the RUSSIA oil & gas competitive intelligence report - Report Buyer

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Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence Report 2010 of positions was behind the two sides' failure to agree new terms. Oil flows resumed after a precarious temporary agreement was reached in late January 2010, which committed Belarus to paying full export duties on re-exported Russian oil. All duties, however, are due to disappear after the new customs union between the two counties comes into force in mid-2010. Turkey The governments of Turkey, Russia and Italy in October 2009 signed a preliminary agreement for the construction of the Samsun-Ceyhan oil pipeline, which would cross Turkey from the Black to the Mediterranean coast and thereby provide Russia with another export route for its Black Sea oil terminals. Russia agreed to supply the pipeline, also known as the Trans Anadolu Pipeline (TAP), earlier in 2009. The 550km oil pipeline will have an initial capacity of 1mn b/d, which will eventually rise to 1.5mn b/d. No start-up dates have been released. Transneft was offered a 50% stake in the pipeline in December 2009, by Anadolu Pipeline Company (TAPCO), a 50:50 JV between Eni and local company Çalik Energy, which is developing the project. In an effort to fill the TAP pipeline, Transneft said in June 2010 that it could support proposals to impose quotas on shipments of oil through the Bosphorus. According to remarks made by Transneft's president, Nikolai Tokarev, at least two proposals are being considered to achieve this. Under one proposal, companies intending to export oil from the Black Sea would be given a quota restricting the volumes that can be transported through the Bosphorus. Volumes beyond the quota would have to be exported by pipeline. Under the other proposal, crude oil exports through the Bosphorus would be halted completely, forcing companies to transport all oil volumes by pipeline. Oil products and petrochemicals would be unaffected by both proposals and would still be transported through the Bosphorus. Tokarev did not specify how the quotas would be imposed. Table: Key Upstream Players Company Oil/liquids production (000b/d) Market share (%) Gas production (bcm) Market share (%) Lukoil 1,830 19.5 7.4 1.2 Surgutneftegaz 1,197 12.1 14.1 2.3 Gazprom Neft*** 957 9.4 na 0.3 Tatneft 519 5.1 0.8 0.1 Gazprom 335 3.3 462 78.3 TNK-BP 1,680 14.7 12 1.9 Rosneft 2,180 21.5 12.4* 2.1 Russneft 254 2.3 na na Total 11 0.1 0.02 nm © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 19
Russia Oil and Gas Competitive Intelligence Report 2010 Table: Key Upstream Players Company Oil/liquids production (000b/d) Market share (%) Gas production (bcm) Market share (%) Imperial 13.5 0.1 na na Novatek 60 0.5 32 5.1 Shell 106 1 2 1 Alliance 42e 0.4 na na Includes JV entitlements, e = estimate, na = not available/applicable. Source: BMI, 2008 company data; , ***includes all Gazprom Group companies. Key Downstream Players Company Refining capacity (000b/d) Market share (%) Retail outlets Market share (%) Lukoil 894 16.3 2,170 19e Rosneft 1,130 20.5 1,695 15 Surgutneftegaz 398 7 305 3 Gazprom Neft 964 17.5 1,562 na Tatneft 80 1.5 484 5 TNK-BP 560 10.1 1,400* na Bashneft affiliates 500e 9 317 na *Including Ukraine; e = estimate, na = not available/applicable. Source: BMI. Company data 2009 © Business Monitor International Ltd Page 20
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