the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer

the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer

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Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence Report 2010 9.6mn tpa of LNG and around 900,000b/d of crude oil. As of December 2006 Sakhalin Energy is majority owned by Gazprom (50% plus one share) alongside former majority owner Shell (27.5% minus one share), Mitsubishi (12.5%) and Mitsui (10%). Gazprom paid US$7.45bn for its majority stake. Roughly two-thirds of Sakhalin-II’s LNG exports will be exported to nine utilities in Japan, while the remaining third goes to South Korea and North America. In March 2009, Osaka Gas signed an SPA to buy 200,000tpa of LNG from Sakhalin-II from 2011 without disclosing the financial terms. Wintershall – Summary BP – Summary Wintershall is an upstream subsidiary of German chemical group BASF. The company has two major projects in Russia. The first, the US$3bn Yuzhno (South) Russkoe gas project, holds recoverable natural gas reserves of more than 600bcm, and reach plateau production rate of 25bcm per annum in mid-2009. The companies have a preliminary agreement in place to supply over 800bcm of gas to Europe to 2043 through BASF’s distribution arm Wingas. The second project is the US$1bn Achimgaz JV in the Yamal- Nenets region, in which Gazprom and Wintershall are equal partners. It came onstream in July 2008 and produced around 1bcm and 6,000b/d of condensate in 2009 and is expected to peak at 7.5bcm and 55,000b/d of condensate. The project’s lifespan is put at over 40 years. BP's presence in Russia is now concentrated on the TNK-BP JV, with the British major pulling out of the CPC pipeline consortium and significantly reducing its Sakhalin exposure. BP has been active in Sakhalin since 2006, when it launched a 49:51 JV with Rosneft to develop Sakhalin-IV and -V areas in the Sea of Okhotsk. The most promising acreage in Sakhalin-IV was thought to be the West Schmidt Block, with reserves estimated at up to 3bn bbl of oil and 255bcm of gas. Two exploration wells were drilled at the Medved and Toiskaya structures in 2007 but both disappointed. Following extensive interpretation of seismic data, BP appears to have decided that the block holds little commercial prospects and in March 2009 abandoned the Sakhalin-IV project. In February 2010, BP and Rosneft also relinquished the East Schmidt Block at Sakhalin-V. BP and Rosneft said that after evaluating extensive seismic data they decided not to proceed to the drilling phase, again owing to poor commerciality. The JV, however, has chosen to keep the other permit in the Sakhalin-V project, the Kaigansky-Vasuykanskiy (KG) Block. The partners drilled two deepwater wells at KG in 2006 and have been sufficiently encouraged by the results to shoot more seismic data in 2010 in preparation for further drilling. Estimated reserves at the only certified discovery at the block, dubbed the Kaigansko-Vasyukanskoye Sea field, are put at 118mn bbl of oil and condensate (ABC1). With all synergy between Sakhalin-IV and Sakhalin-V now lost, any commercial discoveries at the KG block are most likely to be developed in conjunction with the Sakhalin-III project further south. © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 59

Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence Report 2010 Lundin Petroleum – Summary Swedish independent Lundin Petroleum has interests in four production licences and one exploration licence in Russia. Its most prospective asset is the Laganskiy (Lagansky) Block in the Northern Caspian, where the October 2008 Morskaya discovery is estimated to hold 230mn boe of recoverable reserves. Although Lundin currently holds a 70% interest in Laganskiy, Gazprom has a call option to acquire a 50% plus one share stake. Lundin has also agreed a call option to acquire an additional 30% stake from remaining shareholder Gunvor, an oil trader. Should both options be exercised, Lundin would retain 50% minus one share in the block, leaving Gazprom 50% plus one share. In February 2009, Rosnedra extended Lundin’s exploration permit for the Laganskiy Block until August 2014. The contract extension will allow Lundin to delay the drilling of the Morskaya-2 appraisal well until 2010, which will test the western section of the discovery. The Petrovskaya structure, which was estimated to hold reserves of up to 300mn bbl, however, has disappointed after the Petrovskaya-1 exploration well came up dry in November 2009. OMV – Summary Austria's OMV is looking to divest its Russian exploration assets and is talking to potential buyers, CEO Wolfgang Ruttenstorfer said on May 20 2010. Its Russian assets, through subsidiary Petrom's majorityowned Ring Oil Holding and Trading, are eight exploration blocks in the region of Saratov and two blocks in the region of Komi. In August 2009, Petrom reported its first Russian exploration success at the Lugovaya-1 well, located in Saratov's Kamenskiy licence. Well tests showed a flow rate of more than 2,500b/d of light sweet oil in one zone, while two gas-bearing formations produced a combined 4,000boe/d of sweet gas and condensate. Russia's natural resources ministry said in October 2009 that reserves at the block could be as much as 80mn tonnes, or 586mn bbl, although it did not specify the level of certainty attached to this estimate. Ironically, this exploration success may be the reason for OMV's decision to exit Russia. According to Russian's law on strategic deposits, passed in May 2008, the state is empowered to take over oil exploration licences where recoverable reserves exceed 70mn tonnes (513mn bbl). Should the natural resources ministry's reserves estimate be accurate, the Kamenskiy licence would be subject to this law. Although the law provides for compensation of costs plus a 30%-50% 'premium,' the fact that licences are subject to state appropriation is a major risk and has contributed to negative investor perception of Russia. Irkutsk Oil Company – Summary Irkutsk Oil Company, known by its Russian acronym INK, was established in November 2000 by bringing together several small oil and gas producers in the Irkutsk region of East Siberia. It was the first © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 60

Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence <strong>Report</strong> 2010<br />

Lundin Petroleum – Summary<br />

Swedish independent Lundin Petroleum has interests in four production licences and one exploration<br />

licence in Russia. Its most prospective asset is <strong>the</strong> Laganskiy (Lagansky) Block in <strong>the</strong> Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Caspian,<br />

where <strong>the</strong> October 2008 Morskaya discovery is estimated to hold 230mn boe of recoverable reserves.<br />

Although Lundin currently holds a 70% interest in Laganskiy, Gazprom has a call option to acquire a<br />

50% plus one share stake. Lundin has also agreed a call option to acquire an additional 30% stake from<br />

remaining shareholder Gunvor, an <strong>oil</strong> trader. Should both options be exercised, Lundin would retain 50%<br />

minus one share in <strong>the</strong> block, leaving Gazprom 50% plus one share.<br />

In February 2009, Rosnedra extended Lundin’s exploration permit for <strong>the</strong> Laganskiy Block until August<br />

2014. The contract extension will allow Lundin to delay <strong>the</strong> drilling of <strong>the</strong> Morskaya-2 appraisal well<br />

until 2010, which will test <strong>the</strong> western section of <strong>the</strong> discovery. The Petrovskaya structure, which was<br />

estimated to hold reserves of up to 300mn bbl, however, has disappointed after <strong>the</strong> Petrovskaya-1<br />

exploration well came up dry in November 2009.<br />

OMV – Summary<br />

Austria's OMV is looking to divest its Russian exploration assets and is talking to potential buyers, CEO<br />

Wolfgang Ruttenstorfer said on May 20 2010. Its Russian assets, through subsidiary Petrom's majorityowned<br />

Ring Oil Holding and Trading, are eight exploration blocks in <strong>the</strong> region of Saratov and two<br />

blocks in <strong>the</strong> region of Komi.<br />

In August 2009, Petrom <strong>report</strong>ed its first Russian exploration success at <strong>the</strong> Lugovaya-1 well, located in<br />

Saratov's Kamenskiy licence. Well tests showed a flow rate of more than 2,500b/d of light sweet <strong>oil</strong> in<br />

one zone, while two <strong>gas</strong>-bearing formations produced a combined 4,000boe/d of sweet <strong>gas</strong> and<br />

condensate. Russia's natural resources ministry said in October 2009 that reserves at <strong>the</strong> block could be as<br />

much as 80mn tonnes, or 586mn bbl, although it did not specify <strong>the</strong> level of certainty attached to this<br />

estimate.<br />

Ironically, this exploration success may be <strong>the</strong> reason for OMV's decision to exit Russia. According to<br />

Russian's law on strategic deposits, passed in May 2008, <strong>the</strong> state is empowered to take over <strong>oil</strong><br />

exploration licences where recoverable reserves exceed 70mn tonnes (513mn bbl). Should <strong>the</strong> natural<br />

resources ministry's reserves estimate be accurate, <strong>the</strong> Kamenskiy licence would be subject to this law.<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> law provides for compensation of costs plus a 30%-50% 'premium,' <strong>the</strong> fact that licences are<br />

subject to state appropriation is a major risk and has contributed to negative investor perception of Russia.<br />

Irkutsk Oil Company – Summary<br />

Irkutsk Oil Company, known by its Russian acronym INK, was established in November 2000 by<br />

bringing toge<strong>the</strong>r several small <strong>oil</strong> and <strong>gas</strong> producers in <strong>the</strong> Irkutsk region of East Siberia. It was <strong>the</strong> first<br />

© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 60

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