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Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

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-272- A Historical Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />

Figure 1.2—Historical Size of U.S. <strong>Army</strong> Relative to Population 9<br />

700<br />

All Peacetime Average<br />

Soldiers Per 100,000 Residents<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

1794<br />

1804<br />

1814<br />

1824<br />

1834<br />

1844<br />

1854<br />

1864<br />

1874<br />

1884<br />

1894<br />

1904<br />

1914<br />

1924<br />

1934<br />

1944<br />

1954<br />

1964<br />

1974<br />

1984<br />

1994<br />

2004<br />

From 1794 through 1900, there was very little variation in the relative size of the<br />

peacetime army because the <strong>Army</strong>’s assumption about the threat scenario changed very little.<br />

The militia was the primary war fighting force of the United States. Policymakers assumed<br />

that the United States would have enough time to train and equip the militia before a war<br />

broke out because the U.S. was geographically isolated. Over this time period, the <strong>Army</strong><br />

averaged 64 soldiers on active duty per 100,000 U.S. residents during peacetime.<br />

The first significant change in perceived threat occurred following the Spanish<br />

American War of 1898. This coincided with renewed concern about the readiness of the<br />

reserves. After the Spanish American War, the <strong>Army</strong> began to question the premise of<br />

relying on geographic isolation to provide sufficient warning time. Additionally, the<br />

experience with the reserves in the Spanish American War brought into question their<br />

readiness. This ignited a force structure debate that lasted from 1900 through the beginning<br />

of World War I. <strong>Cadre</strong> forces were proposed many times throughout this period. These<br />

____________<br />

9 Data extracted from: U.S. Census Bureau (1975), U.S. Census Bureau (2002), U.S. Census Bureau (2003), and<br />

DMDC (2008). See Appendix A for more detail.

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