Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
-98- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre l 3 1 N fi N i = 1 = ∑ Table A.3 shows the fraction of time cadre units are mobilized over the course of a ten-year war for each of the four cadre augmented forces examined in this paper. Table A.3—Fraction of Time Cadre Units Mobilized in Wartime Force l 3 +6 Cadre BCT 0.78 +9 Cadre BCT 0.73 +18 Cadre BCT 0.58 CadreMix 0.62 These calculations assume that all wars last ten years. These values will differ for wars of different lengths. We calculated l 3 for wars ranging in length from zero to thirty years in order to calculate the sensitivity of average long-run cost savings to the frequency of war in Chapter Three of this paper. Figure A.1 shows how l 3 varies for wars ranging in length from zero to thirty years for each of the cadre augmented forces analyzed in this paper. We assume a thirty-year time horizon in all of the analyses in this paper so the length of war is represented as a frequency. Figure A.1—Sensitivity of l 3 to Frequency (Length) of Wars 100% % Wartime Cadre Units Mobilized (l ) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 6 BCT 9 BCT 18 BCT CadreMix 10% 0% 17% 33% 50% 67% 83% 100% Frequency of War
-99- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre As wars get longer, l 3 increases for each of the cadre augmented forces because all cadre units are mobilized for a larger fraction of the time. The rate of increase is larger for larger cadre forces because in the limit, when wars occur 100 percent of the time, l 3 will approach 100 percent for all cadre forces. Table A.4 shows the unit cost equations when we substitute the rotation and cost parameters in Table A.2 and the fraction of time cadre units are mobilized over the course of a ten-year war for the +6 Cadre force. Table A.4—Unit Cost Equations for +6 Cadre Force Force AC (1) RC (2) Cadre (3) Average Per Unit Cost c = 1 1 c2 = α *0.40 + (1 −α)*0.28 c3 = α *0.83 + (1 −α)*0.20 If we make an assumption about the frequency of wars, we can use the cost equations above to calculate the relative cost of any force. In Chapter Two of this paper, we assumed that wars occur 33 percent of the time. Under this assumption, the average cost of one cadre (RC) BCT in the +6 Cadre force relative to an AC BCT is 41 percent (32 percent). 118 A.2—ANNUAL COST PER BCT The annual cost estimates for AC and RC BCTs used in the body of this paper are derived from two sources: CBO (2007a) and Jaffe (2006). CBO (2007a) estimates the annual cost of an active duty soldier at $111,000. 119 For simplicity, we assume that each active duty ____________ 118 The relative cost of a RC BCT does not vary with the size of the force. 119 This estimate is a sum of personnel costs ($65,000 per year), health care costs ($13,000 per year), and operations and maintenance costs ($33,000 per year).
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-99- A Budgetary Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />
As wars get longer, l 3 increases for each of the cadre augmented forces because all cadre units<br />
are mobilized for a larger fraction of the time. The rate of increase is larger for larger cadre<br />
forces because in the limit, when wars occur 100 percent of the time, l 3 will approach 100<br />
percent for all cadre forces.<br />
Table A.4 shows the unit cost equations when we substitute the rotation and cost<br />
parameters in Table A.2 and the fraction of time cadre units are mobilized over the course of<br />
a ten-year war for the +6 <strong>Cadre</strong> force.<br />
Table A.4—Unit Cost Equations for +6 <strong>Cadre</strong> Force<br />
Force<br />
AC (1)<br />
RC (2)<br />
<strong>Cadre</strong> (3)<br />
Average Per Unit Cost<br />
c =<br />
1<br />
1<br />
c2 = α *0.40 + (1 −α)*0.28<br />
c3 = α *0.83 + (1 −α)*0.20<br />
If we make an assumption about the frequency of wars, we can use the cost<br />
equations above to calculate the relative cost of any force. In Chapter Two of this paper, we<br />
assumed that wars occur 33 percent of the time. Under this assumption, the average cost of<br />
one cadre (RC) BCT in the +6 <strong>Cadre</strong> force relative to an AC BCT is 41 percent (32<br />
percent). 118<br />
A.2—ANNUAL COST PER BCT<br />
The annual cost estimates for AC and RC BCTs used in the body of this paper are<br />
derived from two sources: CBO (2007a) and Jaffe (2006). CBO (2007a) estimates the annual<br />
cost of an active duty soldier at $111,000. 119 For simplicity, we assume that each active duty<br />
____________<br />
118 The relative cost of a RC BCT does not vary with the size of the force.<br />
119 This estimate is a sum of personnel costs ($65,000 per year), health care costs ($13,000 per year), and<br />
operations and maintenance costs ($33,000 per year).