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The case for Centres of Excellence in sustainable building design

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Appendix 2<br />

development <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry, even if not an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the numbers <strong>of</strong> <strong>Centres</strong> <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>Excellence</strong> themselves. This will then make the adoption <strong>of</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able <strong>design</strong><br />

across the construction <strong>in</strong>dustry an organically grow<strong>in</strong>g process.<br />

In addition, by establish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Centres</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong>, the state-<strong>of</strong>-the-art <strong>in</strong> build<strong>in</strong>g<br />

carbon abatement will be pushed <strong>for</strong>ward, with a greater number <strong>of</strong> specialist<br />

researchers and a greater pool <strong>of</strong> students to enter the research arena. This will<br />

help reduce the MAC and <strong>in</strong>crease the abatement potential <strong>of</strong> build<strong>in</strong>g physics<br />

techniques, potentially <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the benefits to society beyond those outl<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

<strong>in</strong> this analysis.<br />

Not all <strong>of</strong> these benefits are quantifiable, and <strong>of</strong> those that are, some assumptions<br />

will have to be made to make the estimations tractable. More details on the<br />

specific assumptions made are given below.<br />

<strong>The</strong> costs <strong>of</strong> such a project will have to be considered too. <strong>The</strong>se are broadly <strong>in</strong><br />

two categories – the costs <strong>of</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and the costs <strong>of</strong> employment. <strong>The</strong> tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

costs are the costs <strong>of</strong> sett<strong>in</strong>g up and runn<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>Centres</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong>. <strong>The</strong><br />

employment costs are the opportunity costs <strong>of</strong> keep<strong>in</strong>g a tra<strong>in</strong>ed graduate <strong>in</strong> a<br />

position where they can use their tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g and expertise to reduce carbon at the<br />

lowest MAC, that is, <strong>in</strong> a build<strong>in</strong>g eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g physics-related post. In general, the<br />

opportunity cost is the cost <strong>of</strong> the next best alternative, and here we can suggest<br />

that the salary is a good proxy <strong>for</strong> the opportunity cost, as the <strong>in</strong>dividual can be<br />

assumed to be <strong>in</strong> the job that <strong>of</strong>fers the highest salary, and would work elsewhere<br />

if the build<strong>in</strong>g physics eng<strong>in</strong>eer’s salary was lower than the next best alternative.<br />

Given that the job market would <strong>of</strong>fer a range <strong>of</strong> posts, we assume that the salary<br />

itself is a suitable level.<br />

Methodology and assumptions<br />

<strong>The</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g method <strong>of</strong> estimation and its associated calculations are based<br />

on estimat<strong>in</strong>g the marg<strong>in</strong>al impact <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Centres</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong> project, that is,<br />

the net project benefits (project benefits m<strong>in</strong>us project costs) <strong>in</strong>cremental to a<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess as usual (BAU) scenario. <strong>The</strong> bus<strong>in</strong>ess as usual scenario, <strong>in</strong> this context,<br />

is to cont<strong>in</strong>ue with the current UK policy objectives <strong>of</strong> achiev<strong>in</strong>g the majority <strong>of</strong><br />

carbon reductions through subsidies <strong>for</strong> high technology and <strong>in</strong> which there is no<br />

enhancement <strong>of</strong> education <strong>in</strong> build<strong>in</strong>g science <strong>for</strong> passive energy conservation.<br />

<strong>The</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al benefits and costs are there<strong>for</strong>e as summarised here and expla<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

<strong>in</strong> greater detail below:<br />

Marg<strong>in</strong>al tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g costs are the cost <strong>of</strong> sett<strong>in</strong>g up and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the <strong>Centres</strong><br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong>. <strong>The</strong>se costs are the extra over costs <strong>of</strong> provid<strong>in</strong>g the enhanced<br />

eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g education <strong>in</strong> the centres. As all other costs to the university and<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual are the same <strong>in</strong> the project and BAU scenarios they do not need to be<br />

accounted <strong>for</strong> <strong>in</strong> the analysis.<br />

Marg<strong>in</strong>al employment costs are the costs <strong>of</strong> employ<strong>in</strong>g a build<strong>in</strong>g eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g<br />

physics- tra<strong>in</strong>ed graduate compared with the cost <strong>of</strong> employ<strong>in</strong>g a ‘regular’<br />

eng<strong>in</strong>eer <strong>in</strong> a build<strong>in</strong>g eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g physics role. We assume this to be a 10% salary<br />

premium <strong>in</strong> the first year, reflect<strong>in</strong>g the advantage such a graduate would have <strong>in</strong><br />

the job market, which decreases by two percentage po<strong>in</strong>ts a year over five years<br />

until the salary premium is zero. This decrease <strong>in</strong> the premium reflects the fact<br />

that after five years <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry, most eng<strong>in</strong>eers are likely to be a specialist <strong>of</strong><br />

some sort anyway and so able to ga<strong>in</strong> similar average salaries.<br />

<strong>The</strong> marg<strong>in</strong>al benefit is the decreased MAC cost per unit <strong>of</strong> carbon saved. We<br />

assume that the build<strong>in</strong>g eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g physics graduates can implement state-<strong>of</strong>the-art<br />

practices which allow <strong>for</strong> carbon abatement at the lowest possible social<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>case</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>Centres</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Excellence</strong> <strong>in</strong> susta<strong>in</strong>able build<strong>in</strong>g <strong>design</strong> 51

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