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Here - Surrey and Borders Partnership NHS Foundation Trust

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Editorial<br />

Expectations <strong>and</strong> You<br />

Consider the continuing controversy<br />

over the benefits or costs of psychiatric<br />

diagnosis. Is it possible that the<br />

expectation set up in the patient <strong>and</strong><br />

their social circle, once a diagnosis of<br />

schizophrenia or depression is made, in<br />

itself serves to make the implicit<br />

prophecy entailed in such a diagnosis<br />

come true? Because of the powerful<br />

self-fulfilling prophecy effect of a<br />

psychiatric diagnosis – is it possible that<br />

users of mental health services would<br />

benefit more from ab<strong>and</strong>oning the use<br />

of such labels?<br />

At the heart of the education system,<br />

psychologists contend, are ever-present<br />

self-fulfilling prophecies. We constantly<br />

stream children <strong>and</strong> students into better<br />

classes or universities, then wonder why<br />

they do better, when the power of<br />

expectation <strong>and</strong> self-fulfilling prophecy<br />

might be the answer, rather than any<br />

inherent benefit of an elite education.<br />

Our <strong>Trust</strong><br />

Is it possible, coming back to research in<br />

our <strong>Trust</strong>, that the expectation of whether<br />

or not you are going to do research<br />

massively influences the outcome? Might<br />

it be of benefit to the <strong>Trust</strong> <strong>and</strong> the<br />

doctors working within it to transform<br />

the expectation so that we ‘become<br />

expected’, by managers, peers <strong>and</strong><br />

ourselves, to generate <strong>and</strong> publish much<br />

more research than we currently do?<br />

And doctors? Why should doctors<br />

bother to do research? Surely doctors’<br />

primary function is to heal the sick, <strong>and</strong><br />

other activities become a distraction?<br />

Can research by used by some as a<br />

‘noble’ from the heaving clinic? How do<br />

eminence <strong>and</strong> academic honour<br />

correlate with clinical acumen? Do<br />

publication lists still appear as a magic<br />

key in unlocking merit awards?<br />

There are some serious obstacles that<br />

will confront any doctor attempting<br />

research. Firstly, finding the time,<br />

support, advice <strong>and</strong> resources to<br />

conduct the study. On top of a<br />

burdensome caseload, anyone in an <strong>NHS</strong><br />

contract who is successful in producing<br />

papers is frequently met with the<br />

suspicion that they cannot be pulling<br />

their weight clinically.<br />

Half way through the study someone<br />

will usually helpfully point out some<br />

methodological consideration that<br />

renders all your meticulous data<br />

collection redundant, so you are faced<br />

with the prospect of starting all over<br />

again.<br />

Most papers hide the key story of the<br />

research project, which is in fact how the<br />

investigators overcame, through adept<br />

improvisation, often on the hoof, various<br />

unexpected impediments tripping them<br />

as they attempted to recruit subjects, or<br />

measure some variable.<br />

Once one nightmare study was over <strong>and</strong><br />

the data was presented at various<br />

conferences, a researcher was asked how<br />

he would do the study differently if he<br />

could start all over again. His response<br />

was that he would not do it at all.<br />

Once you assemble the data, statistics<br />

need to be applied. You visit statisticians<br />

with trepidation, remembering to pack<br />

your calculator. They take one cursory<br />

look at the reams of numbers you had<br />

painstakingly calculated <strong>and</strong> she bursts<br />

out laughing because (a) you measured<br />

the right thing but in the wrong way or<br />

(b) you measured the right way, but<br />

chose the wrong thing to measure or (c)<br />

you didn’t recruit enough subjects or (d)<br />

the measuring instrument you used isn’t<br />

compatible with the statistical test you<br />

hoped to apply…. And so it goes on.<br />

Some people find that, once you have to<br />

start using fancy statistics to illuminate<br />

your hypothesis, the finding isn’t worth<br />

the c<strong>and</strong>le. This should reassure the<br />

statistically naïve that genuine<br />

discoveries are still possible for the<br />

innumerate. Indeed in the world of<br />

research, suspicions mount as the<br />

statistical tests multiply.<br />

Another wonderful revelation was the<br />

(geeky nerdy) joy in just inspecting the<br />

raw data, like graphing it, without<br />

6 <strong>Surrey</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Borders</strong> Online Journal www.sabp.nhs.uk/journal

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