the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer

the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer

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Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence Report 2010 With an estimated 3.2tcm of gas reserves, Shtokman is believed to be the biggest undeveloped offshore gas field in the world. The field is being developed by SDC, in which Norway's Statoil holds a 24% stake, France's Total has 25% and Gazprom the remaining 51%. Gas produced in the third development phase of the Shtokman gas field will be exported solely as LNG, while about half the gas produced at the field during phases one and two will be exported via pipelines and half as LNG. First gas is expected to be exported via pipeline to Europe in 2013, with LNG exports to follow in 2014. Increasing the proportion of gas that is exported in the form of LNG will provide more export options. Total announced in May 2010 that its plans for the development of the Shtokman natural gas field in the Barents Sea in Russia are on course, and an FID is due in 2011. The investment decision will be made in March 2011 and a decision on the gas liquefaction plans will be made by the end of the same year. Yamal LNG (Planned) Yamal LNG, a JV between Gazprom and Novatek, is the operator of the LNG project aiming to commercialise the Tambeyskoe group of fields. Through its controlling stake in the Yamal LNG operating vehicle, Novatek is the operator of the South (Yuzhno)-Tambeyskoe gas field onshore the Yamal-Nenets region, which is expected to begin exporting gas by around 2018. Although no firm project timetable has been set, Gazprom has previously said that it aims to start producing the first 15bcm of gas in Yamal by 2011 and then to gradually boost volumes to an ambitious 250bcm per year. Novatek is in no hurry to bring a foreign partner into the project, the company's CEO told Reuters in a July 8 interview. A number of IOCs as well as the government of Qatar have made overtures to Novatek about joining the Yamal LNG scheme. Novatek and its minority partner Gazprom, however, have so far resisted bringing in such a partner. Pechora LNG (Planned) Russian investment company Alltech Group is considering building an LNG export plant in the Nenets district. The plant, dubbed Pechora LNG, would have an initial capacity of 2.6mn tpa and is expected onstream in Q415, Alltech’s oil arm, CH-Oil & Gaz, stated in December 2009. The plant would commercialise gas reserves at the Kumzhinskoe and Korovinskoe fields in the Timan-Pechora Basin, the licence for which Alltech acquired in 2007. Vladivostock LNG (Planned) The Japanese and Russian governments have signed a preliminary agreement to build an LNG export terminal in Vladivostok, according to a July 10 Nikkei report. According to the Nikkei report, an official agreement on construction of the plant is expected to be signed when Russian president Dmitry Medvedev attends the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Tokyo in November. Few details of the plan have been disclosed, though the facility is expected to have a liquefaction capacity of 6.9bcm, which will be delivered by pipeline from eastern Russia. First deliveries could come as early as 2017, according to the report. It is as yet unclear where gas for the project will be sourced. © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 73

Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence Report 2010 Gas Pipelines Blue Stream Russia’s first post-Soviet westbound pipeline system is Blue Stream, which carries gas directly to Turkey under the Black Sea. Blue Stream is a JV between Gazprom and Italy’s Eni. The US$3.4bn system consists of two pipelines that run for 1,213km from southern Russia to Ankara in Turkey. The 385km subsea sections of the pipelines run from the Beregovaya compressor station in Russia to a gas terminal outside the Turkish port of Samsun. The pipelines were completed in 2004 and were officially inaugurated in 2005, since when they have been gradually ramped up to their maximum capacity of 16bcm per annum. It is the world's deepest underwater pipeline system and reaches a maximum depth of 2,150m below the surface of the Black Sea. There has since been much talk of expanding the pipeline both geographically and in terms of capacity, including branches to Italy and the Middle East. In February 2006, Turkish energy ministry officials claimed that talks were under way between Gazprom and Turkish state-run gas distributor Botaş about extending the pipeline through Turkey to Syria, Lebanon, Israel and Cyprus in a project known as Blue Stream II. Speaking during an official visit to Turkey in June 2010, however, Putin said Israel is now likely to be excluded from the Blue Stream II project. Putin said that gas discoveries in recent years in Israel have reduced the country's future gas import projections, making an extension of the pipeline to Israel unnecessary. South Stream Emboldened by Blue Stream’s success, in November 2007 Gazprom and Eni agreed to construct a new trans-European gas pipeline that will cost the companies EUR10bn by the time it comes onstream in 2013/14. The 900km South Stream pipeline is routed via the Black Sea to south-eastern Europe. In Bulgaria, the pipeline will split into a northern route going to Austria via Romania and Hungary, and a southern route crossing the Balkan Peninsula to Italy. The northern route passes through the same countries as the 30bcm Nabucco pipeline from Turkey to Austria, which the EU is promoting in order to reduce dependence on Russia. Government officials of Bulgaria, Greece, Italy and Russia met in May 2009 to sign transit agreements for South Stream, creating separate JVs between Gazprom and the countries’ gas distribution companies. These JVs will be responsible for the design, construction and operation of the pipeline within their respective territories. Slovenia joined the project later that year, while Turkey agreed to let the pipeline pass under its territorial waters in return for a transit fee in August 2009. A deal between Gazprom and Eni has been signed under which the two companies have agreed to double the pipeline's capacity to 63bcm. Austria now remains the last country on South Stream's preliminary route yet to sign up for the project. © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 74

Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence <strong>Report</strong> 2010<br />

Gas Pipelines<br />

Blue Stream<br />

Russia’s first post-Soviet westbound pipeline system is Blue Stream, which carries <strong>gas</strong> directly to Turkey<br />

under <strong>the</strong> Black Sea. Blue Stream is a JV between Gazprom and Italy’s Eni. The US$3.4bn system<br />

consists of two pipelines that run for 1,213km from sou<strong>the</strong>rn Russia to Ankara in Turkey. The 385km<br />

subsea sections of <strong>the</strong> pipelines run from <strong>the</strong> Beregovaya compressor station in Russia to a <strong>gas</strong> terminal<br />

outside <strong>the</strong> Turkish port of Samsun. The pipelines were completed in 2004 and were officially<br />

inaugurated in 2005, since when <strong>the</strong>y have been gradually ramped up to <strong>the</strong>ir maximum capacity of<br />

16bcm per annum. It is <strong>the</strong> world's deepest underwater pipeline system and reaches a maximum depth of<br />

2,150m below <strong>the</strong> surface of <strong>the</strong> Black Sea.<br />

There has since been much talk of expanding <strong>the</strong> pipeline both geographically and in terms of capacity,<br />

including branches to Italy and <strong>the</strong> Middle East. In February 2006, Turkish energy ministry officials<br />

claimed that talks were under way between Gazprom and Turkish state-run <strong>gas</strong> distributor Botaş about<br />

extending <strong>the</strong> pipeline through Turkey to Syria, Lebanon, Israel and Cyprus in a project known as Blue<br />

Stream II. Speaking during an official visit to Turkey in June 2010, however, Putin said Israel is now<br />

likely to be excluded from <strong>the</strong> Blue Stream II project. Putin said that <strong>gas</strong> discoveries in recent years in<br />

Israel have reduced <strong>the</strong> country's future <strong>gas</strong> import projections, making an extension of <strong>the</strong> pipeline to<br />

Israel unnecessary.<br />

South Stream<br />

Emboldened by Blue Stream’s success, in November 2007 Gazprom and Eni agreed to construct a new<br />

trans-European <strong>gas</strong> pipeline that will cost <strong>the</strong> companies EUR10bn by <strong>the</strong> time it comes onstream in<br />

2013/14. The 900km South Stream pipeline is routed via <strong>the</strong> Black Sea to south-eastern Europe. In<br />

Bulgaria, <strong>the</strong> pipeline will split into a nor<strong>the</strong>rn route going to Austria via Romania and Hungary, and a<br />

sou<strong>the</strong>rn route crossing <strong>the</strong> Balkan Peninsula to Italy. The nor<strong>the</strong>rn route passes through <strong>the</strong> same<br />

countries as <strong>the</strong> 30bcm Nabucco pipeline from Turkey to Austria, which <strong>the</strong> EU is promoting in order to<br />

reduce dependence on Russia.<br />

Government officials of Bulgaria, Greece, Italy and Russia met in May 2009 to sign transit agreements<br />

for South Stream, creating separate JVs between Gazprom and <strong>the</strong> countries’ <strong>gas</strong> distribution companies.<br />

These JVs will be responsible for <strong>the</strong> design, construction and operation of <strong>the</strong> pipeline within <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

respective territories. Slovenia joined <strong>the</strong> project later that year, while Turkey agreed to let <strong>the</strong> pipeline<br />

pass under its territorial waters in return for a transit fee in August 2009. A deal between Gazprom and<br />

Eni has been signed under which <strong>the</strong> two companies have agreed to double <strong>the</strong> pipeline's capacity to<br />

63bcm. Austria now remains <strong>the</strong> last country on South Stream's preliminary route yet to sign up for <strong>the</strong><br />

project.<br />

© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 74

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