Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation

07.06.2014 Views

-106- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre Wartime LWAM Data (% of deployments) Table A.7—AC Stress Calculations for CadreMix Force Dwell Time 12 16 20 24+ 18% 12% 22% 49% Calculation 0.33*0.18 0.33*0.12 0.33*0.22 0.33*0.49 + 0.66 % Long Term Deployments 6% 4% 7% 83% We calculate long-term stress on the AC in the same manner for all other forces analyzed in this paper. A.5—CADRE COST SAVINGS RELATIVE TO BASELINE In Section 2.4, we calculated the peacetime and average long-run cost savings from cadre relative to the corresponding non-cadre forces that could sustain the same size rotation. Figure A.2 shows how these calculations were performed. Figure A.2—Relative Cadre Cost Savings Calculations AC BCTs RC BCTs Cadre BCTs Peacetime Cost Average Long Run Cost +6 48 28 Baseine Forces 0 $60 billion $62 billion +9 51 28 0 $64 billion $65 billion +18 60 28 0 $73 billion $74 billion CadreMix 48 28 0 $60 billion $62 billion +6 42 28 Cadre Forces 6 $55 billion $58 billion +9 42 28 9 $56 billion $59 billion +18 42 28 18 $57 billion $62 billion CadreMix 35 19 16 $47 billion $51 billion Difference +6 -6 0 +6 -$5 billion -$4 billion +9 -9 0 +9 -$8 billion -$6 billion +18 -18 0 +18 -$16 billion -$12 billion CadreMix -13 -9 +16 -$13 billion -$11 billion Cadre Difference Relaitve to Baseline +6 -13% 0% - 9% 6% +9 -18% 0% - 12% 9% +18 -30% 0% - 21% 16% CadreMix -27% -32% - 22% 17%

-107- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre First, we calculated the peacetime and average long-run cost of each of the baseline and cadre forces as discussed in the previous sections. Second, we calculated the difference in cost between each cadre force and its corresponding baseline force. Lastly, we divided the difference in cost (in all cases- cost savings) by the cost of the corresponding baseline force to calculate the cost savings of cadre relative to the overall cost of the force. It is worth noting that all cost estimates are restricted to estimates of personnel and operations and maintenance (O&M) costs. The actual Army budget in any period of peace or averaged over periods of peace and war would be significantly larger as it includes other costs such as research and development and procurement. 132 However, since the cost of a marginal unit in the force is determined mainly by personnel and O&M costs, restricting our analysis to these costs is appropriate. ____________ 132 This is especially true for periods of war when the size of the Army budget may increase significantly over peacetime levels. In this analysis, we assume that the only increase in the baseline personnel and O&M budget during wartime is the cost of activation (increase from part-time to full-time pay and increase in O&M costs) of reserve forces.

-107- A Budgetary Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />

First, we calculated the peacetime and average long-run cost of each of the baseline<br />

and cadre forces as discussed in the previous sections. Second, we calculated the difference<br />

in cost between each cadre force and its corresponding baseline force. Lastly, we divided the<br />

difference in cost (in all cases- cost savings) by the cost of the corresponding baseline force<br />

to calculate the cost savings of cadre relative to the overall cost of the force. It is worth<br />

noting that all cost estimates are restricted to estimates of personnel and operations and<br />

maintenance (O&M) costs. The actual <strong>Army</strong> budget in any period of peace or averaged over<br />

periods of peace and war would be significantly larger as it includes other costs such as<br />

research and development and procurement. 132 However, since the cost of a marginal unit in<br />

the force is determined mainly by personnel and O&M costs, restricting our analysis to these<br />

costs is appropriate.<br />

____________<br />

132 This is especially true for periods of war when the size of the <strong>Army</strong> budget may increase significantly over<br />

peacetime levels. In this analysis, we assume that the only increase in the baseline personnel and O&M budget<br />

during wartime is the cost of activation (increase from part-time to full-time pay and increase in O&M costs) of<br />

reserve forces.

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