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i Report Issue No. 3 2005 - Philippine Center for Investigative ...

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HAPPY DAYS ARE HERE AGAIN? In 1998,<br />

Gloria Arroyo, shown here with running<br />

mate Jose de Venecia (left), ran <strong>for</strong> vice<br />

president with the endorsement of the<br />

incumbent, Fidel V. Ramos, who rescued<br />

the embattled Gloria when she faced the<br />

worst crisis of her presidency in July.<br />

SOS<br />

System under Stress<br />

SHEILA S. CORONEL<br />

Gloriagate has<br />

put all our<br />

institutions<br />

under scrutiny,<br />

perhaps<br />

more scrutiny<br />

than they can<br />

w i t h s t a n d .<br />

C e r t a i n l y<br />

more scrutiny than they had<br />

been subjected to in the past.<br />

Since the scandal over jueteng<br />

broke out in May and the “Hello<br />

Garci” tapes were made public<br />

in June, the spotlight has been<br />

on the presidency. Accusations<br />

of bribery and election fraud<br />

have soiled the integrity of the<br />

president and of the office she<br />

holds. While Gloria Macapagal<br />

Arroyo has put up a valiant ef<strong>for</strong>t<br />

to fend off these accusations<br />

and has tenaciously hung on<br />

to power despite the odds, her<br />

credibility has been damaged<br />

severely, putting her continued<br />

stay in office in great doubt.<br />

For now, her biggest ally<br />

is not really, as some assume,<br />

<strong>for</strong>mer president Fidel Ramos. It<br />

is public cynicism. Ramos should<br />

of course get the credit (or the<br />

blame) <strong>for</strong> rescuing President<br />

Arroyo on July 8, when her<br />

government was shaken by the<br />

resignations of eight Cabinet<br />

members who also asked that<br />

she leave. Malacañang insiders<br />

say that in the late afternoon of<br />

the same day, Arroyo came very<br />

close to resignation.<br />

But the truth is that she remains<br />

in office not just because<br />

Ramos rushed to the presidential<br />

palace with his rescue remedy<br />

of charter change. She is there<br />

largely because the public is<br />

skeptical of everyone else who<br />

aspires to replace her. There is<br />

a sense among many Filipinos<br />

that our politics is so damaged,<br />

removing Arroyo will not make<br />

much of a difference.<br />

Gloria Arroyo is there<strong>for</strong>e<br />

president not by virtue of the<br />

public trust. On the contrary, the<br />

opinion polls show her trust rating<br />

dropping as the crisis drags.<br />

She remains in Malacañang<br />

largely because there is a dearth<br />

of public enthusiasm <strong>for</strong> the<br />

alternatives to her presidency,<br />

whether it is Vice President <strong>No</strong>li<br />

de Castro, people power, or a<br />

revolutionary government run<br />

by either the Left or the Right.<br />

As some analysts have astutely<br />

pointed out, the crisis of the Arroyo<br />

presidency also exposed a<br />

much deeper malaise: a vacuum<br />

in political leadership that leaves<br />

many Filipinos in a bind—dissatisfied<br />

with the president they have,<br />

but equally antsy about those who<br />

hope to succeed her.<br />

We are at the moment not so<br />

much in an impasse, but in the<br />

painful process of <strong>for</strong>ging a consensus<br />

about the president and<br />

her future. The anti-Gloria <strong>for</strong>ces<br />

in both Congress and outside are<br />

hopeful that the impeachment,<br />

with its menu of scandal and<br />

more scandal, will lead toward a<br />

broad public agreement that the<br />

president is guilty as charged.<br />

They think that as more witnesses<br />

emerge from the woodwork,<br />

attesting to bribery and electoral<br />

fraud, the public—especially<br />

the politicized and influential<br />

sectors that make up the Edsa<br />

constituency—will arrive at the<br />

moral certainty that the president<br />

is culpable, thereby compelling<br />

Congress to convict her, and<br />

failing that, setting off an Edsa 4<br />

that will <strong>for</strong>ce her ouster.<br />

At the same time, the president’s<br />

supporters are hoping<br />

that the impeachment will acquit<br />

her, thereby restoring trust in the<br />

presidency and allowing her to<br />

serve out the remaining fourand-a-half<br />

years of her term.<br />

They are keeping various other<br />

options open, including charter<br />

change, which, if successful,<br />

would divert the energies of<br />

legislators from impeachment<br />

and if needed, pave the way <strong>for</strong> a<br />

graceful exit <strong>for</strong> the president.<br />

The outcome can go either<br />

way. The president may fall.<br />

But she can also survive, if not<br />

till the end of her term, at least<br />

a bruising impeachment trial<br />

that will lead to her acquittal<br />

and eventual, if premature, exit<br />

from power.<br />

Whatever the outcome, the<br />

crucial question is whether our<br />

institutions can survive the journey.<br />

Can they live up to the expectations<br />

of most Filipinos—a<br />

credible process that holds a sitting<br />

president accountable, and<br />

if it takes place at all, a process<br />

of constitutional change that is<br />

20 PHILIPPINE CENTER FOR INVESTIGATIVE JOURNALISM I REPORT

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