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issue 1 - Roland Berger

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p food for thought<br />

china – high-tech center<br />

High tech and electric lights<br />

China is developing into a leader in high technology on the back of massive state support.<br />

High levels of investment are aimed at creating globally important industry and research centers.<br />

In rural areas, by contrast, electric lighting is still seen as cutting-edge.<br />

To global leadership in 50 years<br />

From the 18th to the beginning of the 20th century, self-chosen isolation, conflicts with Asian neighbors and colonial powers, and a series of civil wars led to China’s technological and<br />

economic collapse. Beginning in 1949, four phases have shaped China’s return to global economic importance.<br />

Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4<br />

1949 – 1965<br />

Mao Zedong: Adoption of the Soviet scientific and<br />

technological model along with a centrally planned<br />

economy; in 1950, signing of the Chinese-Soviet<br />

treaty of friendship and mutual assistance.<br />

Source: Kathleen Walsh, “Foreign High-Tech R&D in China,” 2003<br />

1966 – 1976<br />

Mao’s Cultural Revolution,<br />

closure of universities,<br />

persecution of intellectuals<br />

and scientists.<br />

182,000<br />

patents were filed by Chinese state research<br />

institutes in 2003. That is roughly 30,000 more<br />

than in the states of the European Union.<br />

1977 – 1997<br />

Reforms under Deng Xiaoping; in 1979,<br />

US-China Science & Technology<br />

Agreement; import of science, technology<br />

and know-how from the US and Europe.<br />

1997 – present<br />

Concentration on high-tech<br />

industries; gradual turn away<br />

from economic model based<br />

solely on cheap production.<br />

Vast market for mobile telecommunications<br />

In just one year, roughly 71 million Chinese signed new contracts for mobile<br />

phones, more than double the population of Canada. A total of 315 million mobile<br />

phones make China the largest market in the world. <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy<br />

Consultants predicts an additional 35 percent increase in the market in 2005.<br />

325<br />

315.1<br />

Backlog in the population<br />

Outside of China’s larger cities, light bulbs are still a sign of wealth and progress. The number<br />

of lamps and light fittings per households is rising throughout China. But for reasons of<br />

thrift, an average of only three are ever turned on.<br />

300<br />

275<br />

Number of new<br />

mobile phone<br />

contracts,<br />

in millions<br />

*Average number of light bulbs<br />

per household<br />

19<br />

250<br />

244.1<br />

6.5<br />

8.5<br />

225<br />

China<br />

1995*<br />

Source: Horizon Group, 2004<br />

China<br />

2003<br />

USA/Western Europe<br />

2003<br />

200<br />

Aug Sept Oct Nov Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug<br />

2003 2004<br />

Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, Ministry of Information Industry of China;<br />

“Outwardly Mobile in China,” <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants<br />

6<br />

think: act

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