issue 1 - Roland Berger

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p food for thought china – high-tech center High tech and electric lights China is developing into a leader in high technology on the back of massive state support. High levels of investment are aimed at creating globally important industry and research centers. In rural areas, by contrast, electric lighting is still seen as cutting-edge. To global leadership in 50 years From the 18th to the beginning of the 20th century, self-chosen isolation, conflicts with Asian neighbors and colonial powers, and a series of civil wars led to China’s technological and economic collapse. Beginning in 1949, four phases have shaped China’s return to global economic importance. Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 1949 – 1965 Mao Zedong: Adoption of the Soviet scientific and technological model along with a centrally planned economy; in 1950, signing of the Chinese-Soviet treaty of friendship and mutual assistance. Source: Kathleen Walsh, “Foreign High-Tech R&D in China,” 2003 1966 – 1976 Mao’s Cultural Revolution, closure of universities, persecution of intellectuals and scientists. 182,000 patents were filed by Chinese state research institutes in 2003. That is roughly 30,000 more than in the states of the European Union. 1977 – 1997 Reforms under Deng Xiaoping; in 1979, US-China Science & Technology Agreement; import of science, technology and know-how from the US and Europe. 1997 – present Concentration on high-tech industries; gradual turn away from economic model based solely on cheap production. Vast market for mobile telecommunications In just one year, roughly 71 million Chinese signed new contracts for mobile phones, more than double the population of Canada. A total of 315 million mobile phones make China the largest market in the world. Roland Berger Strategy Consultants predicts an additional 35 percent increase in the market in 2005. 325 315.1 Backlog in the population Outside of China’s larger cities, light bulbs are still a sign of wealth and progress. The number of lamps and light fittings per households is rising throughout China. But for reasons of thrift, an average of only three are ever turned on. 300 275 Number of new mobile phone contracts, in millions *Average number of light bulbs per household 19 250 244.1 6.5 8.5 225 China 1995* Source: Horizon Group, 2004 China 2003 USA/Western Europe 2003 200 Aug Sept Oct Nov Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug 2003 2004 Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, Ministry of Information Industry of China; “Outwardly Mobile in China,” Roland Berger Strategy Consultants 6 think: act
315 million chinese have mobile telephones food for thought f The dragon’s rapid growth China’s 9 percent GDP growth in 2003 makes it the fastest-growing large economy in the world. Driving the growth are IT, telecommunications and the auto industry. 9.0 6.5 6.4 4.7 3.1 3.0 2.0 1.1 China Russia India USA UK Japan France Germany Source: OECD, National Bureau of Statistics of China Boom in the rust belt The People’s Republic of China invests roughly 300 billion RMB yuan (around 36 billion dollars) in public and private research facilities. Thanks to state financial support, new high-technology centers are emerging in the declining steel and petrochemical areas of the northeast. ★★ Xinjiang 1.5/6.0 ★ ★ Tibet 0.1/38 ★★ Shaanxi 9.6/5.3 ★★ Chongqing 3.6/9.1 ★Beijing 39.3/14.6 ★ ★Liaoning 14.4/46.1 ★★ Tianjin 6.5/5.4 ★★ ★★ ★★ ★★ Jiangsu 27.2/21.2 ★★ Heilongjiang 5.04/9.6 Sichuan 13.2/17.2 Shandong 19.7/15.5 ★★ Zhejinang 13.7/22.7 Shanghai 25.3/13.9 ★ ★ Spending in 2002 in billions of RMB yuan (1 RMB yuan = 0.12 dollar) Spending growth since 2001 as a percentage Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, Statistical Bulletin on the Input of Science and Technology, October 2003 ★★ Guangdong 29.1/13.2 think: act 7
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ZAGREB OFFICE, ROLAND BERGER TOP MA
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