Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

07.06.2014 Views

-136- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre possible reasons for this. The first reason is that two long wars can occur with very little time in between in the RAND SLAM program while all units are assumed to be fully rested at the beginning of a war in the LWAM model. Back-to-back wars would place a significant amount of stress on the AC because cadre units would need to be remobilized 146 and many RC units would also be inaccessible for deployment at the beginning of the second war. The second possible reason is that there are differences in the assignment algorithms between SLAM and the LWAM. Once a unit is deployed in the LWAM model, it is deployed for as long as the maximum deployment specified for that force. A unit deployed in the SLAM model can be deployed for any period of time depending on the number of look-ahead periods and the assignment rule. 147 In the LWAM, this means that once a unit is deployed at the beginning of a war, it is deployed for as long as possible after which a replacement unit is deployed. In the SLAM model, some of the units deployed at the beginning of a long war are only deployed for short tours because the SLAM model “thinks” that the war will not last very long. This leads to increased stress on the AC because those units deployed for short tours at the beginning of the war will be called upon for redeployment sooner than they would have been if they had been deployed for the maximum deployment length. This section has compared the analyses performed in Chapter Two with the LWAM with similar analyses carried out with the RAND SLAM program. We find that the cost results are almost identical. However, we also find that the SLAM model calculates a much higher level of stress on the AC than the LWAM. This may be due to both the stochastic nature of the SLAM model and differences in the force assignment algorithms. ____________ 146 Once cadre units are demobilized in the SLAM model, they require the full 36 months to be remobilized. This is an unrealistic assumption, but is required for modeling purposes. 147 See Appendix D of Klerman et al (2008) for a discussion of SLAM assignment rules.

-137- An Operational Analysis of Cadre Paper Two—An Operational Analysis of Cadre

-136- A Budgetary Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />

possible reasons for this. The first reason is that two long wars can occur with very little time<br />

in between in the <strong>RAND</strong> SLAM program while all units are assumed to be fully rested at the<br />

beginning of a war in the LWAM model. Back-to-back wars would place a significant<br />

amount of stress on the AC because cadre units would need to be remobilized 146 and many<br />

RC units would also be inaccessible for deployment at the beginning of the second war. The<br />

second possible reason is that there are differences in the assignment algorithms between<br />

SLAM and the LWAM. Once a unit is deployed in the LWAM model, it is deployed for as<br />

long as the maximum deployment specified for that force. A unit deployed in the SLAM<br />

model can be deployed for any period of time depending on the number of look-ahead<br />

periods and the assignment rule. 147 In the LWAM, this means that once a unit is deployed at<br />

the beginning of a war, it is deployed for as long as possible after which a replacement unit is<br />

deployed. In the SLAM model, some of the units deployed at the beginning of a long war are<br />

only deployed for short tours because the SLAM model “thinks” that the war will not last<br />

very long. This leads to increased stress on the AC because those units deployed for short<br />

tours at the beginning of the war will be called upon for redeployment sooner than they<br />

would have been if they had been deployed for the maximum deployment length.<br />

This section has compared the analyses performed in Chapter Two with the LWAM<br />

with similar analyses carried out with the <strong>RAND</strong> SLAM program. We find that the cost<br />

results are almost identical. However, we also find that the SLAM model calculates a much<br />

higher level of stress on the AC than the LWAM. This may be due to both the stochastic<br />

nature of the SLAM model and differences in the force assignment algorithms.<br />

____________<br />

146 Once cadre units are demobilized in the SLAM model, they require the full 36 months to be remobilized.<br />

This is an unrealistic assumption, but is required for modeling purposes.<br />

147 See Appendix D of Klerman et al (2008) for a discussion of SLAM assignment rules.

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