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Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

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-50- A Budgetary Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />

BCT expansions, the number of AC units available in peacetime in the baseline forces are<br />

48, 51, and 60 while the cadre augmented forces all have 42 AC BCTs available. The<br />

<strong>Cadre</strong>Mix baseline force has 48 available BCTs in peacetime while the <strong>Cadre</strong>Mix force has<br />

only 35 BCTs. We argued in the previous section that this was still enough to meet the<br />

requirements of two MRCs. 54<br />

During the first eight years of a war, each of the cadre augmented forces has fewer AC<br />

BCTs available in nearly every year compared to the baseline non-cadre forces. These<br />

differences are larger for the larger cadre augmented forces. By year eight, the number of AC<br />

BCTs available is about the same in the baseline and cadre forces. For the six, nine, and 18<br />

expansions, the minimum number of AC BCTs at home in the baseline forces is 29, 31, and<br />

37 BCTs respectively while the minimum number of BCTs at home in the cadre forces is 23,<br />

22, and 19 BCTs respectively. The minimum number of AC BCTs available in the <strong>Cadre</strong>Mix<br />

baseline force is 29 BCTs while the <strong>Cadre</strong>Mix force has a minimum of 16 BCTs at home. If<br />

we assume that one MRC requires 15 BCTs, 55 each of the cadre augmented forces would<br />

have enough AC BCTs available to fight one MRC while engaged in a long war. The<br />

equivalent non-cadre forces would be capable of fighting nearly two MRCs while engaged in<br />

a long war. Overall, there is an increase in this measure of military risk from moving to a<br />

cadre augmented force. However, this may be acceptable given that the cadre augmented<br />

force is still capable of fighting two wars: a long-war with rotation and a short-war requiring<br />

requirement. See Appendix C for a comparison of risk results under different assumptions about peacetime<br />

deployments.<br />

54 See discussion and references in Section 2.2.<br />

55 Assuming that an MRC requires five divisions [Aspin (1993)] with three BCTs per division.

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