the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer
the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer
Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence Report 2010 Market Position In February 2003, UK-based oil major BP and Russian financial companies Alfa Group and Access- Renova (AAR), the owners of TNK, agreed to a US$6.35bn merger of their Russian businesses. At the time the deal represented the single largest Western investment in post-Soviet Russia. BP later agreed to pay a further US$1.4bn to include AAR’s 50% interest in Slavneft in the new JV. TNK-BP is governed by a 10-member board, with representatives nominated equally by BP and AAR and decisions taken unanimously. AAR nominates the chairman and BP the CEO. TNK-BP’s upstream assets are chiefly located in the West Siberia and Volga-Urals. Its downstream assets include interests in five refineries, with an installed capacity of 50mn tpa and a retail network of 1,600 sites in Russia and Ukraine. The main gas producer is the Rospan wholly owned subsidiary, which produced 6.5bcm in the Nizhnevartovsk region in 2008. TNK-BP has four refineries in Russia and one in Ukraine, with a total nameplate capacity of 560,000b/d. Of these, the Lisichansk plant in Ukraine can produce Euro-4 level diesel and the Saratov refinery in southern Russia can produce Euro-3 and Euro-4 gasoline, while the Ryazan refinery, in Central Russia, has had the technology to produce Euro-5 diesel since 2008. The two smaller refineries are the Krasnoleninsk and Nizhnevartovsk plants in West Siberia. In September 2008, BP and AAR signed an MoU setting out a resolution to their six-month dispute over control of TNK-BP, signalling a breakthrough in a complex and acrimonious power struggle. Nonetheless, many thorny issues remain, and we expect further ructions, albeit of a less dramatic nature, ahead. The agreement has three main components. First, it provides for a restructuring of the company’s board, including the introduction of three new directors unconnected to either side. The second proviso was the replacement of CEO Robert Dudley with an ‘independent’ candidate Maxim Barsky, who was approved by the board. Third, it allows the sale of up to 20% of a subsidiary of TNK-BP through an IPO on the international markets. Strategy Following Dudley’s resignation in December 2008, BP and AAR reportedly pitted their respective nominees, Pavel Skitovich and Barsky, in a head-to-head competition for the post. In November 2009, Barsky, who previously led independent West Siberian Resources, was named the winner. Alfa director Mikhail Fridman, however, will be an interim CEO until 2011, while Barsky is being trained. TNK-BP approved a US$1.8bn investment plan for 2010-2012 in February 2010. The planned upstream spending is in line with TNK-BP's strategy of aggressively replacing its reserves each year. Of the total, around US$1.7bn (96%) is to be spent on the two upstream projects. The first involves the full field development and the establishment of regional infrastructure at the eastern part of the Uvat group of oil © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 41
Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence Report 2010 fields, while the second project is the further development of the Verkhnechonskoe oil field in East Siberia. TNK-BP will be hoping that the investment in its upstream Siberian assets will help contribute towards its goal of replacing 100% of its production with new reserves each year. The company aims to spend around 80% of its total budget each year on upstream projects, with the focus on its core East Siberian and West Siberian regions. US$137mn has been earmarked to upgrade a diesel hydrotreater unit at the company's 130,000b/d Saratov refinery, as part of a US$1.3bn package outlined in October 2009 to enhance fuel quality from the company's refineries. The announcement of the new spending follows a statement by TNK-BP in October 2009 that it was planning to invest US$400mn in its fields in the Yamal Peninsula. Of this amount, US$180mn was allocated for developing its heavy oil Russkoe field in 2010/2011 and the remaining US$220mn was put towards its Suzun and Tagul oil fields. In February 2008, TNK-BP announced plans to increase production by 18% to 1.9.mn b/d by 2012, using US$15bn of projects to deliver a recovery in volume expansion. In March 2009, TNK-BP said it would invest US$1bn by 2012 into development of the Samotlor field for maintaining oil production in it at a level of 30mn tpa (600,000b/d). TNK-BP’s growing gas output is obliging the group to negotiate with pipeline monopoly Gazprom over the offtake of the extra volumes. TNK-BP has started signing long-term (three-year) contracts for the supply of gas to customers, according to the company in November 2007. The conclusion of long-term contracts with customers of TNK-BP requires guarantees of gas transportation by Gazprom. There have also been talks with Gazprom over the joint construction of a