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Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

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-213- An Operational Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />

bonuses would further reduce the cost savings from each cadre augmented force by about<br />

37 percent. 134 Under the most pessimistic assumption about the size of bonuses, this<br />

alternative could reduce the cost savings from a cadre augmented force by as much as 62<br />

percent. 135 Nonetheless, even under the worst-case assumption, each cadre augmented force<br />

still reduces cost savings by billions of dollars.<br />

This option avoids some of the issues with IRR activation because the junior<br />

personnel are volunteering to serve in cadre units rather than being called upon involuntarily.<br />

However, like the IRR activation option, it would also require making significant changes to<br />

DoD personnel policies. Additionally, RC personnel are generally older and of higher rank<br />

and therefore there may be a limited supply of junior personnel to draw upon. We calculate<br />

that 21 percent of the RC is in grades E-1 through E-4 while 44 percent of the AC and 61<br />

percent of the IRR is in those grades. 136 Therefore, in order for the RC to be a viable source<br />

of junior personnel to fill out cadre units, a focused effort would need to be made to recruit<br />

additional junior personnel for the RC.<br />

bonuses of $10,000 in 2005. (http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/library/news/2005/06/mil-050617-<br />

arnews01.htm; accessed May 28, 2008)<br />

134 Average long-run annual cost savings from the +6 <strong>Cadre</strong>, +9 <strong>Cadre</strong> and, +18 <strong>Cadre</strong> forces would decrease<br />

from $4 to $2.5 billion, $6 to $3.8 billion, and $12 to $7.5 billion respectively. The average long-run savings<br />

from the <strong>Cadre</strong>Mix force would decrease from $11 billion to $7 billion. If bonuses were $10,000 ($20,000), cost<br />

savings would decrease by nine (18) percent. For each $10,000 increase in bonuses, cost savings decrease by an<br />

additional nine percent.<br />

135 In the worst case, average long-run annual cost savings from the +6 <strong>Cadre</strong>, +9 <strong>Cadre</strong> and, +18 <strong>Cadre</strong> forces<br />

would decrease from $4 to $1.5 billion, $6 to $2.2 billion, and $12 to $4.4 billion respectively. The average longrun<br />

savings from the <strong>Cadre</strong>Mix force would decrease from $11 billion to $4.3 billion. In the more realistic case<br />

of $15,000 bonuses, cadre cost savings would decrease by only 39 percent.<br />

136 Calculations based on grade breakdowns in DoD (2005). Holmes and Tan (2006) also state that Air Force<br />

Reservists and Air National Guardsmen are generally older than their active duty counterparts. Barnes (2006)<br />

says the same thing about the <strong>Army</strong>.

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