Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

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-246- An Operational Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong> Basic for Applications (VBA) in Microsoft Excel. 169 Two separate models were built using the same framework- one for officers and one for NCOs. These models only differ in the number of states, which is determined by the number of grades. The implementations of these models are the same. This section describes the implementation of the Markov Promotion Model. Inputs The Markov Promotion Model requires three types of inputs: time definitions, promotion data, and an initial force structure data. Figure C.1 shows the inputs required for the Markov Promotion Model for officers. Figure C.1—Markov Promotion Model Inputs (Officers) Time Periods Per Year 2 Simulated Periods 4 Promotion Data Interval Rate Captain 2 0.98 Major 2 0.98 Lt. Colonel 2 0.89 Colonel 2 0.6 Force Structure Initial Results New Accessions/Yr 5100 Lieutenants 18717 Captains 24192 Majors 15128 Lt. Colonels 9489 Colonels 3957 Total 71483 0 There are two types of time definitions required: the resolution and the run time. Time resolution is specified in terms of periods per year. In all of the models used in this ____________ 169 The model requires an Excel add-in to perform matrix calculations. The add-in, called Matrix.xla, is available free from the Foxes team at: http://digilander.libero.it/foxes/SoftwareDownload.htm (accessed November 26, 2007).
-247- An Operational Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong> paper, we specify the resolution to be half-years (two periods per year) because this is the highest resolution for which the model would provide solutions. 170 We must also specify the number of periods to simulate. This tells the model to calculate the change in the number of officers or NCOs after n periods. For the analyses in this paper we assumed that n is equal to four periods (twenty-four months) because cadre units that are ready to deploy after 36 months would need to have all officers and NCOs in place with at least 12 months to train with their new units. The Markov Promotion Model requires two types of promotion inputs for each possible promotion: promotion intervals and the promotion rates. The number of inputs depends on the number of grades, which are different for the officer and enlisted models. The officer model examines promotions through Colonel (O-6) because we are examining BCTs, which are led by Colonels. When we conglomerate first and second lieutenants into one category, 171 the officer model requires specifying data for four promotions (to Captain, Major, Lt. Colonel, and Colonel). The NCO model requires specifying data for six promotions (to E-4, E-5, E-6, E-7, E-8, and E-9). 172 In each model, we specify the promotion interval as the number of time periods between promotions. We determined the promotion intervals from the Time in Service (TIS) requirements for each promotion as ____________ 170 Microsoft Excel limits the size of the matrix calculations that can be performed and if we increased the resolution any further than half-years we obtained an infeasible result. 171 Most of our data combines first and second lieutenants into one category. It is fair to assume that first and second lieutenants are the same because the Defense Officer Personnel Management Act of 1980 dictates that 100 percent of second lieutenants be promoted to first lieutenant if qualified. [CBO (1999), p. 7-8]. The actual promotion rate is close to 100 percent. 172 In the NCO model, we conglomerate all privates into one category (E-1 through E-3); we assume that all privates are promoted at least through E-3.
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THE ARTS CHILD POLICY CIVIL JUSTICE
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Considering a Cadre Augmented Army
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- iii - PREFACE This dissertation e
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- vii - SUMMARY This dissertation c
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- ix - the similarities and differe
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- xiii - ACRONYMS Symbol AC AIT ARF
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-1- Introduction Introduction This
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-3- Introduction ability to rotate
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-5- Introduction In a force designe
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-7- Introduction increasing militar
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-9- Introduction peacetime have bee
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-11- Introduction forces. This is i
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-14- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre
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-137- An Operational Analysis of Ca
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-377- Conclusion Conclusion This di
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-379- Bibliography Bibliography Ada
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-381- Bibliography Carter, William
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-383- Bibliography Department of De
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-385- Bibliography Garamone, Jim,
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-387- Bibliography Howze, Hamilton
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-389- Bibliography Michie, Peter Sm
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-391- Bibliography Stewart, Richard
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-393- Bibliography Vick, Alan, Davi
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Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

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