Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
-48- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre decision for the DoD. Overall, this cadre augmented force reduces annual costs by $11 billion averaged over periods of peace and war and $13 billion in peacetime but increases military risk as measured by deviation from rotation guidance. In this chapter, we calculated the cost savings from four different cadre augmented forces. Each of these cadre forces is compared against a different baseline force. Table 2.2 shows the structure of each cadre augmented force, its baseline, and the steady-state number of units each can provide when used according to rotation guidance. Table 2.2—Cadre Force Structure Alternatives and Baselines Baseline Cadre Augmented Steady- AC RC Cadre AC RC Cadre State +6 Cadre 48 28 0 42 28 6 19 +9 Cadre 51 28 0 42 28 6 20 +18 Cadre 60 28 0 42 28 18 23 CadreMix 48 28 0 35 19 16 19 2.3—OTHER MEASURES OF MILITARY RISK Thus far, we have measured military risk as AC deviation from rotation guidance. However, other measures of military risk are also important. One of these measures, which was commonly used during the Cold War, is the number of BCTs that would be available to deploy immediately at the onset of hostilities. During the Cold War, the force was sized so there would be enough BCTs available to fight two simultaneous wars. As discussed in the introduction, only AC BCTs are ready to deploy immediately. Therefore, as another measure of military risk we calculated the number of AC BCTs available for deployment over the course of a ten-year war. We began by assuming that all AC BCTs that were not deployed would be available for deployment. Figure 2.5 compares the number of AC BCTs available
-49- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre to deploy over the course of a ten-year war in the baseline and cadre forces for each of the alternatives we analyzed in this chapter. 52 Figure 2.5—Comparison of AC BCTs Available 50 +6 BCTs 55 +9 BCTs 45 Baseline Cadre 50 Baseline Cadre AC BCTs at Home 40 35 30 AC BCTs at Home 45 40 35 30 25 25 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year of War 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year of War 70 60 +18 BCTs Baseline Cadre 60 50 CadreMix Baseline Cadre AC BCTs at Home 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year of War AC BCTs at Home 40 30 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year of War For all of the forces, we can see that moving to a cadre augmented force reduces the number of AC BCTs that are available for deployment. This is because all of the cadre augmented forces analyzed in this paper replace some AC units with cadre units. Year 0 represents peacetime when we assume no AC units are deployed. 53 For the six, nine, and 18 ____________ 52 Calculated using the Long War Assignment Model (LWAM). See Appendix B for more detail. 53 This is a simplifying assumption. In reality, AC units will be deployed to meet forward presence requirements. However, these will have exactly the same impact on the baseline and cadre forces. A peacetime requirement will simply reduce the number of AC units available in year zero by the size of the peacetime
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-48- A Budgetary Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />
decision for the DoD. Overall, this cadre augmented force reduces annual costs by $11<br />
billion averaged over periods of peace and war and $13 billion in peacetime but increases<br />
military risk as measured by deviation from rotation guidance.<br />
In this chapter, we calculated the cost savings from four different cadre augmented<br />
forces. Each of these cadre forces is compared against a different baseline force. Table 2.2<br />
shows the structure of each cadre augmented force, its baseline, and the steady-state number<br />
of units each can provide when used according to rotation guidance.<br />
Table 2.2—<strong>Cadre</strong> Force Structure Alternatives and Baselines<br />
Baseline <strong>Cadre</strong> <strong>Augmented</strong> Steady-<br />
AC RC <strong>Cadre</strong> AC RC <strong>Cadre</strong> State<br />
+6 <strong>Cadre</strong> 48 28 0 42 28 6 19<br />
+9 <strong>Cadre</strong> 51 28 0 42 28 6 20<br />
+18 <strong>Cadre</strong> 60 28 0 42 28 18 23<br />
<strong>Cadre</strong>Mix 48 28 0 35 19 16 19<br />
2.3—OTHER MEASURES OF MILITARY RISK<br />
Thus far, we have measured military risk as AC deviation from rotation guidance.<br />
However, other measures of military risk are also important. One of these measures, which<br />
was commonly used during the Cold War, is the number of BCTs that would be available to<br />
deploy immediately at the onset of hostilities. During the Cold War, the force was sized so<br />
there would be enough BCTs available to fight two simultaneous wars. As discussed in the<br />
introduction, only AC BCTs are ready to deploy immediately. Therefore, as another measure<br />
of military risk we calculated the number of AC BCTs available for deployment over the<br />
course of a ten-year war. We began by assuming that all AC BCTs that were not deployed<br />
would be available for deployment. Figure 2.5 compares the number of AC BCTs available