Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

07.06.2014 Views

-76- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre Using the RC more intensively affects the cost savings from trading RC units for cadre units. In the CadreMix force, we traded nine RC BCTs for three cadre BCTs, which reduces average long-run savings by about $2 billion annually. If the RC is used more intensively, the ratio of trading RC BCTs to cadre BCTs decreases. This reduces the annual cost savings from trading RC BCTs for cadre BCTs. Table 6.2 shows the cost savings from trading RC units for cadre units under different assumptions about RC rotation. Table 6.2—Average Long-Run Cost Savings from RC for Cadre Tradeoff when RC is Used More Intensively RC Rotation RC BCTs per 3 Cadre BCTs Annual Cost Savings RC 1:5 9 $1.8 Billion RC 1:4 7.5 $1.3 Billion RC 1:3 6 $0.8 Billion Deploying RC units one year in five (1:4) reduces the annual cost savings from $1.8 billion to $1.3 billion. Deploying RC units one year in four (1:3) decreases the cost savings even further, to $0.8 billion annually. However, even when we use the RC as intensively as we could imagine (1:3), trading RC BCTs for cadre BCTs still reduces annual costs. Although using the RC more intensively reduces the cost savings from a cadre augmented force, it also decreases the stress on the AC. Figure 6.2 shows the stress on the AC for the CadreMix force under differing assumptions about rotation guidance for the RC.

-77- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre Figure 6.2—Stress on the AC when RC is Rotated More Intensively 20% 17% 16% % of AC Deployments 15% 10% 5% 6% 5% 5% 10% 9% 7% 13% RC 1:5 RC 1:4 RC 1:3 0% 12 16 or fewer 20 or fewer Months at Home Between Deployments As the RC is used more intensively, stress on the AC decreases because RC units are available to redeploy in the period during which cadre units are mobilizing. However, this decrease is not very significant given the stress placed on the RC. 89 The percentage of AC units deployed with 20, 16, and 12 or fewer months at home drops by only one to four percent as the frequency of RC rotation increases from one year in six (1:5) to one year in four (1:3). The reduction in the cost savings from a cadre augmented force due to using the RC more intensively is balanced by a decrease in stress on the AC. Overall, a cadre augmented force still reduces annual costs when the RC is used more intensively, with the additional benefit that using the RC more intensively reduces stress on the AC. ____________ 89 It is unlikely that DoD would be willing to accept three year dwell times for RC units given the nature of reserve service. Deployments as frequent as every four years would disrupt the civilian careers of many reservists and would likely lower recruitment and retention.

-77- A Budgetary Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />

Figure 6.2—Stress on the AC when RC is Rotated More Intensively<br />

20%<br />

17%<br />

16%<br />

% of AC Deployments<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

6%<br />

5%<br />

5%<br />

10%<br />

9%<br />

7%<br />

13%<br />

RC 1:5<br />

RC 1:4<br />

RC 1:3<br />

0%<br />

12 16 or fewer 20 or fewer<br />

Months at Home Between Deployments<br />

As the RC is used more intensively, stress on the AC decreases because RC units are<br />

available to redeploy in the period during which cadre units are mobilizing. However, this<br />

decrease is not very significant given the stress placed on the RC. 89 The percentage of AC<br />

units deployed with 20, 16, and 12 or fewer months at home drops by only one to four<br />

percent as the frequency of RC rotation increases from one year in six (1:5) to one year in<br />

four (1:3).<br />

The reduction in the cost savings from a cadre augmented force due to using the RC<br />

more intensively is balanced by a decrease in stress on the AC. Overall, a cadre augmented<br />

force still reduces annual costs when the RC is used more intensively, with the additional<br />

benefit that using the RC more intensively reduces stress on the AC.<br />

____________<br />

89 It is unlikely that DoD would be willing to accept three year dwell times for RC units given the nature of<br />

reserve service. Deployments as frequent as every four years would disrupt the civilian careers of many<br />

reservists and would likely lower recruitment and retention.

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!