issue 1 - Roland Berger
issue 1 - Roland Berger
issue 1 - Roland Berger
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p food for thought<br />
china – high-tech center<br />
High tech and electric lights<br />
China is developing into a leader in high technology on the back of massive state support.<br />
High levels of investment are aimed at creating globally important industry and research centers.<br />
In rural areas, by contrast, electric lighting is still seen as cutting-edge.<br />
To global leadership in 50 years<br />
From the 18th to the beginning of the 20th century, self-chosen isolation, conflicts with Asian neighbors and colonial powers, and a series of civil wars led to China’s technological and<br />
economic collapse. Beginning in 1949, four phases have shaped China’s return to global economic importance.<br />
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4<br />
1949 – 1965<br />
Mao Zedong: Adoption of the Soviet scientific and<br />
technological model along with a centrally planned<br />
economy; in 1950, signing of the Chinese-Soviet<br />
treaty of friendship and mutual assistance.<br />
Source: Kathleen Walsh, “Foreign High-Tech R&D in China,” 2003<br />
1966 – 1976<br />
Mao’s Cultural Revolution,<br />
closure of universities,<br />
persecution of intellectuals<br />
and scientists.<br />
182,000<br />
patents were filed by Chinese state research<br />
institutes in 2003. That is roughly 30,000 more<br />
than in the states of the European Union.<br />
1977 – 1997<br />
Reforms under Deng Xiaoping; in 1979,<br />
US-China Science & Technology<br />
Agreement; import of science, technology<br />
and know-how from the US and Europe.<br />
1997 – present<br />
Concentration on high-tech<br />
industries; gradual turn away<br />
from economic model based<br />
solely on cheap production.<br />
Vast market for mobile telecommunications<br />
In just one year, roughly 71 million Chinese signed new contracts for mobile<br />
phones, more than double the population of Canada. A total of 315 million mobile<br />
phones make China the largest market in the world. <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy<br />
Consultants predicts an additional 35 percent increase in the market in 2005.<br />
325<br />
315.1<br />
Backlog in the population<br />
Outside of China’s larger cities, light bulbs are still a sign of wealth and progress. The number<br />
of lamps and light fittings per households is rising throughout China. But for reasons of<br />
thrift, an average of only three are ever turned on.<br />
300<br />
275<br />
Number of new<br />
mobile phone<br />
contracts,<br />
in millions<br />
*Average number of light bulbs<br />
per household<br />
19<br />
250<br />
244.1<br />
6.5<br />
8.5<br />
225<br />
China<br />
1995*<br />
Source: Horizon Group, 2004<br />
China<br />
2003<br />
USA/Western Europe<br />
2003<br />
200<br />
Aug Sept Oct Nov Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug<br />
2003 2004<br />
Source: National Bureau of Statistics of China, Ministry of Information Industry of China;<br />
“Outwardly Mobile in China,” <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants<br />
6<br />
think: act