Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation Considering a Cadre Augmented Army - RAND Corporation
-86- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre 7.1.3—Cadre Structure and Readiness The readiness of a cadre unit will likely depend on the peacetime structure of that unit. The more leaders a unit retains in peacetime, the faster it can mobilize. If we were able to estimate the relationship between cadre structure and readiness, we could calculate a direct tradeoff between stress on the AC and the cost savings from a cadre augmented force, using the results in this section. However, it is difficult to estimate the relationship between cadre structure and readiness. Previous estimates of cadre readiness have been vague and there has been no attempt to estimate the relationship between the number of cadre leaders retained during peacetime and the time a cadre unit would require to prepare to deploy. We do not attempt to make such an estimate in this dissertation, but such an estimate would be extremely valuable in providing the DoD with the requisite data to determine the appropriate cadre unit structure based on how they weigh the cost savings from a cadre augmented force against stress on the AC. 7.2—RC READINESS In response to ARFORGEN, the Army is attempting to reduce post-mobilization training for RC BCTs. 98 Reductions in RC post-mobilization training could reduce the cost savings from a cadre augmented force because fewer RC BCTs can be replaced with cadre BCTs. 99 Table 7.1 shows the effect of RC post-mobilization training time on the average long-run cost savings from trading RC units for cadre units. 100 ____________ 98 A Defense Science Board (DSB) report states: “The goal is to limit post-mobilization training to just 45 days allowing for 320 days of deployed ‘boots on the ground’ in country. [DSB (2007), p. 22]. Also see: Freedberg (2007). 99 This calculation assumes that there is no additional pre-mobilization training cost for RC units. 100 The sensitivity of peacetime cost savings is similar.
-87- A Budgetary Analysis of Cadre Table 7.1—Sensitivity of Average Long-Run Cost Savings from Trading X RC BCTs for Three Cadre BCTs to RC Post-Mobilization Training 101 RC Post-Mob. Training (months) X RC BCTs Annual Savings 6 12 $3.0 billion 4 9 $1.9 billion 2 7 $1.2 billion 0 6 $0.9 billion Reductions in post-mobilization training for RC units could decrease the cost savings from trading RC units for cadre units. However, the decrease in post-mobilization training for RC units will likely be balanced by increased pre-mobilization training, which will increase the relative cost of an RC unit in peacetime. 102 As long as RC units are activated for the same amount of time, the increased peacetime RC cost will cancel out the higher costeffectiveness of the RC to make the cost savings from trading cadre for RC BCTs about the same as those calculated in Chapter Two. ____________ 101 See Appendix A for more on how to calculate the unit tradeoff factors. 102 “The Deputy Commander of the First Army, the unit charged with managing the pre-mobilization training, indicated that at least two months of the former four-month training cycle would be shifted to the premobilization year.” [DSB (2007), p. 22]. Others estimate pre-mobilization training could increase as much as 25 percent for RC units [Freedberg (2007)].
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-86- A Budgetary Analysis of <strong>Cadre</strong><br />
7.1.3—<strong>Cadre</strong> Structure and Readiness<br />
The readiness of a cadre unit will likely depend on the peacetime structure of that<br />
unit. The more leaders a unit retains in peacetime, the faster it can mobilize. If we were able<br />
to estimate the relationship between cadre structure and readiness, we could calculate a<br />
direct tradeoff between stress on the AC and the cost savings from a cadre augmented force,<br />
using the results in this section. However, it is difficult to estimate the relationship between<br />
cadre structure and readiness. Previous estimates of cadre readiness have been vague and<br />
there has been no attempt to estimate the relationship between the number of cadre leaders<br />
retained during peacetime and the time a cadre unit would require to prepare to deploy. We<br />
do not attempt to make such an estimate in this dissertation, but such an estimate would be<br />
extremely valuable in providing the DoD with the requisite data to determine the<br />
appropriate cadre unit structure based on how they weigh the cost savings from a cadre<br />
augmented force against stress on the AC.<br />
7.2—RC READINESS<br />
In response to ARFORGEN, the <strong>Army</strong> is attempting to reduce post-mobilization<br />
training for RC BCTs. 98 Reductions in RC post-mobilization training could reduce the cost<br />
savings from a cadre augmented force because fewer RC BCTs can be replaced with cadre<br />
BCTs. 99 Table 7.1 shows the effect of RC post-mobilization training time on the average<br />
long-run cost savings from trading RC units for cadre units. 100<br />
____________<br />
98 A Defense Science Board (DSB) report states: “The goal is to limit post-mobilization training to just 45 days<br />
allowing for 320 days of deployed ‘boots on the ground’ in country. [DSB (2007), p. 22]. Also see: Freedberg<br />
(2007).<br />
99 This calculation assumes that there is no additional pre-mobilization training cost for RC units.<br />
100 The sensitivity of peacetime cost savings is similar.