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Here - Surrey and Borders Partnership NHS Foundation Trust

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We are not so aware of the hidden forces<br />

at work generated by the social<br />

expectations of being asked about our<br />

plans in front of another, which push us<br />

into making a prediction at variance with<br />

what we would really do in the privacy of<br />

our own un-observed lives.<br />

Having made the prediction, we then<br />

work to fall into line with it.<br />

Another, related, theory is that this is an<br />

example of the power of expectation.<br />

Psychologists have demonstrated for<br />

almost half a century now, that if<br />

teachers are manipulated into expecting<br />

their pupils to be intelligent or stupid,<br />

they then work to render these<br />

expectations self-fulfilling prophecies.<br />

Judges give directions to juries at the<br />

beginnings of trials that appear to bias<br />

the outcome in line with the bench’s<br />

expectation of the future. We also<br />

directly seem to suffer for this effect – if<br />

our expectation of ourselves is<br />

manipulated experimentally, we then<br />

provide later behavioural confirmation of<br />

our expectations of ourselves.<br />

More on Expectations<br />

One of the most famous experiments in<br />

Social Psychology which demonstrated<br />

the power of expectation is a 1977 study<br />

by a team lead by Mark Snyder, now at<br />

the University of Minnesota, in which men<br />

were shown photographs of a woman to<br />

whom they would be talking by phone.<br />

The woman in the pictures was<br />

r<strong>and</strong>omised to being either extremely<br />

physically attractive or unattractive (as<br />

rated by other independent observers).<br />

What the men taking part in the<br />

experiment didn’t know, was that those<br />

sneaky psychologists had told a porky pie,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the photographs were not only<br />

r<strong>and</strong>omly assigned to the men, but they<br />

also did not correspond in any way to the<br />

actual woman with whom they had the<br />

phone conversation.<br />

While it would come as no surprise that<br />

the men behaved differently to the<br />

women during the phone conversation<br />

depending on their (manipulated) beliefs<br />

on her physical appearance, the really<br />

surprising finding was that independent<br />

ratings of the women's segments of the<br />

conversations revealed that females<br />

whose conversational partners believed<br />

them to be less appealing, actually<br />

behaved <strong>and</strong> sounded less attractively (eg<br />

they were rated as sounding less warm<br />

<strong>and</strong> interesting).<br />

The women, just as the men, had also<br />

been kept completely in the dark by the<br />

psychologists about the photograph<br />

manipulation. They were not aware it had<br />

taken place. This effect, therefore, had to<br />

have been mediated in some way through<br />

the men's behavior. One possibility, is that<br />

the men who were talking to someone<br />

they believed to be unattractive, were<br />

themselves less affable than men who<br />

believed they were talking to an attractive<br />

woman. This in turn had an impact on the<br />

way the women responded, <strong>and</strong> then<br />

they way they came over to an<br />

independent observer.<br />

The ‘Pygmalion Effect’ is a special instance<br />

of the self-fulfilling prophecy; where<br />

having an expectation of another, itself<br />

causes that target to modify their<br />

performance so it falls into line with the<br />

expectation of the first party.<br />

Just in case you are starting to think that<br />

Self-Fulfilling Prophecies only inhabit the<br />

obscure world of experimental<br />

Psychology, remember we are living<br />

through a banking crisis <strong>and</strong> suffering its<br />

long term impact, <strong>and</strong> banking crises are<br />

a form of self-fulfilling prophecy.<br />

Because a rumour starts that a bank may<br />

fail, this precipitates a run on that bank,<br />

which in itself inevitably leads to its<br />

collapse. This is why Chancellors of the<br />

Exchequer hot foot it to the nearest TV<br />

studio to ‘steady the markets’ at the<br />

slightest hint of such runs on major<br />

financial institutions. Governments, <strong>and</strong><br />

the whole financial system, live in terror<br />

of the power of the self-fulfilling<br />

prophecy.<br />

It’s so powerful <strong>and</strong> reliable that you can<br />

literally ‘bank’ on it.<br />

Editorial<br />

<strong>Surrey</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Borders</strong> Online Journal www.sabp.nhs.uk/journal 5

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