Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
-16- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre 6.1.2 —Using the AC Less Intensively ........................................................................72 6.2 —RC Rotation Guidance..............................................................................................75 7. Readiness...................................................................................................................................79 7.1 —Cadre Readiness.........................................................................................................79 7.1.1 —Mobilization Delay............................................................................................81 7.1.2 —Mobilization Rate ..............................................................................................83 7.1.3 —Cadre Structure and Readiness........................................................................86 7.2 —RC Readiness..............................................................................................................86 8. Conclusion................................................................................................................................89 8.1 —Rotation and Long Wars ..........................................................................................91 8.2 —Operational vs. Strategic reserve .............................................................................92 8.3 —A Broader Perspective ..............................................................................................93 Appendix A —Cost, Tradeoff, and Stress Calculations...............................................................95 A.1 —Relative Force Costs.................................................................................................95 A.2 —Annual Cost Per BCT..............................................................................................99 A.2.1 —The Cost of Trading AC BCTs for Cadre BCTs.......................................100 A.2.2 —The Cost of Trading RC BCTs for Cadre BCTs.......................................101 A.3 —Number of Units Per Deployed BCT .................................................................103 A.4 —AC Stress..................................................................................................................104 A.5 —Cadre Cost Savings Relative to Baseline .............................................................106 Appendix B —The Long War Assignment Model .....................................................................109 B.1 —Simulating Deployments........................................................................................109 B.1.1 —Model Resolution ...........................................................................................110 B.1.2 —Inputs ...............................................................................................................111 B.1.3 —Executing the LWAM....................................................................................115 B.1.4 —Outputs ............................................................................................................125 B.2 —The Cadre Force Optimizer..................................................................................127 B.3 —Modelling Issues......................................................................................................128 Appendix C —Further Sensitivity Analyses and Model Validation .........................................131 C.1 —Adding a Peacetime Deployment Requirement .................................................131 C.1.1 —Growing the Force with Cadre.....................................................................132 C.1.2 —Changing the Mix of Force with Cadre.......................................................133 C.2 —Model Validation.....................................................................................................134
-17- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre FIGURES Figure 1.1—Cadre Wartime Stages .................................................................................................23 Figure 1.2—Cadre Mobilization Timeline......................................................................................32 Figure 1.3—Overview of the Long War Assignment Model ......................................................34 Figure 2.1—Comparison of AC Stress between 2011 and +6 Cadre Force ..............................40 Figure 2.2—Comparison of AC Stress for Larger Expansions ..................................................43 Figure 2.3—Changing the Force Mix .............................................................................................44 Figure 2.4—Comparison of AC Stress between 2011 and CadreMix Force .............................47 Figure 2.5—Comparison of AC BCTs Available..........................................................................49 Figure 2.6—Comparison of AC BCTs Available with more than One Year at Home...........51 Figure 2.7—Relative Cost Savings from Cadre Forces................................................................53 Figure 3.1—Sensitivity of Average Long-Run Cost Savings from Cadre Forces to Frequency of Wars.........................................................................................................................................56 Figure 4.1—Sensitivity of Average Long-Run Cost Savings from Cadre Forces to Peacetime Cadre Cost ...................................................................................................................................60 Figure 4.2—Sensitivity of Average Long-Run Cost Savings from Cadre/RC Tradeoff to Peacetime RC Cost.....................................................................................................................61 Figure 5.1—Time Phased Deployment for Cadre Force Strictly Following Rotation Guidance......................................................................................................................................64 Figure 5.2—AC Stress by Willingness to Break AC Rotation Guidance...................................68 Figure 6.1—Number of AC Units per Deployed BCT by Deployment Length and Dwell Time..............................................................................................................................................74 Figure 6.2—Stress on the AC when RC is Rotated More Intensively .......................................77 Figure 7.1—Assumed Cadre Readiness Profile.............................................................................80 Figure 7.2—Sensitivity of RC BCTs Required in the CadreMix Force to Cadre Mobilization Delay.............................................................................................................................................81 Figure 7.3—Sensitivity of Average Long-Run Cadre Cost Savings from CadreMix Force to Cadre Mobilization Delay..........................................................................................................82 Figure 7.4—Sensitivity of RC BCTs Required in CadreMix Force to Cadre Mobilization Rate .......................................................................................................................................................84 Figure 7.5—Sensitivity of Average Long-Run Cadre Cost Savings from CadreMix Force to Cadre Mobilization Rate............................................................................................................85
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-16- A Budgetary Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />
6.1.2 —Using the AC Less Intensively ........................................................................72<br />
6.2 —RC Rotation Guidance..............................................................................................75<br />
7. Readiness...................................................................................................................................79<br />
7.1 —<strong>Cadre</strong> Readiness.........................................................................................................79<br />
7.1.1 —Mobilization Delay............................................................................................81<br />
7.1.2 —Mobilization Rate ..............................................................................................83<br />
7.1.3 —<strong>Cadre</strong> Structure and Readiness........................................................................86<br />
7.2 —RC Readiness..............................................................................................................86<br />
8. Conclusion................................................................................................................................89<br />
8.1 —Rotation and Long Wars ..........................................................................................91<br />
8.2 —Operational vs. Strategic reserve .............................................................................92<br />
8.3 —A Broader Perspective ..............................................................................................93<br />
Appendix A —Cost, Tradeoff, and Stress Calculations...............................................................95<br />
A.1 —Relative Force Costs.................................................................................................95<br />
A.2 —Annual Cost Per BCT..............................................................................................99<br />
A.2.1 —The Cost of Trading AC BCTs for <strong>Cadre</strong> BCTs.......................................100<br />
A.2.2 —The Cost of Trading RC BCTs for <strong>Cadre</strong> BCTs.......................................101<br />
A.3 —Number of Units Per Deployed BCT .................................................................103<br />
A.4 —AC Stress..................................................................................................................104<br />
A.5 —<strong>Cadre</strong> Cost Savings Relative to Baseline .............................................................106<br />
Appendix B —The Long War Assignment Model .....................................................................109<br />
B.1 —Simulating Deployments........................................................................................109<br />
B.1.1 —Model Resolution ...........................................................................................110<br />
B.1.2 —Inputs ...............................................................................................................111<br />
B.1.3 —Executing the LWAM....................................................................................115<br />
B.1.4 —Outputs ............................................................................................................125<br />
B.2 —The <strong>Cadre</strong> Force Optimizer..................................................................................127<br />
B.3 —Modelling Issues......................................................................................................128<br />
Appendix C —Further Sensitivity Analyses and Model Validation .........................................131<br />
C.1 —Adding a Peacetime Deployment Requirement .................................................131<br />
C.1.1 —Growing the Force with <strong>Cadre</strong>.....................................................................132<br />
C.1.2 —Changing the Mix of Force with <strong>Cadre</strong>.......................................................133<br />
C.2 —Model Validation.....................................................................................................134
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