now-scrapped LNG project near St. Petersburg. Latest Developments TNK-BP in July 2010 was in talks with unnamed banks over taking a US$700mn unsecured three-year loan, according to Reuters. On June 3 2010, TNK-BP announced that it had begun voluntary bankruptcy proceedings for its subsidiary Rusia Petroleum, the operator of the Kovykta field. TNK-BP initiated bankruptcy proceedings against Rusia after recalling its loans to the subsidiary in mid-May 2010. By end-Q110, Rusia's total debt stood at RUB11.4bn (US$367mn), according to company's financial report. Although the company did not state the preferred buyer for Russia’s assets, it is most likely that the Kovykta licence will find its way to government-connected firms. In May 2010 the company said that it is planning to expand its premium-class bitumen production by 60% y-o-y. The move is in response to Russian legislation increasing the minimum lifespan of roads, © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 42
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Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence <strong>Report</strong> 2010<br />
Market Position<br />
In February 2003, UK-based <strong>oil</strong> major BP and Russian financial companies Alfa Group and Access-<br />
Renova (AAR), <strong>the</strong> owners of TNK, agreed to a US$6.35bn merger of <strong>the</strong>ir Russian businesses. At <strong>the</strong><br />
time <strong>the</strong> deal represented <strong>the</strong> single largest Western investment in post-Soviet Russia. BP later agreed to<br />
pay a fur<strong>the</strong>r US$1.4bn to include AAR’s 50% interest in Slavneft in <strong>the</strong> new JV. TNK-BP is governed<br />
by a 10-member board, with representatives nominated equally by BP and AAR and decisions taken<br />
unanimously. AAR nominates <strong>the</strong> chairman and BP <strong>the</strong> CEO.<br />
TNK-BP’s upstream assets are chiefly located in <strong>the</strong> West Siberia and Volga-Urals. Its downstream assets<br />
include interests in five refineries, with an installed capacity of 50mn tpa and a retail network of 1,600<br />
sites in Russia and Ukraine. The main <strong>gas</strong> producer is <strong>the</strong> Rospan wholly owned subsidiary, which<br />
produced 6.5bcm in <strong>the</strong> Nizhnevartovsk region in 2008.<br />
TNK-BP has four refineries in Russia and one in Ukraine, with a total nameplate capacity of 560,000b/d.<br />
Of <strong>the</strong>se, <strong>the</strong> Lisichansk plant in Ukraine can produce Euro-4 level diesel and <strong>the</strong> Saratov refinery in<br />
sou<strong>the</strong>rn Russia can produce Euro-3 and Euro-4 <strong>gas</strong>oline, while <strong>the</strong> Ryazan refinery, in Central Russia,<br />
has had <strong>the</strong> technology to produce Euro-5 diesel since 2008. The two smaller refineries are <strong>the</strong><br />
Krasnoleninsk and Nizhnevartovsk plants in West Siberia.<br />
In September 2008, BP and AAR signed an MoU setting out a resolution to <strong>the</strong>ir six-month dispute over<br />
control of TNK-BP, signalling a breakthrough in a complex and acrimonious power struggle.<br />
None<strong>the</strong>less, many thorny issues remain, and we expect fur<strong>the</strong>r ructions, albeit of a less dramatic nature,<br />
ahead. The agreement has three main components. First, it provides for a restructuring of <strong>the</strong> company’s<br />
board, including <strong>the</strong> introduction of three new directors unconnected to ei<strong>the</strong>r side. The second proviso<br />
was <strong>the</strong> replacement of CEO Robert Dudley with an ‘independent’ candidate Maxim Barsky, who was<br />
approved by <strong>the</strong> board. Third, it allows <strong>the</strong> sale of up to 20% of a subsidiary of TNK-BP through an IPO<br />
on <strong>the</strong> international markets.<br />
Strategy<br />
Following Dudley’s resignation in December 2008, BP and AAR <strong>report</strong>edly pitted <strong>the</strong>ir respective<br />
nominees, Pavel Skitovich and Barsky, in a head-to-head competition for <strong>the</strong> post. In November 2009,<br />
Barsky, who previously led independent West Siberian Resources, was named <strong>the</strong> winner. Alfa director<br />
Mikhail Fridman, however, will be an interim CEO until 2011, while Barsky is being trained.<br />
TNK-BP approved a US$1.8bn investment plan for 2010-2012 in February 2010. The planned upstream<br />
spending is in line with TNK-BP's strategy of aggressively replacing its reserves each year. Of <strong>the</strong> total,<br />
around US$1.7bn (96%) is to be spent on <strong>the</strong> two upstream projects. The first involves <strong>the</strong> full field<br />
development and <strong>the</strong> establishment of regional infrastructure at <strong>the</strong> eastern part of <strong>the</strong> Uvat group of <strong>oil</strong><br />
© Business Monitor International Ltd Page 41