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issue 1 - Roland Berger

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p industry report<br />

trends and sectors<br />

The shape of things to come<br />

LEDs, Triple Play, medical tourism and customized miniature power sources:<br />

current trends, analyses and research reports shed light on the markets of the future.<br />

led<br />

Light emitting diodes (LEDs) are turning the traditional<br />

lighting industry upside down. Incandescent bulbs and<br />

neon tubes are increasingly being replaced by luminous<br />

semiconductors, which offer lighting designers and<br />

product developers a whole new range of design possibilities.<br />

One example of an application that is already in<br />

widespread use is traffic lights that draw 80 percent<br />

less electricity and last 10 times as long as standard<br />

models. According to experts, widespread use of LEDs<br />

will save billions of dollars in energy costs.<br />

LED lamps are already making inroads into households<br />

and offices. For example, the Hong Kong company<br />

Traxon produces mood lights that create a variety of<br />

lighting effects in an entire rooms at the flip of a<br />

switch. And the new “organic” LEDs (OLEDs) could<br />

soon help do everything, from creating millimeter-scale<br />

displays to illuminating entire buildings. It is estimated<br />

that the advertising and entertainment industries alone<br />

present a 15 to 20 billion-dollar global market for LEDs.<br />

The automotive lighting specialists Hella and Bosch are<br />

currently developing front headlights, with light diodes<br />

already having made an appearance in cars’ and trucks’<br />

brake and rear lights.<br />

triple play<br />

Telephoning by cable, television via the Internet, Web<br />

surfing with your TV—Triple Play could soon make all<br />

this possible. Broadband transmission of video, Internet<br />

data and speech may be new territory for the telecommunications<br />

industry, but with package services they<br />

will have to lock in customers and increase their sales.<br />

Former European monopolies such as France Télécom,<br />

Swisscom, Germany’s Deutsche Telekom and Spain’s<br />

Telefónica are already investing in new services. They<br />

are preparing for competition from alternative telcos,<br />

mobile phone companies and especially cable network<br />

companies. For example, the Norwegian company Lyse<br />

Tele already services close to half of all potential customers<br />

in its territory, 85 percent of them with Triple<br />

Play. Infrastructure costs are considerable. Swisscom<br />

alone has invested 1 billion francs in making new video<br />

products available via telephone cable.<br />

Growth in the broadband<br />

market will probably not<br />

be achieved without a<br />

comprehensive entertainment<br />

offering.<br />

Games, e-commerce,<br />

and e-mail had<br />

previously been<br />

viewed more as<br />

add-ons.<br />

Data<br />

Internet<br />

access,<br />

e-mail,<br />

Web storage,<br />

anti-virus, spam<br />

protection, services<br />

(e.g. dating, music)<br />

Free<br />

TV, video<br />

on demand,<br />

pay TV,<br />

electronic program<br />

guide, gaming,<br />

interactive TV<br />

Triple<br />

Play<br />

Video<br />

Voice<br />

over IP,<br />

SMS, MMS,<br />

unified<br />

messaging box<br />

Voice<br />

Source: <strong>Roland</strong> <strong>Berger</strong> Strategy Consultants<br />

48<br />

think: act

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