blame) <strong>for</strong> rescuing President<br />
Arroyo on July 8, when her<br />
government was shaken by the<br />
resignations of eight Cabinet<br />
members who also asked that<br />
she leave. Malacañang insiders<br />
say that in the late afternoon of<br />
the same day, Arroyo came very<br />
close to resignation.<br />
But the truth is that she remains<br />
in office not just because<br />
Ramos rushed to the presidential<br />
palace with his rescue remedy<br />
of charter change. She is there<br />
largely because the public is<br />
skeptical of everyone else who<br />
aspires to replace her. There is<br />
a sense among many Filipinos<br />
that our politics is so damaged,<br />
removing Arroyo will not make<br />
much of a difference.<br />
Gloria Arroyo is there<strong>for</strong>e<br />
president not by virtue of the<br />
public trust. On the contrary, the<br />
opinion polls show her trust rating<br />
dropping as the crisis drags.<br />
She remains in Malacañang<br />
largely because there is a dearth<br />
of public enthusiasm <strong>for</strong> the<br />
alternatives to her presidency,<br />
whether it is Vice President <strong>No</strong>li<br />
de Castro, people power, or a<br />
revolutionary government run<br />
by either the Left or the Right.<br />
As some analysts have astutely<br />
pointed out, the crisis of the Arroyo<br />
presidency also exposed a<br />
much deeper malaise: a vacuum<br />
in political leadership that leaves<br />
many Filipinos in a bind—dissatisfied<br />
with the president they have,<br />
but equally antsy about those who<br />
hope to succeed her.<br />
We are at the moment not so<br />
much in an impasse, but in the<br />
painful process of <strong>for</strong>ging a consensus<br />
about the president and<br />
her future. The anti-Gloria <strong>for</strong>ces<br />
in both Congress and outside are<br />
hopeful that the impeachment,<br />
with its menu of scandal and<br />
more scandal, will lead toward a<br />
broad public agreement that the<br />
president is guilty as charged.<br />
They think that as more witnesses<br />
emerge from the woodwork,<br />
attesting to bribery and electoral<br />
fraud, the public—especially<br />
the politicized and influential<br />
sectors that make up the Edsa<br />
constituency—will arrive at the<br />
moral certainty that the president<br />
is culpable, thereby compelling<br />
Congress to convict her, and<br />
failing that, setting off an Edsa 4<br />
that will <strong>for</strong>ce her ouster.<br />
At the same time, the president’s<br />
supporters are hoping<br />
that the impeachment will acquit<br />
her, thereby restoring trust in the<br />
presidency and allowing her to<br />
serve out the remaining fourand-a-half<br />
years of her term.<br />
They are keeping various other<br />
options open, including charter<br />
change, which, if successful,<br />
would divert the energies of<br />
legislators from impeachment<br />
and if needed, pave the way <strong>for</strong> a<br />
graceful exit <strong>for</strong> the president.<br />
The outcome can go either<br />
way. The president may fall.<br />
But she can also survive, if not<br />
till the end of her term, at least<br />
a bruising impeachment trial<br />
that will lead to her acquittal<br />
and eventual, if premature, exit<br />
from power.<br />
Whatever the outcome, the<br />
crucial question is whether our<br />
institutions can survive the journey.<br />
Can they live up to the expectations<br />
of most Filipinos—a<br />
credible process that holds a sitting<br />
president accountable, and<br />
if it takes place at all, a process<br />
of constitutional change that is<br />
20 PHILIPPINE CENTER FOR INVESTIGATIVE JOURNALISM I REPORT