Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
-270- A Historical Analysis of Cadre future wars is subject to great uncertainty. In addition, it is difficult to estimate the readiness and cost of existing units because of differing assumptions about cost components and the use of proxy readiness measures. This estimation becomes even more difficult when the Army considers forces that do not already exist such as cadre forces. Changes in assumptions about the perceived threat and readiness of the reserves have served as the impetus for different cadre proposals over time. 1.2—CHANGES IN PERCEIVED READINESS Cadre forces have been proposed twice during the history of the U.S. Army due to concerns about the readiness of the reserves. 4 In the early 19 th century, two prominent military figures, John C. Calhoun and Emory Upton, questioned whether relying on the militia as the nation’s primary war fighting force was the most cost-effective alternative. They argued: (1) that the readiness of the militia was overestimated because they did not receive adequate training or equipment and (2) that a cadre force 5 would provide more capability for the same cost. Calhoun and Upton argued that it would cost more to raise the readiness of the reserves than it would to create a cadre force with the same level of readiness. 6 They framed their arguments in an either/or fashion, arguing that the United States should either rely entirely on the militia or eliminate the militia and rely on a cadre force. There was no discussion of force mix. This either/or presentation was a feature of ____________ 4 For ease of presentation, the instance when cadre forces were proposed due to both a change in the perceived readiness of the reserves and perceived threat is included in the section on perceived threat. 5 Calhoun and Upton envisioned cadre units as units that retained all officers and no enlisted personnel during peacetime (there were very few NCOs in nineteenth century Army units) that would be filled out in wartime by a combination of volunteering and conscription. They proposed that cadre units replace all militia units. 6 Neither Calhoun nor Upton explicitly discussed the cost-effectiveness of militia or cadre forces. However, their recommendations and logic imply that each believed that cadre units were more cost-effective. This is discussed in more detail in the following chapters.
-271- A Historical Analysis of Cadre nearly all cadre proposals made before World War I. Calhoun and Upton supported their arguments by recounting the failures of the militia in the nineteenth century. The U.S. Congress never accepted the cadre proposals of Calhoun and Upton. Instead, Congress responded to these proposals by providing funding to increase the readiness of the militia. The second time cadre forces were proposed because of a lack of faith in the reserves was following the Vietnam War. Due to Lyndon Johnson’s refusal to deploy the reserves to Vietnam, the reserves reputation suffered throughout the 1970s. During this period, some military professionals proposed that cadre units replace some reserve units. These proposals were similar to those of Upton and Calhoun; they argued that a cadre force was more cost-effective than a reserve force. Like those of Calhoun and Upton, these proposals failed to gain support and disappeared when the total force policy was adopted. 1.3—CHANGES IN PERCEIVED THREAT There have been four instances when a change in perceived threat has led to force structure debates that included cadre forces. 7 These changes occurred at the beginning of the 20 th century, after World Wars I and II, and at the end of the Cold War. Figure 1.2 shows the number of army personnel on active duty as a fraction of the population from 1794 through 2007. 8 The intervals over which averages are calculated are based on the timing of significant changes in perceived threat. ____________ 7 This section includes the instance when cadre forces were proposed due to both a change in the perceived readiness of the reserves and the perceived threat (at the beginning of the 20 th century). 8 This graph shows the size of the army (All), the peacetime size of the army (Peacetime), and the peacetime average over various time periods (Average) relative to the total population of the United States. The size of the peacetime army was calculated by interpolating the peacetime size of the army during wars as the average of the size of the army the three years before and after each war. Averages were calculated over four time periods: 1794-1899, 1900-1916, 1917-1939, 1940-1989, and 1990-2007.
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-270- A Historical Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />
future wars is subject to great uncertainty. In addition, it is difficult to estimate the readiness<br />
and cost of existing units because of differing assumptions about cost components and the<br />
use of proxy readiness measures. This estimation becomes even more difficult when the<br />
<strong>Army</strong> considers forces that do not already exist such as cadre forces. Changes in<br />
assumptions about the perceived threat and readiness of the reserves have served as the<br />
impetus for different cadre proposals over time.<br />
1.2—CHANGES IN PERCEIVED READINESS<br />
<strong>Cadre</strong> forces have been proposed twice during the history of the U.S. <strong>Army</strong> due to<br />
concerns about the readiness of the reserves. 4 In the early 19 th century, two prominent<br />
military figures, John C. Calhoun and Emory Upton, questioned whether relying on the<br />
militia as the nation’s primary war fighting force was the most cost-effective alternative.<br />
They argued: (1) that the readiness of the militia was overestimated because they did not<br />
receive adequate training or equipment and (2) that a cadre force 5 would provide more<br />
capability for the same cost. Calhoun and Upton argued that it would cost more to raise the<br />
readiness of the reserves than it would to create a cadre force with the same level of<br />
readiness. 6 They framed their arguments in an either/or fashion, arguing that the United<br />
States should either rely entirely on the militia or eliminate the militia and rely on a cadre<br />
force. There was no discussion of force mix. This either/or presentation was a feature of<br />
____________<br />
4 For ease of presentation, the instance when cadre forces were proposed due to both a change in the perceived<br />
readiness of the reserves and perceived threat is included in the section on perceived threat.<br />
5 Calhoun and Upton envisioned cadre units as units that retained all officers and no enlisted personnel during<br />
peacetime (there were very few NCOs in nineteenth century <strong>Army</strong> units) that would be filled out in wartime by<br />
a combination of volunteering and conscription. They proposed that cadre units replace all militia units.<br />
6 Neither Calhoun nor Upton explicitly discussed the cost-effectiveness of militia or cadre forces. However,<br />
their recommendations and logic imply that each believed that cadre units were more cost-effective. This is<br />
discussed in more detail in the following chapters.