Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

-52- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre
60
+18 BCTs
60
CadreMix
AC BCTs Home > 1 Year
50
40
30
20
10
Baseline
Cadre
AC BCTs Home > 1 Year
50
40
30
20
10
Baseline
Cadre
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year of War
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Year of War
The difference in military risk measured as the number of AC BCTs with more than
one year at home shows a trend similar to that for the total number of available AC BCTs.
The cadre augmented forces have fewer available AC BCTs in peacetime and in years one
through eight of wartime after which the number of available BCTs is about equal. In the
six, nine, and 18 expansions, the minimum number of AC BCTs at home more than one
year in the baseline forces is 10, 11, and 14 BCTs respectively while the minimum number of
BCTs at home in the cadre forces is four, two, and zero BCTs respectively. The minimum
number of AC BCTs available with more than a year at home in the CadreMix baseline force
is ten BCTs while the CadreMix force has a minimum of zero BCTs at home. While the
baseline forces would have nearly enough BCTs at home more than one year to fight one
MRC requiring about 15 BCTs, the cadre augmented forces would have almost no units at
home more than a year. Again, a cadre augmented force increases military risk.
For each measure of risk, the DoD must decide whether this increase is acceptable in
order to achieve the cost savings provided by a cadre augmented force. We considered these
additional measures of risk because a cadre augmented force requires significant changes that
will take many years to implement during which time the force planning heuristic may